Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 24 October 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 October 2019, Sheff_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         9   25  +14       5.40    94.00     1.58    88.58     7.24    54.60    54.16    94.99    98.94    99.74    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          9   19  +20      -3.10    16.70     1.75    86.87     6.81    72.34    44.69    93.32    98.59    99.61    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         9   17   +8       4.07    84.63     7.38    61.75     8.34    15.02     0.13     1.36    14.28    31.24    64.05     0.10R    0.01  
Chelsea           9   17   +5       0.67    56.04    -1.18    67.90     8.09    22.46     0.65     5.75    39.28    61.62    86.66     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal           9   15   +1       0.22    51.48    -2.75    63.25     8.32    13.91     0.17     1.98    18.94    37.78    70.16     0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    9   14   -2       2.70    75.78    -0.26    50.14     8.00    -8.45     0.00     0.04     0.84     2.93    12.74     3.75R    0.51  
Tottenham         9   12   +2      -4.41    12.44    -4.27    63.49     8.15    20.23     0.18     2.02    19.91    40.27    72.71     0.05R    0.00  
Burnley           9   12   +1       1.34    64.20     3.68    45.28     7.82   -10.36     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.72     4.57    10.93R    1.73  
Sheff_Utd         9   12   +1       2.04    70.48     4.60    45.06     7.98   -10.04     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.76     4.57    12.02R    2.16  
Bournemouth       9   12   +0       0.67    57.37     2.31    46.37     8.08   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     1.27     6.49     9.51R    1.51  
West_Ham          9   12   -2       0.51    55.79    -0.44    47.07     8.04   -11.30     0.00     0.01     0.45     1.57     7.37     8.06R    1.13  
Aston_Villa       9   11   +2       0.13    52.52     4.92    40.86     8.11   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.36     1.90    26.75R    6.77  
Wolverhampton     9   11   +0      -0.32    47.60     2.01    48.54     8.05    -3.93     0.00     0.02     0.53     2.04     9.81     5.62R    0.80  
Man_Utd           9   10   +1      -4.37    14.91    -1.94    58.50     8.01    13.89     0.02     0.50     7.02    18.39    48.56     0.29R    0.02  
Everton           9   10   -5      -2.51    27.43    -5.04    46.44     8.03   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.34     1.23     6.36     9.38R    1.54  
Brighton          9    9   -3      -0.29    48.49     2.31    39.02     7.54   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.75    33.14R    8.43  
Southampton       9    8   -7      -0.81    43.96    -1.36    40.10     7.84   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     1.13    29.69R    8.10  
Newcastle         9    8   -9      -1.40    36.75    -4.26    42.03     7.76   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20     1.85    21.15R    4.19  
Norwich           9    7  -11      -0.32    49.12    -0.52    33.96     8.01   -36.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.26    61.65R   29.26  
Watford           9    4  -16      -4.54    10.43    -8.52    32.70     7.67   -35.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    67.84R   33.85  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 October 2019, Bristol_City 2 1 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       13   26   +9       3.27    73.67     1.27    83.46     9.31    27.79    38.63    57.12    87.65    66.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    13   24   +9       3.19    73.00     4.67    78.68     8.99    22.98    18.35    35.87    75.83    47.26P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       13   23   +8       3.15    72.98     4.95    70.63     9.05    11.55     4.34    10.75    42.08    18.16P    0.42R    0.04  
Bristol_City    13   23   +3       4.36    79.74     1.82    71.34     9.16     7.53     4.97    11.94    44.08    19.19P    0.41R    0.04  
QPR             13   23   +0       6.60    90.04     2.59    62.06     9.06   -10.65     0.48     1.72    12.40     3.37P    5.20R    0.79  
Preston         13   22  +10       1.66    62.46     6.21    72.67     9.36    17.99     7.21    16.47    51.65    25.72P    0.29R    0.02  
