Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 24 October 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 October 2019, Sheff_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 9 25 +14 5.40 94.00 1.58 88.58 7.24 54.60 54.16 94.99 98.94 99.74 99.98 0.00 0.00 Man_City 9 19 +20 -3.10 16.70 1.75 86.87 6.81 72.34 44.69 93.32 98.59 99.61 99.97 0.00 0.00 Leicester 9 17 +8 4.07 84.63 7.38 61.75 8.34 15.02 0.13 1.36 14.28 31.24 64.05 0.10R 0.01 Chelsea 9 17 +5 0.67 56.04 -1.18 67.90 8.09 22.46 0.65 5.75 39.28 61.62 86.66 0.01R 0.00 Arsenal 9 15 +1 0.22 51.48 -2.75 63.25 8.32 13.91 0.17 1.98 18.94 37.78 70.16 0.07R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 9 14 -2 2.70 75.78 -0.26 50.14 8.00 -8.45 0.00 0.04 0.84 2.93 12.74 3.75R 0.51 Tottenham 9 12 +2 -4.41 12.44 -4.27 63.49 8.15 20.23 0.18 2.02 19.91 40.27 72.71 0.05R 0.00 Burnley 9 12 +1 1.34 64.20 3.68 45.28 7.82 -10.36 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.72 4.57 10.93R 1.73 Sheff_Utd 9 12 +1 2.04 70.48 4.60 45.06 7.98 -10.04 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.76 4.57 12.02R 2.16 Bournemouth 9 12 +0 0.67 57.37 2.31 46.37 8.08 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 1.27 6.49 9.51R 1.51 West_Ham 9 12 -2 0.51 55.79 -0.44 47.07 8.04 -11.30 0.00 0.01 0.45 1.57 7.37 8.06R 1.13 Aston_Villa 9 11 +2 0.13 52.52 4.92 40.86 8.11 -16.95 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.36 1.90 26.75R 6.77 Wolverhampton 9 11 +0 -0.32 47.60 2.01 48.54 8.05 -3.93 0.00 0.02 0.53 2.04 9.81 5.62R 0.80 Man_Utd 9 10 +1 -4.37 14.91 -1.94 58.50 8.01 13.89 0.02 0.50 7.02 18.39 48.56 0.29R 0.02 Everton 9 10 -5 -2.51 27.43 -5.04 46.44 8.03 -11.17 0.00 0.00 0.34 1.23 6.36 9.38R 1.54 Brighton 9 9 -3 -0.29 48.49 2.31 39.02 7.54 -18.03 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.75 33.14R 8.43 Southampton 9 8 -7 -0.81 43.96 -1.36 40.10 7.84 -21.31 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14 1.13 29.69R 8.10 Newcastle 9 8 -9 -1.40 36.75 -4.26 42.03 7.76 -17.72 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.20 1.85 21.15R 4.19 Norwich 9 7 -11 -0.32 49.12 -0.52 33.96 8.01 -36.40 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.26 61.65R 29.26 Watford 9 4 -16 -4.54 10.43 -8.52 32.70 7.67 -35.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 67.84R 33.85Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 October 2019, Bristol_City 2 1 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 13 26 +9 3.27 73.67 1.27 83.46 9.31 27.79 38.63 57.12 87.65 66.27P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 13 24 +9 3.19 73.00 4.67 78.68 8.99 22.98 18.35 35.87 75.83 47.26P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 13 23 +8 3.15 72.98 4.95 70.63 9.05 11.55 4.34 10.75 42.08 18.16P 0.42R 0.04 Bristol_City 13 23 +3 4.36 79.74 1.82 71.34 9.16 7.53 4.97 11.94 44.08 19.19P 0.41R 0.04 QPR 13 23 +0 