Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 21 October 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 October 2019, Sheff_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         9   25  +14       5.36    93.78     1.49    88.59     7.27    54.66    54.10    95.08    99.04    99.75    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          9   19  +20      -3.07    17.04     1.82    86.83     6.82    72.30    44.66    93.33    98.57    99.60    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         9   17   +8       4.03    84.40     7.35    61.93     8.28    15.32     0.13     1.39    14.39    31.74    64.52     0.10R    0.01  
Chelsea           9   17   +5       0.66    55.85    -1.15    67.85     8.13    22.35     0.72     5.57    38.90    61.28    86.36     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal           9   15   +1       0.28    52.72    -2.67    63.12     8.29    13.64     0.17     1.86    18.29    36.89    69.04     0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    9   14   -2       2.70    76.10    -0.25    50.15     7.99    -8.46     0.00     0.04     0.82     2.99    12.60     3.79R    0.44  
Tottenham         9   12   +2      -4.39    12.52    -4.25    63.62     8.16    20.28     0.18     2.10    20.48    40.63    72.64     0.04R    0.00  
Burnley           9   12   +1       1.35    64.30     3.70    45.18     7.81   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.77     4.39    10.97R    1.84  
Sheff_Utd         9   12   +1       2.14    71.29     4.77    44.70     8.06   -10.61     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.74     4.41    13.43R    2.58  
Bournemouth       9   12   +0       0.66    57.05     2.29    46.37     8.11   -10.97     0.00     0.01     0.34     1.28     6.68     9.48R    1.65  
West_Ham          9   12   -2       0.45    55.07    -0.50    47.24     8.04   -11.00     0.00     0.02     0.48     1.67     7.70     7.57R    1.17  
Aston_Villa       9   11   +2       0.11    52.14     4.89    40.95     8.10   -16.83     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.33     1.93    26.38R    6.81  
Wolverhampton     9   11   +0      -0.39    47.01     1.94    48.70     8.04    -3.70     0.00     0.02     0.63     2.17    10.18     5.14R    0.72  
Man_Utd           9   10   +1      -4.36    14.96    -1.97    58.62     8.04    14.09     0.04     0.55     7.19    18.50    49.36     0.34R    0.03  
Everton           9   10   -5      -2.52    27.20    -5.07    46.46     7.97   -11.13     0.00     0.01     0.32     1.19     6.19     8.77R    1.45  
Brighton          9    9   -3      -0.25    48.89     2.37    38.89     7.55   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.75    33.88R    8.51  
Southampton       9    8   -7      -0.80    43.85    -1.35    39.93     7.78   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     1.02    30.28R    8.35  
Newcastle         9    8   -9      -1.41    36.85    -4.29    42.07     7.83   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.23     1.89    21.20R    4.27  
Norwich           9    7  -11      -0.32    48.92    -0.56    33.95     7.99   -36.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26    61.65R   28.95  
Watford           9    4  -16      -4.60    10.15    -8.58    32.84     7.70   -35.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13    66.90R   33.21  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 October 2019, Wigan 1 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       12   25   +9       4.37    80.98     2.44    85.53     9.36    30.60    44.12    63.47    90.93    71.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    12   23   +9       3.57    76.64     4.67    78.76     9.17    22.58    16.01    33.61    75.01    45.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea         12   22   +7       3.11    73.59     3.39    74.39     9.25    15.55     7.63    18.38    57.39    28.72P    0.16R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest   12   22   +6       5.35    86.66     5.63    72.57     9.22    11.90     5.11    13.04    49.36    21.47P    0.30R    0.02  
QPR             12   22   +0       7.22    92.87     2.90    63.04     9.24    -9.63     0.59     1.96    14.83     4.07P    4.38R    0.65  
Preston         12   21  +10       2.05    66.07     6.21    73.15     9.56    18.18     6.98    16.49    53.03    25.60P    0.30R    0.04  
