Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 26 October 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Brighton 3 2 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         9   25  +14       5.31    93.70     1.39    88.58     7.26    54.61    51.76    92.61    98.28    99.52    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         10   22  +23      -2.91    18.71     1.71    87.36     6.68    72.72    46.24    91.51    97.97    99.52    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        10   20  +17       3.91    81.79    13.53    67.60     8.02    31.18     0.58     4.52    28.67    53.71    85.41     0.01R    0.00  
Chelsea          10   20   +7       1.46    62.75    -0.55    70.07     7.98    25.71     0.99     7.39    40.63    64.45    89.89     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal           9   15   +1       0.19    51.44    -2.79    63.24     8.33    13.91     0.20     1.69    13.66    30.06    66.88     0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    9   14   -2       2.72    76.00    -0.20    50.25     8.02    -8.39     0.00     0.01     0.56     1.96    11.12     3.16R    0.36  
Sheff_Utd        10   13   +1       1.93    68.50     5.01    44.97     7.86    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.42     3.62    10.06R    1.53  
Bournemouth      10   13   +0       0.28    53.12     2.33    45.87     7.82   -10.90     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.61     4.42     8.04R    1.15  
West_Ham         10   13   -2      -0.13    49.45    -0.75    46.09     7.78   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.57     4.38     7.90R    1.17  
Tottenham         9   12   +2      -4.39    12.98    -4.31    63.78     8.24    20.64     0.21     1.85    14.72    33.18    70.64     0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          10   12   -1       0.55    56.25     2.77    43.62     7.68   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.23     2.35    13.17R    2.32  
Brighton         10   12   -2       1.21    62.97     3.20    40.79     7.42   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.99    21.59R    4.23  
Wolverhampton     9   11   +0      -0.25    48.29     2.16    48.53     8.08    -4.08     0.00     0.01     0.30     1.32     8.38     4.72R    0.65  
Aston_Villa      10   11   -1       0.01    51.38     4.85    40.55     8.00   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.18     1.36    24.93R    5.93  
Man_Utd           9   10   +1      -4.27    15.52    -1.82    58.60     8.05    14.07     0.02     0.38     4.57    13.55    45.22     0.23R    0.01  
Everton          10   10   -6      -3.89    18.84    -5.97    44.75     7.85   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.49     3.45    10.64R    1.80  
Newcastle         9    8   -9      -1.31    37.97    -4.12    42.34     7.85   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.56    18.01R    3.51  
Southampton      10    8  -16      -0.62    46.36    -7.30    35.47     7.47   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    51.28R   18.41  
Norwich           9    7  -11      -0.34    49.09    -0.51    33.68     7.98   -36.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    59.60R   27.13  
Watford          10    5  -16      -4.83    10.81    -8.64    32.30     7.45   -35.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    66.58R   31.79  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Birmingham 2 1 Luton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       14   27   +9       2.60    68.34     0.73    81.86     9.07    25.96    33.84    52.17    84.66    62.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Preston         14   25  +11       2.74    69.15     6.36    73.79     9.04    18.21     9.22    19.90    56.75    29.13P    0.18R    0.01  
Leeds_United    14   25   +9       2.86    70.30     4.72    78.16     8.84    22.71    18.49    35.23    75.00    46.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       14   24   +8       2.79    70.19     4.92    70.35     8.77    11.76     4.10    10.15    41.16    17.56P    0.37R    0.02  
Fulham          14   23   +9      -0.02    49.59     3.24    73.32     9.40    18.68     9.08    19.38    54.93    29.42P    0.23R    0.02  
Bristol_City    13   23   +3       4.31    79.79     1.72    71.52     9.14     7.82     5.68    13.08    45.36    20.31P    0.40R    0.05  
