Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 30 October 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 October 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        10   28  +15       6.29    95.73     1.29    89.66     7.07    54.85    55.78    94.50    98.92    99.76    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         10   22  +23      -2.93    18.50     1.60    87.44     6.66    72.92    42.58    91.98    98.22    99.54    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   20  +17       3.85    81.30    13.42    67.73     8.09    31.35     0.56     4.43    30.50    55.75    85.34     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          10   20   +7       1.54    63.20    -0.48    69.97     7.98    25.49     0.90     6.61    40.86    65.03    89.80     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   16   +1      -0.58    44.19    -3.36    61.84     8.14    12.27     0.07     0.90    10.53    25.03    60.88     0.06R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   -2       2.73    74.69     0.44    50.88     7.84    -6.83     0.00     0.02     0.60     2.34    12.21     2.31R    0.20  
Man_Utd          10   13   +3      -3.41    22.13    -1.07    59.96     7.85    15.64     0.02     0.43     6.32    17.66    52.69     0.10R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        10   13   +1       1.95    68.49     5.05    44.96     7.83    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.43     3.55     9.68R    1.49  
Bournemouth      10   13   +0       0.23    52.59     2.25    45.86     7.89   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.71     4.64     8.14R    1.12  
West_Ham         10   13   -2      -0.21    48.71    -0.84    46.21     7.77   -12.05     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.62     4.70     7.27R    0.94  
Tottenham        10   12   +1      -5.21    10.21    -4.39    63.07     7.96    20.75     0.09     1.13    13.20    30.83    68.36     0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   12   +0      -0.59    45.38     2.17    48.37     7.94    -3.72     0.00     0.00     0.26     1.22     8.12     4.35R    0.52  
Burnley          10   12   -1       0.52    56.21     2.81    43.58     7.66   -13.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.25     2.31    12.67R    2.08  
Brighton         10   12   -2       1.25    63.02     3.23    40.68     7.40   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.95    21.57R    4.08  
Aston_Villa      10   11   -1      -0.01    51.11     4.77    40.62     7.98   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.15     1.30    23.82R    5.52  
Everton          10   10   -6      -3.88    19.13    -5.94    44.85     7.85   -12.80     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.44     3.67    10.17R    1.76  
Newcastle        10    9   -9      -1.60    35.70    -4.02    41.69     7.62   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     1.19    18.93R    3.37  
Southampton      10    8  -16      -0.61    46.53    -7.22    35.48     7.41   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    50.02R   17.53  
Norwich          10    7  -13      -0.95    42.78    -1.05    32.40     7.73   -39.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    65.44R   31.57  
Watford          10    5  -16      -4.84    11.06    -8.67    32.37     7.47   -35.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    65.43R   29.82  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 October 2019, QPR 1 3 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       14   27   +9       2.45    67.19     0.55    82.10     9.09    26.35    34.22    52.74    85.09    62.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston         14   25  +11       2.70    68.97     6.27    74.02     9.12    18.63     9.65    20.16    57.48    29.43P    0.14R    0.01  
Leeds_United    14   25   +9       2.93    70.55     4.81    78.19     8.73    22.76    17.72    34.30    74.79    46.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         14   25   +5       3.49    74.32     1.57    72.87     8.84    10.98     6.68    15.14    51.04    24.13P    0.24R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       14   24   +8       2.85    70.60     5.00    70.09     8.79    11.36     3.90     9.59    39.58    16.78P    0.37R    0.02  
Bristol_City    14   24   +3       3.72    75.59     1.46    70.38     8.98     6.61     4.30    10.24    39.72    16.91P    0.53R    0.04  
