Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 31 October 2019 at 23:38:37 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 October 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        10   28  +15       6.25    95.62     1.27    89.74     7.07    54.98    56.10    94.55    98.95    99.77    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         10   22  +23      -2.94    18.49     1.56    87.46     6.65    73.03    42.34    91.97    98.20    99.58    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   20  +17       3.90    81.59    13.55    67.53     8.06    31.05     0.47     4.10    29.50    54.56    84.83     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          10   20   +7       1.53    62.86    -0.49    70.01     7.99    25.52     0.92     6.90    41.33    65.35    89.88     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          10   16   +1      -0.62    43.71    -3.46    62.02     8.12    12.61     0.07     0.95    10.93    25.66    61.54     0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   -2       2.73    74.47     0.45    50.90     7.91    -6.81     0.00     0.02     0.59     2.39    12.32     2.31R    0.22  
Man_Utd          10   13   +3      -3.47    22.04    -1.14    60.12     7.84    15.96     0.03     0.43     6.65    18.21    53.37     0.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        10   13   +1       1.89    68.14     4.98    45.10     7.86    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.50     3.62     9.54R    1.47  
Bournemouth      10   13   +0       0.26    53.18     2.31    45.72     7.81   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.64     4.27     8.17R    1.03  
West_Ham         10   13   -2      -0.16    49.38    -0.76    46.15     7.82   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.63     4.69     7.59R    1.01  
Tottenham        10   12   +1      -5.20    10.09    -4.38    63.01     7.99    20.66     0.06     1.06    12.99    30.46    67.99     0.05R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   12   +0      -0.63    44.88     2.11    48.50     7.92    -3.52     0.00     0.00     0.27     1.22     8.11     4.17R    0.49  
Burnley          10   12   -1       0.58    56.76     2.81    43.51     7.64   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.21     2.23    12.63R    1.98  
Brighton         10   12   -2       1.18    62.36     3.11    40.86     7.44   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.06    20.66R    3.89  
Aston_Villa      10   11   -1       0.04    51.40     4.89    40.46     8.01   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.33    24.46R    5.59  
Everton          10   10   -6      -3.89    18.99    -5.93    44.72     7.83   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.45     3.25    10.47R    1.64  
Newcastle        10    9   -9      -1.64    35.55    -4.11    41.77     7.62   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     1.24    18.40R    3.40  
Southampton      10    8  -16      -0.57    46.73    -7.16    35.45     7.54   -37.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17    50.45R   17.70  
Norwich          10    7  -13      -0.97    42.82    -1.06    32.45     7.72   -39.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    65.10R   30.89  
Watford          10    5  -16      -4.79    11.42    -8.57    32.21     7.49   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    65.83R   30.68  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 October 2019, QPR 1 3 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       14   27   +9       2.45    67.38     0.57    82.05     9.03    26.26    34.09    52.38    85.08    62.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         14   25  +11       2.77    69.47     6.37    73.90     9.10    18.41     9.46    20.00    57.19    29.09P    0.16R    0.01  
Leeds_United    14   25   +9       3.00    71.08     4.95    77.98     8.74    22.50    17.10    33.61    74.07    45.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         14   25   +5       3.46    74.01     1.53    72.75     8.86    10.79     6.51    14.92    50.44    23.62P    0.22R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       14   24   +8       2.78    69.98     4.91    70.07     8.87    11.34     4.09     9.80    39.60    17.03P    0.47R    0.04  
Bristol_City    14   24   +3       3.68    75.29     1.38    70.36     8.97     6.58     4.20    10.19    39.93    16.83P    0.55R    0.04  
