Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 23 October 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 October 2019, Sheff_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         9   25  +14       5.35    93.93     1.44    88.65     7.26    54.83    53.94    95.03    98.96    99.71    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          9   19  +20      -3.10    16.75     1.64    86.95     6.77    72.54    44.85    93.48    98.70    99.60    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         9   17   +8       4.03    84.28     7.37    61.94     8.25    15.31     0.13     1.34    14.32    31.53    64.97     0.09R    0.00  
Chelsea           9   17   +5       0.63    55.38    -1.21    67.96     8.14    22.58     0.72     5.52    39.70    61.60    86.34     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal           9   15   +1       0.20    51.41    -2.79    63.21     8.39    13.83     0.16     2.01    18.54    37.43    69.36     0.10R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    9   14   -2       2.73    76.12    -0.24    50.15     7.97    -8.49     0.00     0.02     0.81     2.87    12.74     3.67R    0.42  
Tottenham         9   12   +2      -4.44    12.31    -4.35    63.56     8.10    20.26     0.19     2.06    19.76    40.23    72.77     0.05R    0.00  
Burnley           9   12   +1       1.31    63.94     3.64    45.33     7.83   -10.30     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.76     4.79    10.63R    1.58  
Sheff_Utd         9   12   +1       2.11    70.75     4.71    44.83     7.97   -10.36     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.79     4.33    12.49R    2.25  
Bournemouth       9   12   +0       0.70    57.69     2.37    46.37     8.08   -11.08     0.00     0.01     0.31     1.23     6.33     9.43R    1.56  
West_Ham          9   12   -2       0.46    55.25    -0.51    47.11     7.95   -11.19     0.00     0.01     0.39     1.52     7.06     7.58R    1.04  
Aston_Villa       9   11   +2       0.14    52.37     4.94    40.87     8.11   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.30     1.84    26.40R    6.69  
Wolverhampton     9   11   +0      -0.36    47.15     2.00    48.71     8.05    -3.68     0.00     0.03     0.58     2.16    10.35     5.25R    0.70  
Man_Utd           9   10   +1      -4.33    15.16    -1.90    58.50     8.07    13.99     0.02     0.46     7.13    18.52    48.59     0.31R    0.03  
Everton           9   10   -5      -2.59    26.61    -5.17    46.81     7.96   -10.62     0.00     0.01     0.34     1.38     6.80     8.21R    1.34  
Brighton          9    9   -3      -0.18    49.78     2.52    38.70     7.55   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.67    34.38R    8.94  
Southampton       9    8   -7      -0.82    43.54    -1.39    40.13     7.84   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     1.13    29.54R    7.74  
Newcastle         9    8   -9      -1.39    36.97    -4.22    41.91     7.78   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.19     1.71    21.51R    4.29  
Norwich           9    7  -11      -0.32    49.21    -0.47    33.82     7.89   -36.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    62.32R   28.87  
Watford           9    4  -16      -4.49    10.67    -8.38    32.50     7.75   -36.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    68.03R   34.53  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 October 2019, Bristol_City 2 1 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       13   26   +9       3.23    73.41     1.26    83.69     9.27    28.08    39.35    58.36    88.32    67.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    13   24   +9       3.26    73.39     4.77    78.48     9.02    22.64    17.69    35.24    75.14    46.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       13   23   +8       3.25    73.82     5.07    70.37     9.09    11.18     4.18    10.41    41.10    17.68P    0.48R    0.04  
Bristol_City    13   23   +3       4.33    80.08     1.76    71.18     9.09     7.34     4.70    11.34    43.58    18.62P    0.43R    0.03  
QPR             13   23   +0       6.62    90.13     2.61    61.93     9.07   -10.81     0.59     1.75    12.20     3.37P    5.35R    0.80  
Preston         13   22  +10       1.69    62.74     6.25    72.61     9.33    17.95     7.10    16.02    51.60    24.97P    0.30R    0.03  
