Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 2 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Arsenal 1 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        11   31  +16       7.05    96.84     0.87    90.08     6.89    53.53    59.11    95.07    99.20    99.84   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         11   25  +24      -2.45    22.80     0.45    87.02     6.65    69.08    39.26    91.21    98.16    99.55    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          11   23   +8       2.53    70.52    -0.49    70.97     7.72    25.58     1.04     7.66    47.09    71.48    92.80     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   20  +17       4.02    82.41    13.70    67.54     8.03    31.14     0.48     4.20    29.37    56.79    85.93     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          11   17   +1      -1.27    38.97    -3.82    60.68     7.92    11.05     0.03     0.65     7.93    20.97    57.60     0.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        11   16   +4       2.82    73.71     6.92    47.88     7.74    -4.45     0.00     0.00     0.21     1.13     7.45     4.64R    0.44  
Bournemouth      11   16   +1       1.95    66.95     3.24    48.27     7.62    -8.41     0.00     0.00     0.24     1.08     7.60     4.08R    0.37  
Brighton         11   15   +0       2.32    70.84     4.29    42.50     7.19   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.60    14.26R    1.72  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   -2       2.71    74.58     0.41    50.80     7.93    -6.91     0.00     0.01     0.62     2.45    13.37     2.56R    0.25  
Man_Utd          11   13   +2      -4.89    14.73    -2.18    57.67     7.65    13.25     0.00     0.17     3.45    11.72    42.70     0.21R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    11   13   +0      -0.64    45.12     2.61    48.83     7.69    -2.35     0.00     0.01     0.25     1.28     8.90     3.57R    0.32  
West_Ham         11   13   -3      -1.52    37.70    -1.76    44.09     7.56   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.34     2.84    11.50R    1.62  
Tottenham        10   12   +1      -5.22    10.03    -4.40    63.04     8.03    20.72     0.08     1.02    13.20    32.16    70.16     0.05R    0.00  
Burnley          11   12   -4      -0.20    49.59     0.76    41.33     7.36   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.12    19.66R    3.18  
Newcastle        11   12   -8      -0.04    50.99    -3.11    44.24     7.53   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.32     2.64    11.04R    1.33  
Aston_Villa      11   11   -2      -0.69    44.90     5.11    40.18     7.84   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     1.19    25.62R    5.18  
Everton          10   10   -6      -3.85    19.07    -5.95    44.80     7.84   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.47     3.82    10.40R    1.42  
Southampton      11    8  -17      -1.02    42.42    -5.85    36.15     7.41   -33.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    47.09R   13.48  
Norwich          11    7  -15      -1.75    35.37    -2.16    30.47     7.36   -41.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    75.47R   39.64  
Watford          11    5  -17      -5.58     8.68    -8.64    31.65     7.29   -35.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    69.75R   31.03  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Blackburn 2 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United    15   28  +11       3.73    74.63     5.57    79.27     8.53    23.88    20.94    39.31    78.97    50.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         15   28   +6       4.85    80.77     2.14    74.99     8.63    12.63     9.50    20.73    60.63    30.45P    0.08R    0.00  
West_Brom       14   27   +9       2.51    67.53     0.63    81.92     9.03    26.03    33.85    52.18    84.86    61.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         14   25  +11       2.74    69.31     6.30    73.98     9.11    18.52     9.53    20.44    57.41    29.72P    0.18R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest   14   25   +6       5.23    83.56     5.06    72.24     8.83    11.02     5.71    13.48    48.47    21.30P    0.26R    0.02  
