Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 3 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 November 2019, Crystal_Palace 0 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        11   31  +16       7.05    96.88     0.85    90.23     6.91    53.81    59.90    94.81    99.15    99.87    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         11   25  +24      -2.46    22.85     0.42    86.95     6.61    68.81    38.28    90.29    97.94    99.62    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        11   23  +19       5.10    86.72    14.82    69.74     7.79    34.12     0.75     5.97    37.93    67.21    91.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   23   +8       2.46    70.04    -0.59    71.09     7.67    25.78     1.00     7.49    43.94    71.36    93.31     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          11   17   +1      -1.40    37.55    -4.02    60.71     7.95    11.12     0.03     0.52     7.27    19.95    58.17     0.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        11   16   +4       2.82    73.66     6.90    48.03     7.68    -4.27     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.98     7.78     4.30R    0.40  
Bournemouth      11   16   +1       1.98    67.35     3.32    48.31     7.65    -8.34     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.95     7.94     4.09R    0.39  
Brighton         11   15   +0       2.32    71.04     4.26    42.46     7.20   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     1.61    14.51R    1.89  
Crystal_Palace   11   15   -4       1.87    67.28    -0.81    48.93     7.65    -9.68     0.00     0.01     0.28     1.22     8.56     3.62R    0.31  
Man_Utd          11   13   +2      -4.91    14.81    -2.22    57.80     7.63    13.42     0.01     0.19     3.16    10.93    43.91     0.19R    0.00  
Tottenham        11   13   +1      -5.81     9.11    -4.65    62.08     7.82    19.72     0.03     0.69     9.52    25.66    66.63     0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    11   13   +0      -0.57    45.63     2.74    48.58     7.68    -2.69     0.00     0.01     0.22     1.07     8.60     3.73R    0.39  
West_Ham         11   13   -3      -1.54    37.41    -1.75    44.05     7.59   -14.58     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.27     2.85    11.45R    1.46  
Burnley          11   12   -4      -0.15    50.00     0.86    41.28     7.40   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.31    19.57R    3.19  
Newcastle        11   12   -8       0.00    51.48    -3.03    44.19     7.44   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.20     2.37    10.95R    1.34  
Aston_Villa      11   11   -2      -0.67    45.31     5.08    40.08     7.81   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.17    25.47R    5.16  
Everton          11   11   -6      -4.00    19.41    -5.61    44.85     7.62   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.36     3.61     9.60R    1.32  
Southampton      11    8  -17      -0.95    42.84    -5.74    36.08     7.39   -33.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    47.05R   13.60  
Norwich          11    7  -15      -1.81    34.93    -2.29    30.57     7.36   -41.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    75.24R   39.08  
Watford          11    5  -17      -5.49     8.88    -8.53    31.54     7.29   -35.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    70.13R   31.47  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 November 2019, Charlton 0 1 Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Preston         15   28  +12       4.19    77.21     7.04    76.07     8.85    20.26    12.84    26.04    66.13    35.79P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   28  +11       3.70    74.65     5.51    79.32     8.57    23.93    20.67    38.90    79.02    50.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         15   28   +6       4.81    80.49     2.12    74.99     8.63    12.70     9.28    20.28    60.36    30.24P    0.07R    0.00  
West_Brom       14   27   +9       2.51    67.59     0.63    81.81     9.05    25.85    32.92    51.21    84.52    61.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   14   25   +6       5.23    83.54     5.02    72.26     8.82    11.04     5.56    13.15    48.21    21.14P    0.30R    0.03  
