Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 27 October 2019 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 October 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        10   28  +15       6.26    95.71     1.24    89.79     7.07    55.07    56.13    94.65    98.95    99.78    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         10   22  +23      -2.98    18.00     1.50    87.42     6.68    72.97    42.23    91.82    98.16    99.54    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   20  +17       3.87    81.62    13.45    67.79     8.06    31.47     0.50     4.28    30.18    55.79    85.45     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          10   20   +7       1.55    63.32    -0.46    70.12     7.93    25.81     0.94     6.69    41.51    65.61    90.24     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          10   16   +1      -0.62    43.68    -3.43    61.86     8.14    12.43     0.08     1.01    10.23    24.65    60.89     0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   10   15   -2       2.79    75.06     0.59    50.74     7.89    -7.09     0.00     0.02     0.56     2.13    11.83     2.44R    0.26  
Man_Utd          10   13   +3      -3.54    21.28    -1.24    60.25     7.92    16.16     0.03     0.46     6.82    18.59    53.96     0.11R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        10   13   +1       1.93    68.30     5.03    45.02     7.88    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.45     3.74     9.84R    1.46  
Bournemouth      10   13   +0       0.32    53.59     2.41    45.68     7.88   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.62     4.37     8.44R    1.18  
West_Ham         10   13   -2      -0.17    49.16    -0.76    46.21     7.85   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.74     4.76     7.42R    0.95  
Tottenham        10   12   +1      -5.19    10.35    -4.33    62.94     8.01    20.47     0.09     1.04    12.69    29.91    67.70     0.05R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    10   12   +0      -0.57    45.60     2.18    48.35     7.88    -3.77     0.00     0.01     0.24     1.11     7.62     4.28R    0.49  
Burnley          10   12   -1       0.52    56.17     2.79    43.59     7.54   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.24     2.22    12.21R    1.86  
Brighton         10   12   -2       1.22    62.73     3.17    40.72     7.45   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.01    21.40R    4.11  
Aston_Villa      10   11   -1      -0.02    50.97     4.78    40.53     7.98   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.16     1.35    24.13R    5.51  
Everton          10   10   -6      -3.89    18.94    -5.95    44.78     7.81   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.48     3.48    10.02R    1.68  
Newcastle        10    9   -9      -1.63    35.52    -4.05    41.72     7.61   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.10    18.61R    3.32  
Southampton      10    8  -16      -0.61    46.37    -7.26    35.56     7.48   -36.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    49.54R   17.13  
Norwich          10    7  -13      -0.97    42.56    -1.08    32.49     7.70   -38.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    64.88R   30.71  
Watford          10    5  -16      -4.81    11.30    -8.58    32.15     7.46   -36.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    66.56R   31.34  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 October 2019, Bristol_City 2 2 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       14   27   +9       2.50    67.52     0.61    82.20     9.03    26.44    35.57    53.92    85.94    63.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         14   25  +11       2.85    69.92     6.51    73.75     9.06    18.15     9.30    19.65    56.85    28.86P    0.17R    0.01  
Leeds_United    14   25   +9       2.94    70.91     4.83    78.07     8.76    22.54    17.70    34.75    74.71    46.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea         14   25   +5       3.47    74.13     1.55    72.76     8.89    10.83     6.70    15.51    51.23    24.25P    0.26R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed       14   24   +8       2.91    70.63     5.10    70.02     8.86    11.27     3.99     9.97    39.92    17.04P    0.41R    0.03  
Bristol_City    14   24   +3       3.64    75.12     1.34    70.40     8.94     6.66     4.34    10.41    40.76    17.26P    0.52R    0.04  
