Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 October 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 October 2019, Man_Utd 1 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         9   25  +14       5.38    94.08     1.51    88.59     7.24    54.66    53.32    94.15    98.73    99.69    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          9   19  +20      -3.10    17.09     1.70    87.03     6.75    72.66    45.26    92.91    98.38    99.50    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         9   17   +8       4.04    84.43     7.35    61.74     8.29    14.99     0.09     1.22    12.71    28.61    62.72     0.10R    0.01  
Chelsea           9   17   +5       0.61    55.15    -1.28    67.95     8.14    22.52     0.62     5.47    36.50    59.07    85.74     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal           8   15   +2       1.72    66.83    -1.63    65.65     8.60    16.67     0.48     3.69    26.01    47.19    77.08     0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    9   14   -2       2.69    75.55    -0.27    50.23     8.00    -8.40     0.00     0.02     0.82     2.69    12.53     3.40R    0.40  
Tottenham         9   12   +2      -4.40    12.66    -4.26    63.70     8.23    20.56     0.21     2.02    18.72    38.78    71.91     0.04R    0.00  
Burnley           9   12   +1       1.34    64.33     3.74    45.27     7.90   -10.41     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.73     4.59    10.57R    1.72  
Bournemouth       9   12   +0       0.68    57.33     2.38    46.21     8.06   -11.32     0.00     0.01     0.26     1.00     5.92     9.36R    1.70  
West_Ham          9   12   -2       0.48    55.41    -0.44    47.12     8.04   -11.21     0.00     0.01     0.37     1.31     6.97     7.48R    1.05  
Aston_Villa       9   11   +2       0.20    53.11     5.02    40.88     8.13   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.27     1.85    25.61R    6.66  
Wolverhampton     9   11   +0      -0.33    47.62     2.03    48.64     8.07    -3.85     0.00     0.02     0.52     1.90     9.74     5.16R    0.80  
Man_Utd           9   10   +1      -4.36    14.85    -1.97    58.71     8.06    14.22     0.02     0.47     6.34    17.39    48.59     0.29R    0.04  
Everton           9   10   -5      -2.62    26.62    -5.19    46.62     8.01   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.25     1.10     6.19     8.29R    1.33  
Sheff_Utd         8    9   +0       0.43    56.14     3.73    41.92     8.28   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.39     2.48    21.69R    5.40  
Brighton          9    9   -3      -0.24    49.31     2.37    38.89     7.59   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.77    32.54R    8.31  
Southampton       9    8   -7      -0.84    43.52    -1.39    39.99     7.77   -21.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.98    29.19R    7.70  
Newcastle         9    8   -9      -1.39    37.03    -4.24    42.06     7.79   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.17     1.64    20.19R    4.14  
Norwich           9    7  -11      -0.37    48.43    -0.63    34.06     7.97   -36.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26    59.74R   27.71  
Watford           9    4  -16      -4.58    10.29    -8.51    32.74     7.71   -35.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    66.33R   33.04  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 October 2019, Wigan 1 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       12   25   +9       4.37    81.38     2.43    85.54     9.43    30.61    44.10    63.44    90.91    71.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    12   23   +9       3.51    76.00     4.56    78.88     9.24    22.78    16.50    34.52    75.30    46.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         12   22   +7       3.10    73.56     3.36    74.35     9.32    15.47     7.80    18.18    57.34    28.39P    0.17R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest   12   22   +6       5.23    85.70     5.44    72.74     9.24    12.15     5.29    13.61    50.02    21.99P    0.26R    0.02  
QPR             12   22   +0       7.27    92.89     3.00    62.92     9.33    -9.84     0.61     2.07    14.79     4.02P    4.64R    0.70  
Preston         12   21  +10       2.10    66.20     6.27    72.97     9.59    17.94     6.76    15.97    52.56    25.13P    0.35R    0.04  
