Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 16 October 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 October 2019, Arsenal 1 0 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 8 24 +14 6.01 97.32 1.63 89.47 7.54 56.03 59.50 94.34 98.71 99.63 99.97 0.00 0.00
Man_City 8 16 +18 -3.84 10.87 0.80 86.19 6.97 72.70 38.70 90.54 97.58 99.27 99.94 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 8 15 +2 1.71 66.96 -1.68 65.72 8.60 16.93 0.51 4.05 24.91 45.19 76.07 0.04R 0.00
Leicester 8 14 +7 2.95 78.51 7.16 60.90 8.52 15.26 0.10 1.30 10.67 24.49 56.77 0.19R 0.02
Chelsea 8 14 +4 -0.36 45.84 -1.39 67.25 8.39 23.33 0.70 5.25 31.99 53.82 82.07 0.01R 0.00
Crystal_Palace 8 14 +0 3.14 80.01 0.18 51.07 8.18 -7.60 0.01 0.06 1.02 3.42 13.95 2.78R 0.26
Burnley 8 12 +2 2.06 71.30 3.70 46.29 8.04 -10.14 0.00 0.01 0.26 0.96 5.41 8.36R 1.16
West_Ham 8 12 +0 1.27 63.17 0.68 49.02 8.31 -8.52 0.00 0.03 0.64 2.18 10.02 5.01R 0.52
Tottenham 8 11 +2 -3.26 18.45 -3.05 66.07 8.35 24.19 0.44 3.80 26.60 48.95 78.92 0.03R 0.00
Bournemouth 8 11 +0 1.51 66.64 3.22 47.78 8.42 -9.81 0.00 0.01 0.48 1.66 8.05 7.11R 1.16
Wolverhampton 8 10 +0 0.36 54.76 2.53 49.70 8.37 -2.93 0.01 0.05 0.74 2.63 11.73 4.30R 0.53
Man_Utd 8 9 +1 -4.17 14.77 -2.24 58.47 8.30 13.43 0.04 0.53 5.97 16.05 45.21 0.32R 0.03
Sheff_Utd 8 9 +0 0.37 55.49 3.72 42.04 8.32 -13.64 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.36 2.23 20.43R 4.34
Brighton 8 9 -2 0.81 60.17 3.01 40.23 7.86 -17.46 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 1.14 26.44R 5.67
Aston_Villa 8 8 +1 -1.07 40.61 4.65 39.31 8.35 -18.09 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.15 1.24 31.90R 8.53
Newcastle 8 8 -8 -0.77 42.98 -4.29 42.71 8.02 -18.15 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.31 2.10 17.88R 3.10
Southampton 8 7 -7 -0.79 43.13 -1.75 39.85 8.09 -22.62 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.12 1.07 29.39R 7.31
Everton 8 7 -7 -3.77 16.34 -6.45 44.60 8.18 -13.76 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.64 3.81 12.72R 2.19
Norwich 8 6 -11 -0.35 47.95 -0.74 33.33 8.30 -39.61 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.25 62.05R 28.46
Watford 8 3 -16 -4.87 7.46 -9.67 31.39 7.83 -39.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 71.05R 36.73
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 October 2019, Bristol_City 1 0 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
West_Brom 11 22 +8 2.88 72.59 1.68 83.51 9.71 29.02 32.81 51.23 84.74 61.27P 0.01R 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 11 22 +7 6.41 91.35 6.21 74.91 9.58 14.32 7.79 17.52 55.66 26.08P 0.16R 0.01
Preston 11 21 +11 3.45 76.68 7.28 75.67 9.79 20.97 10.43 21.61 59.80 30.90P 0.13R 0.01
Swansea 11 21 +7 3.68 78.01 3.67 75.41 9.58 16.49 8.87 19.31 58.30 29.23P 0.12R 0.02
