Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 1 November 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 October 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        10   28  +15       6.29    95.79     1.34    89.72     7.05    54.95    56.11    94.67    99.01    99.79    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         10   22  +23      -2.96    18.24     1.62    87.45     6.63    72.92    42.30    92.07    98.29    99.58    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   20  +17       3.92    81.84    13.56    67.57     8.09    31.08     0.53     4.12    29.62    54.89    84.92     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          10   20   +7       1.52    63.29    -0.48    70.07     7.93    25.66     0.90     6.64    41.52    65.39    90.02     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   16   +1      -0.61    44.10    -3.42    61.86     8.14    12.35     0.04     0.90    10.40    24.69    60.80     0.06R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   -2       2.68    74.35     0.39    51.08     7.86    -6.61     0.00     0.03     0.61     2.35    12.58     2.05R    0.21  
Man_Utd          10   13   +3      -3.49    21.48    -1.20    60.26     7.86    16.16     0.04     0.48     6.72    18.89    53.77     0.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        10   13   +1       1.96    68.75     5.03    44.93     7.81    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.46     3.55     9.63R    1.46  
Bournemouth      10   13   +0       0.25    52.93     2.30    45.69     7.87   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.63     4.32     8.22R    1.11  
West_Ham         10   13   -2      -0.19    48.97    -0.81    46.30     7.90   -11.93     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.75     5.05     7.28R    1.03  
Tottenham        10   12   +1      -5.21    10.09    -4.36    63.02     8.04    20.66     0.08     1.08    12.96    30.31    68.00     0.05R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   12   +0      -0.58    45.27     2.16    48.39     7.88    -3.73     0.00     0.00     0.28     1.24     7.86     4.22R    0.49  
Burnley          10   12   -1       0.53    56.04     2.79    43.49     7.71   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.24     2.31    13.16R    2.18  
Brighton         10   12   -2       1.23    62.84     3.13    40.78     7.42   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.99    21.00R    4.05  
Aston_Villa      10   11   -1       0.03    51.58     4.85    40.49     7.94   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     1.19    24.10R    5.55  
Everton          10   10   -6      -3.86    18.86    -5.94    44.75     7.78   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.44     3.15    10.23R    1.61  
Newcastle        10    9   -9      -1.61    35.69    -4.06    41.73     7.61   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.25    18.42R    3.27  
Southampton      10    8  -16      -0.61    46.20    -7.24    35.44     7.44   -37.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    50.49R   17.49  
Norwich          10    7  -13      -0.96    42.52    -1.05    32.47     7.76   -39.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    64.90R   31.26  
Watford          10    5  -16      -4.80    11.27    -8.59    32.23     7.47   -35.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    66.07R   30.28  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 November 2019, Barnsley 2 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       14   27   +9       2.44    67.17     0.51    82.19     9.04    26.44    35.02    53.33    85.55    62.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         14   25  +11       2.78    69.28     6.40    73.80     9.19    18.22     9.58    19.88    56.50    28.90P    0.16R    0.01  
Leeds_United    14   25   +9       2.96    70.94     4.86    78.05     8.76    22.53    17.70    34.16    74.64    45.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea         14   25   +5       3.42    73.83     1.49    72.76     8.86    10.86     6.50    15.26    50.89    24.25P    0.21R    0.03  
Bristol_City    15   25   +3       3.21    71.66     1.24    69.75     8.75     6.30     3.51     8.65    37.16    15.07P    0.52R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed       14   24   +8       2.81    70.06     4.94    70.12     8.82    11.41     3.89     9.91    40.13    17.36P    0.43R    0.02  