Fulham          13   22   +9       0.35    52.17     3.23    73.72     9.57    18.72     8.84    19.52    56.13    29.55P    0.30R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest   13   22   +5       3.81    77.48     4.39    70.09     8.93     9.25     3.30     9.05    38.91    15.91P    0.57R    0.05  
Swansea         13   22   +4       2.27    66.94     1.16    71.10     9.13     9.70     4.62    11.31    43.26    18.97P    0.46R    0.04  
Charlton        13   21   +5       3.54    75.28     5.50    64.86     9.41     3.00     1.37     3.74    20.99     7.36P    2.84R    0.38  
Birmingham      13   19   -3       3.10    73.95    -0.37    60.74     8.92    -7.96     0.31     1.11     9.43     2.63P    6.28R    1.09  
Brentford       13   18   +4      -1.66    37.61     1.25    69.14     9.18    12.67     3.15     8.33    36.57    15.94P    0.82R    0.08  
Cardiff         13   18   +0      -1.27    40.81    -2.11    66.36     9.67     4.57     2.07     5.64    26.69    11.17P    2.28R    0.36  
Derby           13   18   -2      -1.42    39.39    -4.39    66.92     9.12     3.41     1.68     5.00    26.63    10.58P    1.49R    0.16  
Hull            13   16   -2      -1.94    36.27    -2.01    58.68     9.25    -6.77     0.26     0.88     7.40     2.26P   10.32R    2.13  
Blackburn       13   15   -3      -2.04    35.28    -1.55    56.34     9.05    -9.02     0.11     0.35     4.42     1.17P   14.90R    3.51  
Millwall        13   15   -5       0.22    53.10    -0.53    55.11     8.71   -12.24     0.04     0.19     2.70     0.70P   17.77R    4.15  
Luton           13   14   -3      -2.15    35.05     0.03    55.60     9.51    -9.39     0.11     0.44     4.60     1.34P   18.33R    4.59  
Wigan           13   14   -7      -1.22    41.28    -3.33    54.33     8.75   -13.71     0.04     0.17     2.28     0.57P   20.47R    4.88  
Reading         13   12   -5      -2.14    34.59     0.62    50.14     8.77   -15.57     0.00     0.03     0.73     0.15P   36.09R   11.63  
Middlesbrough   13   11   -6      -7.36     6.91    -6.98    56.80     8.80    -4.46     0.09     0.34     4.21     1.39P   12.56R    2.65  
Huddersfield    13   10   -6      -5.49    13.62    -2.59    48.19     8.93   -15.81     0.00     0.03     0.62     0.17P   44.54R   16.55  
Stoke           13    8  -10      -7.44     6.08    -6.74    48.84     8.81   -16.18     0.00     0.02     0.51     0.13P   41.86R   14.84  
Barnsley        13    8  -14      -5.40    13.54    -7.07    44.60     9.04   -27.42     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.05P   61.78R   32.03  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 October 2019, Coventry 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough         14   27  +18       1.87    63.03     8.41    79.47     8.53    36.44    23.22    41.61    82.36    53.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich              13   27  +12       5.12    84.07     5.96    80.85     8.76    29.19    27.61    46.33    84.70    57.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              14   27   +9       6.58    89.06     7.14    66.82     8.42     6.52     1.54     4.24    27.28     8.07P    0.34R    0.00  
Coventry             14   24   +2       3.99    77.59     0.79    64.00     8.22     0.44     0.55     1.90    16.67     4.61P    0.78R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       13   23   +8       2.47    68.11     3.89    71.53     8.67    17.19     4.92    12.04    49.26    20.40P    0.10R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           14   22  +11       0.99    57.51     8.31    70.35     8.59    22.16     3.83     9.71    45.29    17.73P    0.17R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   22   +8       0.84    55.98     2.99    72.93     8.66    21.13     6.62    15.55    56.14    25.72P    0.07R    0.00  
Sunderland           13   22   +6      -1.40    38.52    -2.78    77.61     8.56    26.62    16.04    31.78    75.63    45.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            13   21   +9      -0.33    47.32     3.48    74.17     9.14    25.64    10.00    21.04    61.75    32.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool            14   21   +2       0.70    55.42     0.34    62.24     8.23     2.30     0.38     1.26    12.70     3.54P    1.43R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       14   21   -1       1.30    60.33    -1.84    59.33     8.16    -5.10     0.17     0.57     6.64     1.64P    3.01R    0.02  