Leeds_United 11 20 +8 2.49 69.65 4.46 77.65 9.57 22.39 13.45 27.17 67.63 38.53P 0.06R 0.00
Bristol_City 11 20 +5 4.05 80.51 3.69 72.53 9.61 11.63 5.39 12.41 46.14 20.06P 0.30R 0.03
Fulham 11 19 +10 0.35 52.46 4.66 75.70 10.17 23.26 10.98 22.74 59.97 33.38P 0.21R 0.01
Sheff_Wed 11 19 +7 2.17 67.99 4.36 69.03 9.52 9.99 2.73 6.89 32.26 12.92P 0.70R 0.07
QPR 11 19 -1 5.56 88.21 1.83 60.00 9.45 -12.85 0.31 0.98 8.18 2.03P 6.95R 1.23
Charlton 11 18 +3 3.57 77.48 3.90 62.66 9.79 -1.84 0.63 1.89 13.69 4.10P 4.36R 0.68
Cardiff 11 16 +0 -0.33 47.75 -1.81 67.46 9.98 5.19 2.27 5.78 27.56 11.29P 1.51R 0.20
Birmingham 11 16 -3 2.57 71.76 -0.66 60.00 9.40 -8.95 0.28 0.91 7.73 2.17P 7.00R 1.05
Derby 11 15 +0 -1.82 35.37 -2.60 68.56 9.62 8.22 2.33 6.25 30.80 12.81P 1.01R 0.08
Blackburn 11 14 -2 -0.46 46.90 -0.80 59.06 9.44 -6.63 0.20 0.67 7.11 1.92P 8.16R 1.45
Millwall 11 14 -4 1.35 62.88 -0.53 56.25 9.15 -11.81 0.07 0.24 3.47 0.86P 13.33R 2.74
Hull 11 13 -2 -2.12 33.23 -1.92 58.27 9.59 -6.95 0.24 0.69 6.41 1.85P 9.75R 1.89
Brentford 11 12 +0 -4.02 19.82 -1.42 64.37 9.58 6.48 0.90 2.62 18.02 6.82P 2.74R 0.41
Luton 11 11 -5 -2.33 32.17 -1.95 52.76 9.99 -15.63 0.06 0.25 2.54 0.74P 24.74R 7.00
Wigan 11 11 -7 -1.97 34.10 -3.93 53.39 9.26 -14.96 0.02 0.10 1.92 0.42P 21.51R 4.97
Middlesbrough 11 10 -5 -6.04 9.10 -6.47 59.15 9.21 -2.77 0.21 0.67 6.48 2.24P 7.22R 1.24
Huddersfield 11 8 -6 -4.97 13.79 -2.87 48.06 9.41 -17.21 0.01 0.03 0.59 0.15P 40.96R 14.29
Reading 11 8 -6 -3.54 21.87 -0.49 47.67 9.14 -18.58 0.01 0.03 0.46 0.10P 43.00R 15.05
Barnsley 11 6 -14 -5.39 11.21 -8.30 43.45 9.53 -30.58 0.00 0.01 0.18 0.04P 61.93R 31.43
Stoke 11 5 -11 -7.95 3.10 -7.97 47.33 9.27 -19.21 0.01 0.01 0.36 0.08P 44.12R 16.15
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 October 2019, Coventry 0 1 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Ipswich 11 27 +16 7.19 94.45 8.88 87.89 9.26 39.95 57.42 75.64 95.90 81.70P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 12 23 +8 5.16 85.46 5.96 64.17 8.79 3.22 0.78 2.68 21.09 5.84P 1.12R 0.01
Peterborough 12 21 +13 0.30 52.10 6.12 75.25 8.99 29.68 8.52 23.76 68.93 35.99P 0.05R 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 12 21 +3 3.52 76.78 1.35 64.26 8.74 2.08 0.67 2.56 20.82 5.99P 1.03R 0.01
Fleetwood_Town 11 20 +6 2.67 71.47 2.56 70.28 9.24 13.53 3.06 10.24 46.00 18.50P 0.25R 0.00
Blackpool 13 20 +2 1.19 59.42 0.53 62.81 8.45 2.51 0.38 1.55 16.19 4.54P 1.32R 0.01
Coventry 12 20 +1 3.00 73.53 0.27 62.51 8.82 -0.92 0.44 1.70 15.98 4.44P 1.92R 0.01
Oxford_Utd 13 19 +10 -0.84 43.57 6.97 67.46 8.81 19.13 1.57 5.72 34.99 12.50P 0.46R 0.00
Sunderland 11 19 +2 -0.18 48.05 -4.30 77.31 9.00 22.49 11.50 30.20 74.75 43.90P 0.02R 0.00
Rotherham 11 18 +8 -0.38 46.34 2.83 73.49 9.77 24.01 7.71 19.54 60.79 31.24P 0.20R 0.01