Fulham          14   23   +9       0.09    50.31     3.35    73.19     9.34    18.49     8.55    19.03    54.37    28.62P    0.24R    0.02  
QPR             14   23   -2       5.80    86.25     1.53    59.75     8.72   -14.21     0.26     0.89     7.71     1.98P    7.60R    1.09  
Charlton        14   22   +5       3.37    73.73     5.93    65.76     9.18     5.01     1.54     4.32    23.64     8.44P    2.05R    0.25  
Nott'm_Forest   13   22   +5       3.88    77.75     4.46    70.17     8.97     9.37     3.84     9.55    39.87    16.20P    0.53R    0.04  
Birmingham      14   22   -2       4.42    80.61     0.17    62.46     8.67    -6.91     0.53     1.59    12.32     3.59P    3.92R    0.47  
Brentford       14   21   +6      -0.60    45.78     2.35    71.71     8.94    16.18     5.84    13.71    47.89    23.06P    0.35R    0.02  
Hull            14   19   +0      -0.76    44.92    -0.70    61.13     8.94    -3.34     0.49     1.46    10.87     3.51P    5.76R    0.89  
Cardiff         14   18   -1      -2.26    34.66    -2.55    64.79     9.26     3.41     1.40     3.86    21.04     8.38P    2.67R    0.39  
Millwall        14   18   -3       1.36    61.20     0.74    57.41     8.57    -9.19     0.10     0.40     4.40     1.15P   11.18R    2.01  
Derby           14   18   -4      -2.39    33.23    -5.76    64.67     8.86     0.14     1.00     2.93    18.94     6.88P    2.47R    0.31  
Blackburn       14   15   -4      -3.03    28.96    -1.83    55.60     8.84    -9.09     0.06     0.27     3.43     0.98P   16.03R    3.52  
Wigan           14   15   -7      -1.24    41.48    -2.83    54.50     8.61   -12.99     0.05     0.17     2.12     0.54P   19.73R    4.40  
Luton           14   14   -4      -3.20    28.53    -0.50    54.07     9.20   -10.70     0.07     0.27     2.91     0.83P   21.81R    5.53  
Huddersfield    14   13   -5      -4.25    21.39    -2.15    49.75     8.75   -15.00     0.01     0.05     0.78     0.20P   37.50R   11.37  
Reading         13   12   -5      -2.15    34.26     0.64    50.25     8.76   -15.50     0.00     0.04     0.86     0.17P   36.02R   10.98  
Middlesbrough   14   12   -6      -7.77     6.54    -7.10    56.51     8.50    -4.29     0.06     0.28     3.68     1.16P   12.46R    2.33  
Barnsley        15    9  -15      -6.57    10.59    -7.13    43.15     8.64   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   68.30R   37.03  
Stoke           14    8  -12      -8.36     4.45    -8.07    47.03     8.61   -18.91     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.07P   50.05R   19.25  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              14   30  +14       5.63    85.30     6.27    82.78     8.57    31.72    38.45    57.53    89.60    66.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              15   30  +10       8.19    93.24     8.08    69.75     8.16     9.76     3.02     7.95    39.18    13.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         15   28  +18       1.13    57.27     7.78    78.14     8.28    35.01    18.71    36.93    78.79    48.44P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   26   +9       3.57    74.58     4.08    72.38     8.48    17.04     5.87    14.27    53.05    22.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           15   25  +14       1.34    59.41     9.23    71.87     8.30    25.10     5.41    13.58    52.57    22.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             15   25   +2       4.00    77.12     1.37    64.57     8.07     1.93     0.66     2.14    17.96     5.08P    0.12R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   22   +8       0.85    56.15     3.02    73.03     8.64    21.32     7.25    16.91    56.63    27.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland           14   22   +5      -2.67    30.39    -3.49    75.21     8.39    23.91    10.53    23.67    66.52    37.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            15   22   +2       0.52    54.07     0.56    62.45     8.00     3.19     0.39     1.33    12.28     3.57P    0.28R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       15   22   -1       0.98    57.61    -1.80    59.25     8.09    -4.71     0.12     0.53     6.32     1.62P    0.88R    0.00  