Rochdale             14   19   -3       1.78    63.94     0.67    52.55     8.23   -16.22     0.01     0.07     1.34     0.25P   14.89R    0.14  
Burton_Albion        12   18   +3       0.25    52.43     1.13    68.61     8.92    13.25     2.77     7.27    36.38    14.22P    0.34R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           13   18   -3       0.39    53.58    -2.92    58.32     8.35    -6.01     0.11     0.44     5.83     1.41P    4.06R    0.02  
Lincoln_City         15   17   -3      -0.83    44.91     1.34    53.75     8.31    -7.49     0.02     0.10     1.95     0.42P   11.52R    0.12  
Portsmouth           12   16   +1      -3.45    23.58    -3.59    67.26     8.94    12.21     2.14     5.81    31.36    12.64P    0.51R    0.00  
Gillingham           14   15   +2      -3.87    23.38     2.54    55.96     8.44     1.16     0.07     0.25     3.73     0.93P    7.40R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   14   14   -8      -1.60    39.05    -2.09    49.16     8.13   -17.99     0.00     0.02     0.48     0.08P   26.00R    0.51  
MK_Dons              14   13   -9      -3.00    29.03    -4.07    45.49     8.32   -22.92     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P   43.61R    1.62  
Tranmere             14   13  -10      -0.44    48.11     0.25    42.57     8.25   -29.21     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   58.80R    3.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   12   -6      -4.79    18.14     0.07    46.57     8.01   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   36.01R    1.14  
Southend             14    5  -25      -9.14     2.69   -16.15    32.63     7.74   -50.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.82R   25.10  
Bolton               12   -5  -23      -3.61    21.47   -13.87    25.20     8.26   -44.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.07R   68.20  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2019, Bradford 1 2 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Crewe            15   30   +9       7.68    91.45     6.37    76.54     8.79    15.01    14.52    39.88    74.25    47.50P    0.01R    0.01  
Cheltenham       14   28  +14       6.50    88.41    10.59    75.11     8.95    18.90    12.35    35.14    69.69    42.93P    0.04R    0.01  
Forest_Green     15   28   +9       4.60    79.59     4.78    75.72     8.63    16.79    12.80    36.63    72.19    45.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford         15   27   +7       1.74    61.67     0.09    78.43     8.93    20.36    21.36    49.91    80.80    58.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   14   27   +7       7.07    90.74     5.70    73.58     8.76    11.32     8.48    27.31    62.73    35.13P    0.07R    0.02  
Exeter           15   26   +1       3.46    73.09    -1.98    71.76     8.70     5.92     5.78    20.76    53.92    28.82P    0.08R    0.03  
Swindon          15   24   +3       1.95    63.88     0.82    70.15     8.78     8.47     4.03    16.49    47.81    24.07P    0.20R    0.04  
Plymouth         15   23   +8      -2.53    32.50     0.45    75.88     8.97    23.55    14.68    39.62    73.46    50.47P    0.03R    0.00  
Northampton      15   21   +2      -0.98    43.37    -0.10    65.00     8.72     4.27     1.29     6.48    26.47    11.23P    0.88R    0.21  
Port_Vale        15   21   -1       2.42    67.91     1.65    59.07     8.46    -7.20     0.17     1.45     8.97     2.78P    4.06R    1.16  
Cambridge_Utd    15   20   +6       0.58    55.08     7.41    60.62     8.41     3.75     0.29     2.19    12.99     4.39P    2.50R    0.77  
Colchester       15   20   +3      -2.89    30.06    -0.41    66.15     8.61     8.62     1.53     7.95    31.08    14.21P    0.57R    0.15  
Crawley_Town     15   20   +0       1.88    63.94     3.83    59.66     8.61    -4.44     0.23     1.75    10.74     3.34P    3.77R    1.23  
Macclesfield     15   20   -2       3.64    76.06     4.03    52.70     8.22   -16.31     0.03     0.20     2.06     0.46P   15.85R    5.84  
Salford_City     15   20   -5       4.47    80.04     3.04    51.14     8.42   -22.79     0.02     0.17     1.54     0.34P   22.16R    9.26  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.24    52.65     2.30    56.58     8.38    -6.87     0.07     0.71     5.40     1.63P    6.73R    2.16  
Leyton_Orient    15   19   -3       1.82    63.64     2.40    54.39     8.73   -14.32     0.07     0.52     3.83     1.10P   12.53R    5.07  
