Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 28 October 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 October 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        10   28  +15       6.25    95.81     1.26    89.76     7.07    55.02    56.38    94.83    99.01    99.75    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         10   22  +23      -2.95    18.29     1.56    87.40     6.64    72.90    42.10    91.93    98.09    99.56    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   20  +17       3.93    82.07    13.60    67.50     8.08    31.01     0.42     4.07    29.54    54.81    84.70     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          10   20   +7       1.57    63.42    -0.42    69.98     7.94    25.48     0.94     6.68    41.41    65.26    89.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          10   16   +1      -0.61    43.88    -3.40    62.03     8.17    12.63     0.08     0.95    11.12    25.73    61.66     0.08R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   -2       2.72    74.30     0.43    50.82     7.91    -6.95     0.00     0.02     0.59     2.42    12.27     2.41R    0.23  
Man_Utd          10   13   +3      -3.51    21.47    -1.19    60.15     7.81    16.00     0.03     0.45     6.45    18.20    53.47     0.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        10   13   +1       1.90    68.05     4.97    45.12     7.85    -9.30     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.51     3.69     9.28R    1.44  
Bournemouth      10   13   +0       0.26    53.05     2.29    45.75     7.83   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.61     4.27     8.12R    1.15  
West_Ham         10   13   -2      -0.19    49.24    -0.80    46.30     7.90   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.75     5.04     7.54R    0.96  
Tottenham        10   12   +1      -5.19    10.30    -4.37    62.96     7.97    20.55     0.06     1.04    12.94    30.18    67.66     0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   12   +0      -0.61    44.96     2.14    48.27     7.87    -3.85     0.00     0.00     0.22     1.11     7.75     4.40R    0.51  
Burnley          10   12   -1       0.48    55.64     2.69    43.62     7.64   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.25     2.35    12.45R    1.86  
Brighton         10   12   -2       1.23    62.94     3.19    40.75     7.42   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     1.03    21.21R    3.90  
Aston_Villa      10   11   -1       0.04    51.76     4.89    40.55     8.03   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.35    24.10R    5.58  
Everton          10   10   -6      -3.88    18.85    -5.95    44.77     7.84   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.49     3.33    10.46R    1.65  
Newcastle        10    9   -9      -1.62    35.63    -4.08    41.69     7.64   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     1.23    18.68R    3.51  
Southampton      10    8  -16      -0.54    47.17    -7.10    35.38     7.46   -37.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    50.72R   18.02  
Norwich          10    7  -13      -0.96    42.83    -1.02    32.49     7.73   -39.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    65.04R   31.11  
Watford          10    5  -16      -4.87    10.95    -8.68    32.36     7.44   -35.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    65.38R   30.06  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 October 2019, QPR 1 3 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       14   27   +9       2.52    67.68     0.66    81.93     9.02    26.00    33.64    51.88    84.81    61.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         14   25  +11       2.77    69.42     6.37    73.95     9.10    18.50     9.57    19.78    57.31    28.74P    0.16R    0.01  
Leeds_United    14   25   +9       3.00    71.12     4.91    78.08     8.77    22.63    17.56    34.06    74.37    45.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea         14   25   +5       3.43    73.76     1.49    72.84     8.85    10.97     6.75    15.18    51.05    24.10P    0.22R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       14   24   +8       2.83    70.47     4.96    70.14     8.80    11.47     4.10     9.80    39.68    16.79P    0.41R    0.03  
Bristol_City    14   24   +3       3.68    75.44     1.36    70.31     8.90     6.57     4.12    10.09    39.83    16.61P    0.54R    0.04  