Charlton        12   21   +6       4.52    81.78     5.91    66.08     9.65     3.80     1.64     4.52    24.66     8.78P    2.31R    0.29  
Sheff_Wed       12   20   +7       2.00    65.99     4.64    69.17     9.28    10.79     2.87     7.77    35.75    14.24P    0.83R    0.07  
Bristol_City    12   20   +2       3.11    73.66     1.36    69.73     9.33     6.57     3.08     8.23    37.48    14.83P    0.85R    0.10  
Fulham          12   19   +8      -0.67    44.42     3.21    72.68     9.91    18.68     6.94    16.46    51.37    26.53P    0.48R    0.04  
Cardiff         12   17   +0      -0.87    43.41    -2.07    67.01     9.77     5.07     1.96     5.82    28.47    11.66P    1.90R    0.24  
Birmingham      12   16   -4       1.76    65.28    -0.86    59.01     9.08    -9.23     0.17     0.66     6.88     1.87P    9.54R    1.77  
Brentford       12   15   +1      -2.84    28.42    -1.09    65.26     9.34     6.39     1.16     3.51    21.95     8.27P    2.48R    0.31  
Blackburn       12   15   -2      -1.13    41.50    -1.17    58.39     9.28    -7.17     0.16     0.64     6.77     1.90P   10.78R    2.13  
Derby           12   15   -3      -2.53    30.89    -4.64    65.50     9.35     2.66     1.11     3.61    22.34     8.49P    2.38R    0.30  
Luton           12   14   -2      -1.43    39.67    -0.10    56.65     9.75    -8.87     0.16     0.59     5.80     1.66P   15.93R    3.82  
Millwall        12   14   -5       0.52    55.52    -0.66    55.30     8.88   -12.38     0.04     0.21     3.04     0.71P   17.68R    3.92  
Wigan           12   14   -6      -0.45    47.49    -3.14    55.66     8.91   -12.97     0.05     0.21     3.26     0.75P   16.80R    3.55  
Hull            12   13   -3      -3.50    24.41    -2.89    55.61     9.33   -10.10     0.08     0.33     4.06     1.17P   17.66R    4.12  
Reading         12   11   -5      -1.99    34.95     0.30    50.26     8.95   -15.99     0.01     0.04     0.91     0.21P   35.77R   10.96  
Middlesbrough   12   10   -6      -7.02     6.88    -7.01    57.17     9.02    -4.53     0.10     0.38     4.94     1.62P   12.40R    2.48  
Huddersfield    12    9   -6      -5.15    14.23    -2.51    48.35     9.19   -16.35     0.01     0.04     0.75     0.19P   44.09R   16.26  
Stoke           12    8   -9      -6.65     7.67    -6.47    50.14     9.03   -15.42     0.01     0.04     0.86     0.20P   36.33R   11.70  
Barnsley        12    7  -14      -5.56    11.58    -8.05    43.40     9.21   -30.15     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   66.60R   37.21  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 October 2019, Accrington_Stanley 2 0 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich              12   27  +14       6.04    89.52     7.31    84.47     9.02    34.69    46.48    65.97    92.72    73.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              13   26   +9       6.73    90.57     6.82    66.75     8.66     5.92     1.61     5.08    30.43     9.41P    0.62R    0.00  
Peterborough         13   24  +14       1.75    62.77     6.89    77.54     8.67    31.87    16.36    35.10    78.17    46.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       12   23   +9       3.67    77.17     4.60    73.39     8.86    18.90     7.49    18.60    60.74    28.63P    0.08R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           14   22  +11       0.85    56.20     8.10    70.12     8.61    21.86     3.80    10.54    47.59    19.22P    0.22R    0.00  
Coventry             13   21   +1       2.64    70.30     0.22    61.80     8.45    -1.30     0.43     1.53    13.41     3.91P    2.43R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       13   21   +1       2.73    70.65     0.22    62.55     8.48    -0.41     0.54     1.86    15.54     4.57P    1.93R    0.00  
Blackpool            13   20   +2       1.16    59.12     0.49    62.96     8.39     2.78     0.60     2.03    16.94     5.11P    1.57R    0.00  
Doncaster            12   19   +2       0.62    55.07    -0.82    68.95     8.92    11.33     2.94     8.62    40.46    16.37P    0.45R    0.00  
Sunderland           12   19   +1      -1.34    39.02    -4.91    74.89     8.76    19.76     9.59    23.19    67.19    36.66P    0.05R    0.00  
Rotherham            12   18   +7      -1.73    36.42     1.88    70.39     9.43    20.10     5.37    13.14    48.48    23.08P    0.48R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         14   17   -2       0.06    51.54     1.61    54.44     8.50    -7.71     0.04     0.18     3.13     0.71P   13.03R    0.06  
