Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 3 October 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 September 2019, Man_Utd 1 1 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 7 21 +13 5.24 96.01 2.00 89.07 7.66 58.20 42.21 91.53 97.95 99.37 99.94 0.00 0.00 Man_City 7 16 +20 -1.47 28.16 4.11 90.56 6.78 83.07 56.47 95.68 99.15 99.79 99.98 0.00 0.00 Leicester 7 14 +8 3.47 83.69 6.64 60.94 8.67 13.67 0.07 0.88 9.39 22.71 55.33 0.16R 0.02 Arsenal 7 12 +1 0.81 58.39 -1.49 65.27 8.77 18.08 0.25 2.42 20.76 41.80 73.41 0.03R 0.00 West_Ham 7 12 +1 2.78 77.86 1.89 51.60 8.50 -5.92 0.00 0.05 1.19 3.96 16.11 2.29R 0.24 Tottenham 7 11 +5 -1.77 29.09 -0.04 69.88 8.45 31.43 0.76 6.67 42.46 64.98 88.68 0.00R 0.00 Chelsea 7 11 +1 -1.15 37.15 -3.02 64.47 8.60 18.09 0.18 1.86 18.05 37.74 71.03 0.05R 0.00 Bournemouth 7 11 +1 2.19 73.48 3.01 48.45 8.60 -11.21 0.00 0.03 0.55 1.94 9.51 5.92R 0.93 Crystal_Palace 7 11 -1 1.42 66.44 -0.83 48.55 8.41 -10.37 0.00 0.02 0.44 1.78 8.95 5.03R 0.74 Man_Utd 7 9 +2 -2.89 21.92 -1.42 60.94 8.50 16.20 0.06 0.84 9.31 22.81 56.00 0.15R 0.01 Burnley 7 9 +1 0.65 58.25 3.16 44.34 8.24 -12.37 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.56 3.65 11.61R 2.21 Sheff_Utd 7 8 +0 0.62 59.10 3.66 42.45 8.60 -14.61 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.41 2.64 18.45R 4.55 Wolverhampton 7 7 -2 -1.93 29.98 -1.03 44.71 8.33 -11.62 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.49 3.76 11.54R 2.06 Southampton 7 7 -4 -0.13 50.33 0.09 42.03 8.32 -18.58 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.28 2.05 19.28R 4.43 Everton 7 7 -6 -2.80 21.75 -5.99 46.10 8.45 -13.06 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.98 5.68 8.77R 1.53 Brighton 7 6 -5 -0.99 39.32 0.03 36.72 7.87 -23.88 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.42 40.44R 12.08 Norwich 7 6 -7 0.51 58.13 1.97 38.01 8.79 -29.34 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.16 1.10 37.47R 12.94 Aston_Villa 7 5 -3 -2.20 27.41 1.65 35.10 8.40 -27.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.41 49.20R 19.68 Newcastle 7 5 -9 -2.47 23.26 -5.15 40.48 8.20 -20.55 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.15 1.27 24.19R 5.63 Watford 7 2 -16 -4.53 7.19 -9.23 32.01 8.06 -40.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 65.42R 32.94Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 October 2019, Barnsley 2 2 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Swansea 10 21 +8 5.27 87.99 5.00 77.97 9.78 19.17 14.29 27.64 67.74 37.80P 0.06R 0.00 Leeds_United 10 20 +9 3.87 80.57 5.50 79.99 9.68 24.66 19.42 35.47 75.61 46.75P 0.03R 0.00 West_Brom 10 19 +6 1.79 65.05 0.60 81.02 9.97 25.29 23.27 40.41 77.81 51.45P 0.03R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 10 19 +6 5.06 87.21 5.60 72.71 9.82 12.58 5.48 12.73 47.03 20.43P 0.32R 0.02 Fulham 10 18 +10 