Bristol_City    15   25   +3       3.19    71.68     1.22    69.61     8.78     6.05     3.25     8.12    36.41    14.37P    0.57R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed       15   24   +7       1.61    61.58     4.21    68.45     8.64     9.96     2.47     6.65    32.22    12.87P    0.58R    0.03  
Fulham          15   23   +6      -0.78    44.29     1.12    69.37     9.14    11.66     3.72     9.18    37.37    16.75P    0.75R    0.07  
QPR             15   23   -4       5.33    83.32     0.98    58.89     8.61   -15.27     0.17     0.66     6.02     1.56P    9.13R    1.46  
Charlton        15   22   +4       2.32    66.31     5.32    63.64     8.87     2.99     0.77     2.25    16.06     5.24P    3.24R    0.38  
Hull            15   22   +3       0.48    53.81     1.69    65.15     8.83     3.48     1.17     3.56    20.45     7.20P    2.10R    0.24  
Birmingham      15   22   -4       3.60    75.21    -0.88    61.00     8.53    -9.17     0.35     1.03     8.79     2.50P    5.60R    0.78  
Brentford       15   21   +5      -2.13    35.27     1.17    69.13     8.71    13.32     2.93     7.77    35.91    15.48P    0.65R    0.06  
Cardiff         15   21   +1      -1.40    40.56    -1.68    66.89     9.08     6.00     2.01     5.49    27.19    11.12P    1.45R    0.19  
Derby           15   21   -2      -1.23    41.66    -4.50    66.82     8.74     2.95     1.59     4.61    25.45     9.93P    1.31R    0.14  
Blackburn       15   18   -3      -1.60    39.45    -1.16    57.72     8.60    -7.35     0.12     0.39     4.84     1.31P   11.01R    2.14  
Millwall        15   18   -4       0.24    52.76     0.09    55.88     8.38   -10.57     0.05     0.21     2.96     0.69P   14.91R    2.81  
Huddersfield    15   16   -4      -2.54    33.05    -1.13    52.92     8.56   -11.51     0.03     0.09     1.56     0.47P   24.53R    5.86  
Reading         14   15   -4      -0.85    44.44     1.11    52.37     8.58   -13.65     0.02     0.08     1.36     0.30P   27.48R    7.48  
Wigan           15   15   -8      -2.35    34.01    -3.44    52.77     8.40   -14.61     0.02     0.08     1.24     0.30P   26.04R    6.14  
Luton           15   14   -5      -4.19    23.51    -0.88    51.99     9.02   -12.81     0.03     0.13     1.70     0.49P   29.73R    8.48  
Middlesbrough   15   12   -8      -8.54     5.37    -8.33    54.37     8.28    -7.37     0.03     0.10     1.88     0.61P   18.25R    3.91  
Barnsley        15    9  -15      -6.66    10.49    -7.21    42.94     8.59   -28.57     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   69.84R   38.79  
Stoke           14    8  -12      -8.31     4.55    -8.02    46.74     8.65   -19.29     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.08P   52.39R   20.95  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.52    95.23     8.68    71.26     7.95    10.61     4.28    11.03    46.16    16.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich              14   30  +14       5.69    85.48     6.39    82.54     8.57    31.26    39.27    58.15    89.12    66.79P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         16   28  +17      -0.25    47.83     6.75    76.29     8.10    33.20    14.16    29.63    73.00    41.66P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.27    58.73     9.73    71.83     8.10    25.48     5.73    13.76    52.52    22.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       2.08    64.35     2.97    69.82     8.32    14.14     3.41     8.93    41.19    16.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             16   26   +2       3.48    73.55     1.19    63.41     7.89     0.86     0.53     1.63    14.52     3.97P    0.16R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.79    36.62    -3.72    75.36     8.17    22.05    10.90    24.21    67.29    37.72P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.97    63.58     1.37    64.46     7.84     4.78     0.68     2.03    17.83     5.28P    0.11R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.50    67.16    -0.92    61.35     7.88    -3.00     0.25     0.91     9.54     2.54P    0.31R    0.00  
Rotherham            15   24  +11      -0.98    42.69     4.23    74.53     8.55    27.70    10.64    23.33    64.66    35.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.37    52.45     2.81    72.10     8.52    20.37     6.18    14.81    52.98    24.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   21   -3       0.98    57.87    -2.57    59.17     7.94    -5.04     0.12     0.47     6.03     1.59P    0.74R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.51    46.65     1.10    67.82     8.49    13.14     2.17     6.35    33.06    12.93P    0.08R    0.00  
