Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 29 October 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 October 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        10   28  +15       6.29    95.77     1.30    89.79     7.06    55.11    56.40    94.78    99.03    99.79    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         10   22  +23      -2.96    18.45     1.56    87.36     6.65    72.85    42.01    91.64    98.16    99.57    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   20  +17       3.91    81.56    13.51    67.65     8.10    31.29     0.52     4.24    30.23    54.94    85.09     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          10   20   +7       1.52    63.07    -0.50    70.04     8.03    25.61     0.91     6.89    41.24    65.31    89.89     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   16   +1      -0.62    44.01    -3.43    61.99     8.16    12.51     0.08     1.00    10.74    25.52    61.34     0.07R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   -2       2.75    75.01     0.50    50.72     7.85    -7.09     0.00     0.02     0.62     2.24    11.91     2.41R    0.22  
Man_Utd          10   13   +3      -3.45    21.93    -1.12    60.05     7.86    15.83     0.03     0.42     6.27    17.93    53.23     0.10R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        10   13   +1       1.99    68.92     5.12    44.89     7.91    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.51     3.78    10.21R    1.60  
Bournemouth      10   13   +0       0.27    53.29     2.31    45.76     7.82   -11.08     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.61     4.36     8.07R    1.11  
West_Ham         10   13   -2      -0.22    48.63    -0.86    46.26     7.77   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.65     4.70     7.30R    0.95  
Tottenham        10   12   +1      -5.23    10.18    -4.43    63.00     8.01    20.66     0.05     1.00    12.82    30.66    68.03     0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   12   +0      -0.61    45.17     2.13    48.44     7.87    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.30     1.19     7.99     4.19R    0.48  
Burnley          10   12   -1       0.48    55.82     2.72    43.65     7.62   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.26     2.36    12.23R    1.91  
Brighton         10   12   -2       1.27    63.40     3.23    40.73     7.45   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.97    21.32R    3.84  
Aston_Villa      10   11   -1       0.01    51.52     4.83    40.51     7.96   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.33    24.45R    5.68  
Everton          10   10   -6      -3.84    19.13    -5.88    44.67     7.86   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.46     3.46    10.59R    1.74  
Newcastle        10    9   -9      -1.70    34.74    -4.18    41.92     7.64   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.24    17.93R    3.14  
Southampton      10    8  -16      -0.61    46.26    -7.21    35.52     7.50   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    50.04R   17.33  
Norwich          10    7  -13      -0.93    43.19    -0.97    32.43     7.76   -39.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    65.11R   31.65  
Watford          10    5  -16      -4.84    11.17    -8.63    32.27     7.45   -35.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    65.92R   30.34  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 October 2019, QPR 1 3 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       14   27   +9       2.51    67.74     0.62    82.11     9.06    26.34    34.73    52.65    85.32    62.20P    0.02R    0.00  
Preston         14   25  +11       2.84    69.86     6.48    73.79     9.06    18.25     9.15    19.58    56.68    28.69P    0.16R    0.00  
Leeds_United    14   25   +9       3.00    71.05     4.90    78.01     8.80    22.54    17.33    33.92    74.53    45.61P    0.06R    0.00  
Swansea         14   25   +5       3.45    73.86     1.54    72.70     8.86    10.76     6.50    15.06    50.36    23.89P    0.21R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       14   24   +8       2.80    70.04     4.95    70.09     8.85    11.36     4.10     9.95    39.48    17.02P    0.41R    0.03  
Bristol_City    14   24   +3       3.70    75.53     1.40    70.32     8.93     6.54     4.02     9.82    39.69    16.51P    0.50R    0.06  