Bristol_City    15   25   +3       3.21    71.72     1.25    69.72     8.78     6.18     3.43     8.55    37.17    15.07P    0.57R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed       15   24   +7       1.58    61.35     4.16    68.42     8.57     9.92     2.54     6.61    32.28    12.75P    0.66R    0.05  
Fulham          15   23   +6      -0.83    43.94     1.05    69.46     9.03    11.81     3.81     9.57    37.48    17.03P    0.65R    0.05  
QPR             15   23   -4       5.33    83.65     0.98    58.80     8.53   -15.47     0.18     0.57     5.73     1.39P    9.21R    1.59  
Charlton        14   22   +5       3.49    74.22     6.07    65.49     9.23     4.57     1.56     4.30    22.83     8.22P    2.43R    0.30  
Hull            15   22   +3       0.46    53.57     1.67    65.09     8.83     3.45     1.27     3.57    20.49     7.43P    2.18R    0.31  
Birmingham      15   22   -4       3.62    75.39    -0.85    60.95     8.53    -9.19     0.32     0.92     8.77     2.38P    5.63R    0.84  
Brentford       15   21   +5      -2.14    35.29     1.15    69.10     8.75    13.31     3.08     7.98    35.96    15.71P    0.62R    0.05  
Cardiff         15   21   +1      -1.44    40.19    -1.72    67.02     9.12     6.28     2.35     5.98    27.70    11.64P    1.54R    0.21  
Derby           15   21   -2      -1.21    41.73    -4.44    66.90     8.75     3.05     1.63     4.68    25.90    10.11P    1.31R    0.11  
Blackburn       15   18   -3      -1.58    39.33    -1.12    57.54     8.62    -7.65     0.12     0.45     4.67     1.33P   11.57R    2.28  
Millwall        15   18   -4       0.34    53.57     0.23    55.76     8.35   -10.76     0.05     0.21     2.76     0.66P   15.35R    3.09  
Huddersfield    15   16   -4      -2.50    33.50    -1.07    52.71     8.64   -11.88     0.03     0.10     1.59     0.44P   25.80R    6.30  
Reading         14   15   -4      -0.82    45.23     1.20    52.22     8.54   -14.03     0.01     0.07     1.28     0.27P   28.05R    7.47  
Wigan           15   15   -8      -2.40    33.44    -3.51    52.96     8.39   -14.37     0.01     0.07     1.29     0.34P   25.38R    6.04  
Luton           15   14   -5      -4.40    22.19    -1.16    52.31     8.95   -12.29     0.04     0.12     1.72     0.48P   28.36R    7.86  
Middlesbrough   15   12   -8      -8.51     5.34    -8.28    54.33     8.27    -7.44     0.01     0.09     1.73     0.54P   18.64R    4.06  
Barnsley        15    9  -15      -6.65    10.46    -7.21    43.09     8.62   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   69.50R   38.69  
Stoke           14    8  -12      -8.40     4.22    -8.11    46.84     8.56   -19.16     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.07P   52.01R   20.62  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Wycombe              16   33  +11       9.52    95.27     8.70    71.28     7.97    10.63     4.26    10.56    46.40    16.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich              14   30  +14       5.65    85.37     6.31    82.73     8.58    31.52    40.05    58.77    89.46    67.55P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         16   28  +17      -0.02    49.31     7.11    75.97     8.20    32.65    13.33    28.44    71.29    40.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           16   26  +14       1.16    57.94     9.54    71.94     8.05    25.67     5.59    13.76    53.35    23.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       15   26   +8       2.01    64.15     2.90    69.89     8.26    14.29     3.43     9.19    41.19    16.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             16   26   +2       3.48    73.46     1.20    63.32     7.91     0.78     0.47     1.58    14.21     3.87P    0.16R    0.00  
Sunderland           15   25   +6      -1.91    35.77    -3.97    75.60     8.17    22.47    11.06    24.81    68.67    38.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool            16   25   +3       1.89    63.04     1.23    64.61     7.81     4.98     0.66     2.11    18.01     5.37P    0.10R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       16   25   +0       2.51    67.50    -0.92    61.29     7.85    -3.10     0.28     0.89     9.40     2.50P    0.28R    0.01  
Rotherham            15   24  +11      -1.05    42.35     4.11    74.67     8.57    27.93    10.83    23.61    64.92    35.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster            14   23   +8       0.30    52.05     2.74    72.22     8.43    20.55     6.12    14.94    53.52    24.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           15   21   -3       0.88    57.36    -2.70    59.32     7.98    -4.76     0.12     0.55     6.35     1.65P    0.69R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        14   20   +3      -0.53    46.49     1.06    67.85     8.44    13.23     2.19     6.17    32.47    12.64P    0.06R    0.00  
