Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 5 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 November 2019, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        11   31  +16       7.05    96.87     0.88    90.13     6.91    53.64    58.53    94.80    99.07    99.86    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         11   25  +24      -2.52    22.42     0.27    87.13     6.61    69.33    39.62    90.60    97.99    99.60    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        11   23  +19       5.11    87.01    14.85    69.68     7.82    34.07     0.86     6.04    38.43    67.21    91.75     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   23   +8       2.59    71.11    -0.37    70.83     7.70    25.25     0.91     7.15    43.36    70.61    92.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   17   +1      -1.35    38.36    -3.92    60.67     7.89    11.08     0.04     0.51     7.24    19.93    58.46     0.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        11   16   +4       2.82    73.72     6.89    47.84     7.66    -4.48     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.93     7.54     4.50R    0.46  
Bournemouth      11   16   +1       1.95    67.16     3.26    48.29     7.67    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.26     1.12     8.06     4.08R    0.32  
Brighton         11   15   +0       2.22    70.42     4.13    42.63     7.26   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.76    14.16R    1.72  
Crystal_Palace   11   15   -4       1.89    67.26    -0.79    48.95     7.60    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.28     1.11     8.26     3.62R    0.33  
Man_Utd          11   13   +2      -4.92    14.62    -2.24    57.74     7.57    13.34     0.00     0.16     3.04    10.85    43.60     0.20R    0.00  
Tottenham        11   13   +1      -5.77     9.14    -4.61    62.15     7.80    19.84     0.04     0.71     9.71    26.34    67.00     0.06R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    11   13   +0      -0.63    45.50     2.64    48.69     7.71    -2.47     0.00     0.01     0.23     1.17     8.80     3.58R    0.32  
West_Ham         11   13   -3      -1.48    38.05    -1.69    44.03     7.59   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.33     2.78    11.73R    1.58  
Burnley          11   12   -4      -0.15    49.84     0.85    41.24     7.41   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.24    20.03R    3.09  
Newcastle        11   12   -8      -0.04    51.04    -3.14    44.24     7.44   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     2.59    10.77R    1.31  
Aston_Villa      11   11   -2      -0.67    45.43     5.06    40.19     7.78   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.19    24.99R    4.95  
Everton          11   11   -6      -4.01    19.35    -5.64    45.01     7.63   -11.84     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.42     3.68     9.32R    1.19  
Southampton      11    8  -17      -0.96    42.79    -5.76    36.01     7.46   -33.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    47.63R   13.97  
Norwich          11    7  -15      -1.73    35.49    -2.13    30.39     7.29   -42.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    75.83R   39.74  
Watford          11    5  -17      -5.52     8.87    -8.55    31.66     7.31   -35.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    69.42R   31.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 November 2019, Stoke 0 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       15   30  +11       3.45    72.93     1.61    83.96     8.81    28.69    39.78    59.35    89.56    68.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         15   28  +12       4.06    76.50     6.89    76.15     8.82    20.40    11.65    24.92    66.28    35.11P    0.06R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   28  +11       3.68    74.38     5.47    79.49     8.60    24.16    19.16    38.23    79.53    50.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         15   28   +6       4.80    80.40     2.09    74.95     8.70    12.62     8.53    19.25    59.95    29.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   14   25   +6       5.30    84.02     5.15    72.08     8.88    10.79     4.82    12.19    47.23    20.14P    0.24R    0.01  
Bristol_City    15   25   +3       3.21    71.69     1.29    69.57     8.73     5.97     2.67     7.37    35.88    13.82P    0.51R    0.06  