Rotherham            14   21   +8      -1.59    38.12     2.76    70.93     8.84    21.58     5.13    12.46    47.81    22.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   21   -2       1.91    64.68    -2.15    60.62     8.13    -3.96     0.20     0.69     8.77     2.21P    0.54R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        13   19   +3      -0.28    48.28     0.89    67.63     8.67    12.35     2.14     5.99    31.88    12.22P    0.08R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   19   -6       1.38    60.93    -0.61    51.14     7.87   -19.13     0.01     0.02     0.69     0.12P    7.08R    0.18  
Gillingham           15   18   +3      -2.38    33.69     3.28    58.22     8.21     3.33     0.08     0.36     5.79     1.42P    1.26R    0.01  
Portsmouth           13   17   +1      -3.86    22.00    -3.66    66.96     8.77    12.33     2.02     5.51    29.73    12.13P    0.12R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         15   17   -3      -0.78    45.32     1.39    53.52     8.40    -7.91     0.02     0.10     1.86     0.45P    4.89R    0.10  
Accrington_Stanley   15   14   -9      -2.68    31.89    -2.74    47.30     7.93   -19.52     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   16.31R    0.74  
Tranmere             14   13  -10      -0.35    48.84     0.30    42.47     8.21   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   39.40R    2.69  
MK_Dons              15   13  -10      -3.69    25.32    -4.17    44.73     8.08   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   26.93R    1.53  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   12   -6      -4.73    18.42     0.09    46.42     7.90   -14.09     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.05P   18.56R    0.84  
Southend             15    5  -27      -9.68     2.20   -16.71    31.37     7.57   -52.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.28R   28.15  
Bolton               12   -5  -23      -3.53    22.00   -13.77    25.07     8.27   -44.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.19R   65.74  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Colchester 3 1 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Crewe            15   30   +9       7.69    91.16     6.41    76.47     8.73    14.89    14.46    38.87    73.70    46.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           16   29   +5       4.15    76.28     0.69    75.32     8.45    12.76    11.25    33.53    69.53    42.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       14   28  +14       6.54    88.52    10.68    74.92     8.94    18.58    12.32    34.02    67.92    41.30P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     15   28   +9       4.66    79.93     4.88    75.76     8.58    16.82    12.61    36.40    71.61    45.39P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          16   27   +7       2.48    66.56     3.21    73.43     8.56    14.98     8.05    26.64    62.37    35.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford         15   27   +7       1.73    61.66     0.07    78.42     8.95    20.32    21.64    49.16    79.96    57.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   15   27   +5       6.22    86.98     4.39    71.58     8.53     8.31     5.13    19.38    52.65    26.35P    0.02R    0.02  
Northampton      16   24   +4      -0.09    49.38     0.79    67.15     8.42     7.05     1.92     9.16    33.54    15.09P    0.06R    0.06  
Colchester       16   23   +5      -1.83    37.44     0.73    68.28     8.39    11.30     2.41    11.34    39.09    19.07P    0.05R    0.05  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.70    32.55    -1.80    72.27     8.87    16.18     7.17    24.06    57.60    34.25P    0.04R    0.04  
Port_Vale        16   22   -1       2.10    65.22     1.65    58.76     8.21    -7.06     0.14     1.09     7.55     2.38P    1.13R    1.13  
Salford_City     16   21   -5       4.22    77.88     3.20    51.35     8.20   -21.80     0.01     0.13     1.44     0.34P    8.04R    8.04  
Cambridge_Utd    16   20   +4      -0.01    50.61     6.47    59.00     8.27     1.35     0.16     1.25     8.66     2.72P    1.14R    1.14  
Mansfield        16   20   +2      -6.31    13.53    -4.56    67.21     8.46    10.96     2.09     9.71    34.71    17.47P    0.11R    0.11  
Macclesfield     15   20   -2       3.65    75.78     4.10    52.82     8.14   -16.13     0.01     0.16     1.85     0.40P    5.70R    5.70  
Leyton_Orient    16   20   -3       1.56    61.72     2.58    53.97     8.46   -14.26     0.04     0.29     2.89     0.73P    4.90R    4.90  
Crawley_Town     16   20   -4       1.41    60.74     1.29    56.82     8.34   -10.84     0.07     0.62     5.09     1.39P    2.41R    2.41  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.18    52.25     2.27    56.75     8.40    -6.67     0.10     0.72     5.47     1.74P    2.21R    2.21  