Fulham          13   22   +9       0.33    52.34     3.17    73.86     9.63    18.90     9.26    20.18    57.07    30.58P    0.29R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest   13   22   +5       3.83    77.65     4.35    70.21     9.09     9.43     3.58     9.63    39.83    16.49P    0.56R    0.05  
Swansea         13   22   +4       2.24    66.80     1.13    71.03     9.14     9.61     4.54    11.19    43.41    18.98P    0.53R    0.04  
Charlton        13   21   +5       3.52    75.22     5.47    64.97     9.39     3.16     1.45     3.92    21.42     7.62P    2.73R    0.35  
Birmingham      13   19   -3       3.15    74.38    -0.29    60.60     8.91    -8.20     0.29     1.04     9.20     2.48P    6.71R    1.10  
Brentford       13   18   +4      -1.65    37.70     1.28    68.99     9.14    12.53     3.12     8.11    35.82    15.57P    0.87R    0.09  
Cardiff         13   18   +0      -1.20    41.30    -1.99    66.22     9.54     4.43     1.90     5.23    26.00    10.58P    2.14R    0.30  
Derby           13   18   -2      -1.36    39.86    -4.31    66.83     9.16     3.25     1.62     5.08    26.82    10.72P    1.55R    0.21  
Hull            13   16   -2      -1.88    36.40    -1.90    58.60     9.20    -6.83     0.21     0.83     7.25     2.22P   10.56R    2.14  
Blackburn       13   15   -3      -2.14    34.35    -1.68    56.62     8.96    -8.64     0.07     0.35     4.57     1.29P   14.22R    3.01  
Millwall        13   15   -5       0.22    52.90    -0.55    55.20     8.71   -12.05     0.05     0.22     2.86     0.66P   17.77R    3.97  
Luton           13   14   -3      -2.24    34.24    -0.10    55.85     9.46    -9.02     0.14     0.47     4.74     1.38P   17.55R    4.37  
Wigan           13   14   -7      -1.24    41.26    -3.38    54.33     8.79   -13.67     0.05     0.16     2.38     0.59P   20.82R    5.05  
Reading         13   12   -5      -2.22    33.77     0.54    50.35     8.72   -15.34     0.00     0.04     0.88     0.20P   35.41R   11.27  
Middlesbrough   13   11   -6      -7.37     6.78    -7.00    56.81     8.81    -4.54     0.09     0.36     4.42     1.49P   12.66R    2.55  
Huddersfield    13   10   -6      -5.38    14.35    -2.46    47.93     9.03   -16.16     0.01     0.02     0.61     0.11P   45.96R   17.70  
Stoke           13    8  -10      -7.50     5.80    -6.79    48.98     8.85   -16.00     0.00     0.03     0.59     0.14P   41.64R   14.94  
Barnsley        13    8  -14      -5.49    13.15    -7.22    44.70     9.11   -27.23     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.05P   61.43R   31.92  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 October 2019, Coventry 2 1 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Peterborough         14   27  +18       1.94    63.46     8.44    79.35     8.44    36.35    22.50    40.66    82.39    51.96P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich              13   27  +12       4.92    83.03     5.68    81.34     8.73    29.89    29.06    48.37    85.91    59.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              14   27   +9       6.55    89.10     7.09    66.76     8.37     6.41     1.35     4.04    27.07     7.85P    0.33R    0.00  
Coventry             14   24   +2       4.05    78.18     0.87    63.89     8.32     0.28     0.64     2.02    16.40     4.80P    0.87R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       13   23   +8       2.47    68.50     3.93    71.48     8.67    17.09     4.69    11.67    48.72    19.92P    0.09R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           14   22  +11       0.93    57.14     8.22    70.34     8.58    22.22     3.91     9.85    44.76    17.86P    0.16R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   22   +8       0.79    55.72     2.91    73.22     8.58    21.66     6.78    15.80    57.29    26.33P    0.08R    0.00  
Sunderland           13   22   +6      -1.40    38.48    -2.72    77.49     8.51    26.43    15.32    30.83    75.26    45.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            13   21   +9      -0.37    47.26     3.43    74.29     9.16    25.78    10.03    21.31    62.07    32.55P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackpool            14   21   +2       0.60    54.94     0.23    62.30     8.24     2.39     0.38     1.24    12.59     3.48P    1.35R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       14   21   -1       1.35    60.52    -1.77    59.27     8.25    -5.23     0.17     0.57     6.71     1.72P    3.14R    0.01  