Fulham          14   23   +9      -0.03    49.53     3.18    73.43     9.32    18.82     9.15    19.64    55.13    29.42P    0.25R    0.01  
QPR             14   23   -2       5.87    86.39     1.63    59.73     8.78   -14.25     0.34     1.02     7.68     2.05P    7.68R    1.23  
Charlton        14   22   +5       3.46    74.13     6.04    65.52     9.12     4.65     1.42     4.02    22.66     8.05P    2.19R    0.28  
Nott'm_Forest   13   22   +5       3.93    78.11     4.53    70.09     9.08     9.28     3.95     9.91    39.32    16.65P    0.60R    0.04  
Birmingham      14   22   -2       4.42    80.27     0.19    62.45     8.72    -6.88     0.56     1.68    12.29     3.55P    4.17R    0.53  
Brentford       14   21   +6      -0.66    44.95     2.27    71.72     8.93    16.20     5.76    13.55    47.57    23.04P    0.38R    0.04  
Hull            14   19   +0      -0.66    45.59    -0.55    61.01     8.95    -3.52     0.44     1.39    10.58     3.35P    5.92R    0.99  
Cardiff         14   18   -1      -2.21    34.74    -2.51    64.77     9.20     3.29     1.31     3.61    20.67     8.01P    2.74R    0.39  
Millwall        14   18   -3       1.32    61.10     0.67    57.43     8.58    -9.13     0.12     0.42     4.51     1.16P   11.29R    1.97  
Derby           14   18   -4      -2.41    32.93    -5.78    64.66     8.79     0.14     0.93     2.89    18.53     6.80P    2.36R    0.28  
Blackburn       14   15   -4      -2.93    29.36    -1.70    55.54     8.75    -9.21     0.07     0.29     3.28     0.94P   16.23R    3.75  
Wigan           14   15   -7      -1.32    40.94    -2.97    54.76     8.53   -12.64     0.04     0.15     2.19     0.54P   18.61R    4.08  
Luton           14   14   -4      -3.24    28.15    -0.53    54.12     9.28   -10.65     0.08     0.29     3.11     0.91P   22.13R    5.56  
Huddersfield    14   13   -5      -4.27    21.34    -2.20    49.77     8.76   -14.96     0.01     0.05     0.83     0.23P   37.41R   11.35  
Reading         13   12   -5      -2.17    33.99     0.59    50.18     8.72   -15.55     0.01     0.04     0.83     0.18P   35.95R   11.22  
Middlesbrough   14   12   -6      -7.76     6.47    -7.05    56.33     8.48    -4.53     0.07     0.26     3.37     1.09P   12.78R    2.37  
Stoke           14    8  -12      -8.31     4.44    -8.02    46.88     8.61   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P   50.93R   19.80  
Barnsley        14    8  -15      -6.43     9.96    -7.55    43.47     8.80   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   67.02R   36.02  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich              14   30  +14       5.66    85.57     6.31    82.86     8.49    31.77    38.37    58.02    89.77    67.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              15   30  +10       8.29    93.65     8.23    69.67     8.17     9.61     2.98     7.77    38.60    13.04P    0.06R    0.00  
Peterborough         15   28  +18       1.11    57.31     7.80    78.10     8.26    34.91    18.28    36.44    78.87    48.18P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   26   +9       3.47    74.16     3.94    72.55     8.45    17.29     5.95    14.45    53.76    23.54P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           15   25  +14       1.52    60.63     9.48    71.75     8.33    24.85     5.52    13.06    51.68    22.06P    0.06R    0.00  
Coventry             15   25   +2       3.98    76.84     1.38    64.44     8.08     1.77     0.62     2.01    17.55     4.89P    0.59R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   22   +8       0.79    55.93     2.90    73.19     8.68    21.62     7.43    17.25    57.35    27.35P    0.05R    0.00  
Sunderland           14   22   +5      -2.69    30.18    -3.55    75.37     8.32    24.07    10.52    23.47    67.47    37.71P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool            15   22   +2       0.56    54.58     0.67    62.30     8.02     3.05     0.34     1.20    12.11     3.38P    0.99R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       15   22   -1       0.99    57.80    -1.80    59.17     8.08    -4.81     0.13     0.56     6.23     1.59P    2.66R    0.01  