1.05 58.52 5.20 77.20 10.36 24.84 14.69 27.76 65.24 38.31P 0.12R 0.02 Preston 10 18 +7 2.93 74.13 5.00 72.67 9.97 14.79 6.33 13.83 46.90 21.52P 0.35R 0.03 Bristol_City 10 17 +4 2.77 73.50 3.21 71.40 9.93 11.37 4.80 11.14 41.53 18.23P 0.50R 0.05 Charlton 10 17 +3 3.72 79.53 3.48 62.45 10.11 -2.52 0.83 2.25 14.06 4.66P 4.29R 0.67 Sheff_Wed 10 16 +6 0.93 58.35 3.94 67.31 9.75 8.92 1.99 5.17 27.01 10.32P 1.20R 0.09 Cardiff 10 16 +2 0.40 53.49 -0.78 69.35 10.30 7.92 3.64 8.56 34.52 15.24P 1.03R 0.13 QPR 10 16 -3 4.34 83.95 0.28 57.06 9.59 -16.36 0.17 0.51 4.88 1.16P 11.48R 2.13 Blackburn 10 14 +0 0.71 56.98 0.76 61.72 9.82 -2.47 0.54 1.64 11.93 3.74P 4.97R 0.77 Hull 10 13 +1 -1.03 41.70 0.62 61.75 9.97 -0.46 0.60 1.82 12.76 4.16P 5.13R 0.85 Birmingham 10 13 -4 1.03 60.54 -1.56 57.39 9.55 -11.09 0.15 0.50 5.08 1.37P 10.83R 1.96 Brentford 10 12 +1 -2.80 26.44 -0.66 65.86 9.88 7.70 1.45 4.00 22.74 8.90P 1.88R 0.22 Derby 10 12 -2 -2.64 28.17 -3.37 66.64 9.96 5.79 1.72 4.57 24.94 9.78P 1.70R 0.19 Luton 10 11 -3 -1.70 36.44 -1.23 54.65 10.32 -12.73 0.16 0.48 4.29 1.29P 18.50R 4.53 Millwall 10 11 -5 -0.40 47.68 -1.71 53.31 9.25 -14.47 0.04 0.16 1.92 0.48P 19.67R 4.28 Wigan 10 11 -6 -0.96 42.37 -3.49 54.51 9.48 -14.28 0.05 0.20 2.72 0.69P 17.20R 3.78 Middlesbrough 10 10 -4 -4.61 14.76 -5.42 60.95 9.47 -1.11 0.36 1.08 9.56 3.35P 4.88R 0.76 Reading 10 8 -5 -2.67 27.60 -0.34 48.74 9.41 -18.04 0.01 0.03 0.70 0.14P 36.19R 11.51 Barnsley 10 6 -10 -5.13 11.72 -6.23 46.55 9.91 -23.18 0.01 0.04 0.65 0.17P 46.43R 18.31 Huddersfield 10 5 -9 -6.01 7.23 -5.07 43.99 9.58 -23.59 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.04P 56.13R 24.90 Stoke 10 2 -12 -9.78 0.47 -9.31 43.81 9.34 -22.75 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.03P 57.07R 24.78League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 September 2019, Bristol_Rovers 1 0 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Ipswich 10 24 +15 5.83 91.19 8.18 85.71 9.57 38.15 46.02 66.15 92.78 74.23P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 11 22 +8 5.51 87.93 5.88 64.69 9.07 3.62 0.97 3.29 22.89 6.62P 0.92R 0.01 Fleetwood_Town 10 20 +7 3.81 80.28 3.27 72.22 9.47 15.46 5.59 14.34 53.32 23.39P 0.16R 0.00 Coventry 10 20 +6 5.10 87.79 4.28 67.76 9.30 7.73 2.15 6.33 34.19 11.84P 0.52R 0.00 Sunderland 10 19 +4 0.94 57.56 -2.75 80.02 9.35 26.83 20.21 41.09 81.85 53.85P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 11 19 +3 2.94 73.66 1.54 66.14 8.95 5.88 1.29 4.08 27.60 8.99P 0.65R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 11 18 +2 2.17 67.92 0.76 62.82 8.96 1.27 0.52 1.85 16.84 4.87P 1.85R 0.01 Peterborough 10 17 +11 0.05 50.26 5.78 74.96 9.54 29.22 9.38 22.82 66.13 34.94P 0.07R 0.00 Doncaster 9 16 +4 1.72 65.36 1.07 71.96 9.63 16.15 5.27 13.76 52.50 23.58P 0.21R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 11 15 +7 -1.16 40.70 5.42 