Fulham          14   23   +9       0.07    50.09     3.33    73.18     9.31    18.45     8.92    19.02    54.55    29.23P    0.25R    0.02  
QPR             13   23   +0       6.54    89.65     2.49    62.05     9.02   -10.60     0.61     1.93    12.59     3.69P    4.96R    0.71  
Charlton        14   22   +5       3.49    74.42     6.10    65.45     9.11     4.58     1.43     4.09    22.69     8.05P    2.28R    0.26  
Nott'm_Forest   13   22   +5       3.79    77.34     4.31    70.28     9.02     9.51     4.13    10.18    40.63    16.98P    0.53R    0.04  
Birmingham      14   22   -2       4.39    80.21     0.11    62.39     8.71    -6.91     0.52     1.61    12.44     3.61P    4.14R    0.50  
Hull            14   19   +0      -0.76    44.91    -0.70    61.08     9.03    -3.35     0.56     1.60    11.07     3.57P    6.13R    1.01  
Brentford       13   18   +4      -1.64    37.59     1.27    69.15     9.14    12.78     3.65     9.10    37.18    16.96P    0.85R    0.06  
Cardiff         14   18   -1      -2.23    34.59    -2.53    64.97     9.23     3.62     1.37     4.00    21.73     8.60P    2.60R    0.37  
Millwall        14   18   -3       1.35    61.07     0.73    57.42     8.55    -9.22     0.10     0.34     4.39     1.10P   11.39R    2.16  
Derby           14   18   -4      -2.33    33.56    -5.71    64.51     8.83    -0.13     0.85     2.82    18.71     6.94P    2.52R    0.32  
Blackburn       14   15   -4      -2.97    29.32    -1.75    55.73     8.82    -8.94     0.06     0.29     3.50     0.95P   16.25R    3.58  
Wigan           14   15   -7      -1.26    41.62    -2.81    54.67     8.62   -12.84     0.04     0.18     2.30     0.58P   19.48R    4.43  
Luton           14   14   -4      -3.23    28.55    -0.49    54.26     9.23   -10.37     0.07     0.28     3.20     0.94P   21.48R    5.45  
Huddersfield    14   13   -5      -4.15    22.00    -2.03    49.57     8.69   -15.25     0.01     0.04     0.82     0.21P   38.63R   11.97  
Reading         13   12   -5      -2.17    33.89     0.59    50.32     8.70   -15.32     0.02     0.06     0.88     0.22P   35.61R   10.72  
Middlesbrough   14   12   -6      -7.74     6.53    -7.07    56.27     8.52    -4.66     0.05     0.22     3.51     1.08P   13.20R    2.67  
Stoke           14    8  -12      -8.37     4.47    -8.09    46.92     8.54   -19.05     0.01     0.02     0.27     0.06P   51.03R   19.26  
Barnsley        14    8  -15      -6.51     9.80    -7.65    43.43     8.88   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   67.27R   36.37  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich              14   30  +14       5.74    85.77     6.43    82.66     8.51    31.48    37.55    57.08    89.33    65.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              15   30  +10       8.26    93.37     8.17    69.63     8.20     9.54     2.86     7.70    38.42    12.80P    0.10R    0.00  
Peterborough         15   28  +18       1.10    57.27     7.74    78.19     8.23    35.05    18.95    36.93    79.22    48.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   26   +9       3.47    74.12     3.97    72.53     8.46    17.22     6.19    14.55    53.38    23.41P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           15   25  +14       1.46    60.18     9.42    71.90     8.42    25.10     5.77    14.05    52.39    23.27P    0.06R    0.00  
Coventry             15   25   +2       4.10    77.79     1.55    64.35     8.11     1.65     0.69     2.13    17.32     4.86P    0.57R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   22   +8       0.82    55.85     2.95    73.08     8.62    21.37     7.16    16.73    56.89    27.12P    0.05R    0.00  
Sunderland           14   22   +5      -2.73    29.91    -3.57    75.39     8.31    24.17    10.68    23.84    67.65    37.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            15   22   +2       0.55    54.34     0.61    62.27     8.00     3.03     0.37     1.24    11.96     3.43P    0.99R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       15   22   -1       0.95    57.38    -1.80    59.20     8.08    -4.81     0.15     0.51     6.32     1.58P    2.70R    0.00  