Fulham          14   23   +9       0.10    50.45     3.36    73.03     9.35    18.22     8.47    18.32    53.62    27.88P    0.25R    0.02  
QPR             14   23   -2       5.70    85.55     1.34    60.02     8.77   -13.76     0.27     0.97     8.09     2.08P    7.17R    1.05  
Charlton        14   22   +5       3.41    74.20     5.97    65.66     9.13     4.84     1.56     4.29    23.10     8.19P    1.97R    0.18  
Nott'm_Forest   13   22   +5       3.92    77.83     4.54    70.02     9.08     9.22     3.78     9.65    39.17    16.31P    0.56R    0.06  
Birmingham      14   22   -2       4.39    80.36     0.15    62.46     8.73    -6.84     0.52     1.70    12.24     3.60P    4.00R    0.50  
Brentford       14   21   +6      -0.58    45.73     2.41    71.66     8.98    16.14     5.81    13.45    46.97    22.61P    0.33R    0.02  
Hull            14   19   +0      -0.74    45.11    -0.70    61.16     8.93    -3.27     0.46     1.43    10.87     3.44P    5.70R    0.94  
Cardiff         14   18   -1      -2.18    34.89    -2.45    64.71     9.22     3.26     1.31     3.75    20.42     8.17P    2.68R    0.34  
Millwall        14   18   -3       1.41    61.78     0.81    57.35     8.57    -9.34     0.09     0.34     4.33     1.04P   11.41R    1.99  
Derby           14   18   -4      -2.36    33.29    -5.72    64.60     8.86     0.02     0.94     2.79    18.86     6.81P    2.53R    0.27  
Blackburn       14   15   -4      -3.01    29.05    -1.82    55.71     8.82    -8.99     0.09     0.30     3.65     1.05P   15.85R    3.35  
Wigan           14   15   -7      -1.35    40.72    -2.98    54.70     8.65   -12.79     0.05     0.18     2.34     0.62P   18.96R    3.99  
Luton           14   14   -4      -3.32    27.97    -0.68    54.27     9.29   -10.36     0.09     0.31     3.11     0.88P   21.49R    5.44  
Huddersfield    14   13   -5      -4.13    22.11    -2.01    49.47     8.75   -15.37     0.01     0.05     0.74     0.17P   38.99R   11.86  
Reading         13   12   -5      -2.20    34.04     0.53    50.36     8.70   -15.29     0.01     0.04     0.84     0.19P   35.23R   10.62  
Middlesbrough   14   12   -6      -7.73     6.81    -7.05    56.37     8.56    -4.51     0.06     0.24     3.59     1.11P   12.77R    2.49  
Stoke           14    8  -12      -8.30     4.57    -8.00    46.88     8.60   -19.12     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.06P   50.65R   19.38  
Barnsley        14    8  -15      -6.32    10.18    -7.34    43.10     8.80   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   68.15R   37.44  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich              14   30  +14       5.69    85.80     6.36    82.76     8.49    31.61    38.10    57.93    89.77    66.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              15   30  +10       8.16    93.06     8.06    69.74     8.17     9.75     2.99     7.84    38.94    13.03P    0.07R    0.00  
Peterborough         15   28  +18       1.14    57.58     7.78    78.17     8.26    34.96    18.73    36.81    79.08    48.32P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   26   +9       3.52    74.47     4.06    72.33     8.50    16.93     5.78    14.12    52.55    22.71P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           15   25  +14       1.44    60.31     9.40    71.81     8.30    24.93     5.49    13.44    51.82    22.58P    0.04R    0.00  
Coventry             15   25   +2       4.00    77.14     1.40    64.58     8.09     1.98     0.64     2.25    18.32     5.25P    0.53R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   22   +8       0.87    56.51     3.05    72.90     8.69    21.10     7.05    16.41    56.11    26.81P    0.08R    0.00  
Sunderland           14   22   +5      -2.65    30.58    -3.43    75.20     8.40    23.85    10.74    23.49    66.47    37.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            15   22   +2       0.55    54.20     0.64    62.32     8.06     3.09     0.37     1.33    12.27     3.59P    1.06R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       15   22   -1       0.99    57.62    -1.80    59.25     8.06    -4.70     0.14     0.53     6.32     1.50P    2.56R    0.00  