Sheff_Wed       15   24   +7       1.71    62.38     4.32    68.14     8.58     9.57     2.02     5.82    30.92    11.93P    0.64R    0.03  
Fulham          15   23   +6      -0.69    45.08     1.29    69.26     9.09    11.47     3.02     8.27    36.44    15.60P    0.71R    0.06  
QPR             15   23   -4       5.27    83.08     0.85    58.90     8.59   -15.23     0.14     0.49     5.98     1.32P    8.90R    1.34  
Charlton        15   22   +4       2.30    66.21     5.26    63.64     8.93     2.96     0.67     2.22    16.17     5.24P    3.04R    0.29  
Hull            15   22   +3       0.48    53.70     1.69    65.16     8.80     3.52     1.13     3.32    20.17     7.12P    1.95R    0.29  
Birmingham      15   22   -4       3.60    75.24    -0.89    60.89     8.57    -9.34     0.23     0.87     8.67     2.31P    5.60R    0.70  
Brentford       15   21   +5      -2.16    34.99     1.14    69.12     8.77    13.34     2.76     7.35    35.75    15.26P    0.53R    0.05  
Cardiff         15   21   +1      -1.44    40.31    -1.71    66.92     9.04     6.09     1.82     5.15    26.95    10.83P    1.44R    0.16  
Derby           15   21   -2      -1.26    41.47    -4.52    66.84     8.72     2.97     1.33     4.18    25.18     9.69P    1.24R    0.10  
Blackburn       15   18   -3      -1.58    39.56    -1.13    57.83     8.61    -7.23     0.11     0.40     4.84     1.32P   10.44R    1.89  
Millwall        15   18   -4       0.33    53.68     0.24    55.70     8.39   -10.78     0.04     0.19     2.73     0.66P   14.78R    2.83  
Huddersfield    15   16   -4      -2.56    32.94    -1.14    52.75     8.62   -11.88     0.03     0.10     1.53     0.41P   24.61R    5.70  
Reading         14   15   -4      -0.76    45.51     1.24    52.24     8.62   -13.92     0.02     0.07     1.33     0.29P   27.47R    7.13  
Wigan           15   15   -8      -2.41    33.30    -3.56    52.99     8.37   -14.33     0.02     0.08     1.22     0.29P   24.04R    5.52  
Luton           15   14   -5      -4.29    23.14    -1.03    52.27     8.91   -12.41     0.02     0.10     1.56     0.38P   27.47R    7.34  
Middlesbrough   15   12   -8      -8.52     5.33    -8.28    54.45     8.33    -7.24     0.03     0.09     1.95     0.59P   17.61R    3.46  
Barnsley        15    9  -15      -6.70    10.25    -7.34    43.28     8.64   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   67.54R   35.87  
Stoke           15    8  -14      -8.94     3.84    -8.94    44.72     8.31   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   61.11R   27.16  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Portsmouth 4 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              15   33  +15       6.85    89.08     6.71    83.82     8.29    31.74    45.37    64.45    92.14    72.22P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.67    95.66     8.90    70.98     7.98    10.24     3.93    10.54    45.17    16.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough         17   28  +16      -1.33    40.87     6.30    74.08     7.85    30.74     8.47    20.63    63.75    32.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.20    58.07     9.60    71.97     8.11    25.79     5.73    14.28    53.12    23.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       2.10    64.84     2.98    69.65     8.23    13.93     3.09     8.61    40.35    15.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             16   26   +2       3.34    72.51     0.98    63.48     7.90     1.04     0.53     1.74    14.50     4.18P    0.17R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.80    36.53    -3.85    75.47     8.09    22.26    10.92    24.88    67.87    38.24P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.95    63.70     1.34    64.48     7.78     4.78     0.64     2.09    17.54     5.13P    0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.55    67.43    -0.91    61.40     7.87    -2.87     0.25     0.93     9.61     2.49P    0.35R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   24  +11      -0.98    42.62     4.20    74.67     8.58    28.01    10.69    24.21    65.32    36.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           16   24   -2       2.37    66.83    -1.97    61.50     7.70    -2.93     0.21     0.75     9.39     2.25P    0.22R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.24    51.37     2.64    72.16     8.41    20.46     5.93    14.79    52.91    24.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth           15   21   +4      -3.90    23.83    -2.84    67.37     8.30    13.83     1.95     5.65    30.78    12.73P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.51    46.49     1.10    67.86     8.46    13.28     2.23     6.24    32.64    12.62P    0.06R    0.00  