Rotherham            14   21   +8      -1.68    37.52     2.59    71.11     8.85    21.86     5.21    12.87    48.58    22.86P    0.13R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   21   -2       1.92    64.64    -2.14    60.64     8.22    -3.89     0.22     0.79     9.03     2.35P    1.77R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        13   19   +3      -0.32    47.82     0.79    67.62     8.61    12.32     2.12     5.75    31.59    11.88P    0.32R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   19   -6       1.50    61.70    -0.44    51.07     7.94   -19.19     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.10P   17.58R    0.17  
Gillingham           15   18   +3      -2.37    33.80     3.26    58.24     8.25     3.33     0.11     0.43     5.84     1.47P    3.76R    0.01  
Portsmouth           13   17   +1      -3.79    22.49    -3.56    66.82     8.76    12.14     1.95     5.29    29.03    11.92P    0.43R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         15   17   -3      -0.80    45.11     1.30    53.67     8.25    -7.64     0.01     0.09     1.84     0.39P   10.51R    0.11  
Accrington_Stanley   15   14   -9      -2.77    31.29    -2.86    47.43     7.88   -19.39     0.01     0.01     0.22     0.04P   30.94R    0.65  
Tranmere             14   13  -10      -0.38    48.49     0.21    42.53     8.14   -29.12     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   57.36R    2.64  
MK_Dons              15   13  -10      -3.61    25.59    -4.04    44.65     8.05   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   45.43R    1.54  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   12   -6      -4.76    18.36     0.04    46.39     7.95   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   35.04R    0.85  
Southend             15    5  -27      -9.81     2.08   -16.86    31.45     7.53   -52.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.40R   27.95  
Bolton               12   -5  -23      -3.51    22.23   -13.77    24.98     8.33   -45.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.84R   66.06  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Colchester 3 1 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Crewe            15   30   +9       7.56    90.79     6.23    76.58     8.69    15.09    14.47    39.56    73.98    46.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter           16   29   +5       4.14    76.22     0.66    75.30     8.48    12.68    11.07    33.30    69.27    42.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham       14   28  +14       6.54    88.54    10.67    75.01     8.95    18.74    12.36    33.79    68.32    41.25P    0.03R    0.01  
Forest_Green     15   28   +9       4.61    80.04     4.82    75.69     8.59    16.74    12.62    36.09    71.33    45.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          16   27   +7       2.45    66.19     3.14    73.56     8.52    15.12     7.90    26.87    63.10    35.98P    0.03R    0.01  
Bradford         15   27   +7       1.59    60.65    -0.12    78.59     8.88    20.56    21.75    49.57    80.60    58.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County   15   27   +5       6.26    87.24     4.45    71.50     8.51     8.26     4.93    18.69    51.86    25.70P    0.10R    0.02  
Northampton      16   24   +4      -0.07    49.57     0.79    67.10     8.50     7.02     2.07     9.20    33.10    15.08P    0.35R    0.08  
Colchester       16   23   +5      -1.83    37.75     0.78    68.23     8.38    11.22     2.51    11.09    38.61    18.60P    0.24R    0.05  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.83    31.64    -1.95    72.40     8.72    16.39     7.11    24.09    58.03    34.26P    0.09R    0.02  
Port_Vale        16   22   -1       2.12    65.59     1.68    58.81     8.18    -6.96     0.16     1.10     7.63     2.24P    3.82R    1.08  
Salford_City     16   21   -5       4.26    78.15     3.22    51.21     8.14   -22.01     0.01     0.13     1.25     0.31P   20.93R    8.35  
Cambridge_Utd    16   20   +4      -0.05    50.72     6.41    59.09     8.29     1.49     0.18     1.27     8.65     2.80P    3.51R    1.04  
Mansfield        16   20   +2      -6.38    13.38    -4.70    67.39     8.55    11.23     2.20    10.04    35.71    18.06P    0.41R    0.10  
Macclesfield     15   20   -2       3.61    75.81     4.04    52.87     8.12   -16.13     0.02     0.19     1.93     0.43P   14.68R    5.34  
Leyton_Orient    16   20   -3       1.53    61.48     2.55    54.03     8.37   -14.20     0.03     0.31     2.80     0.73P   12.30R    4.74  
Crawley_Town     16   20   -4       1.43    60.95     1.34    56.81     8.38   -10.89     0.08     0.71     5.12     1.46P    6.98R    2.41  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.32    53.27     2.48    56.57     8.39    -6.90     0.07     0.66     5.18     1.47P    6.70R    2.12  
