Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 31 October 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 October 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        10   28  +15       6.25    95.58     1.24    89.77     7.03    55.03    56.44    94.71    98.96    99.79    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         10   22  +23      -2.93    18.53     1.65    87.37     6.66    72.81    41.97    91.65    98.07    99.53    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   20  +17       3.86    81.48    13.47    67.72     8.08    31.36     0.56     4.43    30.04    55.18    85.33     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          10   20   +7       1.51    63.10    -0.54    70.10     7.96    25.71     0.85     6.73    41.13    65.29    90.13     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          10   16   +1      -0.61    44.03    -3.42    61.92     8.19    12.50     0.08     0.97    10.76    25.31    61.07     0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   -2       2.73    74.78     0.46    50.99     7.86    -6.68     0.00     0.02     0.68     2.43    12.46     2.15R    0.19  
Man_Utd          10   13   +3      -3.52    21.28    -1.22    60.20     7.84    16.10     0.03     0.46     6.56    18.29    53.81     0.10R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        10   13   +1       2.05    69.42     5.23    44.74     7.86    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.45     3.34    10.10R    1.58  
Bournemouth      10   13   +0       0.24    52.78     2.28    45.68     7.81   -11.21     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.51     4.28     8.20R    1.07  
West_Ham         10   13   -2      -0.20    48.79    -0.86    46.15     7.76   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.65     4.46     7.37R    1.01  
Tottenham        10   12   +1      -5.21    10.27    -4.41    63.02     8.01    20.64     0.08     1.00    12.92    30.35    67.84     0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   12   +0      -0.57    45.38     2.21    48.36     7.94    -3.74     0.00     0.01     0.26     1.17     7.72     4.32R    0.56  
Burnley          10   12   -1       0.53    56.10     2.74    43.64     7.69   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.27     2.40    12.36R    2.02  
Brighton         10   12   -2       1.23    63.06     3.21    40.67     7.47   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.99    21.75R    4.27  
Aston_Villa      10   11   -1      -0.02    51.27     4.78    40.55     7.92   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.29    23.77R    5.33  
Everton          10   10   -6      -3.88    19.03    -5.96    44.82     7.83   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.45     3.38    10.22R    1.69  
Newcastle        10    9   -9      -1.63    35.68    -4.07    41.87     7.59   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     1.17    17.92R    3.15  
Southampton      10    8  -16      -0.64    46.11    -7.28    35.59     7.53   -36.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    49.55R   17.08  
Norwich          10    7  -13      -0.89    43.48    -0.91    32.36     7.71   -39.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    65.59R   31.59  
Watford          10    5  -16      -4.82    11.15    -8.62    32.14     7.41   -36.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    66.47R   30.45  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 October 2019, QPR 1 3 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       14   27   +9       2.42    67.04     0.53    82.19     9.01    26.45    35.03    53.25    85.60    62.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         14   25  +11       2.79    69.51     6.40    73.94     9.05    18.45     9.13    19.72    57.35    28.86P    0.18R    0.01  
Leeds_United    14   25   +9       2.95    70.72     4.85    78.13     8.76    22.67    17.48    34.11    74.64    45.82P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         14   25   +5       3.50    74.11     1.58    72.70     8.93    10.74     6.50    14.89    50.49    23.54P    0.28R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       14   24   +8       2.76    70.09     4.87    70.27     8.84    11.63     4.08    10.07    40.42    17.22P    0.40R    0.03  
Bristol_City    14   24   +3       3.74    75.90     1.47    70.16     8.89     6.34     3.85     9.62    39.11    16.39P    0.50R    0.04  