Charlton        12   21   +6       4.51    81.88     5.90    66.15     9.59     3.90     1.58     4.67    25.07     8.81P    2.20R    0.25  
Sheff_Wed       12   20   +7       2.13    66.91     4.78    68.84     9.23    10.29     2.59     7.24    34.43    13.64P    0.79R    0.08  
Bristol_City    12   20   +2       3.18    74.33     1.47    69.60     9.33     6.36     3.00     8.08    37.00    14.70P    0.79R    0.08  
Fulham          12   19   +8      -0.66    44.39     3.21    72.68     9.85    18.69     6.73    16.18    51.35    26.26P    0.44R    0.05  
Cardiff         12   17   +0      -0.79    44.16    -1.93    66.75     9.74     4.68     1.96     5.54    27.64    11.25P    2.13R    0.27  
Birmingham      12   16   -4       1.84    66.28    -0.74    58.76     9.08    -9.60     0.14     0.61     6.65     1.83P   10.03R    1.78  
Brentford       12   15   +1      -2.87    28.09    -1.14    65.54     9.35     6.78     1.21     3.75    22.94     8.79P    2.38R    0.29  
Blackburn       12   15   -2      -1.08    41.81    -1.09    58.42     9.21    -7.08     0.16     0.62     6.75     1.90P   10.68R    2.11  
Derby           12   15   -3      -2.57    30.54    -4.68    65.65     9.27     2.86     1.06     3.51    22.93     8.57P    2.33R    0.27  
Luton           12   14   -2      -1.54    38.91    -0.29    57.00     9.72    -8.45     0.20     0.71     6.24     1.86P   15.26R    3.41  
Millwall        12   14   -5       0.46    54.94    -0.73    55.53     8.97   -12.09     0.05     0.25     3.33     0.83P   17.43R    3.99  
Wigan           12   14   -6      -0.35    48.42    -3.01    55.30     9.00   -13.49     0.04     0.19     3.06     0.71P   18.42R    4.16  
Hull            12   13   -3      -3.66    23.23    -3.10    55.89     9.33    -9.68     0.10     0.38     4.26     1.21P   16.87R    4.03  
Reading         12   11   -5      -2.11    34.05     0.14    50.47     8.95   -15.71     0.00     0.04     0.90     0.20P   35.02R   10.72  
Middlesbrough   12   10   -6      -7.03     6.76    -6.98    57.06     8.94    -4.71     0.09     0.39     4.80     1.60P   12.55R    2.49  
Huddersfield    12    9   -6      -5.14    14.53    -2.50    48.55     9.33   -16.01     0.01     0.04     0.78     0.19P   43.30R   15.95  
Stoke           12    8   -9      -6.59     7.74    -6.40    50.10     9.01   -15.46     0.01     0.03     0.81     0.18P   36.59R   11.87  
Barnsley        12    7  -14      -5.50    11.85    -7.98    43.24     9.13   -30.37     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   67.35R   37.42  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 October 2019, Accrington_Stanley 2 0 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich              12   27  +14       6.05    89.35     7.31    84.38     9.03    34.53    46.00    65.38    92.61    73.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Wycombe              13   26   +9       6.68    90.44     6.82    66.79     8.59     5.94     1.70     5.08    30.52     9.53P    0.59R    0.00  
Peterborough         13   24  +14       1.74    62.77     6.89    77.54     8.69    31.90    16.61    35.26    78.10    46.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       12   23   +9       3.68    77.18     4.61    73.29     8.95    18.77     7.37    18.50    60.38    28.41P    0.10R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           14   22  +11       0.80    55.87     8.04    70.18     8.61    21.91     3.86    10.66    47.87    19.68P    0.20R    0.00  
Coventry             13   21   +1       2.59    70.08     0.17    61.83     8.46    -1.28     0.42     1.41    13.85     3.78P    2.33R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       13   21   +1       2.72    70.59     0.18    62.49     8.51    -0.44     0.53     1.86    15.63     4.55P    2.05R    0.00  
Blackpool            13   20   +2       1.27    60.25     0.61    62.80     8.48     2.58     0.55     1.93    16.68     4.95P    1.85R    0.00  
Doncaster            12   19   +2       0.72    56.08    -0.67    68.60     8.91    10.70     2.66     7.72    38.88    15.12P    0.52R    0.00  
Sunderland           12   19   +1      -1.46    38.15    -5.10    75.24     8.78    20.27    10.30    24.71    68.27    38.24P    0.05R    0.00  
Rotherham            12   18   +7      -1.74    36.21     1.85    70.38     9.48    20.14     5.39    13.39    48.51    23.18P    0.43R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         14   17   -2      -0.06    50.57     1.43    54.67     8.54    -7.41     0.03     0.17     3.32     0.74P   12.54R    0.07  