Rotherham            14   21   +8      -1.76    36.96     2.47    71.30     8.88    22.16     5.40    13.29    49.23    23.34P    0.14R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   21   -2       1.97    65.25    -2.08    60.49     8.06    -4.04     0.24     0.71     8.19     2.09P    1.81R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        13   19   +3      -0.34    47.75     0.80    67.66     8.63    12.37     2.18     5.88    31.46    12.00P    0.34R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   19   -6       1.39    60.99    -0.64    51.15     7.93   -19.05     0.00     0.03     0.81     0.12P   16.95R    0.18  
Gillingham           15   18   +3      -2.38    33.80     3.28    58.16     8.25     3.26     0.11     0.40     5.68     1.40P    3.61R    0.01  
Portsmouth           13   17   +1      -3.77    22.81    -3.55    66.73     8.79    11.97     1.92     5.35    28.85    11.60P    0.50R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         15   17   -3      -0.82    45.24     1.26    53.62     8.37    -7.72     0.02     0.11     1.92     0.42P   10.70R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   15   14   -9      -2.74    31.45    -2.84    47.49     7.87   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   30.59R    0.71  
Tranmere             14   13  -10      -0.23    49.88     0.51    42.24     8.15   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   58.38R    2.83  
MK_Dons              15   13  -10      -3.63    25.53    -4.03    44.60     7.97   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   45.36R    1.57  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   12   -6      -4.70    18.63     0.12    46.35     7.87   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   34.85R    0.84  
Southend             15    5  -27      -9.71     2.26   -16.79    31.46     7.51   -52.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.45R   28.16  
Bolton               12   -5  -23      -3.59    21.80   -13.87    25.14     8.33   -44.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.86R   65.54  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Colchester 3 1 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Crewe            15   30   +9       7.62    91.10     6.29    76.56     8.77    15.04    14.62    39.38    73.74    46.66P    0.02R    0.01  
Exeter           16   29   +5       4.02    75.55     0.52    75.47     8.40    12.99    11.36    34.12    70.27    43.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham       14   28  +14       6.50    88.51    10.60    74.97     8.93    18.65    12.44    34.22    68.19    41.57P    0.02R    0.01  
Forest_Green     15   28   +9       4.67    80.20     4.93    75.59     8.56    16.60    12.44    35.54    71.00    44.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          16   27   +7       2.60    67.26     3.36    73.28     8.51    14.70     7.73    26.12    61.79    35.06P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford         15   27   +7       1.74    61.77     0.11    78.33     8.97    20.18    21.32    48.67    79.70    57.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County   15   27   +5       6.25    87.25     4.46    71.54     8.54     8.24     5.13    19.20    52.41    26.19P    0.10R    0.02  
Northampton      16   24   +4      -0.08    49.65     0.82    67.08     8.41     6.95     1.92     9.04    33.15    15.02P    0.32R    0.05  
Colchester       16   23   +5      -1.83    37.44     0.74    68.22     8.42    11.24     2.48    11.39    38.98    18.97P    0.25R    0.04  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.81    31.83    -1.91    72.39     8.84    16.34     7.54    24.59    58.19    34.84P    0.12R    0.02  
Port_Vale        16   22   -1       2.04    64.96     1.57    58.89     8.19    -6.90     0.14     1.13     7.76     2.36P    3.70R    1.04  
Salford_City     16   21   -5       4.15    77.65     3.11    51.44     8.20   -21.62     0.02     0.14     1.40     0.33P   20.28R    8.07  
Cambridge_Utd    16   20   +4      -0.03    50.62     6.45    59.01     8.28     1.40     0.18     1.29     8.64     2.80P    3.63R    1.09  
Mansfield        16   20   +2      -6.30    13.59    -4.54    67.30     8.45    11.11     2.03     9.86    35.19    17.58P    0.32R    0.07  
Macclesfield     15   20   -2       3.59    75.91     4.01    52.95     8.13   -15.96     0.02     0.18     1.90     0.41P   14.74R    5.27  
Leyton_Orient    16   20   -3       1.50    61.36     2.54    54.06     8.45   -14.16     0.04     0.35     2.96     0.84P   12.54R    4.80  
Crawley_Town     16   20   -4       1.34    60.32     1.20    56.94     8.36   -10.69     0.08     0.64     5.16     1.44P    6.97R    2.40  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.27    52.85     2.36    56.70     8.38    -6.71     0.10     0.71     5.31     1.64P    6.55R    2.10  