Fulham          14   23   +9       0.05    49.97     3.26    73.31     9.39    18.64     9.01    19.13    54.64    29.30P    0.29R    0.02  
QPR             14   23   -2       5.81    85.99     1.52    59.73     8.83   -14.26     0.31     0.94     7.60     1.93P    7.81R    1.32  
Charlton        14   22   +5       3.43    73.97     5.98    65.71     9.16     4.90     1.59     4.33    22.98     8.26P    2.07R    0.25  
Nott'm_Forest   13   22   +5       3.91    77.94     4.50    70.12     9.02     9.30     3.74     9.71    39.53    16.33P    0.56R    0.04  
Birmingham      14   22   -2       4.36    80.43     0.09    62.49     8.69    -6.79     0.56     1.61    12.12     3.47P    3.87R    0.50  
Brentford       14   21   +6      -0.54    46.05     2.46    71.51     8.96    15.87     5.52    13.08    46.39    22.20P    0.35R    0.02  
Hull            14   19   +0      -0.77    44.73    -0.73    61.17     9.00    -3.19     0.53     1.48    10.96     3.50P    5.89R    0.88  
Cardiff         14   18   -1      -2.17    35.06    -2.46    64.76     9.29     3.29     1.30     3.69    20.67     8.16P    2.71R    0.41  
Millwall        14   18   -3       1.34    61.09     0.71    57.41     8.66    -9.25     0.10     0.37     4.68     1.20P   11.56R    2.06  
Derby           14   18   -4      -2.37    33.31    -5.72    64.63     8.86     0.07     0.96     2.92    18.69     6.84P    2.46R    0.28  
Blackburn       14   15   -4      -2.99    29.16    -1.79    55.70     8.80    -8.94     0.07     0.26     3.39     0.92P   15.80R    3.39  
Wigan           14   15   -7      -1.36    40.62    -3.01    54.88     8.55   -12.49     0.05     0.18     2.29     0.59P   18.15R    3.88  
Luton           14   14   -4      -3.17    29.01    -0.47    54.06     9.28   -10.68     0.09     0.27     3.11     0.89P   22.04R    5.63  
Huddersfield    14   13   -5      -4.23    21.57    -2.15    49.69     8.74   -15.07     0.02     0.05     0.77     0.21P   37.62R   11.58  
Reading         13   12   -5      -2.15    34.58     0.62    50.20     8.77   -15.52     0.01     0.06     0.82     0.19P   35.80R   11.04  
Middlesbrough   14   12   -6      -7.73     6.55    -7.02    56.36     8.52    -4.52     0.06     0.24     3.44     1.15P   12.92R    2.51  
Stoke           14    8  -12      -8.29     4.49    -7.93    46.64     8.58   -19.40     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.05P   51.92R   20.42  
Barnsley        14    8  -15      -6.44     9.91    -7.55    43.42     8.77   -28.26     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   66.80R   35.68  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich              14   30  +14       5.67    85.68     6.32    82.70     8.53    31.60    38.19    57.52    89.67    66.49P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              15   30  +10       8.23    93.22     8.13    69.62     8.19     9.54     3.01     7.84    38.39    13.09P    0.08R    0.00  
Peterborough         15   28  +18       1.20    57.91     7.86    77.92     8.31    34.57    18.11    35.82    78.05    47.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   26   +9       3.54    74.66     4.07    72.30     8.39    16.87     5.70    13.95    52.39    22.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           15   25  +14       1.42    59.89     9.33    71.82     8.31    25.00     5.67    13.54    52.08    22.66P    0.04R    0.00  
Coventry             15   25   +2       4.09    77.69     1.57    64.35     8.11     1.64     0.65     2.04    17.50     4.89P    0.58R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   22   +8       0.87    56.31     3.00    73.00     8.72    21.27     7.23    16.90    56.53    26.85P    0.10R    0.00  
Sunderland           14   22   +5      -2.65    30.46    -3.46    75.24     8.35    23.92    10.64    23.67    66.58    37.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            15   22   +2       0.51    53.99     0.53    62.48     7.96     3.27     0.36     1.22    12.35     3.63P    0.90R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       15   22   -1       1.03    57.79    -1.75    59.19     8.03    -4.77     0.10     0.42     6.08     1.51P    2.68R    0.01  
