Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 4 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 November 2019, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        11   31  +16       7.07    96.83     0.91    90.18     6.89    53.69    59.57    94.76    99.01    99.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         11   25  +24      -2.49    22.57     0.34    86.97     6.60    69.05    38.59    90.23    97.92    99.58    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        11   23  +19       5.11    87.08    14.88    69.57     7.86    33.81     0.76     6.00    37.69    66.68    91.46     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          11   23   +8       2.58    70.82    -0.42    71.00     7.77    25.57     0.98     7.50    44.27    71.08    92.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   17   +1      -1.31    38.37    -3.89    60.59     7.93    10.92     0.05     0.61     7.26    19.83    57.77     0.10R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        11   16   +4       2.88    74.22     6.98    47.85     7.66    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.89     7.63     4.62R    0.46  
Bournemouth      11   16   +1       1.98    67.03     3.29    48.33     7.67    -8.33     0.00     0.01     0.26     1.10     8.16     4.08R    0.37  
Brighton         11   15   +0       2.25    70.11     4.17    42.64     7.24   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.81    13.97R    1.79  
Crystal_Palace   11   15   -4       1.92    67.50    -0.70    48.76     7.63    -9.90     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.98     8.20     3.90R    0.34  
Man_Utd          11   13   +2      -4.97    14.57    -2.30    57.72     7.69    13.37     0.00     0.13     3.16    11.15    43.63     0.18R    0.01  
Tottenham        11   13   +1      -5.82     9.10    -4.73    62.18     7.78    19.93     0.05     0.74     9.65    26.38    67.50     0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    11   13   +0      -0.62    45.41     2.67    48.70     7.69    -2.53     0.00     0.01     0.25     1.19     8.85     3.63R    0.32  
West_Ham         11   13   -3      -1.55    37.52    -1.77    44.08     7.61   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.32     3.08    11.68R    1.59  
Burnley          11   12   -4      -0.18    49.97     0.83    41.32     7.41   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.25    19.87R    3.23  
Newcastle        11   12   -8      -0.08    50.82    -3.17    44.29     7.47   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.24     2.65    10.79R    1.27  
Aston_Villa      11   11   -2      -0.59    46.14     5.19    39.95     7.73   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.11     1.07    26.31R    5.27  
Everton          11   11   -6      -3.99    19.48    -5.64    44.96     7.62   -11.87     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.39     3.73     9.45R    1.30  
Southampton      11    8  -17      -0.98    42.78    -5.74    36.15     7.43   -33.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    46.90R   13.94  
Norwich          11    7  -15      -1.80    35.03    -2.28    30.60     7.42   -41.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    74.97R   39.11  
Watford          11    5  -17      -5.56     8.76    -8.60    31.72     7.29   -35.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    69.52R   30.97  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 November 2019, Stoke 0 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       15   30  +11       3.38    72.74     1.50    84.06     8.82    28.86    40.50    60.04    89.66    69.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         15   28  +12       4.17    76.99     7.05    75.88     8.90    19.98    11.27    24.11    65.15    34.18P    0.07R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   28  +11       3.65    74.25     5.42    79.45     8.56    24.11    19.05    38.07    79.29    50.28P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         15   28   +6       4.97    81.24     2.32    74.71     8.68    12.33     7.90    18.71    59.14    28.51P    0.08R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest   14   25   +6       5.17    83.27     4.98    72.27     8.81    11.10     5.02    12.60    48.24    20.78P    0.22R    0.01  