Doncaster 11 16 +0 -0.26 48.38 -1.68 66.87 9.12 8.48 1.35 4.84 31.62 11.23P 0.80R 0.00
Lincoln_City 13 16 -2 0.34 53.66 1.58 54.92 8.81 -7.81 0.05 0.21 3.79 0.84P 10.67R 0.13
Shrewsbury 11 16 -3 1.19 60.89 -2.72 59.74 8.91 -5.04 0.20 0.83 10.25 2.62P 3.69R 0.04
Burton_Albion 10 15 +5 0.09 51.12 3.25 70.70 9.43 18.91 3.64 11.69 48.88 21.34P 0.31R 0.00
Gillingham 12 14 +3 -2.35 31.88 3.25 57.80 9.02 2.32 0.14 0.66 7.76 2.05P 6.07R 0.05
Portsmouth 10 13 +1 -3.25 22.79 -2.96 68.58 9.44 14.71 2.57 8.08 39.64 16.74P 0.64R 0.00
Rochdale 12 13 -7 -0.57 46.56 -1.90 47.59 8.60 -23.32 0.00 0.02 0.51 0.08P 34.56R 1.20
Tranmere 12 12 -5 -0.07 51.20 2.60 46.09 8.88 -21.23 0.00 0.03 0.44 0.09P 41.98R 1.70
MK_Dons 12 12 -7 -1.82 36.37 -2.81 48.12 8.95 -19.80 0.01 0.04 0.87 0.20P 32.99R 1.01
Accrington_Stanley 12 11 -6 -2.97 27.50 -2.05 47.77 8.59 -18.09 0.00 0.02 0.58 0.10P 33.07R 1.01
AFC_Wimbledon 13 9 -6 -5.47 12.77 -0.41 44.73 8.40 -16.67 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.05P 46.22R 2.06
Southend 12 4 -19 -9.08 1.89 -13.15 35.80 8.45 -41.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 84.29R 15.30
Bolton 10 -8 -23 -4.16 14.00 -14.17 23.55 8.68 -46.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.33R 77.45
Adjustments:
Bolton -12
Bury -12
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 October 2019, Carlisle 2 4 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Crewe 13 26 +7 7.06 91.17 5.35 74.75 9.32 12.21 10.89 32.44 65.72 39.45P 0.04R 0.01
Exeter 13 26 +7 4.91 83.06 2.21 77.66 9.06 16.59 17.25 44.38 77.32 52.76P 0.01R 0.00
Bradford 13 24 +7 2.11 65.29 1.01 80.21 9.41 23.42 27.40 56.53 84.35 65.00P 0.01R 0.00
Forest_Green 13 24 +7 4.20 79.48 4.02 74.62 9.09 15.06 10.36 32.20 66.23 40.69P 0.05R 0.01
Newport_County 12 23 +6 6.33 90.30 5.41 72.36 9.27 10.44 6.92 23.68 56.58 30.95P 0.14R 0.03
Cheltenham 12 22 +10 4.33 80.67 8.25 70.64 9.31 13.07 5.20 19.44 50.29 26.02P 0.20R 0.04
Swindon 13 21 +4 1.56 62.04 1.57 70.72 9.23 10.76 4.91 19.11 50.21 26.84P 0.23R 0.03
Colchester 13 19 +4 -1.13 41.66 0.61 69.10 9.02 11.40 3.60 14.70 43.23 22.23P 0.29R 0.05
Crawley_Town 13 19 +1 2.73 70.73 3.47 60.33 8.98 -5.20 0.41 2.44 12.41 4.24P 3.41R 1.10
Grimsby 13 18 +4 1.32 60.96 5.45 60.64 8.97 0.55 0.40 2.73 14.03 4.97P 2.78R 0.81
Plymouth 13 17 +2 -3.60 25.10 -2.20 71.34 9.62 15.70 6.82 22.63 53.80 32.27P 0.27R 0.06
Macclesfield 13 17 +0 2.23 68.42 4.34 51.95 8.64 -15.26 0.02 0.22 2.02 0.49P 17.05R 6.47
Port_Vale 13 17 -2 1.01 58.92 0.42 56.53 8.87 -10.10 0.13 0.86 6.08 1.72P 7.45R 2.39
Salford_City 13 17 -4 3.17 74.37 2.38 48.95 8.73 -25.12 0.02 0.13 1.13 0.28P 29.16R 13.03
Mansfield 13 16 +2 -5.66 13.22 -3.72 68.97 9.10 13.46 3.61 15.03 43.94 24.20P 0.31R 0.05
Cambridge_Utd 13 16 +2 0.18 52.62 4.71 57.58 8.82 -2.72 0.14 1.22 7.78 2.47P 5.52R 1.75