Shrewsbury           12   17   -3       1.04    59.23    -2.51    59.49     8.61    -4.82     0.19     0.78     9.31     2.43P    4.64R    0.02  
Rochdale             13   16   -5       0.72    56.55    -0.41    50.62     8.39   -18.98     0.01     0.05     1.13     0.22P   25.95R    0.25  
Burton_Albion        11   15   +2      -0.69    44.64     1.18    67.88     9.07    13.66     2.43     7.20    37.13    14.82P    0.65R    0.00  
Gillingham           13   14   +2      -3.60    24.43     2.44    56.00     8.76     0.64     0.09     0.39     5.14     1.27P    9.82R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   13   14   -4      -1.30    41.03    -0.03    51.29     8.41   -12.92     0.02     0.06     1.44     0.32P   22.23R    0.24  
Portsmouth           11   13   +0      -4.63    15.65    -3.97    65.99     9.23    11.74     1.85     5.41    30.01    12.33P    1.30R    0.01  
Tranmere             13   13   -5      -0.72    45.54     2.08    44.95     8.55   -22.31     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.06P   51.65R    1.36  
MK_Dons              13   13   -7      -2.18    34.07    -2.94    47.55     8.62   -19.86     0.00     0.02     0.57     0.12P   39.47R    0.91  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   12   -5      -3.93    22.69     0.31    47.50     8.17   -13.72     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.06P   37.34R    0.61  
Southend             13    5  -19      -9.09     2.42   -12.63    36.04     8.19   -39.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   86.90R   10.29  
Bolton               11   -8  -25      -5.24     9.47   -15.66    21.06     8.29   -51.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.37R   86.20  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2019, Bradford 2 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Crewe            14   29   +9       8.06    93.02     6.40    77.31     9.05    15.60    15.93    43.10    76.51    50.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford         14   27   +8       3.15    71.61     1.12    81.26     9.14    23.51    30.80    61.10    87.57    68.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Newport_County   13   26   +7       7.65    93.36     6.00    74.55     8.97    12.15     9.61    31.04    66.29    38.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Exeter           14   26   +3       4.28    78.44    -0.72    74.12     8.92     9.43     8.89    29.03    64.48    37.73P    0.05R    0.01  
Cheltenham       13   25  +11       5.91    87.12     9.14    72.86     9.17    14.90     7.73    26.16    59.99    33.64P    0.12R    0.02  
Forest_Green     14   25   +7       3.80    76.23     3.96    73.62     8.89    14.12     8.20    28.27    63.20    37.09P    0.06R    0.01  
Swindon          14   21   +2       0.77    56.11     0.50    68.74     9.00     7.83     3.07    13.33    41.90    20.20P    0.41R    0.10  
Plymouth         14   20   +4      -2.73    31.01    -1.35    72.92     9.24    17.58     8.11    27.21    61.10    37.34P    0.15R    0.03  
Macclesfield     14   20   +1       4.02    78.39     5.56    54.68     8.42   -12.45     0.05     0.40     3.61     0.88P   10.83R    4.12  
Cambridge_Utd    14   19   +6       1.09    58.99     7.66    61.39     8.74     4.22     0.39     2.88    15.67     5.48P    2.44R    0.82  
Colchester       14   19   +3      -2.70    31.00    -0.67    66.36     8.89     8.36     1.88     9.24    32.54    15.65P    0.68R    0.19  
Leyton_Orient    14   19   +1       1.90    64.40     4.29    56.66     9.05    -8.82     0.18     1.15     6.83     2.25P    8.54R    3.36  
Crawley_Town     14   19   +0       1.97    65.10     3.48    59.58     8.90    -5.20     0.32     2.08    11.18     3.80P    4.38R    1.49  
Grimsby          14   18   +0       0.45    54.26     2.22    56.84     8.65    -7.16     0.10     0.89     6.41     2.00P    6.95R    2.52  
Northampton      14   18   +0      -2.18    34.56    -1.49    62.61     8.93     1.16     0.72     4.12    19.28     7.77P    1.91R    0.59  
Port_Vale        14   18   -2       0.60    55.62     0.38    56.20     8.61   -10.09     0.11     0.75     5.44     1.64P    8.09R    2.82  
Mansfield        14   17   +2      -5.99    12.95    -3.70    68.73     8.94    13.67     3.20    14.01    43.31    23.42P    0.37R    0.10  