Shrewsbury           12   17   -3       1.03    59.14    -2.51    59.49     8.62    -4.82     0.20     0.81     9.35     2.47P    4.49R    0.02  
Rochdale             13   16   -5       0.70    56.37    -0.43    50.60     8.34   -18.95     0.01     0.03     1.08     0.20P   25.55R    0.26  
Burton_Albion        11   15   +2      -0.57    45.74     1.31    67.77     9.13    13.42     2.56     7.34    36.57    14.69P    0.71R    0.00  
Gillingham           13   14   +2      -3.62    23.89     2.38    56.08     8.72     0.79     0.08     0.36     5.23     1.27P    9.75R    0.06  
Accrington_Stanley   13   14   -4      -1.43    40.08    -0.21    51.36     8.49   -12.80     0.01     0.07     1.39     0.28P   22.29R    0.26  
Portsmouth           11   13   +0      -4.66    15.47    -4.01    66.06     9.28    11.77     1.90     5.51    30.36    12.50P    1.28R    0.00  
Tranmere             13   13   -5      -0.72    45.44     2.13    44.75     8.46   -22.62     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.04P   52.38R    1.39  
MK_Dons              13   13   -7      -2.26    33.41    -3.05    47.70     8.64   -19.63     0.00     0.02     0.59     0.13P   38.74R    0.79  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   12   -5      -3.88    22.99     0.36    47.45     8.22   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P   37.60R    0.64  
Southend             13    5  -19      -9.16     2.46   -12.73    36.14     8.23   -39.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    86.84R   10.32  
Bolton               11   -8  -25      -5.24     9.32   -15.64    20.88     8.28   -51.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.49R   86.20  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2019, Bradford 2 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Crewe            14   29   +9       8.19    93.18     6.60    77.13     9.05    15.31    15.39    42.30    75.93    49.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford         14   27   +8       3.15    71.89     1.12    81.28     9.11    23.58    31.18    61.46    87.58    69.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County   13   26   +7       7.68    93.20     6.03    74.45     8.97    11.99     9.49    30.47    65.89    38.31P    0.05R    0.01  
Exeter           14   26   +3       4.23    78.45    -0.84    74.24     8.91     9.58     9.09    29.74    64.71    38.44P    0.05R    0.01  
Cheltenham       13   25  +11       5.89    86.91     9.14    72.90     9.14    14.94     7.74    26.44    60.36    33.85P    0.09R    0.01  
Forest_Green     14   25   +7       3.69    75.62     3.85    73.78     8.91    14.35     8.60    28.63    63.70    37.65P    0.04R    0.01  
Swindon          14   21   +2       0.76    55.74     0.48    68.94     8.97     8.11     3.17    13.99    42.83    21.11P    0.34R    0.08  
Plymouth         14   20   +4      -2.73    31.00    -1.36    72.95     9.26    17.59     8.25    27.63    61.44    37.96P    0.12R    0.04  
Macclesfield     14   20   +1       4.03    78.50     5.57    54.56     8.45   -12.57     0.05     0.40     3.74     0.92P   11.16R    4.36  
Cambridge_Utd    14   19   +6       0.98    58.08     7.54    61.55     8.77     4.43     0.46     2.97    16.20     5.82P    2.42R    0.81  
Colchester       14   19   +3      -2.61    31.42    -0.54    66.18     8.82     8.12     1.67     8.42    31.54    14.58P    0.65R    0.17  
Leyton_Orient    14   19   +1       1.89    64.16     4.26    56.67     9.16    -8.79     0.16     1.12     7.21     2.29P    8.84R    3.48  
Crawley_Town     14   19   +0       1.98    65.44     3.48    59.58     8.89    -5.26     0.30     2.05    11.30     3.72P    4.29R    1.47  
Grimsby          14   18   +0       0.46    54.65     2.21    56.89     8.65    -7.10     0.10     0.90     6.49     1.97P    6.86R    2.47  
Northampton      14   18   +0      -2.21    34.25    -1.53    62.59     8.94     1.11     0.65     4.11    18.94     7.65P    1.89R    0.60  
Port_Vale        14   18   -2       0.65    56.04     0.43    56.16     8.61   -10.11     0.08     0.76     5.20     1.62P    8.17R    3.03  
Mansfield        14   17   +2      -5.94    13.38    -3.59    68.57     8.90    13.39     2.93    13.33    42.77    22.68P    0.36R    0.10  