Fulham          14   23   +9       0.03    50.15     3.28    73.30     9.42    18.59     9.08    19.34    54.40    29.07P    0.25R    0.01  
QPR             14   23   -2       5.77    85.78     1.48    59.95     8.76   -13.92     0.30     0.93     7.86     2.10P    7.33R    1.22  
Charlton        14   22   +5       3.43    74.00     6.00    65.66     9.14     4.89     1.54     4.20    23.17     8.36P    2.06R    0.22  
Nott'm_Forest   13   22   +5       3.83    77.17     4.39    70.20     8.99     9.44     3.85     9.81    39.65    16.79P    0.49R    0.03  
Birmingham      14   22   -2       4.37    80.08     0.11    62.45     8.69    -6.85     0.55     1.66    12.24     3.54P    4.03R    0.53  
Brentford       14   21   +6      -0.61    45.54     2.40    71.69     8.99    16.12     5.97    13.64    47.51    22.82P    0.32R    0.02  
Hull            14   19   +0      -0.74    44.95    -0.70    61.25     8.94    -3.16     0.53     1.44    10.89     3.31P    5.75R    0.85  
Cardiff         14   18   -1      -2.15    34.93    -2.40    64.67     9.25     3.19     1.28     3.58    20.45     7.86P    2.80R    0.40  
Millwall        14   18   -3       1.39    61.70     0.76    57.33     8.58    -9.34     0.08     0.34     4.43     1.03P   11.52R    2.15  
Derby           14   18   -4      -2.40    32.96    -5.80    64.68     8.91     0.15     1.10     3.12    19.08     7.19P    2.43R    0.31  
Blackburn       14   15   -4      -2.94    29.55    -1.71    55.55     8.81    -9.19     0.09     0.28     3.42     0.94P   16.50R    3.58  
Wigan           14   15   -7      -1.27    41.59    -2.86    54.58     8.53   -12.92     0.03     0.16     2.17     0.55P   19.27R    4.15  
Luton           14   14   -4      -3.17    28.81    -0.42    54.12     9.24   -10.63     0.07     0.27     3.04     0.81P   22.03R    5.52  
Huddersfield    14   13   -5      -4.28    21.43    -2.21    49.74     8.74   -15.03     0.01     0.05     0.87     0.23P   37.29R   11.15  
Reading         13   12   -5      -2.20    33.87     0.50    50.36     8.78   -15.20     0.01     0.04     0.80     0.17P   35.27R   11.07  
Middlesbrough   14   12   -6      -7.71     6.52    -7.02    56.32     8.49    -4.58     0.05     0.22     3.35     1.04P   12.88R    2.53  
Stoke           14    8  -12      -8.33     4.53    -8.03    46.86     8.60   -19.07     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.07P   50.94R   19.62  
Barnsley        14    8  -15      -6.39    10.25    -7.48    43.34     8.90   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   67.41R   36.54  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Ipswich              14   30  +14       5.69    85.40     6.36    82.66     8.57    31.52    37.84    57.33    89.56    66.47P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              15   30  +10       8.25    93.36     8.19    69.68     8.22     9.62     2.99     7.88    38.93    13.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         15   28  +18       1.16    57.90     7.80    77.97     8.28    34.72    18.25    36.12    78.54    47.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   26   +9       3.51    74.46     3.99    72.44     8.53    17.07     6.17    14.70    53.09    23.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           15   25  +14       1.43    59.80     9.34    71.90     8.36    25.11     5.74    13.73    52.51    23.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry             15   25   +2       4.07    77.46     1.52    64.36     8.09     1.68     0.69     2.15    17.49     4.92P    0.18R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   22   +8       0.88    56.54     3.06    72.86     8.64    21.06     7.04    16.46    55.99    26.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland           14   22   +5      -2.61    30.56    -3.36    75.24     8.31    23.91    10.54    23.59    66.87    37.49P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            15   22   +2       0.47    53.73     0.50    62.50     7.99     3.34     0.35     1.28    12.68     3.57P    0.33R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       15   22   -1       0.95    57.24    -1.81    59.24     8.02    -4.70     0.10     0.42     6.26     1.53P    0.83R    0.01  
