Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 31 October 2019 at 23:38:37 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 October 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 10 28 +15 6.25 95.62 1.27 89.74 7.07 54.98 56.10 94.55 98.95 99.77 99.98 0.00 0.00 Man_City 10 22 +23 -2.94 18.49 1.56 87.46 6.65 73.03 42.34 91.97 98.20 99.58 99.97 0.00 0.00 Leicester 10 20 +17 3.90 81.59 13.55 67.53 8.06 31.05 0.47 4.10 29.50 54.56 84.83 0.00R 0.00 Chelsea 10 20 +7 1.53 62.86 -0.49 70.01 7.99 25.52 0.92 6.90 41.33 65.35 89.88 0.01R 0.00 Arsenal 10 16 +1 -0.62 43.71 -3.46 62.02 8.12 12.61 0.07 0.95 10.93 25.66 61.54 0.07R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 10 15 -2 2.73 74.47 0.45 50.90 7.91 -6.81 0.00 0.02 0.59 2.39 12.32 2.31R 0.22 Man_Utd 10 13 +3 -3.47 22.04 -1.14 60.12 7.84 15.96 0.03 0.43 6.65 18.21 53.37 0.09R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 10 13 +1 1.89 68.14 4.98 45.10 7.86 -9.38 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.50 3.62 9.54R 1.47 Bournemouth 10 13 +0 0.26 53.18 2.31 45.72 7.81 -11.16 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.64 4.27 8.17R 1.03 West_Ham 10 13 -2 -0.16 49.38 -0.76 46.15 7.82 -12.15 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.63 4.69 7.59R 1.01 Tottenham 10 12 +1 -5.20 10.09 -4.38 63.01 7.99 20.66 0.06 1.06 12.99 30.46 67.99 0.05R 0.00 Wolverhampton 10 12 +0 -0.63 44.88 2.11 48.50 7.92 -3.52 0.00 0.00 0.27 1.22 8.11 4.17R 0.49 Burnley 10 12 -1 0.58 56.76 2.81 43.51 7.64 -13.31 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.21 2.23 12.63R 1.98 Brighton 10 12 -2 1.18 62.36 3.11 40.86 7.44 -17.24 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 1.06 20.66R 3.89 Aston_Villa 10 11 -1 0.04 51.40 4.89 40.46 8.01 -17.46 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.16 1.33 24.46R 5.59 Everton 10 10 -6 -3.89 18.99 -5.93 44.72 7.83 -12.97 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.45 3.25 10.47R 1.64 Newcastle 10 9 -9 -1.64 35.55 -4.11 41.77 7.62 -17.71 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 1.24 18.40R 3.40 Southampton 10 8 -16 -0.57 46.73 -7.16 35.45 7.54 -37.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.17 50.45R 17.70 Norwich 10 7 -13 -0.97 42.82 -1.06 32.45 7.72 -39.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 65.10R 30.89 Watford 10 5 -16 -4.79 11.42 -8.57 32.21 7.49 -36.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 65.83R 30.68Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 October 2019, QPR 1 3 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 14 27 +9 2.45 67.38 0.57 82.05 9.03 26.26 34.09 52.38 85.08 62.15P 0.01R 0.00 Preston 14 25 +11 2.77 69.47 6.37 73.90 9.10 18.41 9.46 20.00 57.19 29.09P 0.16R 0.01 Leeds_United 14 25 +9 3.00 71.08 4.95 77.98 8.74 22.50 17.10 33.61 74.07 45.38P 0.02R 0.00 Swansea 14 25 +5 3.46 74.01 1.53 72.75 8.86 10.79 6.51 14.92 50.44 23.62P 