Rochdale             17   19   -8      -0.72    46.01    -1.73    48.35     7.49   -21.10     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   11.81R    0.42  
Gillingham           16   18   +0      -2.92    30.87     1.60    55.71     7.98    -1.47     0.03     0.14     2.67     0.64P    2.17R    0.04  
Lincoln_City         16   18   -3      -1.23    42.37     1.20    53.62     8.08    -7.05     0.02     0.07     1.63     0.36P    3.96R    0.12  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       1.01    59.00     1.70    45.61     8.04   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   23.03R    1.27  
Accrington_Stanley   16   15   -9      -2.81    31.49    -2.53    47.34     7.70   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   15.04R    0.67  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   13   -6      -5.12    17.48    -0.03    45.60     7.74   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   20.21R    1.20  
MK_Dons              16   13  -12      -4.75    19.73    -5.59    41.75     7.69   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   39.94R    3.53  
Southend             17    5  -31     -10.59     1.64   -17.14    30.00     7.24   -53.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.42R   40.67  
Bolton               13   -2  -22      -1.79    36.98   -12.65    27.99     8.23   -41.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.46R   52.08  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   31  +10       6.17    85.98     5.72    77.81     8.37    18.43    17.52    46.45    79.85    54.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.60    66.75     0.96    80.84     8.63    23.47    29.99    60.88    87.92    68.80P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          17   30   +8       3.71    73.29     3.58    74.83     8.35    15.58    10.07    32.69    69.36    41.70P    0.01R    0.01  
Crewe            16   30   +8       6.28    85.76     5.30    74.01     8.56    12.25     8.81    29.05    64.63    36.87P    0.02R    0.02  
Exeter           17   29   +3       3.18    70.42    -0.72    73.89     8.20    10.59     7.70    27.47    64.55    36.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       15   28  +13       5.29    82.23     9.87    73.14     8.66    16.89     8.25    27.08    61.89    34.79P    0.02R    0.02  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.80    80.27     3.32    68.85     8.25     5.38     2.47    11.77    40.48    17.93P    0.06R    0.06  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.32    47.81     1.61    70.51     8.24    13.10     4.01    17.02    50.50    26.30P    0.02R    0.02  
Northampton      17   25   +4      -0.40    47.26     0.91    66.90     8.27     7.19     1.78     8.54    33.23    14.65P    0.12R    0.12  
Port_Vale        17   25   +0       3.72    74.27     2.63    61.55     8.05    -4.25     0.28     2.02    13.05     4.11P    0.61R    0.61  
Salford_City     17   24   -4       5.88    84.39     4.17    54.17     8.01   -18.95     0.04     0.24     2.60     0.60P    4.83R    4.83  
Cambridge_Utd    17   23   +5       1.20    58.82     6.93    60.79     8.07     2.60     0.25     1.88    12.17     3.87P    0.68R    0.68  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.87    31.55    -1.99    72.29     8.75    16.18     7.23    24.52    58.91    34.94P    0.04R    0.04  
Mansfield        17   20   +1      -7.66     9.94    -5.55    65.41     8.30     9.28     1.16     6.56    27.91    13.08P    0.17R    0.17  
Macclesfield     16   20   -3       2.66    69.59     3.71    51.65     7.92   -16.86     0.01     0.12     1.28     0.29P    8.08R    8.08  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   -4       0.57    54.87     2.08    52.08     8.14   -15.90     0.02     0.15     1.65     0.39P    7.86R    7.86  
Crawley_Town     17   20   -5       0.40    53.94     0.87    55.31     8.08   -12.11     0.02     0.30     3.50     0.91P    3.83R    3.83  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.34    53.38     2.48    56.73     8.40    -6.67     0.12     0.77     5.71     1.70P    2.69R    2.69  