Bristol_City    15   25   +3       3.14    71.42     1.14    69.70     8.75     6.15     2.82     7.80    36.61    14.17P    0.52R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed       15   24   +7       1.61    61.68     4.18    68.44     8.63     9.89     2.14     6.30    32.11    12.39P    0.61R    0.03  
Fulham          15   23   +6      -0.62    45.63     1.37    69.09     9.06    11.22     3.13     8.15    35.89    15.61P    0.64R    0.05  
QPR             15   23   -4       5.32    83.44     0.98    58.91     8.56   -15.22     0.14     0.51     5.73     1.32P    8.73R    1.43  
Charlton        15   22   +4       2.45    67.43     5.52    63.28     8.87     2.45     0.59     1.96    15.30     4.67P    3.28R    0.40  
Hull            15   22   +3       0.40    53.44     1.60    65.31     8.82     3.79     1.14     3.38    20.86     7.28P    1.92R    0.23  
Birmingham      15   22   -4       3.64    75.16    -0.82    60.75     8.58    -9.51     0.26     0.82     8.35     2.16P    5.76R    0.73  
Brentford       15   21   +5      -2.06    35.63     1.30    68.84     8.75    12.91     2.48     6.85    34.37    14.35P    0.65R    0.05  
Cardiff         15   21   +1      -1.49    40.13    -1.81    67.20     9.02     6.48     1.90     5.38    28.10    11.44P    1.20R    0.14  
Derby           15   21   -2      -1.33    40.95    -4.61    67.04     8.71     3.22     1.43     4.33    25.76     9.89P    1.11R    0.09  
Blackburn       15   18   -3      -1.53    39.96    -1.04    57.68     8.63    -7.45     0.12     0.42     4.72     1.33P   10.68R    1.91  
Millwall        15   18   -4       0.26    52.89     0.11    55.87     8.40   -10.57     0.05     0.18     2.86     0.66P   14.40R    2.68  
Huddersfield    15   16   -4      -2.54    32.98    -1.11    52.78     8.63   -11.75     0.01     0.08     1.58     0.42P   24.62R    5.70  
Reading         14   15   -4      -0.86    44.88     1.12    52.36     8.57   -13.69     0.01     0.06     1.42     0.29P   26.75R    6.59  
Wigan           15   15   -8      -2.42    33.32    -3.57    52.98     8.45   -14.34     0.01     0.05     1.28     0.27P   24.67R    5.62  
Luton           15   14   -5      -4.31    22.92    -1.02    52.27     8.94   -12.42     0.03     0.11     1.59     0.45P   27.66R    7.47  
Middlesbrough   15   12   -8      -8.53     5.51    -8.27    54.44     8.30    -7.27     0.02     0.09     1.79     0.52P   17.51R    3.51  
Barnsley        15    9  -15      -6.63    10.51    -7.21    43.00     8.65   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   69.09R   37.27  
Stoke           15    8  -14      -9.07     3.65    -9.12    44.96     8.35   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   59.81R   26.05  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.53    95.44     8.70    71.18     7.99    10.52     4.06    10.56    46.01    16.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich              14   30  +14       5.66    85.58     6.33    82.72     8.48    31.49    40.00    58.84    89.93    67.47P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         16   28  +17      -0.09    48.85     7.00    76.12     8.09    32.92    13.65    28.98    72.39    41.09P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.26    58.45     9.72    71.79     8.09    25.46     5.48    13.39    52.59    22.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       2.05    64.31     2.92    70.01     8.33    14.36     3.45     9.30    41.91    16.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             16   26   +2       3.44    73.22     1.08    63.48     7.87     1.02     0.48     1.48    14.39     3.84P    0.15R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.83    36.38    -3.88    75.44     8.19    22.23    11.13    24.59    67.83    38.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.91    63.38     1.26    64.50     7.83     4.84     0.56     1.96    17.66     5.13P    0.12R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.58    67.85    -0.83    61.22     7.85    -3.17     0.21     0.79     9.19     2.25P    0.33R    0.01  
Rotherham            15   24  +11      -0.94    42.99     4.28    74.55     8.59    27.70    10.72    23.44    64.79    35.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.22    51.63     2.64    72.36     8.43    20.74     6.32    15.28    54.08    25.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   21   -3       0.96    57.78    -2.58    59.15     7.91    -5.00     0.11     0.47     5.92     1.47P    0.71R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.50    46.64     1.12    67.62     8.54    12.85     2.15     6.08    31.81    12.28P    0.06R    0.00  
