Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 19 October 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2019, Aston_Villa 2 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         8   24  +14       6.01    97.26     1.84    89.50     7.51    55.59    56.74    94.87    98.90    99.67    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          9   19  +20      -3.15    16.41     1.60    87.01     6.81    72.72    41.92    92.60    98.33    99.51    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         9   17   +8       4.05    84.37     7.37    61.81     8.29    15.06     0.11     1.24    12.62    28.87    63.26     0.10R    0.00  
Chelsea           9   17   +5       0.59    55.05    -1.29    67.93     8.17    22.51     0.67     5.27    36.53    59.22    85.76     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal           8   15   +2       1.73    66.90    -1.61    65.65     8.55    16.59     0.37     3.58    26.01    47.07    77.43     0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    9   14   -2       2.66    75.35    -0.30    50.31     8.00    -8.29     0.00     0.03     0.80     2.77    12.51     3.46R    0.38  
Tottenham         9   12   +2      -4.36    12.96    -4.18    63.63     8.20    20.38     0.16     1.85    18.24    38.03    71.82     0.04R    0.00  
Burnley           9   12   +1       1.40    64.63     3.80    45.18     7.80   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.58     4.12    10.47R    1.78  
Bournemouth       9   12   +0       0.70    57.44     2.38    46.40     8.08   -11.04     0.00     0.01     0.28     1.17     6.12     8.80R    1.39  
West_Ham          9   12   -2       0.43    54.90    -0.52    47.20     8.05   -11.11     0.00     0.01     0.36     1.38     7.25     7.37R    1.12  
Aston_Villa       9   11   +2       0.13    52.31     4.92    40.99     8.13   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.34     1.88    25.30R    6.40  
Wolverhampton     9   11   +0      -0.34    47.48     2.01    48.59     8.12    -3.94     0.00     0.02     0.53     1.90     9.77     5.25R    0.71  
Everton           9   10   -5      -2.56    26.81    -5.11    46.52     8.04   -11.06     0.00     0.01     0.28     1.10     6.10     8.64R    1.39  
Man_Utd           8    9   +1      -4.20    14.53    -2.27    58.49     8.36    13.33     0.03     0.52     6.69    17.56    47.47     0.40R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd         8    9   +0       0.41    55.82     3.71    42.12     8.25   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.42     2.63    21.08R    4.96  
Brighton          9    9   -3      -0.25    49.03     2.37    38.82     7.55   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.69    32.87R    8.58  
Southampton       9    8   -7      -0.88    43.02    -1.47    40.03     7.84   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.11    29.18R    7.68  
Newcastle         9    8   -9      -1.41    36.92    -4.26    42.10     7.78   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.72    20.04R    4.01  
Norwich           9    7  -11      -0.35    48.71    -0.48    33.97     8.01   -36.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.31    60.32R   28.32  
Watford           9    4  -16      -4.55    10.28    -8.50    32.62     7.69   -36.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    66.64R   33.23  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2019, Barnsley 1 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       12   25   +9       4.30    80.84     2.34    85.59     9.46    30.71    43.30    62.38    90.41    71.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    12   23   +9       3.57    76.34     4.64    78.82     9.23    22.71    15.58    32.67    74.41    44.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea         12   22   +7       3.16    73.75     3.43    74.39     9.28    15.63     7.30    17.62    56.73    27.64P    0.24R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest   11   22   +7       6.46    91.62     6.27    75.01     9.56    14.47     8.13    18.99    58.73    28.18P    0.23R    0.04  
QPR             12   22   +0       7.27    92.86     2.95    62.79     9.31   -10.04     0.55     1.93    13.74     3.73P    4.24R    0.66  
Preston         12   21  +10       2.08    66.29     6.26    73.09     9.56    18.10     6.56    15.43    52.14    24.56P    0.37R    0.02  