Carlisle         17   18  -11      -3.36    29.36    -7.84    55.37     8.29   -14.70     0.03     0.37     3.63     1.10P    4.08R    4.08  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.95    11.96    -7.40    56.47     8.27    -6.90     0.04     0.49     4.75     1.51P    2.85R    2.85  
Scunthorpe       17   15   -4     -10.78     3.85    -7.72    58.53     8.59     1.59     0.18     1.38     9.20     3.79P    1.83R    1.83  
Walsall          17   15  -13      -6.81    12.46   -11.00    53.87     8.31   -13.87     0.02     0.21     2.52     0.77P    5.88R    5.88  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.37     6.96    -6.43    49.48     8.04   -13.26     0.01     0.05     0.66     0.18P   12.66R   12.66  
Morecambe        17   13  -14      -4.65    20.63    -5.48    42.84     7.76   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   43.68R   43.68  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2019, Hartlepool 0 1 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            20   36  +10       5.67    80.12     5.69    75.44     7.79    15.49    10.35    57.78    20.40P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil             19   35  +11       1.16    56.39    -0.63    82.74     8.10    26.95    40.23    86.30    55.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            20   35   +4       8.29    89.82     4.79    70.71     7.53     4.34     2.87    31.87     8.07P    0.17R    0.00  
Barrow             19   34  +10       5.47    80.04     6.42    73.42     7.89    13.48     7.04    47.79    15.76P    0.09R    0.00  
Torquay            20   34   +8       6.68    82.99     8.65    70.25     8.18     8.48     3.86    32.86     9.03P    0.40R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     20   33   +9       0.95    55.98     2.19    74.48     7.68    17.55     8.25    53.96    20.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     20   32   +3       2.17    63.07    -0.53    70.61     7.86     7.24     3.33    33.08    10.12P    0.25R    0.00  
Notts_County       20   31  +12      -5.12    21.95    -1.17    78.43     7.73    29.70    20.18    74.01    40.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             20   31   +4       5.27    78.04     6.72    65.11     8.03     1.54     0.90    13.97     3.49P    1.89R    0.04  
Barnet             20   28   +1      -0.69    45.95    -0.96    65.71     7.68     4.15     0.76    14.86     4.03P    1.26R    0.03  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.49    59.29     0.59    62.88     7.64    -2.29     0.31     7.72     1.77P    3.11R    0.08  
Dover_Athletic     19   28   -1       1.39    59.10    -1.80    63.59     7.90    -3.33     0.54     9.95     2.47P    2.71R    0.09  
Hartlepool         20   27   +0       0.27    52.17     1.18    61.50     7.68    -1.92     0.26     5.97     1.39P    4.34R    0.15  
Dag_&_Red          19   27   -1       1.51    59.82    -0.23    64.25     7.87    -0.66     0.57    11.17     2.66P    2.51R    0.07  
Boreham_Wood       20   26   +4      -1.55    41.07     3.78    62.08     7.64     4.73     0.24     6.96     1.66P    3.52R    0.12  
Maidenhead         20   25   +1       0.57    54.68     5.36    56.03     7.41    -5.83     0.02     1.26     0.24P   14.35R    0.78  
Stockport          19   25   -9       5.30    80.61     1.03    53.16     7.81   -22.65     0.02     0.68     0.11P   29.30R    2.66  
Chesterfield       19   22   -5      -4.60    24.17    -5.72    59.57     7.86    -4.34     0.12     3.88     1.01P    7.44R    0.42  
Aldershot          20   22   -5      -1.64    40.89     0.16    51.94     7.26   -12.86     0.00     0.27     0.04P   31.10R    2.51  
AFC_Fylde          19   21  -10      -6.50    15.40   -12.00    59.71     7.99    -7.65     0.13     4.19     1.10P    8.01R    0.42  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.64     8.92    -7.55    55.32     7.49    -5.74     0.01     0.94     0.27P   16.56R    1.23  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   17  -10      -9.23     7.95    -7.81    52.02     7.77   -11.33     0.00     0.37     0.07P   31.46R    3.22  
Sutton_United      19   16   -7      -7.74    10.53    -3.68    49.33     7.79   -12.43     0.00     0.17     0.04P   44.81R    5.90  
Chorley            20   13  -21      -3.78    27.56    -4.47    34.72     6.98   -42.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.63R   82.24