QPR             13   23   +0       6.65    90.28     2.62    61.95     8.99   -10.75     0.57     1.74    12.34     3.41P    4.94R    0.68  
Charlton        14   22   +5       3.51    74.48     6.12    65.37     9.16     4.43     1.44     4.17    22.47     8.16P    2.15R    0.21  
Nott'm_Forest   13   22   +5       3.89    77.76     4.49    69.86     9.02     8.95     3.79     9.36    38.37    15.85P    0.63R    0.05  
Swansea         13   22   +4       2.14    66.08     1.01    71.18     9.12     9.86     5.42    12.38    44.19    20.24P    0.46R    0.03  
Birmingham      14   22   -2       4.33    79.90     0.02    62.47     8.73    -6.83     0.55     1.70    12.34     3.68P    4.14R    0.51  
Hull            14   19   +0      -0.77    44.92    -0.72    61.16     8.91    -3.25     0.43     1.49    11.05     3.57P    5.66R    0.87  
Brentford       13   18   +4      -1.51    38.56     1.42    68.99     9.13    12.50     3.56     8.78    36.29    15.98P    0.81R    0.09  
Cardiff         13   18   +0      -1.29    40.69    -2.13    66.45     9.55     4.79     2.38     5.95    26.98    11.54P    2.06R    0.34  
Millwall        14   18   -3       1.38    61.24     0.77    57.44     8.65    -9.24     0.11     0.39     4.65     1.23P   11.59R    2.01  
Derby           14   18   -4      -2.31    33.91    -5.67    64.48     8.89    -0.11     1.06     3.00    18.58     6.87P    2.61R    0.30  
Blackburn       14   15   -4      -2.95    29.46    -1.72    55.68     8.80    -9.01     0.06     0.30     3.50     0.95P   16.17R    3.53  
Luton           14   14   -4      -3.14    28.82    -0.36    54.22     9.30   -10.42     0.08     0.30     3.25     0.95P   21.95R    5.59  
Wigan           13   14   -7      -1.20    41.51    -3.34    54.39     8.82   -13.67     0.04     0.18     2.44     0.65P   20.65R    4.69  
Huddersfield    14   13   -5      -4.22    21.68    -2.14    49.74     8.77   -14.95     0.01     0.04     0.92     0.20P   37.80R   11.23  
Reading         13   12   -5      -2.15    34.18     0.63    50.37     8.75   -15.25     0.02     0.05     0.91     0.20P   35.06R   11.00  
Middlesbrough   14   12   -6      -7.70     6.87    -7.01    56.33     8.51    -4.58     0.07     0.25     3.50     1.17P   12.92R    2.43  
Stoke           14    8  -12      -8.33     4.39    -8.06    46.81     8.57   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   51.41R   19.78  
Barnsley        14    8  -15      -6.47     9.84    -7.62    43.27     8.80   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   67.79R   36.58  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich              14   30  +14       5.80    86.32     6.50    82.53     8.57    31.32    37.37    56.99    88.99    66.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              15   30  +10       8.29    93.48     8.20    69.60     8.21     9.52     3.03     7.83    38.64    13.07P    0.08R    0.00  
Peterborough         15   28  +18       1.15    57.36     7.81    78.05     8.26    34.80    18.74    36.70    78.57    48.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       14   26   +9       3.50    74.59     4.03    72.47     8.44    17.09     6.04    14.39    53.36    23.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           15   25  +14       1.34    59.53     9.22    71.99     8.30    25.19     5.67    14.08    52.75    23.09P    0.06R    0.00  
Coventry             15   25   +2       4.16    78.11     1.62    64.32     8.11     1.60     0.64     2.10    17.37     4.88P    0.54R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   22   +8       0.83    56.07     2.96    73.12     8.64    21.45     7.45    16.99    57.15    27.24P    0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland           14   22   +5      -2.65    30.25    -3.41    75.21     8.36    23.84    10.49    23.25    66.55    37.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            15   22   +2       0.56    54.47     0.61    62.39     8.01     3.16     0.36     1.18    12.40     3.56P    1.06R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       15   22   -1       1.05    58.05    -1.69    59.14     8.00    -4.85     0.12     0.45     5.96     1.39P    2.69R    0.01  