Rochdale             16   19   -7       0.21    52.52    -1.22    49.28     7.70   -20.88     0.01     0.01     0.39     0.06P   10.67R    0.38  
Portsmouth           14   18   +1      -4.42    20.13    -3.93    66.23     8.46    11.76     1.60     4.51    26.80    10.52P    0.12R    0.00  
Gillingham           16   18   +0      -2.93    30.84     1.58    55.73     8.05    -1.46     0.05     0.18     2.91     0.77P    2.45R    0.05  
Lincoln_City         16   18   -3      -1.09    43.46     1.42    53.38     8.06    -7.46     0.02     0.07     1.57     0.34P    4.32R    0.09  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       0.91    58.16     1.55    45.76     8.06   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P   23.05R    1.45  
Accrington_Stanley   16   15   -9      -2.84    31.26    -2.58    47.30     7.76   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   16.23R    0.86  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   13   -6      -5.20    17.02    -0.15    45.80     7.75   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   20.35R    1.28  
MK_Dons              16   13  -12      -4.72    20.10    -5.53    41.83     7.72   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    40.69R    4.00  
Southend             16    5  -28     -10.39     1.66   -16.52    31.11     7.40   -50.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.89R   36.74  
Bolton               13   -2  -22      -1.76    37.20   -12.63    27.97     8.16   -41.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.81R   55.15  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   31  +10       6.17    85.84     5.71    77.88     8.38    18.51    17.86    46.52    80.41    55.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.59    66.61     0.93    80.91     8.75    23.54    30.84    60.82    87.68    68.48P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          17   30   +8       3.65    72.33     3.51    74.96     8.35    15.76    10.25    33.27    69.69    42.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            16   30   +8       6.34    85.84     5.47    73.95     8.49    12.15     8.58    28.59    64.62    36.15P    0.02R    0.02  
Exeter           17   29   +3       3.43    71.88    -0.36    73.46     8.22    10.02     6.90    25.76    62.62    35.21P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       15   28  +13       5.31    82.57     9.91    73.11     8.77    16.84     7.98    27.17    61.87    34.98P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.71    79.61     3.21    68.90     8.31     5.46     2.66    12.06    40.56    18.30P    0.05R    0.05  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.32    47.89     1.57    70.67     8.24    13.34     4.03    17.53    51.08    26.71P    0.02R    0.02  
Northampton      17   25   +4      -0.39    47.68     0.91    66.99     8.34     7.34     1.75     9.02    33.68    15.05P    0.11R    0.11  
Port_Vale        17   25   +0       3.74    74.23     2.65    61.52     8.06    -4.27     0.28     2.22    12.96     4.25P    0.56R    0.56  
Salford_City     17   24   -4       5.94    84.63     4.26    54.06     8.05   -19.16     0.03     0.30     2.63     0.67P    5.02R    5.02  
Cambridge_Utd    17   23   +5       1.10    58.19     6.76    60.91     8.09     2.74     0.27     1.95    12.49     4.11P    0.70R    0.70  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.89    31.16    -1.98    72.31     8.74    16.17     6.99    24.53    58.99    34.87P    0.02R    0.02  
Mansfield        17   20   +1      -7.62     9.94    -5.47    65.27     8.28     9.13     1.15     6.35    27.31    12.80P    0.16R    0.16  
Macclesfield     16   20   -3       2.66    69.53     3.71    51.63     7.94   -16.97     0.01     0.10     1.27     0.29P    8.38R    8.38  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   -4       0.58    54.82     2.11    51.99     8.17   -16.08     0.01     0.13     1.58     0.36P    8.16R    8.16  
Crawley_Town     17   20   -5       0.35    53.50     0.79    55.38     8.12   -11.98     0.02     0.32     3.53     0.89P    3.88R    3.88  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.37    53.61     2.54    56.67     8.46    -6.79     0.09     0.76     5.82     1.70P    2.75R    2.75  
