Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 19 October 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2019, Aston_Villa 2 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 8 24 +14 6.01 97.26 1.84 89.50 7.51 55.59 56.74 94.87 98.90 99.67 99.98 0.00 0.00 Man_City 9 19 +20 -3.15 16.41 1.60 87.01 6.81 72.72 41.92 92.60 98.33 99.51 99.98 0.00 0.00 Leicester 9 17 +8 4.05 84.37 7.37 61.81 8.29 15.06 0.11 1.24 12.62 28.87 63.26 0.10R 0.00 Chelsea 9 17 +5 0.59 55.05 -1.29 67.93 8.17 22.51 0.67 5.27 36.53 59.22 85.76 0.01R 0.00 Arsenal 8 15 +2 1.73 66.90 -1.61 65.65 8.55 16.59 0.37 3.58 26.01 47.07 77.43 0.03R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 9 14 -2 2.66 75.35 -0.30 50.31 8.00 -8.29 0.00 0.03 0.80 2.77 12.51 3.46R 0.38 Tottenham 9 12 +2 -4.36 12.96 -4.18 63.63 8.20 20.38 0.16 1.85 18.24 38.03 71.82 0.04R 0.00 Burnley 9 12 +1 1.40 64.63 3.80 45.18 7.80 -10.50 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.58 4.12 10.47R 1.78 Bournemouth 9 12 +0 0.70 57.44 2.38 46.40 8.08 -11.04 0.00 0.01 0.28 1.17 6.12 8.80R 1.39 West_Ham 9 12 -2 0.43 54.90 -0.52 47.20 8.05 -11.11 0.00 0.01 0.36 1.38 7.25 7.37R 1.12 Aston_Villa 9 11 +2 0.13 52.31 4.92 40.99 8.13 -16.86 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.34 1.88 25.30R 6.40 Wolverhampton 9 11 +0 -0.34 47.48 2.01 48.59 8.12 -3.94 0.00 0.02 0.53 1.90 9.77 5.25R 0.71 Everton 9 10 -5 -2.56 26.81 -5.11 46.52 8.04 -11.06 0.00 0.01 0.28 1.10 6.10 8.64R 1.39 Man_Utd 8 9 +1 -4.20 14.53 -2.27 58.49 8.36 13.33 0.03 0.52 6.69 17.56 47.47 0.40R 0.03 Sheff_Utd 8 9 +0 0.41 55.82 3.71 42.12 8.25 -13.43 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.42 2.63 21.08R 4.96 Brighton 9 9 -3 -0.25 49.03 2.37 38.82 7.55 -18.36 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.69 32.87R 8.58 Southampton 9 8 -7 -0.88 43.02 -1.47 40.03 7.84 -21.48 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 1.11 29.18R 7.68 Newcastle 9 8 -9 -1.41 36.92 -4.26 42.10 7.78 -17.67 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.18 1.72 20.04R 4.01 Norwich 9 7 -11 -0.35 48.71 -0.48 33.97 8.01 -36.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.31 60.32R 28.32 Watford 9 4 -16 -4.55 10.28 -8.50 32.62 7.69 -36.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 66.64R 33.23Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2019, Barnsley 1 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 12 25 +9 4.30 80.84 2.34 85.59 9.46 30.71 43.30 62.38 90.41 71.06P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 12 23 +9 3.57 76.34 4.64 78.82 9.23 22.71 15.58 32.67 74.41 44.48P 0.03R 0.00 Swansea 12 22 +7 3.16 73.75 3.43 74.39 9.28 15.63 7.30 17.62 56.73 27.64P 0.24R 0.02 Nott'm_Forest 11 22 +7 6.46 91.62 6.27 75.01 9.56 14.47 8.13 18.99 58.73 28.18P 0.23R 0.04 QPR 12 22 +0 7.27 92.86 2.95 62.79 9.31 -10.04 0.55 