0.22R 0.02 Sheff_Wed 14 24 +8 2.78 69.98 4.91 70.07 8.87 11.34 4.09 9.80 39.60 17.03P 0.47R 0.04 Bristol_City 14 24 +3 3.68 75.29 1.38 70.36 8.97 6.58 4.20 10.19 39.93 16.83P 0.55R 0.04 Fulham 14 23 +9 0.03 50.15 3.28 73.30 9.42 18.59 9.08 19.34 54.40 29.07P 0.25R 0.01 QPR 14 23 -2 5.77 85.78 1.48 59.95 8.76 -13.92 0.30 0.93 7.86 2.10P 7.33R 1.22 Charlton 14 22 +5 3.43 74.00 6.00 65.66 9.14 4.89 1.54 4.20 23.17 8.36P 2.06R 0.22 Nott'm_Forest 13 22 +5 3.83 77.17 4.39 70.20 8.99 9.44 3.85 9.81 39.65 16.79P 0.49R 0.03 Birmingham 14 22 -2 4.37 80.08 0.11 62.45 8.69 -6.85 0.55 1.66 12.24 3.54P 4.03R 0.53 Brentford 14 21 +6 -0.61 45.54 2.40 71.69 8.99 16.12 5.97 13.64 47.51 22.82P 0.32R 0.02 Hull 14 19 +0 -0.74 44.95 -0.70 61.25 8.94 -3.16 0.53 1.44 10.89 3.31P 5.75R 0.85 Cardiff 14 18 -1 -2.15 34.93 -2.40 64.67 9.25 3.19 1.28 3.58 20.45 7.86P 2.80R 0.40 Millwall 14 18 -3 1.39 61.70 0.76 57.33 8.58 -9.34 0.08 0.34 4.43 1.03P 11.52R 2.15 Derby 14 18 -4 -2.40 32.96 -5.80 64.68 8.91 0.15 1.10 3.12 19.08 7.19P 2.43R 0.31 Blackburn 14 15 -4 -2.94 29.55 -1.71 55.55 8.81 -9.19 0.09 0.28 3.42 0.94P 16.50R 3.58 Wigan 14 15 -7 -1.27 41.59 -2.86 54.58 8.53 -12.92 0.03 0.16 2.17 0.55P 19.27R 4.15 Luton 14 14 -4 -3.17 28.81 -0.42 54.12 9.24 -10.63 0.07 0.27 3.04 0.81P 22.03R 5.52 Huddersfield 14 13 -5 -4.28 21.43 -2.21 49.74 8.74 -15.03 0.01 0.05 0.87 0.23P 37.29R 11.15 Reading 13 12 -5 -2.20 33.87 0.50 50.36 8.78 -15.20 0.01 0.04 0.80 0.17P 35.27R 11.07 Middlesbrough 14 12 -6 -7.71 6.52 -7.02 56.32 8.49 -4.58 0.05 0.22 3.35 1.04P 12.88R 2.53 Stoke 14 8 -12 -8.33 4.53 -8.03 46.86 8.60 -19.07 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.07P 50.94R 19.62 Barnsley 14 8 -15 -6.39 10.25 -7.48 43.34 8.90 -28.36 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 67.41R 36.54League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Ipswich 14 30 +14 5.69 85.40 6.36 82.66 8.57 31.52 37.84 57.33 89.56 66.47P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 15 30 +10 8.25 93.36 8.19 69.68 8.22 9.62 2.99 7.88 38.93 13.09P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 15 28 +18 1.16 57.90 7.80 77.97 8.28 34.72 18.25 36.12 78.54 47.83P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 14 26 +9 3.51 74.46 3.99 72.44 8.53 17.07 6.17 14.70 53.09 23.13P 0.00R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 15 25 +14 1.43 59.80 9.34 71.90 8.36 25.11 5.74 13.73 52.51 23.20P 0.01R 0.00 Coventry 15 25 +2 4.07 77.46 1.52 64.36 8.09 1.68 0.69 2.15 17.49 4.92P 0.18R 0.00 Doncaster 13 22 +8 0.88 56.54 3.06 72.86 8.64 21.06 7.04 16.46 55.99 26.64P 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 14 22 +5 -2.61 30.56 -3.36 75.24 8.31 23.91 10.54 23.59 66.87 37.49P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 15 22 +2 0.47 53.73 0.50 62.50 7.99 3.34 0.35 1.28 12.68 3.57P 0.33R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 15 22 -1 0.95 57.24 -1.81 59.24 8.02 -4.70 