Rotherham            14   21   +8      -1.85    36.34     2.35    71.46     8.83    22.43     5.66    13.80    50.35    24.10P    0.11R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   21   -2       1.90    64.65    -2.15    60.66     8.10    -3.87     0.23     0.79     8.66     2.25P    1.67R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        13   19   +3      -0.27    48.20     0.86    67.72     8.65    12.47     2.19     6.16    32.16    12.41P    0.32R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   19   -6       1.43    61.37    -0.54    51.03     7.88   -19.29     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.11P   17.08R    0.15  
Gillingham           15   18   +3      -2.30    34.33     3.41    58.09     8.27     3.09     0.10     0.45     5.77     1.52P    3.78R    0.01  
Portsmouth           13   17   +1      -3.90    22.12    -3.72    67.12     8.80    12.53     2.12     5.77    30.37    12.42P    0.45R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         15   17   -3      -0.76    45.41     1.40    53.48     8.32    -7.87     0.02     0.09     1.75     0.42P   11.20R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   15   14   -9      -2.66    32.10    -2.72    47.34     7.91   -19.58     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.05P   31.69R    0.71  
Tranmere             14   13  -10      -0.37    48.64     0.25    42.49     8.16   -29.18     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   57.06R    2.70  
MK_Dons              15   13  -10      -3.72    25.26    -4.17    44.73     8.14   -22.66     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.04P   45.12R    1.67  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   12   -6      -4.77    18.28     0.05    46.39     7.94   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   34.93R    0.91  
Southend             15    5  -27      -9.73     2.23   -16.75    31.42     7.53   -52.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.31R   28.83  
Bolton               12   -5  -23      -3.60    21.42   -13.88    25.27     8.29   -44.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.84R   64.88  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Colchester 3 1 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Crewe            15   30   +9       7.66    91.00     6.34    76.46     8.77    14.84    14.54    39.06    73.38    46.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           16   29   +5       4.09    75.87     0.61    75.28     8.46    12.68    11.15    33.55    69.42    42.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham       14   28  +14       6.39    87.67    10.45    75.11     8.89    18.84    12.39    34.65    69.02    42.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green     15   28   +9       4.63    79.84     4.86    75.57     8.64    16.60    12.75    35.69    70.64    44.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          16   27   +7       2.51    66.70     3.22    73.46     8.59    15.02     8.30    27.02    62.55    35.78P    0.05R    0.01  
Bradford         15   27   +7       1.81    62.14     0.17    78.29     8.96    20.16    21.01    48.33    79.58    57.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County   15   27   +5       6.17    86.99     4.34    71.64     8.50     8.45     5.16    19.34    52.83    26.81P    0.08R    0.01  
Northampton      16   24   +4      -0.04    49.74     0.86    67.09     8.44     6.99     1.98     8.95    33.04    14.75P    0.37R    0.07  
Colchester       16   23   +5      -1.89    37.09     0.68    68.32     8.36    11.33     2.44    11.65    38.92    19.05P    0.24R    0.04  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.80    31.95    -1.88    72.48     8.82    16.44     7.31    24.48    58.66    34.83P    0.11R    0.03  
Port_Vale        16   22   -1       2.00    64.68     1.53    58.91     8.21    -6.80     0.14     1.07     7.81     2.33P    3.78R    1.09  
Salford_City     16   21   -5       4.27    78.18     3.30    51.23     8.16   -22.05     0.01     0.11     1.26     0.28P   20.86R    8.33  
Cambridge_Utd    16   20   +4      -0.06    50.46     6.43    59.04     8.28     1.43     0.15     1.29     8.75     2.76P    3.49R    1.05  
Mansfield        16   20   +2      -6.29    13.64    -4.54    67.23     8.49    10.99     2.04     9.66    35.02    17.36P    0.35R    0.07  
Macclesfield     15   20   -2       3.59    75.63     4.00    52.90     8.16   -16.03     0.02     0.18     1.89     0.42P   15.15R    5.51  
Leyton_Orient    16   20   -3       1.51    61.29     2.51    54.07     8.51   -14.10     0.03     0.34     2.91     0.73P   12.86R    5.05  