Fulham          14   23   +9      -0.01    49.90     3.19    73.37     9.42    18.73     9.22    19.45    54.67    29.25P    0.28R    0.02  
QPR             14   23   -2       5.81    86.25     1.52    59.79     8.74   -14.23     0.26     0.91     7.64     1.96P    7.43R    1.18  
Charlton        14   22   +5       3.46    74.08     6.06    65.60     9.11     4.73     1.43     4.07    22.92     8.06P    2.03R    0.23  
Nott'm_Forest   13   22   +5       3.85    77.52     4.44    70.09     9.00     9.32     3.73     9.72    39.23    16.39P    0.57R    0.05  
Birmingham      14   22   -2       4.36    79.96     0.13    62.48     8.64    -6.81     0.51     1.61    12.26     3.56P    3.89R    0.47  
Brentford       14   21   +6      -0.64    45.38     2.34    71.71     8.95    16.17     5.82    13.59    47.74    23.00P    0.32R    0.03  
Hull            14   19   +0      -0.77    44.85    -0.72    61.24     8.92    -3.14     0.50     1.45    10.93     3.63P    5.50R    0.88  
Cardiff         14   18   -1      -2.20    34.87    -2.47    64.83     9.21     3.39     1.32     3.73    20.91     8.14P    2.54R    0.35  
Millwall        14   18   -3       1.36    61.16     0.69    57.43     8.60    -9.19     0.12     0.39     4.59     1.19P   11.15R    2.05  
Derby           14   18   -4      -2.43    32.96    -5.84    64.85     8.86     0.39     1.02     3.10    19.33     7.13P    2.23R    0.23  
Blackburn       14   15   -4      -2.91    29.85    -1.66    55.42     8.81    -9.34     0.05     0.23     3.15     0.85P   16.83R    3.77  
Wigan           14   15   -7      -1.30    41.17    -2.90    54.63     8.56   -12.85     0.02     0.13     2.13     0.50P   19.13R    4.13  
Luton           14   14   -4      -3.21    28.54    -0.49    54.13     9.26   -10.65     0.07     0.25     3.05     0.85P   21.93R    5.53  
Huddersfield    14   13   -5      -4.30    21.38    -2.21    49.68     8.76   -15.06     0.02     0.06     0.77     0.20P   38.12R   11.56  
Reading         13   12   -5      -2.12    34.51     0.66    50.21     8.71   -15.51     0.01     0.04     0.82     0.18P   35.77R   11.00  
Middlesbrough   14   12   -6      -7.71     6.73    -7.03    56.34     8.54    -4.56     0.08     0.28     3.43     1.08P   12.84R    2.57  
Stoke           14    8  -12      -8.37     4.41    -8.10    46.92     8.54   -18.97     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.08P   50.97R   19.46  
Barnsley        14    8  -15      -6.38    10.17    -7.51    43.39     8.85   -28.22     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.02P   67.13R   36.39  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich              14   30  +14       5.79    86.07     6.50    82.60     8.53    31.38    37.66    57.14    89.19    66.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              15   30  +10       8.26    93.36     8.20    69.65     8.19     9.63     2.98     7.93    38.79    12.96P    0.08R    0.00  
Peterborough         15   28  +18       1.13    57.64     7.76    78.09     8.27    34.90    18.65    36.72    78.95    48.44P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   26   +9       3.51    74.33     4.01    72.48     8.41    17.12     6.00    14.55    53.37    23.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           15   25  +14       1.47    60.26     9.43    71.78     8.31    24.88     5.46    13.38    51.82    22.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Coventry             15   25   +2       4.10    77.54     1.56    64.39     8.07     1.70     0.70     2.06    17.65     5.06P    0.56R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   22   +8       0.84    56.11     3.00    72.98     8.58    21.17     7.32    16.66    56.52    26.88P    0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland           14   22   +5      -2.66    30.53    -3.45    75.27     8.38    23.97    10.72    23.85    66.79    37.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            15   22   +2       0.50    53.92     0.55    62.40     8.02     3.22     0.38     1.36    12.33     3.61P    0.96R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       15   22   -1       1.06    57.90    -1.69    59.06     8.05    -5.00     0.13     0.48     6.06     1.42P    2.76R    0.01  