Rochdale             16   19   -7       0.27    52.76    -1.23    49.31     7.75   -20.87     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.04P   10.70R    0.43  
Portsmouth           14   18   +1      -4.42    20.03    -3.89    66.14     8.57    11.57     1.63     4.60    26.27    10.57P    0.14R    0.00  
Gillingham           16   18   +0      -2.89    30.83     1.61    55.77     7.99    -1.44     0.04     0.15     2.82     0.69P    2.29R    0.04  
Lincoln_City         16   18   -3      -1.11    43.31     1.39    53.42     8.13    -7.39     0.02     0.09     1.60     0.34P    4.37R    0.13  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       0.98    58.98     1.68    45.65     8.07   -24.74     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   23.36R    1.61  
Accrington_Stanley   16   15   -9      -2.83    31.70    -2.58    47.20     7.71   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   16.17R    0.91  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   13   -6      -5.14    17.44    -0.07    45.72     7.70   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   20.06R    1.27  
MK_Dons              16   13  -12      -4.69    20.16    -5.45    41.66     7.73   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.53R    4.28  
Southend             16    5  -28     -10.42     1.82   -16.49    31.24     7.47   -50.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.55R   35.99  
Bolton               13   -2  -22      -1.80    36.92   -12.72    28.00     8.20   -41.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.41R   55.33  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   31  +10       6.10    85.82     5.64    78.01     8.37    18.68    18.08    46.97    80.59    55.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.60    66.89     0.99    80.71     8.69    23.28    29.93    60.28    87.24    68.03P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          17   30   +8       3.66    72.86     3.48    74.89     8.31    15.71    10.02    32.56    69.57    41.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            16   30   +8       6.22    85.70     5.30    74.00     8.56    12.27     8.65    28.85    64.66    36.54P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           17   29   +3       3.32    71.28    -0.54    73.66     8.21    10.30     7.22    26.49    63.76    36.07P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       15   28  +13       5.27    82.25     9.83    73.09     8.77    16.84     8.15    27.09    61.52    34.65P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.70    79.53     3.20    68.97     8.34     5.56     2.70    12.12    41.00    18.36P    0.06R    0.06  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.44    47.16     1.41    70.83     8.25    13.58     4.31    18.07    51.63    27.17P    0.02R    0.02  
Northampton      17   25   +4      -0.32    48.10     0.99    66.83     8.34     7.10     1.67     8.58    32.88    14.69P    0.10R    0.10  
Port_Vale        17   25   +0       3.68    73.85     2.58    61.60     8.07    -4.20     0.26     2.11    13.13     4.10P    0.58R    0.58  
Salford_City     17   24   -4       6.00    84.77     4.33    54.02     8.07   -19.20     0.03     0.30     2.67     0.64P    5.10R    5.10  
Cambridge_Utd    17   23   +5       1.23    58.98     6.93    60.83     8.06     2.63     0.26     1.87    12.17     3.94P    0.68R    0.68  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.85    31.64    -1.93    72.27     8.76    16.16     7.12    24.35    58.55    34.89P    0.04R    0.04  
Mansfield        17   20   +1      -7.60    10.13    -5.48    65.40     8.31     9.28     1.14     6.46    27.96    13.04P    0.16R    0.16  
Macclesfield     16   20   -3       2.63    69.38     3.67    51.78     7.96   -16.73     0.00     0.12     1.37     0.31P    8.12R    8.12  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   -4       0.66    55.58     2.23    51.94     8.16   -16.17     0.02     0.17     1.61     0.44P    8.36R    8.36  
Crawley_Town     17   20   -5       0.38    53.61     0.86    55.34     8.10   -12.04     0.04     0.35     3.46     0.91P    3.89R    3.89  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.35    53.44     2.50    56.65     8.40    -6.79     0.10     0.72     5.52     1.62P    2.62R    2.62  
