Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 22 October 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 October 2019, Sheff_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         9   25  +14       5.39    94.13     1.57    88.61     7.28    54.65    53.64    94.94    98.95    99.72    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          9   19  +20      -3.10    16.77     1.67    86.94     6.80    72.51    45.12    93.40    98.53    99.54    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         9   17   +8       4.04    84.67     7.34    61.88     8.26    15.22     0.11     1.35    14.29    31.65    64.85     0.13R    0.01  
Chelsea           9   17   +5       0.63    55.41    -1.22    68.05     8.13    22.73     0.69     5.72    39.58    62.33    86.66     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal           9   15   +1       0.27    52.24    -2.68    63.06     8.29    13.55     0.20     1.93    18.00    36.57    69.14     0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    9   14   -2       2.71    76.00    -0.24    50.27     7.99    -8.33     0.00     0.04     0.91     2.92    13.08     3.68R    0.50  
Tottenham         9   12   +2      -4.43    12.43    -4.29    63.67     8.23    20.42     0.21     2.14    20.82    41.09    73.04     0.06R    0.01  
Burnley           9   12   +1       1.35    64.11     3.69    45.23     7.87   -10.43     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.80     4.65    11.10R    1.85  
Sheff_Utd         9   12   +1       2.14    71.33     4.75    44.73     7.95   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.75     4.35    12.86R    2.37  
Bournemouth       9   12   +0       0.72    57.59     2.42    46.23     8.03   -11.37     0.00     0.01     0.31     1.09     6.21     9.66R    1.71  
West_Ham          9   12   -2       0.45    55.06    -0.49    47.14     7.98   -11.16     0.00     0.02     0.39     1.46     7.36     7.69R    1.10  
Aston_Villa       9   11   +2       0.17    53.03     4.95    40.88     8.07   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.28     1.80    26.78R    6.88  
Wolverhampton     9   11   +0      -0.35    47.18     1.99    48.62     8.03    -3.83     0.00     0.02     0.57     2.15     9.97     5.35R    0.73  
Man_Utd           9   10   +1      -4.31    15.24    -1.89    58.41     8.02    13.83     0.03     0.42     6.79    17.90    48.35     0.34R    0.03  
Everton           9   10   -5      -2.62    26.32    -5.22    46.65     7.93   -10.82     0.00     0.01     0.33     1.28     6.56     8.38R    1.35  
Brighton          9    9   -3      -0.19    49.63     2.46    38.76     7.51   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.74    34.08R    8.97  
Southampton       9    8   -7      -0.80    43.59    -1.36    39.95     7.86   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     1.06    30.51R    8.48  
Newcastle         9    8   -9      -1.43    36.61    -4.28    42.01     7.80   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.22     1.84    21.26R    4.27  
Norwich           9    7  -11      -0.38    48.45    -0.63    34.13     7.94   -36.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.26    60.85R   27.91  
Watford           9    4  -16      -4.57    10.43    -8.56    32.74     7.74   -35.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15    67.19R   33.84  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2019, Birmingham 1 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       13   26   +9       3.28    73.68     1.31    83.64     9.25    28.09    38.89    57.88    88.03    66.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    13   24   +9       3.21    73.45     4.70    78.69     9.07    23.02    18.03    35.72    75.40    47.20P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       13   23   +8       3.25    73.53     5.07    70.42     9.02    11.24     4.16    10.29    40.98    17.47P    0.45R    0.04  
QPR             13   23   +0       6.56    89.89     2.48    61.96     8.95   -10.77     0.45     1.56    12.16     3.24P    4.83R    0.75  
Preston         13   22  +10       1.69    62.84     6.28    72.70     9.30    18.09     7.08    16.04    51.95    25.11P    0.32R    0.04  
Nott'm_Forest   12   22   +6       5.25    85.71     5.48    72.70     9.27    12.08     6.20    14.86    50.06    23.11P    0.30R    0.01  
Swansea         13   22   +4       2.22    66.67     1.07    71.11     9.08     9.81     4.50    10.92    43.79    18.94P    0.45R    0.05  