Salford_City     14   17   -6       2.79    71.58     1.93    47.48     8.53   -27.17     0.00     0.06     0.67     0.17P   38.04R   20.18  
Walsall          14   15   -9      -4.18    22.39    -9.16    59.34     9.12    -7.89     0.25     1.91    11.13     4.28P    5.21R    1.87  
Carlisle         14   14  -10      -3.26    27.77    -6.88    56.61     8.93   -12.10     0.10     0.79     6.33     2.01P    8.79R    3.43  
Oldham           14   11  -10      -7.23     8.23    -8.46    54.96     9.00    -9.91     0.08     0.55     4.75     1.61P   11.83R    4.79  
Scunthorpe       14   10   -6     -10.67     2.21    -8.23    58.35     9.38     0.64     0.27     1.85    10.65     4.52P    6.45R    2.68  
Morecambe        14   10  -12      -4.65    18.14    -4.96    43.59     8.44   -27.89     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   55.52R   36.19  
Stevenage        14    9   -9      -8.76     4.16    -7.02    48.98     8.75   -14.50     0.02     0.07     0.96     0.29P   29.12R   14.65  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 October 2019, Wrexham 0 1 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Halifax            17   32  +10       7.95    91.28     8.68    74.16     8.14    13.73     7.36    49.50    16.14P    0.15R    0.00  
Bromley            17   32   +6       7.05    87.60     3.68    75.13     8.48    10.82     9.57    53.43    18.40P    0.21R    0.00  
Yeovil             17   31  +10       1.06    56.35     0.05    82.98     8.47    28.25    38.66    85.12    54.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Barrow             16   28   +9       4.08    75.74     6.09    71.82     8.56    12.90     5.15    39.54    12.71P    0.57R    0.01  
Notts_County       17   27   +9      -3.24    29.35    -1.46    79.25     8.50    27.80    21.58    74.21    40.06P    0.05R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     17   27   +8      -0.16    48.69     2.27    73.54     8.32    18.01     6.78    48.48    18.06P    0.25R    0.00  
Woking             17   27   +6       4.52    76.60     7.34    65.94     8.85     4.67     1.58    17.93     4.85P    3.77R    0.12  
Harrogate_Town     17   26   +3       0.66    54.45    -0.01    69.75     8.47     8.79     3.03    29.94     9.32P    1.09R    0.02  
Torquay            17   25   +3       3.42    70.91     6.08    61.96     8.82    -1.83     0.55     9.05     2.07P    9.00R    0.53  
Barnet             17   25   +3       0.23    51.77     0.75    68.47     8.22     8.53     1.96    24.58     7.37P    1.28R    0.02  
Boreham_Wood       17   24   +6       0.07    51.02     5.07    64.83     8.32     7.53     0.94    14.01     3.67P    3.60R    0.12  
Dag_&_Red          16   24   +1       2.02    64.16     0.88    65.91     8.53     2.26     1.11    16.56     4.37P    3.33R    0.10  
Eastleigh          17   24   -1       1.46    60.20     0.31    62.32     8.24    -3.22     0.32     7.77     1.68P    7.09R    0.30  
Dover_Athletic     16   24   -2       1.89    63.05    -2.23    64.21     8.55    -3.64     0.81    12.27     3.01P    5.20R    0.20  
Hartlepool         17   23   -1       0.10    51.22    -0.31    60.09     8.19    -5.31     0.21     4.96     1.14P   10.96R    0.54  
Maidenhead         17   21   +2       0.02    50.87     5.47    56.07     8.07    -5.11     0.04     1.78     0.39P   22.11R    1.73  
Stockport          16   21   -8       4.35    78.03     0.37    51.83     8.56   -23.82     0.02     0.84     0.14P   44.41R    6.82  
Chesterfield       17   18   -6      -5.80    16.96    -6.68    57.34     8.34    -6.89     0.10     2.63     0.64P   18.97R    1.59  
Aldershot          17   18   -6      -1.78    38.90    -1.04    50.77     7.84   -16.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P   47.33R    6.60  
Sutton_United      16   16   -4      -4.54    21.64    -1.98    54.49     8.38    -7.82     0.04     1.37     0.29P   29.28R    3.18  
Wrexham            17   16   -6      -7.90     8.88    -7.01    56.87     8.10    -4.13     0.07     2.07     0.59P   19.12R    1.56  
AFC_Fylde          16   16  -12      -6.59    13.10   -12.76    58.02     8.73   -11.01     0.11     3.56     0.91P   18.60R    1.67  
Chorley            17   13  -15      -2.35    35.45    -2.95    38.83     7.77   -35.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.82R   60.35  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   10  -15     -10.56     3.11   -10.62    47.61     8.29   -18.54     0.00     0.11     0.02P   61.82R   14.53