Rochdale             16   19   -7       0.37    53.69    -1.06    49.18     7.72   -21.06     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.07P   10.69R    0.44  
Portsmouth           14   18   +1      -4.31    20.59    -3.72    66.05     8.56    11.46     1.55     4.39    25.61    10.19P    0.15R    0.00  
Gillingham           16   18   +0      -2.94    30.84     1.56    55.77     7.97    -1.38     0.03     0.12     2.81     0.60P    2.22R    0.04  
Lincoln_City         16   18   -3      -1.18    42.77     1.26    53.41     8.06    -7.35     0.01     0.08     1.54     0.35P    4.06R    0.14  
Tranmere             15   16   -8       1.01    58.97     1.72    45.49     8.05   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   23.75R    1.43  
Accrington_Stanley   16   15   -9      -2.82    31.32    -2.56    47.33     7.71   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   15.41R    0.80  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   13   -6      -5.15    17.25    -0.02    45.67     7.69   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   20.50R    1.39  
MK_Dons              16   13  -12      -4.70    20.05    -5.49    41.81     7.76   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   40.49R    3.93  
Southend             16    5  -28     -10.28     1.77   -16.31    31.00     7.36   -50.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.43R   36.71  
Bolton               13   -2  -22      -1.79    36.94   -12.69    27.94     8.09   -41.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.97R   55.11  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, Bradford 2 0 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Forest_Green     16   31  +10       6.19    86.04     5.74    77.76     8.39    18.36    17.59    45.74    79.95    54.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         16   30   +9       2.70    67.34     1.14    80.68     8.67    23.20    29.60    60.24    87.43    68.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          17   30   +8       3.69    72.86     3.51    74.94     8.34    15.73    10.29    33.04    70.07    42.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            16   30   +8       6.22    85.73     5.29    74.11     8.50    12.39     8.79    29.16    65.39    37.20P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter           17   29   +3       3.27    70.95    -0.58    73.68     8.26    10.37     7.36    26.85    63.91    36.09P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       15   28  +13       5.22    82.21     9.75    73.29     8.74    17.14     8.54    27.75    62.30    35.41P    0.01R    0.01  
Newport_County   16   27   +4       4.76    79.56     3.24    68.92     8.28     5.46     2.58    11.98    40.88    18.17P    0.06R    0.06  
Colchester       17   26   +6      -0.25    48.33     1.66    70.52     8.29    13.14     4.05    17.20    50.33    26.37P    0.02R    0.02  
Northampton      17   25   +4      -0.38    47.75     0.93    66.87     8.35     7.16     1.67     8.72    32.90    14.71P    0.11R    0.11  
Port_Vale        17   25   +0       3.72    74.39     2.64    61.43     7.99    -4.43     0.27     2.07    12.51     4.08P    0.52R    0.52  
Salford_City     17   24   -4       6.02    85.14     4.40    54.03     8.05   -19.17     0.04     0.30     2.57     0.62P    5.05R    5.05  
Cambridge_Utd    17   23   +5       1.17    58.60     6.87    60.77     8.01     2.52     0.22     1.88    11.70     3.84P    0.66R    0.66  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.92    31.24    -2.06    72.45     8.82    16.41     7.45    25.10    59.56    35.43P    0.03R    0.03  
Mansfield        17   20   +1      -7.60    10.10    -5.43    65.29     8.26     9.12     1.12     6.19    27.42    12.76P    0.20R    0.20  
Macclesfield     16   20   -3       2.72    69.99     3.80    51.56     7.90   -17.02     0.01     0.09     1.25     0.26P    8.36R    8.36  
Leyton_Orient    17   20   -4       0.57    54.98     2.12    52.00     8.23   -16.05     0.02     0.14     1.70     0.43P    8.24R    8.24  