1.93 13.74 3.73P 4.24R 0.66 Preston 12 21 +10 2.08 66.29 6.26 73.09 9.56 18.10 6.56 15.43 52.14 24.56P 0.37R 0.02 Charlton 12 21 +6 4.43 81.15 5.78 66.51 9.65 4.47 1.79 4.78 25.59 9.23P 2.01R 0.26 Sheff_Wed 12 20 +7 2.04 66.31 4.70 68.95 9.28 10.44 2.53 7.10 34.27 13.48P 0.81R 0.07 Bristol_City 12 20 +2 3.03 73.22 1.26 69.81 9.32 6.69 2.96 8.09 36.76 14.54P 0.76R 0.09 Fulham 12 19 +8 -0.67 44.52 3.20 72.84 9.87 18.92 6.51 15.86 51.14 25.89P 0.41R 0.02 Cardiff 12 17 +0 -0.89 43.05 -2.09 66.83 9.73 4.79 1.85 5.31 27.11 11.02P 1.81R 0.26 Birmingham 12 16 -4 1.82 65.80 -0.78 59.01 9.24 -9.26 0.21 0.69 6.93 1.93P 9.42R 1.73 Brentford 12 15 +1 -2.90 28.14 -1.18 65.65 9.36 6.96 1.18 3.55 22.87 8.62P 2.11R 0.24 Blackburn 12 15 -2 -1.07 41.95 -1.07 58.26 9.33 -7.39 0.18 0.69 6.61 1.88P 10.67R 2.19 Derby 12 15 -3 -2.49 31.11 -4.58 65.44 9.35 2.60 1.02 3.33 21.26 8.01P 2.39R 0.32 Luton 12 14 -2 -1.43 39.71 -0.15 56.63 9.62 -8.97 0.12 0.51 5.36 1.50P 15.08R 3.51 Millwall 12 14 -5 0.55 55.83 -0.62 55.18 8.92 -12.65 0.03 0.16 2.90 0.67P 17.42R 3.93 Hull 12 13 -3 -3.57 24.04 -2.97 55.52 9.40 -10.24 0.09 0.32 3.96 1.07P 17.46R 4.14 Reading 12 11 -5 -2.01 34.54 0.26 50.26 8.91 -16.01 0.01 0.04 0.81 0.18P 34.54R 10.86 Wigan 11 11 -7 -1.86 35.01 -3.77 53.16 9.15 -15.30 0.03 0.12 2.00 0.46P 24.51R 6.39 Middlesbrough 12 10 -6 -7.04 6.91 -6.98 57.10 9.03 -4.65 0.09 0.36 4.64 1.45P 11.79R 2.47 Huddersfield 12 9 -6 -5.08 14.45 -2.36 48.07 9.20 -16.80 0.01 0.04 0.60 0.15P 44.23R 16.34 Stoke 12 8 -9 -6.64 7.79 -6.44 50.28 9.08 -15.22 0.01 0.04 0.89 0.23P 34.54R 11.10 Barnsley 12 7 -14 -5.58 11.37 -8.08 43.53 9.15 -29.94 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 64.94R 35.33League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 0 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Ipswich 11 27 +16 7.21 94.57 8.95 87.85 9.18 39.80 58.67 76.82 96.03 82.59P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 13 26 +9 6.78 90.74 6.94 66.59 8.59 5.59 1.22 4.32 29.44 8.65P 0.50R 0.00 Peterborough 13 24 +14 1.72 62.49 6.81 77.62 8.69 32.03 12.93 33.62 78.48 46.07P 0.02R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 12 23 +9 3.72 77.74 4.65 73.20 8.85 18.60 5.47 16.50 59.75 26.83P 0.08R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 14 22 +11 0.91 57.12 8.23 69.85 8.62 21.41 2.78 8.95 46.21 17.60P 0.22R 0.00 Coventry 13 21 +1 2.63 70.23 0.15 61.92 8.50 -1.14 0.33 1.31 13.84 3.72P 2.26R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 13 21 +1 2.67 70.32 0.11 62.64 8.50 -0.26 0.40 1.69 15.88 4.36P 1.70R 0.00 Blackpool 13 20 +2 1.19 59.38 0.53 62.76 8.45 2.49 0.37 1.63 16.38 4.67P 1.56R 0.00 Doncaster 12 19 +2 0.78 56.15 -0.57 68.85 8.92 11.15 2.01 7.48 39.94 15.30P 0.42R 0.00 Sunderland 12 19 +1 -1.44 38.35 -5.04 75.16 8.81 20.15 8.00 22.31 68.12 36.55P 0.05R 0.00 Rotherham 12 