Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 5 October 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 October 2019, Brighton 3 0 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         8   24  +14       5.97    97.19     1.40    89.49     7.47    56.49    44.43    94.30    98.65    99.63    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          7   16  +20      -1.58    26.77     3.89    90.35     6.89    82.34    54.72    96.38    99.30    99.80    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         8   14   +7       2.88    78.29     7.08    60.65     8.47    14.69     0.05     0.71    10.46    24.46    56.51     0.17R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace    8   14   +0       3.09    79.85     0.17    50.98     8.15    -8.06     0.00     0.03     0.96     3.30    14.10     2.76R    0.27  
Burnley           8   12   +2       2.11    71.56     3.81    46.16     8.01   -10.65     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.93     5.47     8.22R    1.29  
Arsenal           7   12   +1       0.85    58.91    -1.36    65.01     8.76    17.73     0.23     2.43    23.97    44.31    73.90     0.06R    0.00  
West_Ham          8   12   +0       1.37    64.24     0.84    49.26     8.28    -8.41     0.00     0.02     0.69     2.46    11.01     4.44R    0.56  
Tottenham         8   11   +2      -3.22    18.85    -2.93    66.36     8.34    24.88     0.25     2.98    29.51    51.45    80.48     0.03R    0.00  
Chelsea           7   11   +1      -1.27    35.85    -3.21    64.81     8.64    18.71     0.26     2.28    23.41    42.73    73.54     0.05R    0.00  
Bournemouth       7   11   +1       2.23    74.20     3.11    48.71     8.56   -10.37     0.00     0.03     0.80     2.62    10.41     5.98R    0.94  
Man_Utd           7    9   +2      -2.88    21.92    -1.38    60.84     8.50    16.13     0.05     0.81    11.30    25.52    57.30     0.17R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd         8    9   +0       0.38    55.70     3.73    42.21     8.31   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.39     2.50    19.94R    4.26  
Brighton          8    9   -2       0.76    59.77     3.08    40.62     7.81   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.14     1.29    24.08R    4.96  
Aston_Villa       8    8   +1      -1.15    39.80     4.63    39.53     8.33   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.25     1.45    30.39R    7.92  
Wolverhampton     7    7   -2      -1.89    30.48    -0.97    44.66     8.33   -11.48     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.72     4.14    12.71R    2.40  
Southampton       7    7   -4      -0.09    50.75     0.08    42.02     8.34   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.35     2.34    20.98R    4.93  
Everton           8    7   -7      -3.75    16.11    -6.39    44.51     8.19   -14.12     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.74     3.90    12.35R    2.27  
Norwich           8    6  -11      -0.39    47.24    -0.66    33.50     8.25   -39.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.25    60.82R   27.99  
Newcastle         7    5   -9      -2.52    22.97    -5.28    40.32     8.25   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.17     1.38    26.73R    6.32  
Watford           8    3  -16      -5.00     7.00    -9.64    31.51     7.83   -39.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    70.12R   35.85  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 October 2019, Bristol_City 1 0 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

West_Brom       11   22   +8       2.86    72.77     1.65    83.78     9.65    29.41    34.03    52.31    85.70    62.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   11   22   +7       6.44    91.52     6.27    74.69     9.51    13.98     7.31    16.81    54.77    25.34P    0.16R    0.01  
Preston         11   21  +11       3.43    76.60     7.22    75.60     9.81    20.85    10.41    21.49    59.52    30.76P    0.11R    0.01  
Swansea         11   21   +7       3.75    78.84     3.80    75.03     9.54    15.99     8.41    18.51    56.45    28.11P    0.13R    0.01  
Leeds_United    11   20   +8       2.45    69.89     4.38    77.79     9.49    22.51    13.32    27.05    68.27    38.62P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_City    11   20   +5       4.00    80.08     3.65    72.63     9.76    11.82     5.57    12.97    46.38    20.61P    0.34R    0.04  