Rochdale             14   19   -3       1.79    63.87     0.70    52.56     8.21   -16.20     0.03     0.08     1.42     0.24P   14.52R    0.11  
Burton_Albion        12   18   +3       0.30    52.53     1.19    68.52     8.91    13.10     2.71     7.02    35.61    13.77P    0.35R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           13   18   -3       0.36    53.37    -2.96    58.39     8.33    -5.94     0.11     0.41     5.97     1.45P    3.94R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         15   17   -3      -0.74    45.61     1.45    53.67     8.27    -7.61     0.02     0.08     1.85     0.37P   11.43R    0.10  
Portsmouth           12   16   +1      -3.54    22.73    -3.72    67.35     8.97    12.37     2.24     5.83    31.42    12.63P    0.51R    0.00  
Gillingham           14   15   +2      -3.81    23.59     2.62    55.92     8.44     1.10     0.05     0.22     3.70     0.91P    7.38R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   14   14   -8      -1.55    39.65    -2.00    49.17     8.17   -18.05     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.07P   25.90R    0.55  
MK_Dons              14   13   -9      -3.04    28.97    -4.17    45.56     8.30   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   43.35R    1.64  
Tranmere             14   13  -10      -0.41    48.47     0.27    42.51     8.13   -29.37     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   59.02R    2.87  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   12   -6      -4.72    18.50     0.14    46.47     7.94   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   36.40R    1.00  
Southend             14    5  -25      -9.11     2.84   -16.09    32.62     7.74   -50.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.97R   24.69  
Bolton               12   -5  -23      -3.56    21.72   -13.75    25.00     8.29   -45.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.17R   68.97  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2019, Bradford 1 2 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Crewe            15   30   +9       7.69    91.36     6.40    76.52     8.72    15.00    14.38    39.72    74.80    47.52P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham       14   28  +14       6.63    88.93    10.81    74.94     8.86    18.61    11.62    34.27    68.84    41.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green     15   28   +9       4.55    79.34     4.72    75.76     8.68    16.90    13.00    37.00    72.34    46.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford         15   27   +7       1.66    61.03     0.01    78.47     8.98    20.41    21.46    49.73    80.66    58.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County   14   27   +7       7.09    90.76     5.71    73.55     8.76    11.26     8.33    27.28    62.41    34.86P    0.03R    0.01  
Exeter           15   26   +1       3.36    72.56    -2.10    71.87     8.65     6.16     5.74    20.83    54.47    29.06P    0.09R    0.01  
Swindon          15   24   +3       1.97    63.84     0.84    70.22     8.76     8.62     4.25    16.71    48.09    24.37P    0.19R    0.04  
Plymouth         15   23   +8      -2.63    31.87     0.22    76.11     8.99    23.88    15.24    40.48    74.07    51.33P    0.04R    0.01  
Northampton      15   21   +2      -1.01    43.28    -0.21    65.15     8.66     4.50     1.27     6.53    26.76    11.28P    0.85R    0.22  
Port_Vale        15   21   -1       2.38    67.51     1.61    59.19     8.49    -7.04     0.19     1.56     9.35     3.07P    3.86R    1.08  
Cambridge_Utd    15   20   +6       0.67    55.62     7.52    60.54     8.49     3.60     0.32     2.12    12.82     4.28P    2.60R    0.76  
Colchester       15   20   +3      -2.79    30.93    -0.31    65.95     8.56     8.32     1.48     7.67    30.12    13.66P    0.60R    0.15  
Crawley_Town     15   20   +0       1.93    64.37     3.94    59.65     8.65    -4.50     0.25     1.68    10.73     3.35P    3.89R    1.29  
Macclesfield     15   20   -2       3.59    75.75     3.97    52.75     8.11   -16.34     0.02     0.18     1.81     0.41P   15.14R    5.56  
Salford_City     15   20   -5       4.47    79.90     3.03    51.15     8.46   -22.76     0.02     0.19     1.52     0.33P   21.92R    9.37  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.31    52.90     2.43    56.32     8.35    -7.26     0.08     0.62     5.01     1.44P    7.11R    2.41  
Leyton_Orient    15   19   -3       1.84    63.99     2.47    54.34     8.71   -14.37     0.04     0.48     3.72     1.07P   12.82R    4.93  