Rotherham            14   21   +8      -1.78    36.93     2.47    71.26     8.86    22.06     5.45    13.16    49.60    23.54P    0.14R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   21   -2       1.83    64.14    -2.25    60.78     8.09    -3.68     0.22     0.79     8.94     2.35P    1.69R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        13   19   +3      -0.29    48.08     0.87    67.66     8.66    12.38     2.21     6.07    31.82    12.30P    0.33R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   19   -6       1.48    61.84    -0.48    51.12     7.85   -19.13     0.01     0.03     0.73     0.14P   16.94R    0.19  
Gillingham           15   18   +3      -2.40    33.63     3.25    58.20     8.23     3.28     0.10     0.42     5.75     1.50P    3.75R    0.01  
Portsmouth           13   17   +1      -3.82    22.57    -3.62    66.80     8.76    12.08     1.99     5.28    29.27    11.74P    0.45R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         15   17   -3      -0.79    45.52     1.35    53.55     8.29    -7.78     0.03     0.12     1.83     0.42P   11.14R    0.13  
Accrington_Stanley   15   14   -9      -2.76    31.34    -2.84    47.41     7.91   -19.42     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.03P   31.51R    0.71  
Tranmere             14   13  -10      -0.46    47.82     0.10    42.65     8.24   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   56.79R    2.63  
MK_Dons              15   13  -10      -3.77    24.55    -4.28    44.84     8.00   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   44.97R    1.47  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   12   -6      -4.70    18.72     0.12    46.36     7.92   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   35.37R    0.89  
Southend             15    5  -27      -9.73     2.27   -16.75    31.38     7.52   -52.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.58R   28.31  
Bolton               12   -5  -23      -3.54    21.92   -13.80    25.05     8.33   -44.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.84R   65.65  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Colchester 3 1 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Crewe            15   30   +9       7.73    91.25     6.46    76.32     8.72    14.62    13.77    38.24    73.15    45.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter           16   29   +5       4.03    75.56     0.52    75.46     8.39    12.95    11.27    33.89    70.06    43.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham       14   28  +14       6.41    88.05    10.50    75.13     8.85    18.85    12.40    34.84    69.01    42.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green     15   28   +9       4.72    80.13     4.98    75.57     8.66    16.58    12.71    35.93    70.50    44.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          16   27   +7       2.49    66.39     3.16    73.45     8.55    15.00     8.00    26.88    62.51    36.14P    0.04R    0.00  
Bradford         15   27   +7       1.69    61.53     0.03    78.50     8.96    20.44    22.06    49.25    80.15    58.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County   15   27   +5       6.20    86.99     4.38    71.59     8.52     8.33     5.07    19.27    52.57    26.47P    0.08R    0.03  
Northampton      16   24   +4       0.03    50.25     0.96    67.00     8.51     6.89     2.02     9.12    32.99    14.76P    0.37R    0.08  
Colchester       16   23   +5      -1.80    38.02     0.81    68.16     8.40    11.15     2.40    11.05    38.46    18.32P    0.25R    0.05  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.70    32.57    -1.72    72.25     8.87    16.13     7.19    23.78    57.50    33.93P    0.13R    0.03  
Port_Vale        16   22   -1       2.07    64.91     1.61    58.78     8.21    -6.99     0.18     1.11     7.60     2.32P    3.81R    1.15  
Salford_City     16   21   -5       4.15    77.45     3.03    51.39     8.23   -21.71     0.02     0.13     1.41     0.35P   20.50R    8.05  
Cambridge_Utd    16   20   +4      -0.07    50.53     6.38    59.13     8.25     1.56     0.15     1.20     8.82     2.80P    3.50R    1.10  
Mansfield        16   20   +2      -6.30    13.41    -4.55    67.25     8.52    10.97     2.05    10.00    35.22    17.62P    0.37R    0.09  
Macclesfield     15   20   -2       3.58    75.62     4.01    53.02     8.14   -15.86     0.01     0.16     1.87     0.43P   14.63R    5.37  
Leyton_Orient    16   20   -3       1.52    61.28     2.54    54.05     8.48   -14.16     0.05     0.32     3.05     0.80P   12.79R    4.84  