Rotherham            14   21   +8      -1.75    37.04     2.48    71.32     8.79    22.22     5.51    13.23    49.29    23.44P    0.11R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   21   -2       2.00    65.29    -2.03    60.44     8.16    -4.18     0.18     0.71     8.45     2.22P    1.92R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        13   19   +3      -0.32    47.76     0.81    67.76     8.63    12.55     2.20     6.07    32.52    12.57P    0.29R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   19   -6       1.43    61.33    -0.55    51.08     7.90   -19.16     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.11P   17.25R    0.17  
Gillingham           15   18   +3      -2.37    33.88     3.27    58.13     8.24     3.15     0.12     0.41     5.71     1.54P    3.69R    0.02  
Portsmouth           13   17   +1      -3.84    22.29    -3.60    66.88     8.70    12.22     1.93     5.30    29.31    11.90P    0.47R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         15   17   -3      -0.80    45.03     1.32    53.57     8.27    -7.73     0.03     0.10     1.77     0.40P   10.78R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   15   14   -9      -2.62    32.04    -2.66    47.27     7.85   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   32.12R    0.69  
Tranmere             14   13  -10      -0.38    48.77     0.20    42.55     8.14   -29.06     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00P   57.29R    2.56  
MK_Dons              15   13  -10      -3.73    24.62    -4.24    44.84     8.03   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   44.52R    1.50  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   12   -6      -4.75    18.48     0.06    46.38     7.96   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   34.84R    0.94  
Southend             15    5  -27      -9.75     2.18   -16.74    31.28     7.52   -52.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.64R   28.80  
Bolton               12   -5  -23      -3.54    21.91   -13.84    25.18     8.31   -44.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.69R   65.19  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Colchester 3 1 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Crewe            15   30   +9       7.55    90.83     6.20    76.67     8.75    15.19    14.91    39.84    74.17    47.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter           16   29   +5       4.12    76.21     0.65    75.30     8.46    12.75    11.06    33.37    69.31    42.55P    0.02R    0.01  
Cheltenham       14   28  +14       6.53    88.47    10.65    74.88     8.89    18.51    11.81    33.50    68.00    40.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green     15   28   +9       4.67    79.98     4.87    75.71     8.69    16.76    12.92    36.23    70.99    44.98P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          16   27   +7       2.51    66.94     3.24    73.51     8.54    15.04     8.13    27.09    62.57    35.96P    0.04R    0.01  
Bradford         15   27   +7       1.69    61.24     0.05    78.48     8.86    20.37    21.34    48.95    80.50    58.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County   15   27   +5       6.16    87.06     4.34    71.65     8.45     8.43     5.20    19.17    52.80    26.36P    0.06R    0.01  
Northampton      16   24   +4      -0.07    49.80     0.82    67.11     8.44     7.04     1.84     8.99    33.20    14.74P    0.33R    0.08  
Colchester       16   23   +5      -1.82    37.55     0.76    68.31     8.38    11.31     2.52    11.46    39.18    19.02P    0.25R    0.04  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.73    32.41    -1.77    72.29     8.85    16.19     7.15    24.02    57.70    34.12P    0.12R    0.04  
Port_Vale        16   22   -1       2.04    65.17     1.61    58.88     8.17    -6.90     0.14     1.10     7.61     2.21P    3.63R    1.03  
Salford_City     16   21   -5       4.25    77.81     3.24    51.23     8.21   -21.97     0.01     0.11     1.30     0.26P   20.93R    8.46  
Cambridge_Utd    16   20   +4      -0.01    50.84     6.48    59.05     8.25     1.42     0.17     1.24     8.73     2.75P    3.42R    1.06  
Mansfield        16   20   +2      -6.30    13.39    -4.59    67.27     8.48    11.03     2.13     9.81    35.13    17.73P    0.37R    0.09  
Macclesfield     15   20   -2       3.52    75.16     3.94    53.04     8.12   -15.87     0.02     0.19     2.04     0.47P   14.33R    5.27  
Leyton_Orient    16   20   -3       1.59    61.85     2.60    53.93     8.53   -14.32     0.05     0.35     2.97     0.77P   13.07R    5.00  