Charlton        12   21   +6       4.43    81.15     5.78    66.51     9.65     4.47     1.79     4.78    25.59     9.23P    2.01R    0.26  
Sheff_Wed       12   20   +7       2.04    66.31     4.70    68.95     9.28    10.44     2.53     7.10    34.27    13.48P    0.81R    0.07  
Bristol_City    12   20   +2       3.03    73.22     1.26    69.81     9.32     6.69     2.96     8.09    36.76    14.54P    0.76R    0.09  
Fulham          12   19   +8      -0.67    44.52     3.20    72.84     9.87    18.92     6.51    15.86    51.14    25.89P    0.41R    0.02  
Cardiff         12   17   +0      -0.89    43.05    -2.09    66.83     9.73     4.79     1.85     5.31    27.11    11.02P    1.81R    0.26  
Birmingham      12   16   -4       1.82    65.80    -0.78    59.01     9.24    -9.26     0.21     0.69     6.93     1.93P    9.42R    1.73  
Brentford       12   15   +1      -2.90    28.14    -1.18    65.65     9.36     6.96     1.18     3.55    22.87     8.62P    2.11R    0.24  
Blackburn       12   15   -2      -1.07    41.95    -1.07    58.26     9.33    -7.39     0.18     0.69     6.61     1.88P   10.67R    2.19  
Derby           12   15   -3      -2.49    31.11    -4.58    65.44     9.35     2.60     1.02     3.33    21.26     8.01P    2.39R    0.32  
Luton           12   14   -2      -1.43    39.71    -0.15    56.63     9.62    -8.97     0.12     0.51     5.36     1.50P   15.08R    3.51  
Millwall        12   14   -5       0.55    55.83    -0.62    55.18     8.92   -12.65     0.03     0.16     2.90     0.67P   17.42R    3.93  
Hull            12   13   -3      -3.57    24.04    -2.97    55.52     9.40   -10.24     0.09     0.32     3.96     1.07P   17.46R    4.14  
Reading         12   11   -5      -2.01    34.54     0.26    50.26     8.91   -16.01     0.01     0.04     0.81     0.18P   34.54R   10.86  
Wigan           11   11   -7      -1.86    35.01    -3.77    53.16     9.15   -15.30     0.03     0.12     2.00     0.46P   24.51R    6.39  
Middlesbrough   12   10   -6      -7.04     6.91    -6.98    57.10     9.03    -4.65     0.09     0.36     4.64     1.45P   11.79R    2.47  
Huddersfield    12    9   -6      -5.08    14.45    -2.36    48.07     9.20   -16.80     0.01     0.04     0.60     0.15P   44.23R   16.34  
Stoke           12    8   -9      -6.64     7.79    -6.44    50.28     9.08   -15.22     0.01     0.04     0.89     0.23P   34.54R   11.10  
Barnsley        12    7  -14      -5.58    11.37    -8.08    43.53     9.15   -29.94     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   64.94R   35.33  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich              11   27  +16       7.21    94.57     8.95    87.85     9.18    39.80    58.67    76.82    96.03    82.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              13   26   +9       6.78    90.74     6.94    66.59     8.59     5.59     1.22     4.32    29.44     8.65P    0.50R    0.00  
Peterborough         13   24  +14       1.72    62.49     6.81    77.62     8.69    32.03    12.93    33.62    78.48    46.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       12   23   +9       3.72    77.74     4.65    73.20     8.85    18.60     5.47    16.50    59.75    26.83P    0.08R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           14   22  +11       0.91    57.12     8.23    69.85     8.62    21.41     2.78     8.95    46.21    17.60P    0.22R    0.00  
Coventry             13   21   +1       2.63    70.23     0.15    61.92     8.50    -1.14     0.33     1.31    13.84     3.72P    2.26R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers       13   21   +1       2.67    70.32     0.11    62.64     8.50    -0.26     0.40     1.69    15.88     4.36P    1.70R    0.00  
Blackpool            13   20   +2       1.19    59.38     0.53    62.76     8.45     2.49     0.37     1.63    16.38     4.67P    1.56R    0.00  
Doncaster            12   19   +2       0.78    56.15    -0.57    68.85     8.92    11.15     2.01     7.48    39.94    15.30P    0.42R    0.00  
Sunderland           12   19   +1      -1.44    38.35    -5.04    75.16     8.81    20.15     8.00    22.31    68.12    36.55P    0.05R    0.00  
Rotherham            12   18   +7      -1.87    35.07     1.69    70.60     9.45    20.49     4.42    12.65    49.37    22.86P    0.34R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         14   17   -2      -0.07    50.65     1.45    54.55     8.49    -7.61     0.02     0.14     3.09     0.62P   11.85R    0.11  