Crawley_Town     16   20   -4       1.48    61.27     1.43    56.63     8.29   -11.10     0.05     0.55     4.81     1.33P    7.11R    2.48  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.33    53.31     2.44    56.58     8.39    -6.89     0.08     0.68     5.25     1.59P    6.78R    2.16  
Oldham           16   15   -8      -6.38    13.02    -7.15    56.72     8.50    -7.04     0.08     0.66     5.35     1.83P    7.15R    2.41  
Carlisle         16   15  -12      -4.59    21.39    -8.28    54.30     8.43   -14.84     0.02     0.25     2.78     0.81P   12.27R    4.74  
Walsall          16   15  -12      -5.87    15.50   -10.67    55.13     8.58   -12.99     0.06     0.44     3.66     1.25P   10.48R    3.88  
Scunthorpe       16   14   -4     -10.30     4.10    -7.53    59.76     8.91     2.87     0.29     1.99    11.74     4.89P    4.07R    1.32  
Stevenage        16   12   -9      -8.34     6.37    -6.86    49.30     8.24   -14.24     0.00     0.06     0.68     0.21P   26.55R   11.52  
Morecambe        16   10  -15      -6.19    12.24    -6.26    41.02     7.99   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   68.19R   50.22  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 October 2019, Boreham_Wood 0 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Bromley            19   36  +11       6.62    84.68     6.04    77.27     8.09    17.25    13.37    65.96    24.66P    0.07R    0.00  
Halifax            19   35   +6       9.21    92.70     6.14    72.98     7.78     7.65     4.69    43.41    11.89P    0.26R    0.00  
Yeovil             18   34  +11       1.84    60.95    -0.20    83.79     8.26    27.98    41.31    88.18    56.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   32   +5       3.11    68.40     0.84    72.76     7.99    10.46     4.92    43.67    13.73P    0.30R    0.00  
Barrow             18   31   +9       4.27    75.43     6.04    71.78     8.10    12.45     4.26    39.98    11.63P    0.46R    0.01  
Torquay            19   31   +6       5.60    79.45     7.41    67.54     8.45     4.78     1.91    22.42     5.89P    2.33R    0.04  
Notts_County       19   30  +12      -4.41    24.54    -0.58    79.70     7.95    31.04    22.47    78.12    43.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking             19   28   +2       4.35    74.71     5.84    62.66     8.30    -1.72     0.41     9.01     1.96P    7.66R    0.19  
Solihull_Moors     18   27   +7      -1.47    40.73     1.41    71.12     8.17    15.42     3.82    37.32    12.71P    0.62R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   27   +0       2.54    66.29     0.25    65.39     8.03     0.04     0.67    13.80     3.28P    3.74R    0.07  
Dover_Athletic     18   27   -1       1.57    60.15    -2.06    63.89     8.15    -3.63     0.60    11.06     2.59P    5.35R    0.13  
Hartlepool         18   26   +1       1.39    59.17     1.19    62.44     8.08    -2.22     0.36     8.17     1.90P    7.50R    0.21  
Boreham_Wood       19   25   +4      -1.41    41.62     3.45    61.68     7.79     3.56     0.20     6.40     1.47P    7.53R    0.18  
Maidenhead         19   25   +3       1.30    58.86     6.44    58.31     7.69    -2.48     0.06     2.71     0.54P   15.41R    0.50  
Barnet             19   25   +0      -1.62    40.41    -1.02    64.77     7.79     4.10     0.48    12.29     3.19P    3.52R    0.07  
Eastleigh          19   25   -3       0.34    52.99    -0.74    60.31     7.78    -5.58     0.10     4.37     0.81P   10.98R    0.34  
Stockport          18   25   -7       5.93    83.50     1.79    55.18     8.13   -19.34     0.05     1.49     0.23P   31.10R    1.92  
Chesterfield       18   21   -5      -4.22    25.26    -5.78    59.93     8.15    -4.31     0.17     4.89     1.23P   12.71R    0.60  
AFC_Fylde          18   20  -10      -5.89    17.46   -11.58    60.22     8.26    -7.49     0.15     5.13     1.40P   12.71R    0.50  
Aldershot          19   19   -7      -2.62    34.26    -0.88    49.56     7.42   -15.99     0.00     0.12     0.02P   56.60R    5.69  
Sutton_United      18   16   -6      -6.99    12.34    -3.56    51.04     8.01   -11.03     0.01     0.40     0.11P   47.63R    4.51  
Wrexham            19   16   -8     -10.05     5.05    -8.23    53.48     7.76    -7.12     0.00     0.60     0.14P   34.30R    2.49  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   16  -10      -8.83     8.17    -7.83    52.31     7.95   -11.44     0.01     0.50     0.14P   41.72R    3.39  
Chorley            19   13  -20      -2.98    31.91    -4.37    35.52     7.17   -42.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.47R   79.17