6.60 90.04 2.59 62.06 9.06 -10.65 0.48 1.72 12.40 3.37P 5.20R 0.79 Preston 13 22 +10 1.66 62.46 6.21 72.67 9.36 17.99 7.21 16.47 51.65 25.72P 0.29R 0.02 Fulham 13 22 +9 0.35 52.17 3.23 73.72 9.57 18.72 8.84 19.52 56.13 29.55P 0.30R 0.02 Nott'm_Forest 13 22 +5 3.81 77.48 4.39 70.09 8.93 9.25 3.30 9.05 38.91 15.91P 0.57R 0.05 Swansea 13 22 +4 2.27 66.94 1.16 71.10 9.13 9.70 4.62 11.31 43.26 18.97P 0.46R 0.04 Charlton 13 21 +5 3.54 75.28 5.50 64.86 9.41 3.00 1.37 3.74 20.99 7.36P 2.84R 0.38 Birmingham 13 19 -3 3.10 73.95 -0.37 60.74 8.92 -7.96 0.31 1.11 9.43 2.63P 6.28R 1.09 Brentford 13 18 +4 -1.66 37.61 1.25 69.14 9.18 12.67 3.15 8.33 36.57 15.94P 0.82R 0.08 Cardiff 13 18 +0 -1.27 40.81 -2.11 66.36 9.67 4.57 2.07 5.64 26.69 11.17P 2.28R 0.36 Derby 13 18 -2 -1.42 39.39 -4.39 66.92 9.12 3.41 1.68 5.00 26.63 10.58P 1.49R 0.16 Hull 13 16 -2 -1.94 36.27 -2.01 58.68 9.25 -6.77 0.26 0.88 7.40 2.26P 10.32R 2.13 Blackburn 13 15 -3 -2.04 35.28 -1.55 56.34 9.05 -9.02 0.11 0.35 4.42 1.17P 14.90R 3.51 Millwall 13 15 -5 0.22 53.10 -0.53 55.11 8.71 -12.24 0.04 0.19 2.70 0.70P 17.77R 4.15 Luton 13 14 -3 -2.15 35.05 0.03 55.60 9.51 -9.39 0.11 0.44 4.60 1.34P 18.33R 4.59 Wigan 13 14 -7 -1.22 41.28 -3.33 54.33 8.75 -13.71 0.04 0.17 2.28 0.57P 20.47R 4.88 Reading 13 12 -5 -2.14 34.59 0.62 50.14 8.77 -15.57 0.00 0.03 0.73 0.15P 36.09R 11.63 Middlesbrough 13 11 -6 -7.36 6.91 -6.98 56.80 8.80 -4.46 0.09 0.34 4.21 1.39P 12.56R 2.65 Huddersfield 13 10 -6 -5.49 13.62 -2.59 48.19 8.93 -15.81 0.00 0.03 0.62 0.17P 44.54R 16.55 Stoke 13 8 -10 -7.44 6.08 -6.74 48.84 8.81 -16.18 0.00 0.02 0.51 0.13P 41.86R 14.84 Barnsley 13 8 -14 -5.40 13.54 -7.07 44.60 9.04 -27.42 0.00 0.01 0.21 0.05P 61.78R 32.03League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 October 2019, Coventry 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Peterborough 14 27 +18 1.87 63.03 8.41 79.47 8.53 36.44 23.22 41.61 82.36 53.00P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 13 27 +12 5.12 84.07 5.96 80.85 8.76 29.19 27.61 46.33 84.70 57.29P 0.00R 0.00 Wycombe 14 27 +9 6.58 89.06 7.14 66.82 8.42 6.52 1.54 4.24 27.28 8.07P 0.34R 0.00 Coventry 14 24 +2 3.99 77.59 0.79 64.00 8.22 0.44 0.55 1.90 16.67 4.61P 0.78R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 13 23 +8 2.47 68.11 3.89 71.53 8.67 17.19 4.92 12.04 49.26 20.40P 0.10R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 14 22 +11 0.99 57.51 8.31 70.35 8.59 22.16 3.83 9.71 45.29 17.73P 0.17R 0.00 Doncaster 13 22 +8 0.84 55.98 2.99 72.93 8.66 21.13 6.62 15.55 56.14 25.72P 0.07R 0.00 Sunderland 13 22 +6 -1.40 38.52 -2.78 77.61 8.56 26.62 16.04 31.78 75.63 45.74P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 13 21 +9 -0.33 47.32 3.48 74.17 9.14 25.64 10.00 21.04 61.75 32.21P 0.07R 0.00 Blackpool 14 21 +2 0.70 55.42 0.34 62.24 8.23 2.30 0.38 1.26 12.70 3.54P 1.43R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 