18 +7 -1.87 35.07 1.69 70.60 9.45 20.49 4.42 12.65 49.37 22.86P 0.34R 0.00 Lincoln_City 14 17 -2 -0.07 50.65 1.45 54.55 8.49 -7.61 0.02 0.14 3.09 0.62P 11.85R 0.11 Shrewsbury 12 17 -3 1.02 58.96 -2.51 59.39 8.57 -4.95 0.14 0.69 8.94 2.23P 3.99R 0.01 Rochdale 13 16 -5 0.70 56.64 -0.45 50.46 8.44 -19.27 0.01 0.04 1.17 0.21P 24.88R 0.27 Burton_Albion 11 15 +2 -0.59 45.77 1.30 67.78 9.23 13.49 1.87 6.82 36.99 14.54P 0.72R 0.00 Gillingham 13 14 +2 -3.62 23.85 2.40 56.23 8.66 1.01 0.06 0.36 5.12 1.38P 8.54R 0.05 Portsmouth 11 13 +0 -4.65 15.64 -3.95 65.92 9.16 11.54 1.30 4.62 29.40 11.48P 1.13R 0.00 Tranmere 13 13 -5 -0.67 45.83 2.17 44.95 8.52 -22.28 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.04P 49.52R 1.20 MK_Dons 13 13 -7 -2.25 33.58 -3.07 47.85 8.61 -19.35 0.00 0.02 0.58 0.11P 35.89R 0.71 AFC_Wimbledon 14 12 -5 -3.85 22.84 0.44 47.32 8.18 -13.94 0.00 0.01 0.38 0.07P 36.03R 0.62 Accrington_Stanley 12 11 -6 -2.91 28.26 -1.94 47.97 8.64 -17.78 0.01 0.02 0.65 0.12P 34.84R 0.71 Southend 13 5 -19 -9.15 2.40 -12.73 35.99 8.18 -40.03 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 86.08R 10.50 Bolton 11 -8 -25 -5.20 9.68 -15.57 20.97 8.30 -51.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.39R 85.80 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 October 2019, Bradford 2 1 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Crewe 14 29 +9 8.12 93.20 6.49 77.22 9.01 15.42 15.30 42.64 76.29 49.77P 0.01R 0.00 Bradford 14 27 +8 3.03 70.42 0.99 81.40 9.19 23.69 31.79 61.96 87.61 69.49P 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 13 26 +7 7.63 93.17 6.00 74.55 8.91 12.17 9.45 30.75 66.57 38.84P 0.04R 0.01 Exeter 14 26 +3 4.21 78.34 -0.83 74.19 8.85 9.58 8.73 29.32 64.87 38.16P 0.04R 0.01 Cheltenham 13 25 +11 5.92 87.06 9.16 72.91 9.12 14.96 7.74 26.44 60.48 33.81P 0.12R 0.02 Forest_Green 14 25 +7 3.70 75.91 3.83 73.86 8.86 14.48 8.40 29.05 64.52 38.26P 0.06R 0.02 Swindon 14 21 +2 0.90 56.91 0.63 68.53 8.98 7.50 2.76 12.89 40.99 19.72P 0.42R 0.12 Plymouth 14 20 +4 -2.71 31.38 -1.33 72.88 9.37 17.52 8.44 27.36 60.64 37.51P 0.15R 0.02 Macclesfield 14 20 +1 3.89 77.53 5.34 54.94 8.42 -12.04 0.06 0.48 3.89 1.04P 10.20R 3.83 Cambridge_Utd 14 19 +6 1.08 59.17 7.66 61.40 8.77 4.25 0.50 2.97 15.74 5.61P 2.46R 0.78 Colchester 14 19 +3 -2.61 31.54 -0.53 66.25 8.92 8.17 1.79 8.86 32.35 15.16P 0.67R 0.17 Leyton_Orient 14 19 +1 1.92 64.50 4.35 56.62 9.08 -8.93 0.19 1.18 6.99 2.22P 8.85R 3.34 Crawley_Town 14 19 +0 2.01 65.20 3.50 59.51 8.83 -5.34 0.24 1.85 11.04 3.66P 4.36R 1.57 Grimsby 14 18 +0 0.49 54.48 2.26 56.80 8.73 -7.23 0.11 0.94 6.60 2.01P 7.21R 2.59 Northampton 14 18 +0 -2.19 34.34 -1.50 62.54 8.93 1.02 0.71 4.02 19.06 7.65P 2.04R 0.59 Port_Vale 14 18 -2 0.59 55.37 0.31 56.26 8.60 -9.97 0.08 0.68 5.50 1.60P 7.98R 2.91 Mansfield 14 17 +2 -5.92 13.41 -3.59 68.56 