Crawley_Town     16   20   -4       1.39    60.53     1.24    56.82     8.31   -10.76     0.08     0.62     4.92     1.34P    6.87R    2.31  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.28    53.02     2.40    56.66     8.36    -6.77     0.09     0.67     5.32     1.55P    6.58R    2.09  
Oldham           16   15   -8      -6.47    12.72    -7.28    56.77     8.48    -6.95     0.07     0.63     5.39     1.82P    6.94R    2.37  
Carlisle         16   15  -12      -4.57    21.57    -8.24    54.24     8.46   -14.90     0.03     0.31     2.81     0.84P   12.42R    4.97  
Walsall          16   15  -12      -5.86    15.32   -10.65    55.11     8.48   -13.09     0.03     0.38     3.43     1.15P   10.47R    3.73  
Scunthorpe       16   14   -4     -10.26     3.95    -7.46    59.63     8.86     2.65     0.28     1.93    11.33     4.71P    4.18R    1.39  
Stevenage        16   12   -9      -8.29     6.41    -6.79    49.07     8.18   -14.54     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.14P   27.55R   11.98  
Morecambe        16   10  -15      -6.23    12.26    -6.30    40.98     8.01   -30.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   68.36R   50.07  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 October 2019, Boreham_Wood 0 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Bromley            19   36  +11       6.62    84.45     6.08    77.35     8.06    17.35    13.47    66.31    25.05P    0.05R    0.00  
Halifax            19   35   +6       9.27    93.00     6.19    72.93     7.76     7.61     4.44    43.16    11.61P    0.25R    0.00  
Yeovil             18   34  +11       1.85    61.13    -0.22    83.85     8.28    28.12    41.78    88.44    57.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   32   +5       3.09    68.56     0.80    72.78     8.02    10.42     5.10    43.58    13.71P    0.36R    0.00  
Barrow             18   31   +9       4.29    75.23     6.09    71.86     8.14    12.55     4.60    40.03    12.23P    0.45R    0.01  
Torquay            19   31   +6       5.52    79.41     7.34    67.53     8.40     4.77     1.87    22.21     5.84P    2.31R    0.04  
Notts_County       19   30  +12      -4.41    24.55    -0.59    79.63     7.96    30.93    21.82    77.68    42.81P    0.02R    0.00  
Woking             19   28   +2       4.39    75.14     5.85    62.64     8.19    -1.71     0.36     8.69     1.91P    7.54R    0.16  
Solihull_Moors     18   27   +7      -1.43    41.02     1.51    71.05     8.16    15.34     3.71    37.25    12.72P    0.67R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red          18   27   +0       2.55    66.39     0.25    65.44     8.04     0.11     0.70    14.11     3.39P    3.63R    0.06  
Dover_Athletic     18   27   -1       1.65    60.72    -1.96    63.74     8.12    -3.86     0.52    10.54     2.50P    5.56R    0.11  
Hartlepool         18   26   +1       1.26    58.38     1.01    62.61     8.06    -1.95     0.33     8.52     1.85P    6.97R    0.19  
Boreham_Wood       19   25   +4      -1.45    41.52     3.37    61.76     7.84     3.65     0.26     6.75     1.65P    7.32R    0.19  
Maidenhead         19   25   +3       1.36    59.31     6.51    58.20     7.64    -2.62     0.06     2.64     0.49P   15.57R    0.50  
Barnet             19   25   +0      -1.62    40.55    -0.97    64.68     7.84     3.95     0.50    12.46     3.12P    3.70R    0.06  
Eastleigh          19   25   -3       0.48    53.62    -0.54    60.25     7.84    -5.73     0.13     4.55     0.90P   11.61R    0.32  
Stockport          18   25   -7       5.75    82.97     1.47    55.42     8.17   -18.99     0.03     1.56     0.27P   29.95R    1.87  
Chesterfield       18   21   -5      -4.14    25.73    -5.65    59.84     8.10    -4.50     0.13     4.70     1.10P   12.88R    0.50  
AFC_Fylde          18   20  -10      -5.93    17.33   -11.67    60.34     8.33    -7.32     0.19     5.35     1.45P   12.76R    0.48  
Aldershot          19   19   -7      -2.77    33.37    -1.10    49.73     7.47   -15.76     0.00     0.14     0.03P   55.55R    5.58  
Sutton_United      18   16   -6      -6.89    12.82    -3.38    50.77     7.98   -11.40     0.00     0.33     0.06P   48.87R    5.12  
Wrexham            19   16   -8      -9.89     5.46    -7.98    53.23     7.72    -7.48     0.01     0.54     0.15P   35.84R    2.71  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   16  -10      -8.89     7.78    -7.96    52.41     7.92   -11.29     0.00     0.48     0.10P   40.74R    3.37  
Chorley            19   13  -20      -3.00    31.90    -4.44    35.61     7.18   -42.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.41R   78.72