Crawley_Town     16   20   -4       1.40    60.86     1.27    56.83     8.31   -10.84     0.08     0.65     4.98     1.42P    6.92R    2.28  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.19    51.99     2.28    56.73     8.45    -6.70     0.10     0.77     5.67     1.72P    6.59R    2.17  
Oldham           16   15   -8      -6.44    12.77    -7.25    56.86     8.56    -6.84     0.09     0.76     5.84     2.03P    7.15R    2.44  
Carlisle         16   15  -12      -4.51    21.69    -8.17    54.06     8.45   -15.20     0.02     0.25     2.73     0.80P   12.75R    5.09  
Walsall          16   15  -12      -5.89    15.29   -10.71    55.25     8.53   -12.83     0.04     0.42     3.74     1.35P   10.42R    3.62  
Scunthorpe       16   14   -4     -10.27     3.96    -7.53    59.62     8.85     2.72     0.33     1.92    11.47     4.77P    4.04R    1.37  
Stevenage        16   12   -9      -8.29     6.29    -6.80    49.10     8.16   -14.50     0.00     0.05     0.65     0.18P   27.19R   11.88  
Morecambe        16   10  -15      -6.14    12.43    -6.18    41.00     7.97   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   68.40R   50.35  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 October 2019, Boreham_Wood 0 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Bromley            19   36  +11       6.71    84.82     6.23    77.15     8.06    17.02    13.01    65.30    24.41P    0.06R    0.00  
Halifax            19   35   +6       9.15    92.65     6.06    73.02     7.79     7.75     4.77    43.92    12.07P    0.25R    0.00  
Yeovil             18   34  +11       1.84    60.84    -0.21    83.84     8.27    28.07    42.28    88.27    57.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     19   32   +5       3.04    68.38     0.71    72.92     8.08    10.65     5.32    44.62    14.34P    0.31R    0.00  
Barrow             18   31   +9       4.31    75.25     6.10    71.77     8.13    12.39     4.40    39.59    11.74P    0.52R    0.01  
Torquay            19   31   +6       5.51    79.41     7.30    67.59     8.35     4.92     1.92    22.31     5.69P    2.27R    0.06  
Notts_County       19   30  +12      -4.24    25.41    -0.34    79.45     7.95    30.64    21.24    77.35    42.46P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking             19   28   +2       4.35    74.85     5.83    62.57     8.25    -1.80     0.41     8.92     1.90P    7.58R    0.18  
Solihull_Moors     18   27   +7      -1.41    41.07     1.49    71.06     8.14    15.32     3.70    37.22    12.50P    0.65R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red          18   27   +0       2.54    66.36     0.28    65.41     8.03     0.06     0.74    14.16     3.37P    3.66R    0.05  
Dover_Athletic     18   27   -1       1.65    60.62    -1.92    63.78     8.10    -3.78     0.50    10.69     2.44P    5.57R    0.12  
Hartlepool         18   26   +1       1.35    58.92     1.10    62.58     8.04    -1.99     0.38     8.32     1.88P    7.08R    0.16  
Boreham_Wood       19   25   +4      -1.36    42.16     3.54    61.51     7.81     3.29     0.24     6.56     1.63P    7.72R    0.17  
Maidenhead         19   25   +3       1.35    59.35     6.50    58.31     7.68    -2.48     0.07     2.71     0.48P   15.48R    0.47  
Barnet             19   25   +0      -1.78    39.64    -1.19    64.84     7.81     4.23     0.53    12.67     3.38P    3.37R    0.09  
Eastleigh          19   25   -3       0.45    53.66    -0.56    60.28     7.78    -5.67     0.14     4.34     0.86P   11.43R    0.36  
Stockport          18   25   -7       5.73    82.70     1.44    55.46     8.07   -18.92     0.03     1.49     0.24P   29.73R    1.71  
Chesterfield       18   21   -5      -4.18    25.32    -5.69    59.79     8.03    -4.56     0.12     4.37     1.16P   12.90R    0.53  
AFC_Fylde          18   20  -10      -6.02    16.86   -11.80    60.51     8.22    -7.10     0.18     5.48     1.46P   11.86R    0.50  
Aldershot          19   19   -7      -2.56    34.82    -0.79    49.51     7.43   -16.07     0.00     0.15     0.02P   57.09R    5.81  
Sutton_United      18   16   -6      -6.95    12.54    -3.49    50.89     8.01   -11.20     0.00     0.40     0.10P   48.56R    5.02  
Wrexham            19   16   -8     -10.03     5.26    -8.18    53.36     7.77    -7.26     0.01     0.61     0.15P   35.14R    2.78  
Ebbsfleet_United   19   16  -10      -8.86     8.03    -7.88    52.37     7.94   -11.36     0.01     0.55     0.11P   41.37R    3.33  
Chorley            19   13  -20      -3.05    31.32    -4.53    35.63     7.20   -42.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.34R   78.64