Carlisle         17   18  -11      -3.33    29.21    -7.82    55.30     8.25   -14.80     0.04     0.35     3.56     0.99P    4.27R    4.27  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.95    11.94    -7.40    56.50     8.30    -6.88     0.08     0.56     4.89     1.67P    3.02R    3.02  
Scunthorpe       17   15   -4     -10.80     3.78    -7.70    58.40     8.67     1.38     0.16     1.34     9.06     3.63P    2.04R    2.04  
Walsall          17   15  -13      -6.75    12.91   -10.93    53.85     8.31   -13.90     0.02     0.24     2.54     0.82P    5.64R    5.64  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.41     6.76    -6.48    49.49     7.96   -13.23     0.01     0.03     0.63     0.16P   12.25R   12.25  
Morecambe        17   13  -14      -4.77    20.33    -5.64    42.97     7.78   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   43.03R   43.03  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            20   36  +10       5.48    79.20     5.39    75.65     7.83    15.83    11.20    59.55    21.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil             19   35  +11       1.23    57.00    -0.53    82.58     8.06    26.73    40.33    86.30    55.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            20   35   +4       8.17    89.66     4.63    70.81     7.55     4.44     3.08    32.83     8.49P    0.19R    0.00  
Barrow             19   34  +10       5.42    80.11     6.37    73.49     7.91    13.58     7.41    48.31    16.04P    0.08R    0.00  
Torquay            20   34   +8       6.51    82.43     8.39    70.37     8.16     8.57     4.19    33.45     9.57P    0.36R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town     20   32   +3       2.15    62.76    -0.55    70.55     7.81     7.13     3.44    33.32    10.36P    0.28R    0.01  
Notts_County       20   31  +12      -5.01    22.56    -1.03    78.18     7.76    29.33    20.00    73.41    40.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             20   31   +4       5.16    77.51     6.58    65.16     8.02     1.59     0.89    14.56     3.37P    1.90R    0.05  
Solihull_Moors     19   30   +8      -0.27    48.35     1.78    72.69     7.93    16.40     6.11    45.72    16.80P    0.13R    0.00  
Barnet             20   28   +1      -0.82    45.09    -1.13    65.91     7.65     4.39     0.83    15.44     4.20P    1.25R    0.03  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.61    60.10     0.80    62.78     7.63    -2.43     0.25     7.82     1.68P    3.29R    0.10  
Dover_Athletic     19   28   -1       1.47    59.40    -1.69    63.58     7.85    -3.35     0.56     9.92     2.46P    2.80R    0.08  
Hartlepool         19   27   +1       1.35    58.68     1.74    63.01     7.91    -0.72     0.41     9.15     2.12P    3.44R    0.09  
Dag_&_Red          19   27   -1       1.52    60.09    -0.22    64.22     7.87    -0.67     0.63    11.33     2.70P    2.54R    0.07  
Boreham_Wood       20   26   +4      -1.42    42.02     4.01    61.92     7.56     4.54     0.23     6.63     1.55P    3.43R    0.11  
Maidenhead         20   25   +1       0.56    54.22     5.33    56.04     7.42    -5.82     0.03     1.31     0.27P   14.54R    0.78  
Stockport          19   25   -9       5.32    80.80     1.06    53.10     7.74   -22.68     0.02     0.64     0.10P   29.53R    2.53  
Chesterfield       19   22   -5      -4.60    24.22    -5.72    59.63     7.94    -4.28     0.18     4.41     1.18P    7.54R    0.43  
Aldershot          20   22   -5      -1.51    41.79     0.31    51.94     7.28   -12.88     0.00     0.25     0.04P   31.33R    2.71  
AFC_Fylde          19   21  -10      -6.43    16.08   -11.82    59.59     8.01    -7.80     0.17     4.07     1.14P    8.54R    0.46  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.71     8.78    -7.63    55.39     7.54    -5.64     0.01     1.02     0.24P   16.74R    1.19  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   17  -10      -9.14     8.02    -7.70    51.96     7.75   -11.48     0.01     0.40     0.11P   31.97R    3.22  
Sutton_United      19   16   -7      -7.97     9.69    -4.02    49.61     7.75   -12.03     0.00     0.18     0.04P   43.35R    5.24  
Chorley            20   13  -21      -3.71    27.95    -4.34    34.69     6.99   -42.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.73R   82.88