14 21 -1 1.30 60.33 -1.84 59.33 8.16 -5.10 0.17 0.57 6.64 1.64P 3.01R 0.02 Rochdale 14 19 -3 1.78 63.94 0.67 52.55 8.23 -16.22 0.01 0.07 1.34 0.25P 14.89R 0.14 Burton_Albion 12 18 +3 0.25 52.43 1.13 68.61 8.92 13.25 2.77 7.27 36.38 14.22P 0.34R 0.00 Shrewsbury 13 18 -3 0.39 53.58 -2.92 58.32 8.35 -6.01 0.11 0.44 5.83 1.41P 4.06R 0.02 Lincoln_City 15 17 -3 -0.83 44.91 1.34 53.75 8.31 -7.49 0.02 0.10 1.95 0.42P 11.52R 0.12 Portsmouth 12 16 +1 -3.45 23.58 -3.59 67.26 8.94 12.21 2.14 5.81 31.36 12.64P 0.51R 0.00 Gillingham 14 15 +2 -3.87 23.38 2.54 55.96 8.44 1.16 0.07 0.25 3.73 0.93P 7.40R 0.04 Accrington_Stanley 14 14 -8 -1.60 39.05 -2.09 49.16 8.13 -17.99 0.00 0.02 0.48 0.08P 26.00R 0.51 MK_Dons 14 13 -9 -3.00 29.03 -4.07 45.49 8.32 -22.92 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.04P 43.61R 1.62 Tranmere 14 13 -10 -0.44 48.11 0.25 42.57 8.25 -29.21 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 58.80R 3.07 AFC_Wimbledon 15 12 -6 -4.79 18.14 0.07 46.57 8.01 -13.94 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 36.01R 1.14 Southend 14 5 -25 -9.14 2.69 -16.15 32.63 7.74 -50.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.82R 25.10 Bolton 12 -5 -23 -3.61 21.47 -13.87 25.20 8.26 -44.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.07R 68.20 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2019, Bradford 1 2 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Crewe 15 30 +9 7.68 91.45 6.37 76.54 8.79 15.01 14.52 39.88 74.25 47.50P 0.01R 0.01 Cheltenham 14 28 +14 6.50 88.41 10.59 75.11 8.95 18.90 12.35 35.14 69.69 42.93P 0.04R 0.01 Forest_Green 15 28 +9 4.60 79.59 4.78 75.72 8.63 16.79 12.80 36.63 72.19 45.64P 0.02R 0.00 Bradford 15 27 +7 1.74 61.67 0.09 78.43 8.93 20.36 21.36 49.91 80.80 58.82P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 14 27 +7 7.07 90.74 5.70 73.58 8.76 11.32 8.48 27.31 62.73 35.13P 0.07R 0.02 Exeter 15 26 +1 3.46 73.09 -1.98 71.76 8.70 5.92 5.78 20.76 53.92 28.82P 0.08R 0.03 Swindon 15 24 +3 1.95 63.88 0.82 70.15 8.78 8.47 4.03 16.49 47.81 24.07P 0.20R 0.04 Plymouth 15 23 +8 -2.53 32.50 0.45 75.88 8.97 23.55 14.68 39.62 73.46 50.47P 0.03R 0.00 Northampton 15 21 +2 -0.98 43.37 -0.10 65.00 8.72 4.27 1.29 6.48 26.47 11.23P 0.88R 0.21 Port_Vale 15 21 -1 2.42 67.91 1.65 59.07 8.46 -7.20 0.17 1.45 8.97 2.78P 4.06R 1.16 Cambridge_Utd 15 20 +6 0.58 55.08 7.41 60.62 8.41 3.75 0.29 2.19 12.99 4.39P 2.50R 0.77 Colchester 15 20 +3 -2.89 30.06 -0.41 66.15 8.61 8.62 1.53 7.95 31.08 14.21P 0.57R 0.15 Crawley_Town 15 20 +0 1.88 63.94 3.83 59.66 8.61 -4.44 0.23 1.75 10.74 3.34P 3.77R 1.23 Macclesfield 15 20 -2 3.64 76.06 4.03 52.70 8.22 -16.31 0.03 0.20 2.06 0.46P 15.85R 5.84 Salford_City 15 20 -5 4.47 80.04 3.04 51.14 8.42 -22.79 0.02 0.17 1.54 0.34P 22.16R 9.26 Grimsby 15 19 +0 0.24 52.65 2.30 56.58 8.38 -6.87 0.07 0.71 5.40 1.63P 6.73R 2.16 Leyton_Orient 15 19 -3 1.82 