Charlton        12   21   +6       4.60    81.76     6.02    66.08     9.59     3.79     1.95     5.05    25.03     9.28P    2.38R    0.31  
Bristol_City    12   20   +2       3.13    73.65     1.36    69.69     9.41     6.52     3.73     9.19    37.46    15.66P    0.85R    0.13  
Fulham          12   19   +8      -0.59    45.24     3.34    72.53     9.92    18.37     7.78    17.33    51.48    26.61P    0.51R    0.07  
Birmingham      13   19   -3       3.19    74.53    -0.22    60.62     8.95    -8.15     0.29     0.93     9.31     2.44P    6.65R    1.13  
Brentford       13   18   +4      -1.62    37.88     1.27    69.04     9.21    12.58     3.08     8.25    36.23    15.82P    0.91R    0.10  
Cardiff         13   18   +0      -1.31    40.53    -2.16    66.36     9.56     4.65     1.91     5.38    26.32    10.80P    2.15R    0.31  
Blackburn       13   15   -3      -2.12    34.49    -1.66    56.48     9.05    -8.87     0.10     0.43     4.60     1.30P   14.51R    3.29  
Derby           12   15   -3      -2.57    30.32    -4.66    65.53     9.38     2.81     1.26     3.94    23.03     9.09P    2.58R    0.33  
Millwall        13   15   -5       0.24    53.20    -0.45    54.98     8.81   -12.46     0.04     0.20     2.76     0.61P   18.55R    4.37  
Luton           12   14   -2      -1.42    40.06    -0.12    56.53     9.74    -9.07     0.18     0.69     5.80     1.76P   16.36R    4.12  
Wigan           12   14   -6      -0.45    47.40    -3.20    55.81     9.00   -12.72     0.07     0.30     3.56     0.95P   16.91R    3.75  
Hull            12   13   -3      -3.50    24.56    -2.86    55.69     9.42    -9.95     0.14     0.46     4.35     1.34P   17.61R    4.36  
Reading         13   12   -5      -2.22    33.82     0.53    50.31     8.75   -15.38     0.01     0.04     0.82     0.21P   35.37R   11.25  
Middlesbrough   12   10   -6      -7.08     6.86    -7.08    57.48     8.95    -4.11     0.14     0.44     5.22     1.72P   11.77R    2.43  
Huddersfield    12    9   -6      -5.18    14.28    -2.57    48.39     9.26   -16.32     0.02     0.05     0.83     0.18P   43.95R   17.05  
Stoke           13    8  -10      -7.52     5.83    -6.79    48.88     8.90   -16.18     0.01     0.03     0.60     0.15P   41.73R   15.07  
Barnsley        13    8  -14      -5.43    13.35    -7.13    44.83     9.04   -27.09     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.06P   60.80R   31.05  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2019, Blackpool 1 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich              12   27  +14       6.08    89.52     7.33    84.46     9.00    34.61    43.53    63.09    91.85    71.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              14   27   +9       6.55    89.08     7.05    66.91     8.36     6.75     1.31     4.07    28.58     8.21P    0.29R    0.00  
Peterborough         13   24  +14       1.65    62.17     6.78    77.44     8.67    31.75    14.76    31.90    76.35    43.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       12   23   +9       3.70    77.43     4.70    73.18     8.89    18.63     6.42    16.15    57.90    25.51P    0.06R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           14   22  +11       0.89    56.68     8.18    70.20     8.56    21.97     3.41     9.34    45.70    17.75P    0.13R    0.00  
Doncaster            13   22   +8       0.88    56.50     3.05    72.87     8.71    21.05     5.88    14.99    57.25    25.70P    0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland           13   22   +6      -1.34    39.10    -2.67    77.50     8.53    26.39    14.08    30.91    76.22    45.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool            14   21   +2       0.63    54.98     0.26    62.25     8.24     2.31     0.36     1.29    13.28     3.67P    1.41R    0.00  
Coventry             13   21   +1       2.58    69.95     0.07    61.83     8.47    -1.34     0.32     1.20    12.43     3.25P    1.82R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers       14   21   -1       1.30    60.18    -1.84    59.32     8.26    -5.09     0.16     0.57     7.22     1.77P    3.38R    0.02  
Rochdale             14   19   -3       1.81    63.92     0.69    52.58     8.18   -16.19     0.02     0.09     1.55     0.30P   14.89R    0.15  