Fulham          11   19  +10       0.38    52.87     4.74    75.65    10.08    23.14    10.71    22.64    59.96    33.20P    0.15R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed       11   19   +7       2.15    67.66     4.32    69.04     9.48    10.09     2.69     6.88    32.69    13.13P    0.71R    0.08  
QPR             11   19   -1       5.53    88.14     1.72    60.11     9.52   -12.62     0.33     0.95     8.44     2.14P    7.24R    1.24  
Charlton        11   18   +3       3.59    77.66     3.91    62.55     9.82    -2.05     0.78     2.05    13.53     4.38P    4.39R    0.65  
Cardiff         11   16   +0      -0.40    47.07    -1.91    67.76    10.01     5.65     2.28     6.12    28.86    11.95P    1.48R    0.21  
Birmingham      11   16   -3       2.61    72.14    -0.63    59.90     9.35    -9.01     0.18     0.73     7.61     1.99P    7.09R    1.21  
Derby           11   15   +0      -1.84    34.96    -2.65    68.72     9.62     8.43     2.35     6.43    31.48    13.27P    1.00R    0.08  
Blackburn       11   14   -2      -0.47    46.69    -0.79    59.03     9.42    -6.69     0.25     0.71     6.84     1.96P    8.21R    1.49  
Millwall        11   14   -4       1.33    62.65    -0.53    56.38     9.10   -11.64     0.07     0.28     3.53     0.82P   12.66R    2.50  
Hull            11   13   -2      -2.07    33.57    -1.86    58.08     9.60    -7.24     0.23     0.70     6.16     1.81P   10.11R    2.02  
Brentford       11   12   +0      -3.94    19.95    -1.31    64.15     9.57     6.16     0.81     2.38    17.37     6.23P    2.82R    0.38  
Luton           11   11   -5      -2.36    31.90    -1.95    52.88     9.93   -15.46     0.07     0.22     2.56     0.68P   24.80R    6.92  
Wigan           11   11   -7      -1.99    34.04    -3.97    53.43     9.14   -14.85     0.02     0.13     1.78     0.43P   20.74R    4.96  
Middlesbrough   11   10   -5      -5.89     9.94    -6.31    58.87     9.26    -3.17     0.16     0.57     6.39     2.02P    7.91R    1.39  
Huddersfield    11    8   -6      -4.99    13.65    -2.88    48.13     9.37   -17.06     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.15P   40.99R   13.92  
Reading         11    8   -6      -3.59    21.46    -0.62    47.80     9.27   -18.40     0.01     0.03     0.54     0.11P   42.25R   14.95  
Barnsley        11    6  -14      -5.37    11.21    -8.28    43.43     9.45   -30.56     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.02P   62.20R   31.76  
Stoke           11    5  -11      -7.97     3.02    -7.98    47.30     9.20   -19.26     0.01     0.02     0.39     0.11P   44.45R   16.18  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 October 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 3 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich              11   27  +16       7.18    94.53     8.82    87.68     9.28    39.64    57.20    74.98    95.40    81.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              12   23   +8       5.07    84.74     5.85    64.45     8.82     3.66     0.82     2.99    21.35     6.29P    0.87R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       11   20   +6       2.67    71.56     2.57    70.41     9.20    13.79     3.37    10.54    45.66    18.55P    0.21R    0.00  
Coventry             11   20   +2       4.60    84.31     1.62    65.41     9.05     2.25     1.09     3.75    24.36     7.81P    0.89R    0.01  
Blackpool            11   19   +3       2.96    73.44     1.54    65.98     9.01     5.60     1.17     4.28    26.96     9.10P    0.69R    0.00  
Sunderland           11   19   +2      -0.18    47.82    -4.38    76.98     9.08    22.08    11.41    29.39    72.57    42.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough         11   18  +11      -0.49    45.52     5.47    74.01     9.19    28.46     7.23    20.42    62.87    31.86P    0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       11   18   +2       2.25    69.11     0.92    62.85     8.99     1.24     0.59     2.10    16.89     5.12P    1.71R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           12   16   +7      -1.69    36.99     5.20    64.59     9.11    14.05     0.93     3.34    24.12     8.23P    1.18R    0.01  
Doncaster            10   16   +3       0.40    53.54     0.19    69.62     9.39    13.74     2.92     9.22    42.80    17.48P    0.39R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         12   16   +0       0.83    57.51     2.11    56.47     9.13    -5.81     0.11     0.41     5.67     1.40P    7.74R    0.12  