Crawley_Town     17   20   -5       0.43    53.88     0.87    55.29     8.06   -12.11     0.03     0.29     3.28     0.79P    3.88R    3.88  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.28    53.06     2.39    56.77     8.41    -6.66     0.09     0.78     5.74     1.76P    2.71R    2.71  
Carlisle         17   18  -11      -3.48    28.40    -8.05    55.57     8.25   -14.40     0.04     0.40     3.79     1.12P    3.92R    3.92  
Oldham           17   16   -8      -6.85    12.47    -7.27    56.39     8.26    -7.04     0.06     0.49     4.77     1.52P    2.98R    2.98  
Scunthorpe       17   15   -4     -10.86     3.64    -7.77    58.56     8.63     1.60     0.17     1.35     9.22     3.72P    1.87R    1.87  
Walsall          17   15  -13      -6.78    12.64   -11.00    53.92     8.35   -13.81     0.02     0.21     2.55     0.78P    5.67R    5.67  
Stevenage        17   13   -9      -8.44     6.79    -6.55    49.58     8.04   -13.09     0.00     0.04     0.73     0.21P   12.53R   12.53  
Morecambe        17   13  -14      -4.75    20.21    -5.63    42.97     7.75   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   43.17R   43.17  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            20   36  +10       5.46    79.33     5.39    75.63     7.85    15.82    11.44    59.09    22.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil             19   35  +11       1.26    57.11    -0.47    82.51     8.03    26.59    40.01    86.15    55.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax            20   35   +4       8.25    89.73     4.79    70.75     7.53     4.35     3.09    33.10     8.60P    0.18R    0.00  
Barrow             19   34  +10       5.52    80.29     6.51    73.33     7.88    13.34     7.13    47.98    15.89P    0.10R    0.00  
Torquay            20   34   +8       6.43    82.02     8.24    70.55     8.16     8.91     4.38    34.50    10.08P    0.35R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town     20   32   +3       2.26    63.51    -0.39    70.42     7.80     6.97     3.39    32.95     9.96P    0.28R    0.00  
Notts_County       20   31  +12      -4.99    22.43    -1.00    78.19     7.80    29.32    20.16    73.57    40.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             20   31   +4       5.20    77.73     6.64    65.22     8.04     1.67     1.06    14.67     3.70P    1.96R    0.05  
Solihull_Moors     19   30   +8      -0.17    48.80     1.91    72.56     7.94    16.14     6.07    45.25    16.40P    0.15R    0.00  
Barnet             20   28   +1      -0.76    45.80    -1.04    65.84     7.56     4.32     0.76    15.18     4.10P    1.16R    0.02  
Eastleigh          20   28   -1       1.62    60.17     0.80    62.68     7.65    -2.59     0.33     7.65     1.74P    3.32R    0.10  
Dover_Athletic     19   28   -1       1.45    59.37    -1.68    63.65     7.92    -3.24     0.54    10.60     2.56P    2.68R    0.06  
Hartlepool         19   27   +1       1.33    58.80     1.74    63.07     7.91    -0.66     0.47     9.39     2.13P    3.26R    0.13  
Dag_&_Red          19   27   -1       1.52    60.02    -0.24    64.20     7.78    -0.66     0.54    10.91     2.69P    2.41R    0.06  
Boreham_Wood       20   26   +4      -1.46    41.40     3.92    61.91     7.64     4.50     0.28     6.88     1.69P    3.51R    0.11  
Maidenhead         20   25   +1       0.44    53.42     5.17    56.26     7.45    -5.53     0.03     1.37     0.28P   14.01R    0.82  
Stockport          19   25   -9       5.31    80.29     1.03    53.13     7.78   -22.64     0.01     0.63     0.10P   29.33R    2.75  
Chesterfield       19   22   -5      -4.57    24.13    -5.70    59.59     7.86    -4.29     0.15     4.11     1.08P    7.78R    0.46  
Aldershot          20   22   -5      -1.60    40.94     0.23    51.93     7.26   -12.92     0.00     0.24     0.04P   31.65R    2.70  
AFC_Fylde          19   21  -10      -6.41    16.24   -11.86    59.62     8.01    -7.75     0.15     4.19     1.16P    8.43R    0.44  
Wrexham            20   19   -7      -8.69     8.72    -7.63    55.47     7.56    -5.55     0.01     1.03     0.29P   16.43R    1.29  
Ebbsfleet_United   20   17  -10      -9.18     7.92    -7.79    51.96     7.74   -11.43     0.00     0.35     0.07P   31.85R    3.26  
Sutton_United      19   16   -7      -7.91     9.97    -3.92    49.40     7.75   -12.33     0.00     0.21     0.03P   44.55R    5.94  
Chorley            20   13  -21      -3.89    26.92    -4.66    34.94     7.05   -42.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.57R   81.78