Rotherham            14   21   +8      -1.77    36.93     2.47    71.25     8.85    22.10     5.46    13.20    48.99    23.32P    0.10R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           14   21   -2       1.98    65.39    -2.06    60.50     8.13    -4.08     0.24     0.76     8.70     2.17P    1.87R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        13   19   +3      -0.38    47.34     0.75    67.76     8.65    12.53     2.25     6.11    32.37    12.51P    0.30R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   19   -6       1.45    61.48    -0.57    51.10     7.92   -19.19     0.00     0.03     0.72     0.11P   17.07R    0.18  
Gillingham           15   18   +3      -2.38    33.94     3.30    58.16     8.28     3.20     0.12     0.42     5.73     1.47P    3.74R    0.03  
Portsmouth           13   17   +1      -3.88    22.20    -3.72    66.95     8.71    12.35     1.99     5.47    29.45    11.93P    0.42R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         15   17   -3      -0.79    45.24     1.36    53.65     8.25    -7.65     0.01     0.05     1.78     0.39P   10.68R    0.10  
Accrington_Stanley   15   14   -9      -2.71    31.61    -2.76    47.33     7.82   -19.57     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P   31.56R    0.70  
Tranmere             14   13  -10      -0.36    48.61     0.26    42.51     8.16   -29.18     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   57.13R    2.79  
MK_Dons              15   13  -10      -3.70    25.10    -4.14    44.71     8.03   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   45.31R    1.57  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   12   -6      -4.77    18.39     0.02    46.36     8.03   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   35.34R    0.95  
Southend             15    5  -27      -9.81     2.13   -16.89    31.49     7.60   -52.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.18R   28.49  
Bolton               12   -5  -23      -3.58    21.74   -13.85    25.24     8.34   -44.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.75R   65.18  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Colchester 3 1 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Crewe            15   30   +9       7.68    91.21     6.38    76.37     8.76    14.75    14.10    38.20    73.00    45.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter           16   29   +5       4.00    75.43     0.48    75.58     8.42    13.12    11.59    34.39    70.52    43.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham       14   28  +14       6.42    87.92    10.48    75.07     8.93    18.81    12.33    34.56    68.45    41.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green     15   28   +9       4.60    79.73     4.81    75.71     8.70    16.78    12.83    36.15    71.05    44.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          16   27   +7       2.59    67.42     3.34    73.34     8.53    14.84     7.74    26.41    61.58    35.25P    0.04R    0.01  
Bradford         15   27   +7       1.70    61.48     0.05    78.41     8.99    20.34    21.40    48.63    79.79    57.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County   15   27   +5       6.15    86.93     4.32    71.61     8.52     8.37     5.22    19.22    52.53    26.58P    0.09R    0.01  
Northampton      16   24   +4      -0.03    50.04     0.87    67.03     8.46     6.89     1.87     8.98    32.88    14.78P    0.38R    0.06  
Colchester       16   23   +5      -1.89    37.33     0.66    68.38     8.45    11.43     2.50    11.66    39.51    19.21P    0.24R    0.07  
Plymouth         16   23   +4      -2.88    31.30    -2.03    72.61     8.75    16.66     7.52    24.73    59.00    34.87P    0.07R    0.01  
Port_Vale        16   22   -1       2.11    65.11     1.68    58.83     8.20    -6.94     0.11     1.05     7.66     2.20P    3.73R    1.05  
Salford_City     16   21   -5       4.35    78.52     3.38    51.10     8.17   -22.24     0.01     0.13     1.27     0.30P   21.22R    8.42  
Cambridge_Utd    16   20   +4      -0.06    50.45     6.40    59.06     8.24     1.46     0.13     1.19     8.60     2.62P    3.38R    1.00  
Mansfield        16   20   +2      -6.26    13.90    -4.52    67.29     8.45    11.04     2.02     9.62    34.96    17.51P    0.33R    0.07  
Macclesfield     15   20   -2       3.59    75.96     4.03    52.87     8.20   -16.09     0.03     0.21     1.95     0.48P   14.78R    5.53  
Leyton_Orient    16   20   -3       1.63    61.98     2.70    53.85     8.42   -14.45     0.04     0.31     2.72     0.77P   13.02R    5.15  
Crawley_Town     16   20   -4       1.49    61.45     1.39    56.71     8.33   -11.00     0.06     0.59     4.88     1.30P    7.12R    2.40  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.23    52.84     2.32    56.77     8.45    -6.69     0.08     0.73     5.50     1.60P    6.43R    2.10  