0.10 0.42 6.26 1.53P 0.83R 0.01 Rotherham 14 21 +8 -1.73 37.01 2.51 71.29 8.82 22.18 5.73 13.52 49.26 23.67P 0.04R 0.00 Shrewsbury 14 21 -2 1.94 65.17 -2.13 60.64 8.14 -3.93 0.18 0.75 8.76 2.21P 0.52R 0.01 Burton_Albion 13 19 +3 -0.27 48.13 0.90 67.58 8.71 12.23 2.20 6.04 31.60 12.14P 0.08R 0.00 Rochdale 15 19 -6 1.38 60.94 -0.64 51.24 7.91 -18.90 0.01 0.04 0.77 0.13P 7.09R 0.12 Gillingham 15 18 +3 -2.30 34.33 3.39 58.04 8.19 2.98 0.10 0.38 5.43 1.45P 1.23R 0.01 Portsmouth 13 17 +1 -3.87 22.32 -3.68 67.04 8.68 12.46 2.06 5.51 29.86 12.06P 0.12R 0.00 Lincoln_City 15 17 -3 -0.87 44.62 1.21 53.67 8.30 -7.65 0.01 0.09 1.86 0.36P 4.56R 0.12 Accrington_Stanley 15 14 -9 -2.74 31.29 -2.78 47.38 7.89 -19.48 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 16.41R 0.69 Tranmere 14 13 -10 -0.43 48.18 0.13 42.53 8.12 -29.05 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.01P 38.85R 2.72 MK_Dons 15 13 -10 -3.64 25.42 -4.08 44.60 8.04 -22.80 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 27.28R 1.54 AFC_Wimbledon 15 12 -6 -4.76 18.32 0.03 46.40 7.95 -14.05 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 18.65R 0.81 Southend 15 5 -27 -9.66 2.30 -16.65 31.32 7.53 -52.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.63R 28.70 Bolton 12 -5 -23 -3.52 21.96 -13.82 25.18 8.32 -44.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.15R 65.26 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Colchester 3 1 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot1 Bot1 Crewe 15 30 +9 7.70 91.31 6.46 76.37 8.76 14.69 14.17 38.80 72.95 46.07P 0.00R 0.00 Exeter 16 29 +5 4.10 76.03 0.65 75.28 8.47 12.68 11.29 33.15 69.35 42.40P 0.00R 0.00 Cheltenham 14 28 +14 6.44 88.18 10.53 75.15 8.93 18.84 12.68 34.62 69.08 42.29P 0.00R 0.00 Forest_Green 15 28 +9 4.64 79.89 4.84 75.70 8.64 16.74 12.68 36.26 71.17 45.09P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 16 27 +7 2.51 66.89 3.23 73.41 8.50 14.92 7.69 26.49 62.70 35.51P 0.01R 0.01 Bradford 15 27 +7 1.67 61.21 0.02 78.54 8.87 20.48 21.64 49.67 80.55 58.69P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 15 27 +5 6.25 87.12 4.43 71.43 8.51 8.14 5.00 18.62 51.92 25.46P 0.02R 0.02 Northampton 16 24 +4 -0.05 49.76 0.84 67.02 8.48 6.88 1.91 9.07 32.86 14.87P 0.10R 0.10 Colchester 16 23 +5 -1.82 37.47 0.79 68.20 8.43 11.17 2.56 11.33 38.32 18.73P 0.06R 0.06 Plymouth 16 23 +4 -2.79 32.22 -1.88 72.34 8.84 16.29 7.26 24.24 57.95 34.26P 0.02R 0.02 Port_Vale 16 22 -1 2.15 65.68 1.75 58.67 8.17 -7.18 0.10 0.97 7.32 2.16P 1.11R 1.11 Salford_City 16 21 -5 4.13 77.47 3.04 51.42 8.17 -21.61 0.01 0.13 1.37 0.33P 8.00R 8.00 Cambridge_Utd 16 20 +4 0.03 51.23 6.55 58.88 8.26 1.23 0.14 1.14 8.46 2.64P 1.12R 1.12 Mansfield 16 20 +2 -6.35 13.59 -4.61 67.37 8.60 11.22 2.20 10.24 35.75 18.07P 0.06R 0.06 Macclesfield 15 20 -2 3.58 75.70 4.02 52.90 8.14 -16.03 0.02 0.18 1.90 0.44P 5.27R 5.27 Leyton_Orient 16 20 -3 1.51 61.34 2.52 