Carlisle         17   18  -11      -3.40    28.66    -7.94    55.52     8.22   -14.52     0.03     0.39     3.68     1.08P    3.90R    3.90  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.95    12.03    -7.39    56.45     8.30    -6.89     0.06     0.58     5.10     1.68P    2.82R    2.82  
Scunthorpe       17   15   -4     -10.85     3.63    -7.80    58.57     8.61     1.68     0.17     1.31     9.13     3.79P    1.86R    1.86  
Walsall          17   15  -13      -6.78    12.76   -10.99    53.80     8.35   -13.94     0.03     0.25     2.57     0.84P    5.82R    5.82  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.40     6.85    -6.46    49.55     8.03   -13.18     0.00     0.04     0.68     0.19P   12.56R   12.56  
Morecambe        17   13  -14      -4.75    20.16    -5.64    42.89     7.73   -28.91     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   43.19R   43.19  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            20   36  +10       5.48    79.31     5.43    75.61     7.86    15.78    11.22    59.11    21.69P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil             19   35  +11       1.21    56.77    -0.54    82.50     8.06    26.65    39.51    85.91    54.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            20   35   +4       8.18    89.78     4.67    70.84     7.57     4.48     3.20    33.00     8.61P    0.18R    0.00  
Barrow             19   34  +10       5.57    80.46     6.54    73.38     7.92    13.39     7.01    47.74    15.55P    0.07R    0.00  
Torquay            20   34   +8       6.33    81.71     8.10    70.61     8.18     8.95     4.28    34.68    10.25P    0.39R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town     20   32   +3       2.14    62.66    -0.60    70.69     7.85     7.32     3.54    33.92    10.32P    0.27R    0.00  
Notts_County       20   31  +12      -5.03    22.40    -1.09    78.34     7.76    29.56    20.53    73.98    40.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             20   31   +4       5.19    77.88     6.63    65.14     7.95     1.57     0.93    14.15     3.42P    1.86R    0.04  
Solihull_Moors     19   30   +8      -0.28    48.60     1.75    72.74     7.96    16.42     6.42    45.75    16.88P    0.15R    0.00  
Barnet             20   28   +1      -0.79    45.33    -1.09    65.82     7.62     4.29     0.83    15.19     4.27P    1.13R    0.03  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.54    59.49     0.72    62.79     7.63    -2.45     0.30     7.80     1.77P    3.30R    0.11  
Dover_Athletic     19   28   -1       1.47    59.52    -1.63    63.51     7.90    -3.45     0.61     9.95     2.39P    2.72R    0.07  
Hartlepool         19   27   +1       1.39    59.18     1.86    62.91     7.91    -0.92     0.46     9.07     2.21P    3.37R    0.10  
Dag_&_Red          19   27   -1       1.53    60.03    -0.20    64.23     7.81    -0.65     0.54    10.93     2.62P    2.47R    0.07  
Boreham_Wood       20   26   +4      -1.43    41.97     3.97    61.92     7.57     4.52     0.28     6.74     1.66P    3.41R    0.10  
Maidenhead         20   25   +1       0.55    54.35     5.33    56.09     7.38    -5.78     0.02     1.20     0.22P   14.11R    0.77  
Stockport          19   25   -9       5.25    80.29     0.98    53.16     7.84   -22.60     0.01     0.65     0.09P   29.51R    2.70  
Chesterfield       19   22   -5      -4.55    24.23    -5.65    59.60     7.86    -4.32     0.16     4.09     1.01P    7.61R    0.50  
Aldershot          20   22   -5      -1.59    41.21     0.22    52.04     7.30   -12.74     0.00     0.33     0.06P   30.77R    2.49  
AFC_Fylde          19   21  -10      -6.29    16.53   -11.72    59.52     8.00    -7.94     0.13     4.22     1.03P    8.34R    0.49  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.66     8.74    -7.60    55.46     7.58    -5.59     0.02     1.08     0.31P   16.42R    1.26  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   17  -10      -9.09     8.04    -7.63    51.82     7.73   -11.64     0.00     0.34     0.08P   32.50R    3.29  
Sutton_United      19   16   -7      -7.86     9.95    -3.86    49.38     7.82   -12.40     0.00     0.17     0.05P   44.86R    5.78  
Chorley            20   13  -21      -3.89    26.98    -4.60    34.83     7.02   -42.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.51R   82.19