Rotherham            14   21   +8      -1.73    37.01     2.51    71.29     8.82    22.18     5.73    13.52    49.26    23.67P    0.04R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   21   -2       1.94    65.17    -2.13    60.64     8.14    -3.93     0.18     0.75     8.76     2.21P    0.52R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        13   19   +3      -0.27    48.13     0.90    67.58     8.71    12.23     2.20     6.04    31.60    12.14P    0.08R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   19   -6       1.38    60.94    -0.64    51.24     7.91   -18.90     0.01     0.04     0.77     0.13P    7.09R    0.12  
Gillingham           15   18   +3      -2.30    34.33     3.39    58.04     8.19     2.98     0.10     0.38     5.43     1.45P    1.23R    0.01  
Portsmouth           13   17   +1      -3.87    22.32    -3.68    67.04     8.68    12.46     2.06     5.51    29.86    12.06P    0.12R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         15   17   -3      -0.87    44.62     1.21    53.67     8.30    -7.65     0.01     0.09     1.86     0.36P    4.56R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   15   14   -9      -2.74    31.29    -2.78    47.38     7.89   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   16.41R    0.69  
Tranmere             14   13  -10      -0.43    48.18     0.13    42.53     8.12   -29.05     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.01P   38.85R    2.72  
MK_Dons              15   13  -10      -3.64    25.42    -4.08    44.60     8.04   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   27.28R    1.54  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   12   -6      -4.76    18.32     0.03    46.40     7.95   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   18.65R    0.81  
Southend             15    5  -27      -9.66     2.30   -16.65    31.32     7.53   -52.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.63R   28.70  
Bolton               12   -5  -23      -3.52    21.96   -13.82    25.18     8.32   -44.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.15R   65.26  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Colchester 3 1 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot1     Bot1

Crewe            15   30   +9       7.70    91.31     6.46    76.37     8.76    14.69    14.17    38.80    72.95    46.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           16   29   +5       4.10    76.03     0.65    75.28     8.47    12.68    11.29    33.15    69.35    42.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham       14   28  +14       6.44    88.18    10.53    75.15     8.93    18.84    12.68    34.62    69.08    42.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green     15   28   +9       4.64    79.89     4.84    75.70     8.64    16.74    12.68    36.26    71.17    45.09P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          16   27   +7       2.51    66.89     3.23    73.41     8.50    14.92     7.69    26.49    62.70    35.51P    0.01R    0.01  
Bradford         15   27   +7       1.67    61.21     0.02    78.54     8.87    20.48    21.64    49.67    80.55    58.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   15   27   +5       6.25    87.12     4.43    71.43     8.51     8.14     5.00    18.62    51.92    25.46P    0.02R    0.02  
Northampton      16   24   +4      -0.05    49.76     0.84    67.02     8.48     6.88     1.91     9.07    32.86    14.87P    0.10R    0.10  
Colchester       16   23   +5      -1.82    37.47     0.79    68.20     8.43    11.17     2.56    11.33    38.32    18.73P    0.06R    0.06  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.79    32.22    -1.88    72.34     8.84    16.29     7.26    24.24    57.95    34.26P    0.02R    0.02  
Port_Vale        16   22   -1       2.15    65.68     1.75    58.67     8.17    -7.18     0.10     0.97     7.32     2.16P    1.11R    1.11  
Salford_City     16   21   -5       4.13    77.47     3.04    51.42     8.17   -21.61     0.01     0.13     1.37     0.33P    8.00R    8.00  
Cambridge_Utd    16   20   +4       0.03    51.23     6.55    58.88     8.26     1.23     0.14     1.14     8.46     2.64P    1.12R    1.12  
Mansfield        16   20   +2      -6.35    13.59    -4.61    67.37     8.60    11.22     2.20    10.24    35.75    18.07P    0.06R    0.06  
Macclesfield     15   20   -2       3.58    75.70     4.02    52.90     8.14   -16.03     0.02     0.18     1.90     0.44P    5.27R    5.27  
Leyton_Orient    16   20   -3       1.51    61.34     2.52    54.02     8.55   -14.21     0.04     0.36     3.05     0.81P    5.09R    5.09  