65.15 9.30 14.33 1.17 3.82 26.43 8.94P 1.16R 0.00 Lincoln_City 11 13 -2 -0.53 46.57 0.54 53.21 9.36 -10.53 0.07 0.23 3.23 0.74P 15.34R 0.42 Shrewsbury 10 13 -4 -0.24 48.35 -3.41 57.56 9.12 -6.92 0.10 0.54 6.86 1.82P 6.23R 0.08 Rotherham 9 12 +3 -2.35 28.66 -0.16 66.93 10.34 13.53 2.65 7.41 34.38 14.67P 1.31R 0.01 Burton_Albion 9 12 +2 -1.04 40.79 0.98 67.20 9.60 12.96 1.93 6.22 33.80 13.43P 0.86R 0.01 MK_Dons 10 12 -3 -0.35 48.00 -0.70 52.46 9.70 -13.26 0.04 0.20 3.24 0.74P 18.50R 0.63 Gillingham 10 10 +1 -3.24 23.52 1.84 56.16 9.57 -0.42 0.11 0.50 6.42 1.69P 9.64R 0.17 Accrington_Stanley 10 10 -5 -1.57 37.06 -1.61 49.62 9.12 -16.84 0.02 0.06 1.23 0.25P 26.16R 0.95 Rochdale 10 10 -7 -0.74 44.83 -1.84 47.37 9.00 -23.05 0.00 0.01 0.63 0.12P 35.66R 1.60 Portsmouth 8 9 +0 -4.02 14.71 -3.26 67.34 10.06 13.71 2.52 7.28 35.16 15.17P 1.14R 0.02 Tranmere 10 9 -5 -0.84 43.90 2.05 44.08 9.33 -24.77 0.00 0.01 0.37 0.08P 49.79R 3.33 Southend 10 4 -14 -7.30 3.77 -9.91 40.58 9.05 -32.17 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.03P 65.22R 7.27 AFC_Wimbledon 11 3 -10 -8.00 1.99 -3.42 39.94 8.66 -22.71 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00P 66.76R 6.74 Bolton 9 -9 -23 -4.13 12.40 -14.53 23.43 9.06 -48.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.81R 78.73 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 September 2019, Carlisle 1 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 11 22 +6 3.96 80.01 1.65 76.11 9.64 15.28 15.56 38.68 68.79 46.49P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 11 22 +5 6.19 90.43 3.83 72.31 9.62 8.53 7.78 24.28 53.56 30.45P 0.09R 0.02 Cheltenham 11 21 +10 4.51 82.66 7.94 70.55 9.54 12.50 5.68 19.70 47.86 25.88P 0.13R 0.02 Forest_Green 11 21 +6 4.42 83.01 3.71 74.17 9.40 13.91 10.51 30.69 62.07 38.24P 0.03R 0.01 Swindon 11 20 +5 2.89 72.79 1.99 72.53 9.61 11.91 8.33 25.52 55.47 32.77P 0.08R 0.02 Newport_County 11 20 +5 5.10 86.75 5.00 70.72 9.30 9.46 5.17 18.45 47.67 24.84P 0.13R 0.03 Grimsby 11 18 +6 3.43 77.36 6.53 64.14 9.35 3.78 1.29 6.33 23.14 9.67P 0.80R 0.20 Bradford 11 18 +5 0.05 50.36 0.82 77.70 9.92 22.47 21.32 46.28 74.88 55.09P 0.04R 0.01 Colchester 11 16 +3 -0.62 45.16 0.67 69.40 9.36 11.27 4.33 16.09 42.75 23.32P 0.19R 0.05 Crawley_Town 11 16 +2 1.83 65.47 3.40 59.49 9.47 -4.69 0.53 2.59 11.36 4.32P 3.12R 0.90 Cambridge_Utd 11 15 +3 1.96 67.53 5.63 60.35 9.34 -0.10 0.48 2.79 12.91 4.94P 2.48R 0.71 Plymouth 11 15 +2 -2.62 29.52 -1.89 72.29 10.06 16.01 9.20 26.28 55.31 34.96P 0.19R 0.04 Northampton 11 15 +2 -0.82 43.61 0.84 66.51 9.68 7.40 2.59 10.61 32.28 15.89P 0.56R 0.15 Walsall 11 15 -3 -0.83 43.62 -4.23 68.84 9.86 5.89 4.16 15.13 40.27 22.22P 0.36R 0.09 Port_Vale 11 14 -3 0.94 59.34 -0.37 55.95 9.21 -11.13 0.14 0.94 5.43 1.83P 6.30R 2.05 Carlisle 11 14 -5 -0.64 45.56 -4.33 62.14 9.60 -4.76 0.87 4.33 17.38 7.43P 1.84R 0.49 Macclesfield 11 