Mansfield        15   17   +1      -7.58     8.53    -5.05    65.53     8.67     9.85     1.46     7.36    29.29    14.22P    0.69R    0.19  
Walsall          15   15  -11      -4.69    20.31    -9.93    56.86     8.83   -11.43     0.09     0.85     6.36     2.26P    8.02R    2.89  
Oldham           15   14   -8      -6.13    13.06    -7.28    57.44     8.74    -6.58     0.13     1.02     6.98     2.47P    6.75R    2.37  
Carlisle         15   14  -12      -4.17    22.56    -8.18    54.48     8.65   -15.13     0.04     0.33     3.37     1.01P   12.32R    4.91  
Scunthorpe       15   13   -4      -9.75     4.08    -7.29    60.99     9.11     4.21     0.58     3.24    15.50     7.02P    3.34R    1.09  
Morecambe        15   10  -14      -5.30    15.52    -5.92    41.96     8.16   -30.36     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.02P   64.00R   44.60  
Stevenage        15    9  -10      -9.63     3.19    -7.33    47.44     8.47   -15.59     0.00     0.02     0.49     0.13P   35.35R   17.98  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 October 2019, Wrexham 0 1 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Halifax            17   32  +10       7.92    91.04     8.66    74.20     8.19    13.81     7.26    49.47    15.90P    0.16R    0.00  
Bromley            17   32   +6       7.13    87.74     3.79    75.03     8.51    10.67     9.28    52.66    17.96P    0.21R    0.00  
Yeovil             17   31  +10       0.99    55.94    -0.02    82.97     8.46    28.28    38.06    85.41    53.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Barrow             16   28   +9       4.02    75.38     6.00    71.83     8.59    12.95     5.29    39.47    12.75P    0.54R    0.01  
Notts_County       17   27   +9      -3.38    28.47    -1.67    79.44     8.53    28.11    22.65    74.63    41.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     17   27   +8      -0.18    48.69     2.23    73.61     8.35    18.11     7.07    48.52    18.25P    0.25R    0.01  
Woking             17   27   +6       4.53    76.64     7.37    65.99     8.82     4.74     1.42    18.06     4.71P    3.66R    0.15  
Harrogate_Town     17   26   +3       0.66    54.51     0.01    69.77     8.48     8.85     2.95    30.14     9.20P    1.07R    0.02  
Torquay            17   25   +3       3.38    70.98     6.05    61.96     8.80    -1.88     0.56     8.94     2.06P    8.80R    0.52  
Barnet             17   25   +3       0.29    52.22     0.83    68.47     8.27     8.51     1.96    24.83     7.46P    1.38R    0.03  
Boreham_Wood       17   24   +6       0.12    51.19     5.16    64.68     8.28     7.34     0.73    13.56     3.56P    3.77R    0.14  
Dag_&_Red          16   24   +1       1.99    63.91     0.86    65.98     8.49     2.35     1.17    16.63     4.25P    3.26R    0.11  
Eastleigh          17   24   -1       1.50    60.52     0.35    62.34     8.25    -3.16     0.32     8.02     1.70P    6.92R    0.32  
Dover_Athletic     16   24   -2       1.89    63.11    -2.17    64.32     8.51    -3.54     0.77    12.39     3.08P    4.94R    0.21  
Hartlepool         17   23   -1       0.22    52.02    -0.13    59.98     8.22    -5.50     0.16     4.66     0.94P   11.45R    0.66  
Maidenhead         17   21   +2       0.07    51.41     5.50    55.89     8.06    -5.37     0.04     1.73     0.34P   22.90R    1.78  
Stockport          16   21   -8       4.56    79.17     0.60    51.60     8.57   -24.15     0.02     0.81     0.15P   45.61R    7.13  
Chesterfield       17   18   -6      -5.77    17.25    -6.67    57.24     8.26    -7.00     0.09     2.50     0.65P   18.84R    1.75  
Aldershot          17   18   -6      -1.67    39.74    -0.90    50.64     7.87   -16.23     0.00     0.29     0.04P   47.49R    6.58  
Sutton_United      16   16   -4      -4.68    20.86    -2.18    54.62     8.51    -7.64     0.03     1.55     0.34P   28.94R    3.17  
Wrexham            17   16   -6      -7.90     8.76    -7.00    56.76     8.13    -4.26     0.03     1.98     0.52P   19.48R    1.55  
AFC_Fylde          16   16  -12      -6.77    12.31   -13.01    58.26     8.67   -10.61     0.13     3.62     0.98P   17.57R    1.49  
Chorley            17   13  -15      -2.37    35.27    -3.00    38.90     7.82   -35.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.58R   60.09  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   10  -15     -10.57     3.00   -10.64    47.71     8.31   -18.43     0.00     0.12     0.03P   61.16R   14.28