Crawley_Town     16   20   -4       1.39    60.53     1.30    56.86     8.38   -10.83     0.07     0.63     5.21     1.42P    2.45R    2.45  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.26    52.75     2.34    56.69     8.42    -6.71     0.06     0.73     5.42     1.66P    2.13R    2.13  
Oldham           16   15   -8      -6.48    12.87    -7.30    56.91     8.50    -6.76     0.08     0.70     5.65     1.98P    2.38R    2.38  
Carlisle         16   15  -12      -4.48    22.00    -8.12    54.17     8.43   -15.07     0.03     0.28     2.75     0.82P    5.05R    5.05  
Walsall          16   15  -12      -5.88    15.51   -10.70    55.28     8.56   -12.78     0.07     0.43     3.81     1.25P    3.68R    3.68  
Scunthorpe       16   14   -4     -10.29     3.88    -7.55    59.74     8.84     2.83     0.31     1.90    11.68     4.84P    1.19R    1.19  
Stevenage        16   12   -9      -8.36     6.48    -6.92    49.22     8.27   -14.30     0.00     0.06     0.73     0.19P   11.85R   11.85  
Morecambe        16   10  -15      -6.15    12.21    -6.24    40.96     7.92   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   50.41R   50.41  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 October 2019, Boreham_Wood 0 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bromley            19   36  +11       6.59    84.24     6.01    77.39     8.01    17.47    13.19    66.46    24.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax            19   35   +6       9.07    92.52     5.95    73.21     7.76     7.98     4.89    44.48    12.28P    0.08R    0.00  
Yeovil             18   34  +11       1.90    61.30    -0.11    83.86     8.24    28.08    41.79    88.41    57.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   32   +5       3.19    68.86     0.93    72.70     8.01    10.33     4.88    43.17    13.32P    0.15R    0.00  
Barrow             18   31   +9       4.27    75.05     6.05    71.92     8.18    12.60     4.54    40.41    12.08P    0.22R    0.00  
Torquay            19   31   +6       5.66    79.88     7.51    67.45     8.45     4.62     1.94    21.77     5.75P    1.10R    0.06  
Notts_County       19   30  +12      -4.35    24.77    -0.55    79.68     7.98    31.00    22.10    77.89    43.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             19   28   +2       4.27    74.61     5.68    62.72     8.22    -1.56     0.42     8.82     1.84P    4.08R    0.17  
Solihull_Moors     18   27   +7      -1.52    40.61     1.34    71.20     8.08    15.53     3.55    37.67    12.67P    0.23R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red          18   27   +0       2.52    66.38     0.20    65.43     7.97     0.13     0.66    13.91     3.29P    1.82R    0.05  
Dover_Athletic     18   27   -1       1.68    60.92    -1.90    63.66     8.06    -3.89     0.48    10.27     2.43P    2.83R    0.09  
Hartlepool         18   26   +1       1.29    58.72     1.01    62.54     8.04    -2.00     0.31     8.22     1.83P    3.77R    0.16  
Boreham_Wood       19   25   +4      -1.32    42.42     3.59    61.52     7.77     3.32     0.20     6.39     1.44P    3.99R    0.15  
Maidenhead         19   25   +3       1.33    59.06     6.48    58.18     7.70    -2.65     0.07     2.59     0.52P    9.34R    0.55  
Barnet             19   25   +0      -1.75    39.56    -1.14    64.76     7.78     4.11     0.52    12.41     3.37P    1.72R    0.08  
Eastleigh          19   25   -3       0.47    53.69    -0.55    60.25     7.81    -5.73     0.12     4.40     0.95P    6.45R    0.31  
Stockport          18   25   -7       5.71    82.70     1.47    55.45     8.10   -18.96     0.04     1.47     0.27P   19.90R    1.78  
Chesterfield       18   21   -5      -4.22    25.34    -5.75    59.87     8.07    -4.42     0.14     4.56     1.12P    7.39R    0.54  
AFC_Fylde          18   20  -10      -5.94    17.07   -11.66    60.28     8.24    -7.42     0.12     5.18     1.30P    7.49R    0.45  
Aldershot          19   19   -7      -2.64    34.16    -0.93    49.53     7.45   -16.05     0.00     0.14     0.01P   44.04R    5.69  
Sutton_United      18   16   -6      -6.91    12.60    -3.46    50.83     8.00   -11.34     0.00     0.33     0.08P   36.47R    4.92  
Wrexham            19   16   -8      -9.90     5.51    -8.06    53.27     7.72    -7.39     0.01     0.53     0.13P   24.32R    2.69  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   16  -10      -8.86     7.99    -7.93    52.45     7.91   -11.24     0.00     0.51     0.10P   29.10R    3.26  
Chorley            19   13  -20      -2.93    32.39    -4.18    35.46     7.19   -42.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.46R   79.02