13 -1 0.99 60.30 3.34 49.70 8.90 -17.13 0.01 0.14 1.25 0.29P 18.62R 7.56 Salford_City 11 11 -8 0.32 54.90 -0.87 41.66 8.90 -35.76 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.04P 54.10R 33.13 Mansfield 11 10 -4 -7.34 5.46 -7.36 62.88 9.45 3.50 1.00 5.11 19.68 9.50P 1.32R 0.39 Oldham 11 10 -4 -5.03 14.07 -3.96 61.58 9.64 1.55 0.74 4.00 16.85 7.34P 2.14R 0.71 Leyton_Orient 11 10 -6 -1.97 34.72 -1.15 45.45 9.37 -25.62 0.00 0.08 0.64 0.17P 36.10R 18.43 Morecambe 11 7 -10 -4.72 14.29 -4.89 43.90 9.06 -26.78 0.00 0.02 0.29 0.06P 42.36R 22.89 Scunthorpe 11 6 -8 -10.04 1.53 -9.46 56.89 10.17 -3.58 0.30 1.86 8.91 3.95P 7.06R 2.72 Stevenage 11 5 -8 -9.14 1.60 -6.82 48.54 9.19 -13.91 0.01 0.10 1.10 0.33P 21.94R 9.38National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 October 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 4 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Bromley 14 29 +7 7.69 92.03 3.91 76.40 9.14 12.17 9.88 57.31 19.48P 0.22R 0.00 Halifax 14 28 +11 8.31 94.04 10.15 76.64 8.84 18.17 9.90 59.64 20.72P 0.14R 0.00 Yeovil 14 28 +10 3.03 70.60 1.34 86.76 9.15 32.41 50.03 90.63 63.56P 0.01R 0.00 Woking 14 25 +8 5.63 84.05 7.82 67.70 9.60 6.37 2.35 23.96 6.61P 3.08R 0.14 Barnet 14 23 +4 2.49 68.06 1.96 72.07 8.91 11.72 3.94 39.38 12.54P 0.69R 0.01 Dag_&_Red 14 23 +3 2.99 71.05 1.70 67.82 8.94 4.47 1.53 22.48 5.94P 2.21R 0.08 Dover_Athletic 14 23 +2 2.67 68.73 0.25 67.68 9.05 2.98 1.78 22.22 6.14P 2.52R 0.06 Barrow 14 22 +6 1.37 60.26 3.88 67.06 8.98 7.74 1.48 20.99 5.87P 2.64R 0.08 Solihull_Moors 14 21 +6 -1.22 40.88 1.42 71.93 9.06 16.46 4.38 40.00 14.37P 0.78R 0.01 Notts_County 14 20 +5 -4.14 22.55 -2.59 76.70 9.40 24.45 12.02 60.78 29.16P 0.27R 0.00 Torquay 14 19 +2 1.39 60.57 4.71 57.71 9.49 -6.59 0.24 4.62 1.08P 20.18R 2.05 Harrogate_Town 14 19 +0 -1.66 38.16 -2.19 65.26 9.08 3.38 0.99 15.61 4.20P 4.44R 0.18 Boreham_Wood 14 18 +5 -1.86 37.10 4.01 61.70 8.93 4.79 0.35 8.67 2.31P 8.48R 0.42 Maidenhead 14 18 +3 0.55 55.09 5.63 56.56 8.78 -5.00 0.07 2.80 0.55P 21.43R 1.64 Eastleigh 14 17 -3 -0.68 45.99 -0.55 59.53 8.85 -5.12 0.14 5.04 1.04P 13.61R 1.05 Hartlepool 14 17 -4 -1.10 42.76 -2.31 56.58 8.77 -10.74 0.08 2.54 0.53P 22.44R 1.92 Stockport 14 17 -9 2.93 72.15 -0.64 48.72 9.10 -28.21 0.02 0.48 0.09P 57.54R 12.17 AFC_Fylde 14 16 -9 -4.50 20.38 -10.88 62.95 9.15 -4.57 0.48 10.31 2.84P 7.92R 0.44 Sutton_United 14 15 -2 -3.44 26.21 -0.90 57.24 8.93 -4.46 0.08 3.48 0.77P 19.56R 1.56 Wrexham 14 14 -5 -5.86 13.63 -6.09 59.84 8.88 -1.89 0.20 5.48 1.40P 12.45R 0.94 Aldershot 14 14 -7 -1.43 40.52 -1.61 50.49 8.55 -17.62 0.01 0.44 0.08P 47.67R 7.48 Chesterfield 14 12 -8 -7.32 8.54 -8.14 54.25 8.93 -10.74 0.04 1.49 0.35P 30.63R 3.71 Ebbsfleet_United 14 10 -10 -7.52 7.54 -7.36 54.47 9.04 -9.29 0.03 1.66 0.36P 29.99R 3.94 Chorley 14 10 -15 -2.17 35.28 -3.51 37.78 8.58 -40.86 0.00 0.01 0.00P 91.10R 62.10