Mansfield        15   17   +1      -7.61     8.32    -5.08    65.58     8.66     9.93     1.42     7.44    29.53    14.41P    0.73R    0.18  
Walsall          15   15  -11      -4.72    20.39    -9.99    56.99     8.84   -11.28     0.13     0.90     6.27     2.30P    7.82R    2.72  
Oldham           15   14   -8      -6.08    13.36    -7.16    57.19     8.78    -6.92     0.12     0.97     6.98     2.35P    7.13R    2.56  
Carlisle         15   14  -12      -4.12    22.88    -8.11    54.49     8.64   -15.10     0.03     0.35     3.39     1.02P   12.59R    4.94  
Scunthorpe       15   13   -4      -9.77     4.20    -7.31    61.05     9.13     4.35     0.60     3.26    15.78     7.11P    3.23R    1.09  
Morecambe        15   10  -14      -5.31    15.40    -5.93    41.81     8.10   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   64.73R   45.67  
Stevenage        15    9  -10      -9.70     3.05    -7.46    47.57     8.40   -15.46     0.00     0.03     0.48     0.13P   34.54R   17.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 October 2019, Wrexham 0 1 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Halifax            17   32  +10       7.93    91.24     8.68    74.24     8.20    13.83     7.34    49.64    16.08P    0.14R    0.00  
Bromley            17   32   +6       7.02    87.25     3.67    75.13     8.52    10.83     9.31    53.19    18.21P    0.20R    0.00  
Yeovil             17   31  +10       0.96    55.62    -0.09    83.14     8.41    28.51    38.55    85.82    54.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Barrow             16   28   +9       4.06    75.60     6.06    71.70     8.58    12.77     5.02    38.79    12.05P    0.63R    0.02  
Notts_County       17   27   +9      -3.36    28.88    -1.67    79.51     8.43    28.19    22.34    74.88    40.93P    0.05R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     17   27   +8      -0.19    48.69     2.28    73.59     8.40    18.09     6.92    48.43    18.21P    0.28R    0.00  
Woking             17   27   +6       4.45    76.28     7.20    66.08     8.82     4.91     1.54    18.42     4.96P    3.43R    0.11  
Harrogate_Town     17   26   +3       0.71    55.04     0.08    69.67     8.42     8.71     2.76    29.53     8.90P    1.07R    0.03  
Torquay            17   25   +3       3.44    71.41     6.12    61.86     8.79    -2.04     0.55     8.73     2.03P    8.94R    0.53  
Barnet             17   25   +3       0.19    51.36     0.68    68.72     8.28     8.89     2.04    25.60     7.91P    1.26R    0.03  
Boreham_Wood       17   24   +6       0.06    51.04     5.05    64.76     8.29     7.48     0.81    13.61     3.63P    3.63R    0.12  
Dag_&_Red          16   24   +1       2.08    64.29     0.97    65.97     8.51     2.33     1.16    16.52     4.33P    3.21R    0.13  
Eastleigh          17   24   -1       1.59    61.00     0.44    62.25     8.23    -3.30     0.35     7.79     1.79P    7.05R    0.26  
Dover_Athletic     16   24   -2       1.94    63.34    -2.12    64.16     8.58    -3.78     0.81    12.20     3.06P    5.30R    0.22  
Hartlepool         17   23   -1       0.22    52.06    -0.12    59.90     8.21    -5.63     0.16     4.53     1.00P   11.60R    0.65  
Maidenhead         17   21   +2       0.10    51.44     5.57    55.77     8.05    -5.49     0.03     1.60     0.29P   22.95R    1.79  
Stockport          16   21   -8       4.53    79.01     0.59    51.63     8.50   -24.12     0.02     0.74     0.11P   45.23R    7.04  
Chesterfield       17   18   -6      -5.77    17.14    -6.65    57.27     8.30    -6.99     0.08     2.56     0.64P   18.82R    1.63  
Aldershot          17   18   -6      -1.68    39.82    -0.86    50.61     7.89   -16.26     0.00     0.28     0.05P   47.89R    6.74  
Sutton_United      16   16   -4      -4.70    20.70    -2.18    54.57     8.47    -7.74     0.03     1.37     0.28P   28.89R    3.27  
Wrexham            17   16   -6      -7.88     9.28    -7.01    56.89     8.24    -4.12     0.06     2.20     0.62P   19.35R    1.64  
AFC_Fylde          16   16  -12      -6.74    12.23   -12.97    58.23     8.64   -10.68     0.12     3.41     0.88P   17.62R    1.55  
Chorley            17   13  -15      -2.46    34.81    -3.10    38.98     7.84   -35.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.23R   59.15  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   10  -15     -10.56     3.08   -10.61    47.60     8.36   -18.60     0.00     0.13     0.03P   61.21R   15.09