Shrewsbury           11   16   -3       1.25    61.26    -2.62    59.56     8.87    -5.37     0.15     0.83     9.27     2.49P    3.48R    0.02  
Rotherham            10   15   +7      -1.73    34.60     2.23    70.85    10.07    21.41     5.30    14.18    48.95    23.87P    0.42R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        10   15   +5       0.07    50.97     3.22    70.32     9.38    18.34     3.53    11.12    46.12    20.12P    0.25R    0.00  
Gillingham           11   13   +3      -2.39    30.80     2.63    57.78     9.24     1.47     0.16     0.66     7.91     2.11P    6.00R    0.07  
Portsmouth            9   12   +1      -2.54    26.75    -2.52    70.30     9.66    16.92     4.00    11.64    46.06    21.34P    0.40R    0.01  
MK_Dons              11   12   -6      -1.04    42.39    -2.56    49.43     9.30   -19.25     0.02     0.07     1.40     0.30P   26.87R    0.94  
Accrington_Stanley   11   11   -5      -1.87    35.70    -1.42    49.25     8.91   -17.04     0.01     0.04     0.97     0.21P   26.06R    0.94  
Rochdale             11   10   -8      -1.83    35.54    -2.29    45.97     8.83   -24.57     0.00     0.02     0.35     0.07P   40.40R    1.75  
Tranmere             11    9   -6      -1.93    34.38     1.49    42.60     9.11   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   55.20R    4.04  
AFC_Wimbledon        12    6   -9      -6.72     6.27    -2.85    41.56     8.48   -22.08     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.02P   59.28R    4.60  
Southend             11    4  -16      -8.11     2.84   -10.88    39.26     8.82   -34.40     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   70.02R    8.79  
Bolton                9   -9  -23      -4.07    12.98   -14.34    23.37     8.96   -48.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.86R   78.69  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 October 2019, Bradford 2 1 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Forest_Green     12   24   +8       5.43    86.72     4.82    76.21     9.28    16.46    14.47    38.78    71.25    46.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter           12   23   +6       3.57    76.54     1.63    75.70     9.26    15.15    13.51    36.34    69.32    45.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Newport_County   12   23   +6       6.28    90.07     5.39    72.66     9.25    10.91     7.41    24.85    56.90    31.90P    0.09R    0.01  
Crewe            12   23   +5       5.83    88.25     3.86    72.13     9.41     8.77     7.02    23.10    54.41    29.79P    0.09R    0.01  
Cheltenham       12   22  +10       4.26    80.43     8.16    70.48     9.34    12.92     5.37    19.32    48.67    25.86P    0.14R    0.03  
Bradford         12   21   +6       1.18    58.91     1.10    79.21     9.66    23.30    25.05    52.66    80.75    61.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          12   20   +4       1.89    64.97     1.53    71.17     9.56    10.89     6.36    21.44    51.25    28.76P    0.18R    0.04  
Colchester       12   19   +5       0.31    52.74     1.70    71.54     9.23    13.94     6.32    22.22    53.26    30.62P    0.11R    0.02  
Grimsby          12   18   +5       2.44    69.72     6.05    62.23     9.25     2.11     0.73     4.27    18.14     7.14P    1.67R    0.45  
Port_Vale        12   17   -1       2.19    68.18     1.08    58.30     9.04    -8.22     0.26     1.56     8.68     2.92P    4.04R    1.21  
Cambridge_Utd    12   16   +3       1.52    63.50     5.58    59.48     9.10    -1.00     0.39     2.19    11.22     3.86P    3.21R    1.00  
Plymouth         12   16   +2      -3.21    26.56    -2.22    71.57     9.83    15.50     7.58    23.71    53.86    32.78P    0.21R    0.06  
Crawley_Town     12   16   +0       1.05    59.34     2.36    57.89     9.16    -7.24     0.21     1.50     8.35     2.75P    4.82R    1.57  
Northampton      12   15   +1      -2.47    31.16    -0.56    63.29     9.38     3.68     1.07     5.54    21.42     9.41P    1.31R    0.35  
Walsall          12   15   -6      -1.95    35.57    -6.94    64.21     9.60    -1.73     1.35     6.48    23.74    11.02P    1.39R    0.41  
Macclesfield     12   14   -1       0.79    58.06     3.61    49.67     8.76   -16.84     0.02     0.14     1.25     0.31P   20.73R    8.59  
Salford_City     12   14   -5       1.74    65.65     1.70    46.29     9.00   -27.87     0.00     0.06     0.59     0.16P   36.16R   18.11  