54.02 8.55 -14.21 0.04 0.36 3.05 0.81P 5.09R 5.09 Crawley_Town 16 20 -4 1.39 60.53 1.30 56.86 8.38 -10.83 0.07 0.63 5.21 1.42P 2.45R 2.45 Grimsby 15 19 +0 0.26 52.75 2.34 56.69 8.42 -6.71 0.06 0.73 5.42 1.66P 2.13R 2.13 Oldham 16 15 -8 -6.48 12.87 -7.30 56.91 8.50 -6.76 0.08 0.70 5.65 1.98P 2.38R 2.38 Carlisle 16 15 -12 -4.48 22.00 -8.12 54.17 8.43 -15.07 0.03 0.28 2.75 0.82P 5.05R 5.05 Walsall 16 15 -12 -5.88 15.51 -10.70 55.28 8.56 -12.78 0.07 0.43 3.81 1.25P 3.68R 3.68 Scunthorpe 16 14 -4 -10.29 3.88 -7.55 59.74 8.84 2.83 0.31 1.90 11.68 4.84P 1.19R 1.19 Stevenage 16 12 -9 -8.36 6.48 -6.92 49.22 8.27 -14.30 0.00 0.06 0.73 0.19P 11.85R 11.85 Morecambe 16 10 -15 -6.15 12.21 -6.24 40.96 7.92 -30.63 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 50.41R 50.41National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 October 2019, Boreham_Wood 0 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Bromley 19 36 +11 6.59 84.24 6.01 77.39 8.01 17.47 13.19 66.46 24.94P 0.03R 0.00 Halifax 19 35 +6 9.07 92.52 5.95 73.21 7.76 7.98 4.89 44.48 12.28P 0.08R 0.00 Yeovil 18 34 +11 1.90 61.30 -0.11 83.86 8.24 28.08 41.79 88.41 57.10P 0.00R 0.00 Harrogate_Town 19 32 +5 3.19 68.86 0.93 72.70 8.01 10.33 4.88 43.17 13.32P 0.15R 0.00 Barrow 18 31 +9 4.27 75.05 6.05 71.92 8.18 12.60 4.54 40.41 12.08P 0.22R 0.00 Torquay 19 31 +6 5.66 79.88 7.51 67.45 8.45 4.62 1.94 21.77 5.75P 1.10R 0.06 Notts_County 19 30 +12 -4.35 24.77 -0.55 79.68 7.98 31.00 22.10 77.89 43.20P 0.02R 0.00 Woking 19 28 +2 4.27 74.61 5.68 62.72 8.22 -1.56 0.42 8.82 1.84P 4.08R 0.17 Solihull_Moors 18 27 +7 -1.52 40.61 1.34 71.20 8.08 15.53 3.55 37.67 12.67P 0.23R 0.01 Dag_&_Red 18 27 +0 2.52 66.38 0.20 65.43 7.97 0.13 0.66 13.91 3.29P 1.82R 0.05 Dover_Athletic 18 27 -1 1.68 60.92 -1.90 63.66 8.06 -3.89 0.48 10.27 2.43P 2.83R 0.09 Hartlepool 18 26 +1 1.29 58.72 1.01 62.54 8.04 -2.00 0.31 8.22 1.83P 3.77R 0.16 Boreham_Wood 19 25 +4 -1.32 42.42 3.59 61.52 7.77 3.32 0.20 6.39 1.44P 3.99R 0.15 Maidenhead 19 25 +3 1.33 59.06 6.48 58.18 7.70 -2.65 0.07 2.59 0.52P 9.34R 0.55 Barnet 19 25 +0 -1.75 39.56 -1.14 64.76 7.78 4.11 0.52 12.41 3.37P 1.72R 0.08 Eastleigh 19 25 -3 0.47 53.69 -0.55 60.25 7.81 -5.73 0.12 4.40 0.95P 6.45R 0.31 Stockport 18 25 -7 5.71 82.70 1.47 55.45 8.10 -18.96 0.04 1.47 0.27P 19.90R 1.78 Chesterfield 18 21 -5 -4.22 25.34 -5.75 59.87 8.07 -4.42 0.14 4.56 1.12P 7.39R 0.54 AFC_Fylde 18 20 -10 -5.94 17.07 -11.66 60.28 8.24 -7.42 0.12 5.18 1.30P 7.49R 0.45 Aldershot 19 19 -7 -2.64 34.16 -0.93 49.53 7.45 -16.05 0.00 0.14 0.01P 44.04R 5.69 Sutton_United 18 16 -6 -6.91 12.60 -3.46 50.83 8.00 -11.34 0.00 0.33 0.08P 36.47R 4.92 Wrexham 19 16 -8 -9.90 5.51 -8.06 53.27 7.72 -7.39 0.01 0.53 0.13P 24.32R 2.69 Ebbsfleet_United 19 16 -10 -8.86 7.99 -7.93 52.45 7.91 -11.24 0.00 0.51 0.10P 29.10R 3.26 Chorley 19 13 -20 -2.93 32.39 -4.18 35.46 7.19 -42.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.46R 79.02