Rotherham            12   18   +7      -1.74    35.92     1.91    70.76     9.39    20.79     5.09    12.57    48.12    22.44P    0.26R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        12   18   +3       0.27    52.62     1.15    68.48     8.97    13.12     2.44     7.28    36.85    14.52P    0.37R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           13   18   -3       0.38    53.69    -2.95    58.48     8.34    -5.73     0.12     0.45     6.29     1.58P    4.02R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         15   17   -3      -0.77    45.35     1.37    53.63     8.22    -7.78     0.02     0.05     1.91     0.35P   11.88R    0.12  
Portsmouth           12   16   +1      -3.54    23.14    -3.72    67.47     8.93    12.52     2.06     5.81    33.00    13.16P    0.56R    0.00  
Gillingham           14   15   +2      -3.83    23.84     2.58    55.90     8.45     1.09     0.03     0.19     3.95     1.00P    7.70R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   13   14   -4      -1.40    40.34    -0.18    51.02     8.44   -13.33     0.01     0.04     1.10     0.20P   20.01R    0.37  
MK_Dons              14   13   -9      -2.95    29.45    -4.02    45.57     8.30   -22.76     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   44.17R    1.67  
Tranmere             14   13  -10      -0.41    48.35     0.19    42.51     8.18   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00P   59.98R    3.24  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   12   -6      -4.67    18.85     0.23    46.37     7.95   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   38.11R    1.05  
Southend             14    5  -25      -9.24     2.65   -16.25    32.70     7.80   -50.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.93R   24.92  
Bolton               12   -5  -23      -3.63    21.01   -13.92    25.16     8.32   -44.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.95R   68.39  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 October 2019, Bradford 1 2 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Crewe            15   30   +9       7.66    91.30     6.34    76.61     8.75    15.15    14.50    40.03    74.86    47.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham       14   28  +14       6.56    88.61    10.66    75.14     8.93    18.95    12.47    35.06    69.73    42.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green     15   28   +9       4.71    80.18     4.95    75.50     8.61    16.47    12.23    35.73    71.53    44.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford         15   27   +7       1.61    60.60    -0.09    78.68     8.99    20.70    22.18    50.98    81.27    59.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County   14   27   +7       7.07    90.72     5.69    73.54     8.77    11.25     8.27    27.28    62.79    35.12P    0.06R    0.02  
Exeter           15   26   +1       3.46    73.41    -1.96    71.68     8.65     5.81     5.55    20.30    53.74    28.24P    0.08R    0.02  
Swindon          15   24   +3       1.91    63.61     0.78    70.23     8.79     8.65     4.15    16.63    47.76    24.37P    0.17R    0.03  
Plymouth         15   23   +8      -2.58    32.21     0.36    75.95     8.94    23.68    14.73    39.76    73.77    50.80P    0.04R    0.00  
Northampton      15   21   +2      -1.03    43.10    -0.20    65.11     8.64     4.43     1.24     6.52    26.65    11.25P    0.78R    0.21  
Port_Vale        15   21   -1       2.36    67.27     1.58    59.21     8.48    -7.03     0.19     1.47     9.30     3.01P    3.98R    1.14  
Cambridge_Utd    15   20   +6       0.64    55.37     7.49    60.61     8.53     3.73     0.35     2.26    13.01     4.51P    2.74R    0.84  
Colchester       15   20   +3      -2.83    30.39    -0.37    66.03     8.54     8.42     1.49     7.89    30.56    14.14P    0.56R    0.14  
Crawley_Town     15   20   +0       1.84    63.83     3.78    59.66     8.60    -4.46     0.27     1.81    10.65     3.53P    3.72R    1.17  
Macclesfield     15   20   -2       3.57    75.57     3.89    52.83     8.13   -16.12     0.02     0.18     1.98     0.47P   15.17R    5.74  
Salford_City     15   20   -5       4.53    80.40     3.15    51.04     8.37   -23.01     0.01     0.16     1.56     0.35P   22.35R    9.11  
Grimsby          15   19   +0       0.17    52.28     2.23    56.61     8.37    -6.87     0.08     0.70     5.48     1.66P    6.70R    2.15  
Leyton_Orient    15   19   -3       1.88    64.20     2.55    54.25     8.74   -14.54     0.07     0.55     3.65     1.10P   13.12R    5.25  