Oldham           16   15   -8      -6.48    12.78    -7.32    56.78     8.48    -6.96     0.07     0.70     5.48     1.86P    2.26R    2.26  
Carlisle         16   15  -12      -4.52    21.79    -8.14    54.11     8.41   -15.11     0.02     0.27     2.69     0.80P    4.87R    4.87  
Walsall          16   15  -12      -5.98    15.14   -10.81    55.43     8.56   -12.60     0.06     0.42     3.94     1.31P    3.68R    3.68  
Scunthorpe       16   14   -4     -10.31     3.88    -7.58    59.70     8.80     2.76     0.27     2.02    11.52     4.80P    1.20R    1.20  
Stevenage        16   12   -9      -8.44     6.16    -7.04    49.37     8.22   -14.08     0.00     0.04     0.73     0.19P   11.33R   11.33  
Morecambe        16   10  -15      -6.13    12.32    -6.15    40.91     7.93   -30.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   50.85R   50.85  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 October 2019, Boreham_Wood 0 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            19   36  +11       6.53    84.02     5.84    77.43     8.04    17.48    13.80    66.76    25.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Halifax            19   35   +6       9.15    92.81     6.04    73.05     7.78     7.79     4.83    43.80    12.20P    0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil             18   34  +11       1.95    61.73    -0.02    83.68     8.20    27.84    41.17    88.05    56.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   32   +5       3.06    68.37     0.72    72.80     7.99    10.49     5.12    43.49    13.92P    0.11R    0.00  
Barrow             18   31   +9       4.29    75.42     6.10    71.78     8.14    12.40     4.38    39.71    11.86P    0.21R    0.00  
Torquay            19   31   +6       5.63    79.86     7.49    67.52     8.36     4.73     1.75    22.03     5.52P    1.08R    0.03  
Notts_County       19   30  +12      -4.26    25.24    -0.38    79.53     7.95    30.82    21.83    77.36    42.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             19   28   +2       4.44    75.40     5.92    62.54     8.27    -1.86     0.42     8.73     1.88P    4.25R    0.14  
Solihull_Moors     18   27   +7      -1.54    40.19     1.30    71.26     8.09    15.60     3.75    37.95    13.04P    0.25R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red          18   27   +0       2.41    65.44     0.06    65.63     8.03     0.43     0.71    14.55     3.38P    1.69R    0.06  
Dover_Athletic     18   27   -1       1.63    60.49    -1.96    63.78     8.07    -3.74     0.55    10.41     2.41P    2.82R    0.11  
Hartlepool         18   26   +1       1.36    59.04     1.16    62.50     8.07    -2.08     0.39     8.26     1.99P    3.77R    0.16  
Boreham_Wood       19   25   +4      -1.45    41.36     3.41    61.73     7.78     3.64     0.21     6.56     1.49P    3.88R    0.16  
Maidenhead         19   25   +3       1.44    59.95     6.60    58.12     7.69    -2.73     0.06     2.56     0.48P    9.43R    0.54  
Barnet             19   25   +0      -1.75    39.58    -1.14    64.76     7.79     4.10     0.58    12.33     3.35P    1.71R    0.09  
Eastleigh          19   25   -3       0.33    52.60    -0.77    60.37     7.82    -5.51     0.15     4.67     0.99P    6.16R    0.31  
Stockport          18   25   -7       5.85    83.05     1.69    55.30     8.15   -19.19     0.04     1.47     0.25P   20.63R    1.71  
Chesterfield       18   21   -5      -4.26    24.95    -5.79    59.99     8.11    -4.29     0.13     4.77     1.12P    7.25R    0.53  
AFC_Fylde          18   20  -10      -5.93    17.25   -11.64    60.30     8.18    -7.37     0.14     4.98     1.23P    7.27R    0.42  
Aldershot          19   19   -7      -2.68    33.95    -0.95    49.60     7.41   -15.97     0.00     0.11     0.02P   43.32R    5.52  
Sutton_United      18   16   -6      -6.79    13.07    -3.30    50.74     8.00   -11.47     0.01     0.34     0.08P   37.08R    4.91  
Wrexham            19   16   -8      -9.99     5.22    -8.13    53.31     7.68    -7.32     0.00     0.58     0.15P   23.94R    2.53  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   16  -10      -8.84     8.11    -7.88    52.39     7.97   -11.33     0.00     0.54     0.12P   29.68R    3.51  
Chorley            19   13  -20      -3.00    31.71    -4.39    35.48     7.18   -42.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.37R   79.26