Salford_City     14   17   -6       2.66    70.42     1.67    47.72     8.54   -26.69     0.00     0.07     0.67     0.16P   36.72R   19.24  
Walsall          14   15   -9      -4.10    22.64    -9.04    59.20     9.18    -8.12     0.24     1.90    10.90     4.18P    5.48R    1.95  
Carlisle         14   14  -10      -3.40    26.81    -7.09    56.92     8.98   -11.61     0.11     0.90     6.58     2.11P    8.34R    3.23  
Oldham           14   11  -10      -7.18     8.35    -8.37    54.90     8.99    -9.94     0.05     0.56     4.67     1.56P   11.66R    4.81  
Scunthorpe       14   10   -6     -10.53     2.39    -8.02    58.06     9.44     0.23     0.28     1.75    10.12     4.34P    7.12R    2.94  
Morecambe        14   10  -12      -4.70    17.96    -5.01    43.55     8.43   -27.95     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   55.88R   36.46  
Stevenage        14    9   -9      -8.71     4.27    -6.97    48.90     8.70   -14.61     0.01     0.07     1.04     0.31P   29.44R   14.73  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 October 2019, Wrexham 0 1 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Halifax            17   32  +10       7.91    90.83     8.64    74.25     8.26    13.85     7.48    49.75    16.42P    0.16R    0.00  
Bromley            17   32   +6       7.07    87.50     3.76    75.05     8.54    10.70     9.48    53.08    18.23P    0.21R    0.00  
Yeovil             17   31  +10       0.99    55.64    -0.05    83.08     8.49    28.39    38.39    85.42    54.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Barrow             16   28   +9       4.12    76.00     6.16    71.62     8.55    12.64     4.99    38.49    12.17P    0.57R    0.01  
Notts_County       17   27   +9      -3.25    29.18    -1.50    79.22     8.54    27.76    21.67    73.91    40.15P    0.06R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     17   27   +8      -0.21    48.74     2.21    73.65     8.40    18.18     7.11    48.83    18.24P    0.28R    0.00  
Woking             17   27   +6       4.51    76.58     7.29    66.11     8.83     4.95     1.54    18.34     4.79P    3.47R    0.12  
Harrogate_Town     17   26   +3       0.69    54.77     0.05    69.68     8.42     8.70     2.87    29.73     9.03P    1.12R    0.02  
Torquay            17   25   +3       3.32    70.46     5.95    62.08     8.84    -1.66     0.52     9.29     2.13P    8.80R    0.51  
Barnet             17   25   +3       0.22    51.66     0.74    68.65     8.25     8.72     2.02    25.11     7.59P    1.32R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       17   24   +6      -0.01    50.38     4.98    64.87     8.28     7.59     0.86    14.13     3.67P    3.53R    0.11  
Dag_&_Red          16   24   +1       2.11    64.73     1.02    65.86     8.45     2.16     1.16    15.81     4.23P    3.37R    0.12  
Eastleigh          17   24   -1       1.45    59.98     0.28    62.37     8.31    -3.11     0.40     8.11     1.80P    7.10R    0.28  
Dover_Athletic     16   24   -2       1.91    63.03    -2.17    64.23     8.58    -3.69     0.91    12.47     3.08P    5.15R    0.20  
Hartlepool         17   23   -1       0.16    51.62    -0.21    60.06     8.25    -5.37     0.21     5.12     1.19P   11.21R    0.60  
Maidenhead         17   21   +2       0.01    51.11     5.42    55.96     8.12    -5.22     0.05     1.77     0.29P   22.72R    1.76  
Stockport          16   21   -8       4.42    78.59     0.45    51.72     8.55   -23.97     0.03     0.80     0.14P   44.89R    7.05  
Chesterfield       17   18   -6      -5.79    17.12    -6.65    57.28     8.31    -7.00     0.10     2.57     0.62P   18.78R    1.72  
Aldershot          17   18   -6      -1.63    40.05    -0.85    50.61     7.93   -16.22     0.00     0.32     0.04P   47.78R    6.90  
Sutton_United      16   16   -4      -4.61    21.15    -2.08    54.58     8.39    -7.68     0.03     1.32     0.26P   28.85R    3.11  
Wrexham            17   16   -6      -7.76     9.45    -6.82    56.67     8.22    -4.41     0.05     2.04     0.55P   19.69R    1.67  
AFC_Fylde          16   16  -12      -6.72    12.57   -12.96    58.09     8.66   -10.84     0.14     3.46     0.94P   18.06R    1.47  
Chorley            17   13  -15      -2.37    35.14    -3.01    38.88     7.82   -35.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.60R   59.85  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   10  -15     -10.56     3.15   -10.65    47.65     8.27   -18.51     0.00     0.11     0.03P   61.25R   14.47