Mansfield        15   17   +1      -7.53     8.69    -4.94    65.48     8.71     9.83     1.44     7.46    29.34    14.21P    0.71R    0.19  
Walsall          15   15  -11      -4.81    19.68   -10.13    57.08     8.75   -11.12     0.10     0.88     6.29     2.20P    7.53R    2.67  
Oldham           15   14   -8      -6.12    13.40    -7.22    57.23     8.75    -6.83     0.12     0.92     6.83     2.34P    7.03R    2.51  
Carlisle         15   14  -12      -4.22    22.32    -8.25    54.58     8.62   -14.96     0.04     0.32     3.39     0.99P   12.21R    4.73  
Scunthorpe       15   13   -4      -9.55     4.56    -6.98    60.77     9.16     3.84     0.50     3.06    15.31     6.86P    3.70R    1.25  
Morecambe        15   10  -14      -5.28    15.66    -5.94    41.89     8.14   -30.40     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.02P   64.17R   44.93  
Stevenage        15    9  -10      -9.64     3.06    -7.37    47.46     8.42   -15.58     0.00     0.03     0.50     0.15P   35.12R   17.89  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 October 2019, Wrexham 0 1 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Halifax            17   32  +10       7.96    91.00     8.70    74.12     8.20    13.71     7.04    49.25    15.78P    0.14R    0.00  
Bromley            17   32   +6       7.12    87.60     3.83    75.01     8.48    10.61     8.96    52.77    17.72P    0.22R    0.00  
Yeovil             17   31  +10       0.95    55.52    -0.13    83.12     8.52    28.50    38.96    85.41    54.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Barrow             16   28   +9       4.03    75.52     6.04    71.81     8.58    12.87     5.15    39.39    12.51P    0.53R    0.01  
Notts_County       17   27   +9      -3.24    29.33    -1.52    79.28     8.46    27.90    21.99    74.11    40.46P    0.07R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     17   27   +8      -0.29    47.95     2.08    73.78     8.32    18.38     7.07    49.52    18.64P    0.25R    0.01  
Woking             17   27   +6       4.53    76.62     7.35    65.97     8.81     4.68     1.54    17.69     4.80P    3.66R    0.13  
Harrogate_Town     17   26   +3       0.61    54.22    -0.09    69.92     8.48     9.07     3.18    30.86     9.65P    1.10R    0.02  
Torquay            17   25   +3       3.37    70.78     6.02    62.00     8.86    -1.78     0.62     9.25     2.19P    8.88R    0.52  
Barnet             17   25   +3       0.27    52.19     0.83    68.47     8.24     8.54     1.97    24.58     7.42P    1.29R    0.03  
Boreham_Wood       17   24   +6       0.10    51.01     5.05    64.83     8.37     7.57     0.84    13.91     3.64P    3.72R    0.15  
Dag_&_Red          16   24   +1       2.01    64.22     0.87    65.95     8.52     2.29     1.17    16.55     4.32P    3.26R    0.09  
Eastleigh          17   24   -1       1.52    60.61     0.34    62.38     8.23    -3.08     0.35     7.81     1.74P    6.89R    0.30  
Dover_Athletic     16   24   -2       2.01    63.85    -2.03    63.99     8.54    -4.01     0.71    11.51     2.72P    5.40R    0.27  
Hartlepool         17   23   -1       0.20    51.98    -0.19    60.07     8.24    -5.35     0.17     4.88     1.02P   11.22R    0.65  
Maidenhead         17   21   +2       0.17    51.91     5.68    55.66     8.10    -5.69     0.03     1.62     0.27P   23.67R    1.92  
Stockport          16   21   -8       4.40    78.47     0.41    51.83     8.53   -23.81     0.03     0.84     0.15P   44.23R    6.94  
Chesterfield       17   18   -6      -5.77    17.19    -6.66    57.21     8.34    -7.07     0.08     2.57     0.66P   19.27R    1.79  
Aldershot          17   18   -6      -1.71    39.15    -0.94    50.67     7.85   -16.12     0.00     0.31     0.07P   47.61R    6.63  
Sutton_United      16   16   -4      -4.64    20.91    -2.11    54.60     8.45    -7.69     0.02     1.41     0.30P   28.69R    3.12  
Wrexham            17   16   -6      -7.85     9.06    -6.95    56.71     8.14    -4.35     0.04     2.08     0.58P   19.40R    1.62  
AFC_Fylde          16   16  -12      -6.70    12.50   -12.89    58.14     8.64   -10.76     0.10     3.58     0.90P   17.83R    1.51  
Chorley            17   13  -15      -2.45    34.75    -3.06    38.98     7.80   -35.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.50R   59.69  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   10  -15     -10.60     3.01   -10.65    47.65     8.31   -18.51     0.00     0.10     0.02P   61.17R   14.58