Oldham           16   15   -8      -6.43    12.68    -7.22    56.82     8.52    -6.94     0.08     0.69     5.55     1.89P    6.99R    2.41  
Carlisle         16   15  -12      -4.48    21.83    -8.08    53.99     8.42   -15.29     0.02     0.22     2.57     0.73P   13.17R    5.11  
Walsall          16   15  -12      -5.82    15.71   -10.62    55.14     8.51   -12.98     0.05     0.40     3.47     1.11P   10.56R    3.74  
Scunthorpe       16   14   -4     -10.25     4.04    -7.48    59.59     8.87     2.63     0.31     1.98    11.18     4.79P    4.08R    1.31  
Stevenage        16   12   -9      -8.41     6.21    -6.95    49.34     8.25   -14.19     0.00     0.04     0.71     0.20P   26.28R   11.48  
Morecambe        16   10  -15      -6.14    12.32    -6.15    40.93     7.94   -30.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   68.72R   50.58  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Boreham_Wood 0 2 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Bromley            18   35  +11       7.28    87.61     6.47    78.80     8.27    19.00    19.30    73.30    31.47P    0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil             18   34  +11       1.84    60.87    -0.20    83.96     8.28    28.29    44.39    89.12    59.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            18   32   +5       7.83    90.01     5.50    70.97     8.04     6.11     3.42    35.24     9.52P    0.60R    0.01  
Harrogate_Town     18   29   +4       1.85    61.82     0.39    70.81     8.16     8.95     3.65    36.03    10.92P    0.72R    0.01  
Barrow             17   28   +7       3.22    70.19     4.94    69.37     8.39     9.27     2.97    30.66     8.81P    1.39R    0.02  
Woking             18   28   +6       4.18    74.52     7.40    65.39     8.55     4.45     1.28    17.35     4.52P    4.32R    0.16  
Torquay            18   28   +5       4.38    74.98     7.14    65.18     8.64     2.50     1.31    16.59     4.32P    4.78R    0.19  
Notts_County       18   27   +8      -4.54    23.61    -2.27    76.93     8.26    25.22    14.80    67.12    33.59P    0.09R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     18   27   +7      -1.51    40.36     1.31    71.20     8.11    15.50     4.10    39.57    13.63P    0.63R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red          17   27   +2       3.20    70.53     1.22    68.08     8.19     3.99     1.82    24.32     6.66P    1.84R    0.03  
Hartlepool         18   26   +1       1.45    59.59     1.27    62.68     8.06    -1.86     0.38     9.21     2.06P    7.05R    0.27  
Barnet             18   25   +1      -0.57    46.81    -0.45    66.13     8.05     5.11     0.97    17.74     5.01P    2.76R    0.08  
Eastleigh          18   25   -1       1.31    59.24     0.66    62.19     8.08    -2.83     0.30     8.19     1.77P    8.07R    0.29  
Boreham_Wood       18   24   +4      -0.73    46.08     3.92    62.36     7.98     3.96     0.39     8.66     2.16P    6.85R    0.24  
Maidenhead         18   24   +3       1.73    61.70     6.53    58.29     7.90    -3.13     0.09     3.35     0.61P   16.43R    0.90  
Dover_Athletic     17   24   -3       0.61    54.36    -3.10    61.51     8.33    -6.74     0.37     7.55     1.78P   10.02R    0.45  
Stockport          17   24   -7       5.86    83.90     0.97    54.72     8.26   -20.65     0.06     1.57     0.30P   33.53R    3.15  
Chesterfield       18   21   -5      -4.11    25.80    -5.58    59.66     8.02    -4.77     0.12     4.62     1.13P   13.14R    0.83  
AFC_Fylde          17   19  -10      -5.52    18.30   -11.56    61.03     8.52    -6.86     0.23     7.18     1.99P   11.76R    0.73  
Aldershot          18   18   -7      -2.47    34.65    -1.05    49.49     7.63   -16.83     0.00     0.18     0.03P   56.88R    8.58  
Sutton_United      17   16   -5      -5.93    15.66    -2.93    52.60     8.23    -9.78     0.01     0.83     0.17P   40.34R    4.86  
Wrexham            18   16   -7      -9.00     6.79    -7.64    54.98     8.04    -5.92     0.03     1.39     0.38P   28.66R    2.56  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   13  -14      -9.21     6.30    -9.97    49.56     8.09   -17.13     0.01     0.23     0.06P   55.98R   10.09  
Chorley            18   13  -16      -3.14    30.55    -2.98    38.29     7.59   -35.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.10R   66.52