63.64 2.40 54.39 8.73 -14.32 0.07 0.52 3.83 1.10P 12.53R 5.07 Mansfield 15 17 +1 -7.58 8.53 -5.05 65.53 8.67 9.85 1.46 7.36 29.29 14.22P 0.69R 0.19 Walsall 15 15 -11 -4.69 20.31 -9.93 56.86 8.83 -11.43 0.09 0.85 6.36 2.26P 8.02R 2.89 Oldham 15 14 -8 -6.13 13.06 -7.28 57.44 8.74 -6.58 0.13 1.02 6.98 2.47P 6.75R 2.37 Carlisle 15 14 -12 -4.17 22.56 -8.18 54.48 8.65 -15.13 0.04 0.33 3.37 1.01P 12.32R 4.91 Scunthorpe 15 13 -4 -9.75 4.08 -7.29 60.99 9.11 4.21 0.58 3.24 15.50 7.02P 3.34R 1.09 Morecambe 15 10 -14 -5.30 15.52 -5.92 41.96 8.16 -30.36 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.02P 64.00R 44.60 Stevenage 15 9 -10 -9.63 3.19 -7.33 47.44 8.47 -15.59 0.00 0.02 0.49 0.13P 35.35R 17.98National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 October 2019, Wrexham 0 1 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Halifax 17 32 +10 7.92 91.04 8.66 74.20 8.19 13.81 7.26 49.47 15.90P 0.16R 0.00 Bromley 17 32 +6 7.13 87.74 3.79 75.03 8.51 10.67 9.28 52.66 17.96P 0.21R 0.00 Yeovil 17 31 +10 0.99 55.94 -0.02 82.97 8.46 28.28 38.06 85.41 53.92P 0.02R 0.00 Barrow 16 28 +9 4.02 75.38 6.00 71.83 8.59 12.95 5.29 39.47 12.75P 0.54R 0.01 Notts_County 17 27 +9 -3.38 28.47 -1.67 79.44 8.53 28.11 22.65 74.63 41.21P 0.04R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 17 27 +8 -0.18 48.69 2.23 73.61 8.35 18.11 7.07 48.52 18.25P 0.25R 0.01 Woking 17 27 +6 4.53 76.64 7.37 65.99 8.82 4.74 1.42 18.06 4.71P 3.66R 0.15 Harrogate_Town 17 26 +3 0.66 54.51 0.01 69.77 8.48 8.85 2.95 30.14 9.20P 1.07R 0.02 Torquay 17 25 +3 3.38 70.98 6.05 61.96 8.80 -1.88 0.56 8.94 2.06P 8.80R 0.52 Barnet 17 25 +3 0.29 52.22 0.83 68.47 8.27 8.51 1.96 24.83 7.46P 1.38R 0.03 Boreham_Wood 17 24 +6 0.12 51.19 5.16 64.68 8.28 7.34 0.73 13.56 3.56P 3.77R 0.14 Dag_&_Red 16 24 +1 1.99 63.91 0.86 65.98 8.49 2.35 1.17 16.63 4.25P 3.26R 0.11 Eastleigh 17 24 -1 1.50 60.52 0.35 62.34 8.25 -3.16 0.32 8.02 1.70P 6.92R 0.32 Dover_Athletic 16 24 -2 1.89 63.11 -2.17 64.32 8.51 -3.54 0.77 12.39 3.08P 4.94R 0.21 Hartlepool 17 23 -1 0.22 52.02 -0.13 59.98 8.22 -5.50 0.16 4.66 0.94P 11.45R 0.66 Maidenhead 17 21 +2 0.07 51.41 5.50 55.89 8.06 -5.37 0.04 1.73 0.34P 22.90R 1.78 Stockport 16 21 -8 4.56 79.17 0.60 51.60 8.57 -24.15 0.02 0.81 0.15P 45.61R 7.13 Chesterfield 17 18 -6 -5.77 17.25 -6.67 57.24 8.26 -7.00 0.09 2.50 0.65P 18.84R 1.75 Aldershot 17 18 -6 -1.67 39.74 -0.90 50.64 7.87 -16.23 0.00 0.29 0.04P 47.49R 6.58 Sutton_United 16 16 -4 -4.68 20.86 -2.18 54.62 8.51 -7.64 0.03 1.55 0.34P 28.94R 3.17 Wrexham 17 16 -6 -7.90 8.76 -7.00 56.76 8.13 -4.26 0.03 1.98 0.52P 19.48R 1.55 AFC_Fylde 16 16 -12 -6.77 12.31 -13.01 58.26 8.67 -10.61 0.13 3.62 0.98P 17.57R 1.49 Chorley 17 13 -15 -2.37 35.27 -3.00 38.90 7.82 -35.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.58R 60.09 Ebbsfleet_United 17 10 -15 -10.57 3.00 -10.64 47.71 8.31 -18.43 0.00 0.12 0.03P 61.16R 14.28