Oldham           16   15   -8      -6.42    12.77    -7.20    56.80     8.51    -6.91     0.09     0.66     5.57     1.89P    6.94R    2.31  
Carlisle         16   15  -12      -4.51    21.81    -8.14    54.02     8.39   -15.24     0.02     0.20     2.55     0.74P   12.76R    4.97  
Walsall          16   15  -12      -5.89    15.61   -10.70    55.25     8.60   -12.83     0.05     0.38     3.77     1.24P   10.38R    3.78  
Scunthorpe       16   14   -4     -10.26     4.05    -7.50    59.70     8.90     2.81     0.27     1.95    11.55     4.89P    4.13R    1.36  
Stevenage        16   12   -9      -8.43     6.12    -6.98    49.29     8.24   -14.21     0.00     0.05     0.70     0.20P   26.32R   11.49  
Morecambe        16   10  -15      -6.17    12.16    -6.20    40.93     7.94   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   68.57R   50.19  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 October 2019, Boreham_Wood 0 2 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Bromley            18   35  +11       7.26    87.49     6.46    78.79     8.28    19.00    19.43    73.20    31.47P    0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil             18   34  +11       1.83    60.73    -0.23    83.93     8.25    28.27    45.02    89.15    59.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax            18   32   +5       7.93    90.53     5.64    70.81     7.95     5.91     3.24    34.64     9.34P    0.68R    0.00  
Harrogate_Town     18   29   +4       1.84    61.65     0.37    70.80     8.20     8.94     3.75    36.20    11.27P    0.77R    0.01  
Barrow             17   28   +7       3.08    69.36     4.74    69.67     8.41     9.71     3.22    32.16     9.56P    1.19R    0.03  
Woking             18   28   +6       4.20    74.27     7.45    65.45     8.54     4.48     1.17    17.42     4.38P    4.21R    0.14  
Torquay            18   28   +5       4.31    74.73     7.02    65.21     8.66     2.61     1.35    16.85     4.31P    4.73R    0.21  
Notts_County       18   27   +8      -4.47    23.79    -2.19    76.77     8.24    24.98    14.20    66.67    32.91P    0.08R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     18   27   +7      -1.38    41.20     1.55    71.01     8.14    15.24     3.84    38.67    13.44P    0.63R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red          17   27   +2       3.36    71.36     1.46    67.95     8.32     3.76     1.73    24.08     6.34P    2.11R    0.05  
Hartlepool         18   26   +1       1.40    59.43     1.19    62.76     8.05    -1.70     0.41     9.34     2.21P    6.88R    0.28  
Barnet             18   25   +1      -0.69    45.89    -0.61    66.26     8.05     5.24     1.06    18.17     5.01P    2.60R    0.09  
Eastleigh          18   25   -1       1.31    59.12     0.64    62.21     8.00    -2.81     0.29     8.04     1.86P    7.66R    0.27  
Boreham_Wood       18   24   +4      -0.86    44.67     3.72    62.48     8.02     4.10     0.42     8.92     2.24P    6.79R    0.25  
Maidenhead         18   24   +3       1.75    62.14     6.58    58.21     7.92    -3.25     0.09     3.26     0.63P   16.76R    0.94  
Dover_Athletic     17   24   -3       0.62    54.47    -3.10    61.40     8.30    -6.84     0.34     7.46     1.76P   10.05R    0.45  
Stockport          17   24   -7       5.94    84.29     1.09    54.60     8.24   -20.83     0.04     1.46     0.25P   34.13R    3.53  
Chesterfield       18   21   -5      -4.17    25.31    -5.67    59.81     8.11    -4.50     0.17     5.02     1.23P   13.28R    0.80  
AFC_Fylde          17   19  -10      -5.40    18.99   -11.36    60.80     8.45    -7.20     0.21     6.75     1.81P   12.09R    0.68  
Aldershot          18   18   -7      -2.54    34.34    -1.16    49.56     7.70   -16.68     0.00     0.18     0.03P   56.67R    8.81  
Sutton_United      17   16   -5      -5.91    15.93    -2.90    52.51     8.23    -9.93     0.01     0.84     0.19P   40.99R    5.11  
Wrexham            18   16   -7      -8.92     6.93    -7.54    54.79     7.99    -6.18     0.01     1.23     0.36P   29.22R    3.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   18   13  -14      -9.22     6.18    -9.95    49.76     8.12   -16.88     0.00     0.29     0.08P   55.06R    9.89  
Chorley            18   13  -16      -3.25    29.58    -3.19    38.54     7.68   -35.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.36R   65.45