Carlisle         12   14   -6      -1.57    38.39    -4.73    60.55     9.37    -6.11     0.44     2.85    13.38     5.24P    3.02R    1.00  
Mansfield        12   13   -3      -5.99    10.94    -6.78    64.96     9.28     5.08     1.49     7.39    26.65    13.26P    0.93R    0.23  
Leyton_Orient    12   13   -5      -0.21    49.81    -0.07    48.97     9.32   -21.29     0.02     0.21     1.43     0.40P   25.19R   11.87  
Oldham           12   11   -4      -5.59    12.82    -4.25    61.24     9.40     1.55     0.62     3.56    15.82     6.77P    2.51R    0.74  
Scunthorpe       12    7   -8     -10.33     1.66    -9.32    56.91     9.88    -3.03     0.27     1.74     8.82     3.82P    6.96R    2.71  
Morecambe        12    7  -12      -5.49    11.46    -5.92    41.69     8.87   -30.42     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   56.15R   36.10  
Stevenage        12    5  -10      -9.82     1.35    -7.77    46.90     9.11   -16.52     0.01     0.06     0.70     0.22P   31.05R   15.49  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 October 2019, Boreham_Wood 1 0 Solihull_Moors; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Halifax            15   31  +12       9.73    96.07    10.80    77.97     8.64    18.70    15.24    66.39    26.33P    0.07R    0.00  
Bromley            15   29   +6       6.45    87.16     3.12    74.29     8.88     9.96     8.36    49.19    16.81P    0.33R    0.01  
Yeovil             15   28   +9       1.46    59.72     0.04    84.08     8.92    29.36    42.35    86.33    56.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking             15   26   +8       5.28    81.81     7.82    67.36     9.25     6.41     2.59    23.05     6.65P    2.77R    0.09  
Barrow             15   25   +7       2.98    70.07     4.87    69.16     8.74     9.42     2.79    28.39     8.44P    1.24R    0.04  
Barnet             15   24   +4       2.05    64.84     1.86    71.57     8.64    11.50     4.51    37.76    12.91P    0.60R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red          15   24   +3       2.67    68.35     1.78    67.70     8.66     4.82     1.77    22.27     6.24P    1.97R    0.04  
Dover_Athletic     15   24   +2       2.52    67.46     0.60    67.64     8.79     3.50     2.00    22.17     6.21P    2.22R    0.07  
Torquay            15   22   +3       2.85    69.25     5.41    60.13     9.31    -4.26     0.49     7.25     1.84P   13.11R    1.01  
Harrogate_Town     15   22   +2      -0.56    46.04    -1.00    67.37     8.80     6.14     1.86    21.95     6.46P    2.32R    0.08  
Boreham_Wood       15   21   +6      -0.46    47.01     4.65    64.21     8.74     7.12     0.94    13.41     3.76P    4.62R    0.15  
Notts_County       15   21   +5      -4.73    20.34    -2.86    76.01     9.10    23.91    12.67    59.41    28.79P    0.26R    0.01  
Solihull_Moors     15   21   +5      -2.31    34.07     0.90    69.74     8.77    14.25     3.21    31.30    11.03P    1.13R    0.03  
Eastleigh          15   20   -2       0.81    56.52     0.20    61.85     8.71    -3.09     0.38     7.98     1.89P    8.15R    0.51  
Hartlepool         15   20   -3       0.59    54.76    -1.22    59.45     8.66    -7.86     0.19     4.77     1.09P   13.52R    0.83  
Maidenhead         15   18   +2      -0.40    47.89     5.19    54.97     8.48    -6.28     0.04     1.62     0.32P   26.14R    2.39  
Stockport          15   18   -9       2.91    71.41    -0.38    48.86     8.71   -26.88     0.00     0.43     0.07P   56.55R   11.05  
Sutton_United      15   16   -2      -4.03    23.48    -1.25    56.22     8.71    -5.27     0.08     2.63     0.57P   21.86R    1.84  
AFC_Fylde          15   16  -10      -5.76    15.42   -11.66    60.80     8.96    -6.75     0.32     6.82     1.94P   11.01R    0.74  
Wrexham            15   15   -5      -6.17    13.14    -6.01    59.38     8.74    -2.03     0.16     4.96     1.37P   12.96R    0.95  
Aldershot          15   15   -7      -1.88    37.50    -1.86    49.58     8.25   -18.24     0.00     0.32     0.05P   51.56R    7.84  
Chesterfield       15   12   -9      -8.48     6.14    -8.82    52.36     8.72   -12.50     0.02     0.84     0.24P   38.00R    5.29  
Chorley            15   11  -15      -2.46    33.59    -3.71    37.89     8.24   -39.52     0.00     0.00     0.00P   91.64R   61.60  
Ebbsfleet_United   15   10  -12      -8.30     6.08    -8.48    52.33     8.73   -12.39     0.02     0.76     0.18P   37.97R    5.43