8.88 13.39 3.06 13.41 42.59 22.66P 0.33R 0.07 Salford_City 14 17 -6 2.69 70.86 1.79 47.67 8.51 -26.91 0.00 0.04 0.61 0.12P 37.28R 19.49 Walsall 14 15 -9 -4.15 22.31 -9.13 59.36 9.16 -7.82 0.27 1.92 11.21 4.36P 5.11R 1.77 Carlisle 14 14 -10 -3.30 27.34 -6.97 56.68 8.97 -11.94 0.09 0.80 6.33 2.00P 8.75R 3.42 Oldham 14 11 -10 -7.17 8.53 -8.38 54.88 8.93 -9.96 0.05 0.54 4.44 1.51P 11.75R 4.97 Scunthorpe 14 10 -6 -10.65 2.43 -8.16 58.27 9.41 0.51 0.23 1.81 10.56 4.50P 6.73R 2.77 Morecambe 14 10 -12 -4.60 18.43 -4.87 43.46 8.46 -28.08 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.04P 56.50R 37.12 Stevenage 14 9 -9 -8.76 4.02 -7.03 49.02 8.71 -14.43 0.00 0.09 0.98 0.29P 28.95R 14.39National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 October 2019, Wrexham 0 1 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Halifax 17 32 +10 7.92 90.65 8.66 74.19 8.21 13.79 7.18 49.49 16.09P 0.15R 0.00 Bromley 17 32 +6 7.06 87.53 3.74 75.10 8.57 10.76 9.43 53.26 17.96P 0.22R 0.00 Yeovil 17 31 +10 0.89 55.05 -0.21 83.18 8.54 28.58 38.89 85.67 54.48P 0.01R 0.00 Barrow 16 28 +9 4.10 75.76 6.10 71.76 8.50 12.85 4.97 39.23 12.31P 0.55R 0.01 Notts_County 17 27 +9 -3.22 29.55 -1.44 79.27 8.54 27.77 21.92 74.07 40.68P 0.04R 0.00 Solihull_Moors 17 27 +8 -0.25 48.29 2.15 73.71 8.35 18.23 7.07 49.12 18.24P 0.26R 0.00 Woking 17 27 +6 4.65 77.38 7.54 65.77 8.86 4.40 1.56 17.42 4.75P 3.79R 0.12 Harrogate_Town 17 26 +3 0.78 55.27 0.16 69.67 8.46 8.65 2.84 29.80 9.03P 1.14R 0.02 Torquay 17 25 +3 3.39 70.90 6.01 62.02 8.83 -1.76 0.59 9.12 2.12P 8.85R 0.50 Barnet 17 25 +3 0.25 52.09 0.77 68.48 8.26 8.56 1.83 25.03 7.35P 1.41R 0.05 Boreham_Wood 17 24 +6 0.10 51.19 5.11 64.79 8.23 7.48 0.90 13.70 3.62P 3.49R 0.11 Dag_&_Red 16 24 +1 1.97 63.82 0.83 66.03 8.47 2.38 1.12 16.71 4.38P 3.09R 0.11 Eastleigh 17 24 -1 1.52 60.45 0.35 62.26 8.22 -3.24 0.30 7.67 1.75P 7.17R 0.29 Dover_Athletic 16 24 -2 1.86 62.88 -2.27 64.22 8.61 -3.65 0.87 12.35 3.05P 5.14R 0.17 Hartlepool 17 23 -1 0.21 51.97 -0.13 59.96 8.22 -5.50 0.18 4.70 1.08P 11.65R 0.64 Maidenhead 17 21 +2 0.07 51.40 5.58 55.79 8.11 -5.50 0.04 1.65 0.33P 23.32R 1.84 Stockport 16 21 -8 4.37 78.45 0.33 51.96 8.48 -23.64 0.03 0.81 0.15P 43.64R 6.65 Chesterfield 17 18 -6 -5.78 17.18 -6.71 57.40 8.34 -6.78 0.08 2.63 0.71P 18.64R 1.68 Aldershot 17 18 -6 -1.81 38.80 -1.06 50.79 7.93 -15.94 0.01 0.40 0.07P 47.09R 6.39 Sutton_United 16 16 -4 -4.61 21.09 -2.06 54.53 8.43 -7.75 0.03 1.44 0.36P 29.41R 2.94 Wrexham 17 16 -6 -7.86 9.15 -6.96 56.79 8.20 -4.20 0.04 2.12 0.56P 19.59R 1.72 AFC_Fylde 16 16 -12 -6.68 12.40 -12.88 58.08 8.64 -10.88 0.11 3.48 0.89P 18.05R 1.47 Chorley 17 13 -15 -2.41 35.20 -3.05 38.91 7.77 -35.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.46R 60.28 Ebbsfleet_United 17 10 -15 -10.53 3.09 -10.54 47.54 8.26 -18.69 0.00 0.13 0.02P 61.86R 15.01