Shrewsbury           12   17   -3       1.02    58.96    -2.51    59.39     8.57    -4.95     0.14     0.69     8.94     2.23P    3.99R    0.01  
Rochdale             13   16   -5       0.70    56.64    -0.45    50.46     8.44   -19.27     0.01     0.04     1.17     0.21P   24.88R    0.27  
Burton_Albion        11   15   +2      -0.59    45.77     1.30    67.78     9.23    13.49     1.87     6.82    36.99    14.54P    0.72R    0.00  
Gillingham           13   14   +2      -3.62    23.85     2.40    56.23     8.66     1.01     0.06     0.36     5.12     1.38P    8.54R    0.05  
Portsmouth           11   13   +0      -4.65    15.64    -3.95    65.92     9.16    11.54     1.30     4.62    29.40    11.48P    1.13R    0.00  
Tranmere             13   13   -5      -0.67    45.83     2.17    44.95     8.52   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   49.52R    1.20  
MK_Dons              13   13   -7      -2.25    33.58    -3.07    47.85     8.61   -19.35     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.11P   35.89R    0.71  
AFC_Wimbledon        14   12   -5      -3.85    22.84     0.44    47.32     8.18   -13.94     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.07P   36.03R    0.62  
Accrington_Stanley   12   11   -6      -2.91    28.26    -1.94    47.97     8.64   -17.78     0.01     0.02     0.65     0.12P   34.84R    0.71  
Southend             13    5  -19      -9.15     2.40   -12.73    35.99     8.18   -40.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   86.08R   10.50  
Bolton               11   -8  -25      -5.20     9.68   -15.57    20.97     8.30   -51.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.39R   85.80  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2019, Bradford 2 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Crewe            14   29   +9       8.12    93.20     6.49    77.22     9.01    15.42    15.30    42.64    76.29    49.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford         14   27   +8       3.03    70.42     0.99    81.40     9.19    23.69    31.79    61.96    87.61    69.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County   13   26   +7       7.63    93.17     6.00    74.55     8.91    12.17     9.45    30.75    66.57    38.84P    0.04R    0.01  
Exeter           14   26   +3       4.21    78.34    -0.83    74.19     8.85     9.58     8.73    29.32    64.87    38.16P    0.04R    0.01  
Cheltenham       13   25  +11       5.92    87.06     9.16    72.91     9.12    14.96     7.74    26.44    60.48    33.81P    0.12R    0.02  
Forest_Green     14   25   +7       3.70    75.91     3.83    73.86     8.86    14.48     8.40    29.05    64.52    38.26P    0.06R    0.02  
Swindon          14   21   +2       0.90    56.91     0.63    68.53     8.98     7.50     2.76    12.89    40.99    19.72P    0.42R    0.12  
Plymouth         14   20   +4      -2.71    31.38    -1.33    72.88     9.37    17.52     8.44    27.36    60.64    37.51P    0.15R    0.02  
Macclesfield     14   20   +1       3.89    77.53     5.34    54.94     8.42   -12.04     0.06     0.48     3.89     1.04P   10.20R    3.83  
Cambridge_Utd    14   19   +6       1.08    59.17     7.66    61.40     8.77     4.25     0.50     2.97    15.74     5.61P    2.46R    0.78  
Colchester       14   19   +3      -2.61    31.54    -0.53    66.25     8.92     8.17     1.79     8.86    32.35    15.16P    0.67R    0.17  
Leyton_Orient    14   19   +1       1.92    64.50     4.35    56.62     9.08    -8.93     0.19     1.18     6.99     2.22P    8.85R    3.34  
Crawley_Town     14   19   +0       2.01    65.20     3.50    59.51     8.83    -5.34     0.24     1.85    11.04     3.66P    4.36R    1.57  
Grimsby          14   18   +0       0.49    54.48     2.26    56.80     8.73    -7.23     0.11     0.94     6.60     2.01P    7.21R    2.59  
Northampton      14   18   +0      -2.19    34.34    -1.50    62.54     8.93     1.02     0.71     4.02    19.06     7.65P    2.04R    0.59  
Port_Vale        14   18   -2       0.59    55.37     0.31    56.26     8.60    -9.97     0.08     0.68     5.50     1.60P    7.98R    2.91  
Mansfield        14   17   +2      -5.92    13.41    -3.59    68.56     8.88    13.39     3.06    13.41    42.59    22.66P    0.33R    0.07  