Oldham           16   15   -8      -6.51    12.54    -7.35    56.91     8.53    -6.78     0.08     0.73     5.81     1.95P    6.93R    2.42  
Carlisle         16   15  -12      -4.55    21.65    -8.20    54.09     8.41   -15.18     0.03     0.27     2.78     0.80P   12.71R    4.89  
Walsall          16   15  -12      -5.79    15.76   -10.60    55.17     8.53   -12.97     0.04     0.41     3.67     1.31P   10.46R    3.65  
Scunthorpe       16   14   -4     -10.22     4.16    -7.46    59.57     8.87     2.62     0.27     1.95    11.27     4.85P    4.18R    1.38  
Stevenage        16   12   -9      -8.35     6.44    -6.89    49.26     8.28   -14.29     0.00     0.06     0.72     0.20P   26.97R   11.73  
Morecambe        16   10  -15      -6.11    12.40    -6.13    40.86     7.94   -30.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   69.11R   50.95  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Boreham_Wood 0 2 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Bromley            18   35  +11       7.27    87.36     6.46    78.78     8.28    19.02    19.36    72.99    31.40P    0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil             18   34  +11       1.91    61.50    -0.07    83.75     8.23    28.02    43.81    88.89    58.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            18   32   +5       7.88    90.13     5.60    70.92     7.93     6.07     3.35    35.50     9.58P    0.62R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town     18   29   +4       1.90    62.11     0.42    70.69     8.24     8.77     3.74    35.76    11.09P    0.81R    0.01  
Barrow             17   28   +7       3.09    69.34     4.77    69.55     8.37     9.52     3.17    31.49     9.29P    1.20R    0.01  
Woking             18   28   +6       4.17    74.04     7.37    65.46     8.54     4.52     1.27    17.33     4.45P    4.25R    0.11  
Torquay            18   28   +5       4.49    75.47     7.33    65.01     8.66     2.27     1.26    16.41     4.15P    5.11R    0.22  
Notts_County       18   27   +8      -4.49    23.74    -2.22    76.83     8.27    25.07    14.78    66.84    33.40P    0.12R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     18   27   +7      -1.41    40.98     1.48    71.05     8.14    15.32     4.08    38.73    13.31P    0.66R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red          17   27   +2       3.29    71.25     1.35    68.00     8.27     3.83     1.90    24.38     6.67P    1.99R    0.03  
Hartlepool         18   26   +1       1.38    59.27     1.16    62.76     8.02    -1.71     0.41     9.36     2.20P    6.77R    0.19  
Barnet             18   25   +1      -0.66    46.19    -0.57    66.24     8.06     5.24     1.11    18.06     5.20P    2.76R    0.08  
Eastleigh          18   25   -1       1.28    58.68     0.55    62.29     8.05    -2.68     0.32     8.30     1.86P    7.79R    0.31  
Boreham_Wood       18   24   +4      -0.87    44.74     3.75    62.50     8.04     4.15     0.38     9.14     2.21P    6.82R    0.30  
Maidenhead         18   24   +3       1.74    61.96     6.54    58.32     7.86    -3.06     0.07     3.25     0.61P   16.28R    0.85  
Dover_Athletic     17   24   -3       0.48    53.51    -3.28    61.63     8.29    -6.55     0.41     7.61     1.83P    9.71R    0.47  
Stockport          17   24   -7       5.94    84.30     1.14    54.60     8.29   -20.87     0.06     1.58     0.29P   34.19R    3.33  
Chesterfield       18   21   -5      -4.13    25.74    -5.61    59.81     8.12    -4.56     0.19     4.83     1.28P   13.16R    0.77  
AFC_Fylde          17   19  -10      -5.50    18.22   -11.57    61.01     8.49    -6.88     0.31     7.02     1.96P   11.70R    0.65  
Aldershot          18   18   -7      -2.54    34.56    -1.17    49.59     7.63   -16.65     0.00     0.18     0.03P   56.59R    8.33  
Sutton_United      17   16   -5      -5.85    15.87    -2.83    52.43     8.25   -10.02     0.01     0.77     0.17P   41.35R    5.06  
Wrexham            18   16   -7      -9.05     6.53    -7.71    55.02     7.95    -5.89     0.02     1.31     0.32P   28.00R    2.61  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   13  -14      -9.21     6.28    -9.90    49.62     8.10   -17.09     0.01     0.25     0.05P   55.83R   10.00  
Chorley            18   13  -16      -3.11    30.84    -2.99    38.28     7.54   -35.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.25R   66.65