Leyton_Orient 13 16 -3 1.14 59.73 1.61 52.41 9.13 -16.87 0.05 0.40 2.88 0.83P 17.44R 7.22
Northampton 13 15 -2 -3.07 27.90 -2.35 60.66 9.07 -1.28 0.46 2.64 13.88 5.34P 3.09R 0.90
Walsall 13 15 -8 -2.99 28.60 -8.41 61.21 9.29 -6.15 0.51 3.17 15.35 6.16P 3.25R 0.97
Carlisle 13 14 -8 -2.51 31.78 -5.90 58.26 9.14 -9.73 0.17 1.44 8.85 3.01P 5.99R 2.05
Oldham 13 11 -9 -5.73 12.97 -7.32 57.71 9.17 -6.79 0.16 1.35 8.17 3.02P 6.46R 2.29
Scunthorpe 13 10 -5 -9.69 3.02 -7.83 60.03 9.65 2.23 0.55 3.15 14.58 6.68P 4.42R 1.54
Stevenage 13 8 -9 -8.43 3.99 -7.12 49.16 8.90 -14.75 0.00 0.10 1.08 0.34P 26.61R 12.22
Morecambe 13 7 -13 -6.35 8.90 -5.96 40.75 8.59 -30.91 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 65.84R 46.98
National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 October 2019, Wrexham 0 1 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Halifax 17 32 +10 7.89 90.87 8.61 74.23 8.16 13.84 7.15 50.00 16.05P 0.16R 0.01
Bromley 17 32 +6 6.95 87.18 3.54 75.31 8.44 11.09 9.47 54.10 18.58P 0.16R 0.00
Yeovil 17 31 +10 0.90 55.49 -0.16 83.07 8.50 28.45 38.15 85.34 53.77P 0.01R 0.00
Barrow 16 28 +9 4.10 75.94 6.13 71.61 8.62 12.63 4.93 38.38 12.15P 0.65R 0.01
Notts_County 17 27 +9 -3.27 29.02 -1.56 79.44 8.49 28.08 22.37 74.43 40.78P 0.06R 0.00
Solihull_Moors 17 27 +8 -0.14 49.02 2.32 73.62 8.40 18.07 7.06 48.30 18.19P 0.26R 0.00
Woking 17 27 +6 4.53 76.60 7.37 65.89 8.85 4.58 1.50 17.81 4.73P 3.57R 0.14
Harrogate_Town 17 26 +3 0.73 55.15 0.10 69.68 8.43 8.69 2.81 29.55 8.95P 1.07R 0.02
Torquay 17 25 +3 3.32 70.26 5.93 62.11 8.85 -1.60 0.61 9.14 2.31P 8.59R 0.56
Barnet 17 25 +3 0.23 51.79 0.76 68.57 8.30 8.65 2.00 25.26 7.59P 1.35R 0.03
Boreham_Wood 17 24 +6 0.05 50.74 5.06 64.81 8.32 7.53 0.93 13.91 3.55P 3.61R 0.10
Dag_&_Red 16 24 +1 2.06 64.29 0.92 66.01 8.51 2.32 1.16 16.44 4.36P 3.24R 0.11
Eastleigh 17 24 -1 1.51 60.66 0.38 62.27 8.22 -3.29 0.35 7.44 1.68P 6.96R 0.28
Dover_Athletic 16 24 -2 1.95 63.40 -2.09 64.18 8.63 -3.79 0.92 12.30 3.14P 5.13R 0.23
Hartlepool 17 23 -1 0.14 51.65 -0.29 60.18 8.22 -5.17 0.21 4.87 1.13P 10.89R 0.59
Maidenhead 17 21 +2 0.05 51.31 5.51 55.90 8.14 -5.28 0.05 1.85 0.33P 22.78R 1.76
Stockport 16 21 -8 4.50 78.91 0.55 51.60 8.52 -24.15 0.02 0.76 0.13P 45.45R 6.91
Chesterfield 17 18 -6 -5.75 17.26 -6.61 57.24 8.34 -7.03 0.07 2.51 0.66P 19.03R 1.72
Aldershot 17 18 -6 -1.68 39.43 -0.90 50.58 7.88 -16.27 0.00 0.31 0.06P 48.11R 6.65
Sutton_United 16 16 -4 -4.65 20.91 -2.09 54.60 8.43 -7.67 0.04 1.43 0.34P 28.62R 2.99
Wrexham 17 16 -6 -7.81 9.32 -6.91 56.70 8.21 -4.37 0.05 2.06 0.55P 19.67R 1.67
AFC_Fylde 16 16 -12 -6.81 12.14 -13.10 58.27 8.72 -10.57 0.13 3.69 0.96P 17.76R 1.45
Chorley 17 13 -15 -2.32 35.54 -2.91 38.78 7.89 -36.11 0.00 0.00 0.00P 91.61R 60.18
Ebbsfleet_United 17 10 -15 -10.52 3.27 -10.56 47.60 8.35 -18.60 0.00 0.12 0.02P 61.26R 14.60