Salford_City     14   17   -6       2.69    70.86     1.79    47.67     8.51   -26.91     0.00     0.04     0.61     0.12P   37.28R   19.49  
Walsall          14   15   -9      -4.15    22.31    -9.13    59.36     9.16    -7.82     0.27     1.92    11.21     4.36P    5.11R    1.77  
Carlisle         14   14  -10      -3.30    27.34    -6.97    56.68     8.97   -11.94     0.09     0.80     6.33     2.00P    8.75R    3.42  
Oldham           14   11  -10      -7.17     8.53    -8.38    54.88     8.93    -9.96     0.05     0.54     4.44     1.51P   11.75R    4.97  
Scunthorpe       14   10   -6     -10.65     2.43    -8.16    58.27     9.41     0.51     0.23     1.81    10.56     4.50P    6.73R    2.77  
Morecambe        14   10  -12      -4.60    18.43    -4.87    43.46     8.46   -28.08     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.04P   56.50R   37.12  
Stevenage        14    9   -9      -8.76     4.02    -7.03    49.02     8.71   -14.43     0.00     0.09     0.98     0.29P   28.95R   14.39  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 October 2019, Wrexham 0 1 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Halifax            17   32  +10       7.92    90.65     8.66    74.19     8.21    13.79     7.18    49.49    16.09P    0.15R    0.00  
Bromley            17   32   +6       7.06    87.53     3.74    75.10     8.57    10.76     9.43    53.26    17.96P    0.22R    0.00  
Yeovil             17   31  +10       0.89    55.05    -0.21    83.18     8.54    28.58    38.89    85.67    54.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Barrow             16   28   +9       4.10    75.76     6.10    71.76     8.50    12.85     4.97    39.23    12.31P    0.55R    0.01  
Notts_County       17   27   +9      -3.22    29.55    -1.44    79.27     8.54    27.77    21.92    74.07    40.68P    0.04R    0.00  
Solihull_Moors     17   27   +8      -0.25    48.29     2.15    73.71     8.35    18.23     7.07    49.12    18.24P    0.26R    0.00  
Woking             17   27   +6       4.65    77.38     7.54    65.77     8.86     4.40     1.56    17.42     4.75P    3.79R    0.12  
Harrogate_Town     17   26   +3       0.78    55.27     0.16    69.67     8.46     8.65     2.84    29.80     9.03P    1.14R    0.02  
Torquay            17   25   +3       3.39    70.90     6.01    62.02     8.83    -1.76     0.59     9.12     2.12P    8.85R    0.50  
Barnet             17   25   +3       0.25    52.09     0.77    68.48     8.26     8.56     1.83    25.03     7.35P    1.41R    0.05  
Boreham_Wood       17   24   +6       0.10    51.19     5.11    64.79     8.23     7.48     0.90    13.70     3.62P    3.49R    0.11  
Dag_&_Red          16   24   +1       1.97    63.82     0.83    66.03     8.47     2.38     1.12    16.71     4.38P    3.09R    0.11  
Eastleigh          17   24   -1       1.52    60.45     0.35    62.26     8.22    -3.24     0.30     7.67     1.75P    7.17R    0.29  
Dover_Athletic     16   24   -2       1.86    62.88    -2.27    64.22     8.61    -3.65     0.87    12.35     3.05P    5.14R    0.17  
Hartlepool         17   23   -1       0.21    51.97    -0.13    59.96     8.22    -5.50     0.18     4.70     1.08P   11.65R    0.64  
Maidenhead         17   21   +2       0.07    51.40     5.58    55.79     8.11    -5.50     0.04     1.65     0.33P   23.32R    1.84  
Stockport          16   21   -8       4.37    78.45     0.33    51.96     8.48   -23.64     0.03     0.81     0.15P   43.64R    6.65  
Chesterfield       17   18   -6      -5.78    17.18    -6.71    57.40     8.34    -6.78     0.08     2.63     0.71P   18.64R    1.68  
Aldershot          17   18   -6      -1.81    38.80    -1.06    50.79     7.93   -15.94     0.01     0.40     0.07P   47.09R    6.39  
Sutton_United      16   16   -4      -4.61    21.09    -2.06    54.53     8.43    -7.75     0.03     1.44     0.36P   29.41R    2.94  
Wrexham            17   16   -6      -7.86     9.15    -6.96    56.79     8.20    -4.20     0.04     2.12     0.56P   19.59R    1.72  
AFC_Fylde          16   16  -12      -6.68    12.40   -12.88    58.08     8.64   -10.88     0.11     3.48     0.89P   18.05R    1.47  
Chorley            17   13  -15      -2.41    35.20    -3.05    38.91     7.77   -35.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.46R   60.28  
Ebbsfleet_United   17   10  -15     -10.53     3.09   -10.54    47.54     8.26   -18.69     0.00     0.13     0.02P   61.86R   15.01