Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 26 September 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 September 2019, Arsenal 3 2 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 6 18 +12 4.38 94.08 2.25 88.80 7.87 59.67 44.04 91.15 97.82 99.34 99.94 0.00 0.00 Man_City 6 13 +18 -2.13 19.83 3.90 89.76 7.14 81.65 54.18 94.35 98.78 99.69 99.99 0.00 0.00 Leicester 6 11 +3 2.89 81.43 3.22 57.38 8.85 5.43 0.02 0.48 4.98 13.56 39.99 0.65R 0.08 Arsenal 6 11 +1 1.05 62.94 -1.62 65.41 9.02 17.56 0.39 3.18 22.45 44.04 74.67 0.08R 0.00 West_Ham 6 11 +1 3.01 82.25 1.67 51.66 8.75 -6.34 0.00 0.10 1.41 4.57 18.07 2.99R 0.37 Bournemouth 6 10 +1 2.69 79.75 3.16 48.98 8.91 -10.72 0.00 0.04 0.83 2.92 12.10 6.28R 1.08 Tottenham 6 8 +4 -2.55 20.51 0.41 69.74 8.70 32.94 1.02 7.55 43.37 66.22 88.65 0.01R 0.00 Man_Utd 6 8 +2 -2.37 24.52 -1.18 61.50 8.77 16.48 0.11 1.13 11.48 27.03 60.80 0.18R 0.01 Burnley 6 8 +1 0.95 63.22 3.08 44.36 8.47 -12.58 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.65 4.47 13.52R 2.73 Sheff_Utd 6 8 +1 1.20 65.85 3.39 42.46 8.83 -16.34 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.55 3.28 20.79R 5.46 Chelsea 6 8 -1 -1.96 28.36 -3.70 63.71 8.90 17.30 0.22 1.97 17.34 36.29 69.45 0.12R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 6 8 -3 0.47 57.06 -1.74 46.72 8.69 -12.77 0.00 0.01 0.34 1.39 7.22 9.43R 1.85 Southampton 6 7 -3 0.40 56.29 -0.39 42.10 8.48 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.41 2.76 21.08R 5.34 Everton 6 7 -4 -2.36 24.61 -5.68 47.03 8.73 -11.81 0.00 0.02 0.49 1.74 8.02 8.70R 1.60 Brighton 6 6 -3 -0.43 45.75 0.59 37.40 8.09 -23.19 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.76 39.99R 12.48 Norwich 6 6 -5 1.37 68.86 3.05 39.66 9.25 -26.76 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.36 2.22 33.08R 11.38 Newcastle 6 5 -4 -1.98 27.06 -1.63 43.46 8.51 -12.69 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.59 3.73 15.72R 3.45 Aston_Villa 6 4 -3 -1.71 31.30 1.67 35.59 8.72 -26.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.63 49.00R 20.81 Wolverhampton 6 4 -4 -2.97 18.75 -2.14 42.69 8.65 -14.27 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.47 2.96 18.96R 4.85 Watford 6 2 -14 -3.69 10.73 -8.28 33.68 8.38 -37.52 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.28 59.42R 28.49Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 September 2019, West_Brom 4 2 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 8 17 +9 3.92 84.00 5.93 80.56 10.15 26.03 23.22 40.31 77.39 50.89P 0.04R 0.00 Swansea 8 17 +7 4.80 89.01 5.14 77.71 10.19 19.72 14.84 28.90 67.98 39.11P 0.13R 0.01 Preston 8 16 +7 3.81 82.93 5.19 73.34 10.32 14.76 7.81 16.80 51.42 25.07P 0.47R 0.05 West_Brom 8 16 +5 1.86 67.24 0.07 80.82 10.35 24.46 24.68 41.32 77.31 52.24P 0.05R 0.00 QPR 8 16 +2 5.55 91.86 2.79 61.65 10.20 -8.50 0.67 2.06 13.13 3.90P 6.11R 0.88 Nott'm_Forest 8 15 +5 4.14 85.72 5.11 70.79 10.24 10.69 4.36 10.63 41.27 17.59P 0.80R 0.08 Bristol_City 8 15 +4 3.49 81.08 3.16 71.88 10.33 11.06 5.94 13.25 45.30 20.64P 0.66R 0.06 Charlton 8 14 +3 3.21 79.22 3.14 61.48 10.38 -3.41 0.80 2.25 13.41 4.47P 6.45R 1.07 Sheff_Wed 8 13 +4 0.86 58.60 2.25 65.15 10.12 4.26 1.58 4.18 22.31 8.32P 2.71R 0.30 Blackburn 8 13 +1 2.44 73.31 1.73 64.43 10.27 0.10 1.33 3.65 20.16 7.02P 3.82R 0.56 Birmingham 8 13 -2 3.12 79.36 -0.53 60.72 9.94 -8.02 0.48 1.45 10.57 3.12P 7.08R 1.14 Fulham 8 12 +5 -0.63 43.95 2.56 71.18 11.07 15.67 6.58 14.36 43.96 22.77P 1.11R 0.13 Cardiff 8 12 -1 0.09 51.32 -2.48 66.57 10.77 2.86 2.68 6.34 27.30 11.71P 2.72R 0.36 Hull 8 9 +0 -2.18 29.60 -0.23 60.09 10.37 -1.95 0.58 1.72 11.40 3.90P 8.35R 1.68 Middlesbrough 8 9 -1 -3.12 21.20 -2.75 64.52 9.85 4.58 1.06 3.25 19.68 7.79P 2.83R 0.33 Millwall 8 9 -5 0.11 52.56 -2.04 53.91 9.67 -14.63 0.09 0.27 2.81 0.72P 20.77R 4.90 Brentford 8 8 -1 -3.47 18.96 -1.81 64.28 10.26 5.31 1.35 3.69 20.14 8.03P 3.61R 0.57 Derby 8 8 -3 -3.30 20.54 -3.51 65.63 10.29 5.34 1.65 4.62 23.85 9.86P 2.83R 0.39 Wigan 8 8 -5 -1.61 35.07 -3.08 54.28 9.87 -13.30 0.11 0.32 3.36 0.90P 19.95R 4.42 Reading 8 7 -2 -2.16 29.39 0.70 50.68 9.87 -14.43 0.04 0.15 1.69 0.42P 31.17R 8.79 Luton 8 7 -4 -2.75 25.51 -1.93 52.21 10.85 -15.70 0.10 0.35 3.37 0.98P 28.34R 8.38 Barnsley 8 5 -8 -4.20 13.92 -5.57 48.59 10.30 -20.16 0.02 0.09 1.20 0.31P 40.54R 14.53 Stoke 8 2 -10 -7.31 1.76 -7.76 48.14 9.81 -18.10 0.01 0.03 0.78 0.19P 41.16R 14.01 Huddersfield 8 1 -10 -7.38 1.20 -6.08 41.39 9.99 -26.64 0.00 0.01 0.20 0.04P 68.31R 37.35League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 September 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 3 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Ipswich 9 21 +12 5.48 90.53 7.31 84.05 9.81 35.08 41.25 61.22 90.51 69.87P 0.00R 0.00 Coventry 9 19 +6 5.46 90.79 4.26 68.36 9.47 8.11 2.98 8.16 38.73 14.01P 0.66R 0.00 Wycombe 10 19 +5 4.37 83.89 3.65 61.02 9.22 -2.67 0.52 1.75 14.49 3.85P 3.55R 0.03 Fleetwood_Town 9 17 +4 2.57 73.02 0.90 68.60 9.64 9.41 3.35 9.03 39.99 15.91P 0.62R 0.00 Sunderland 9 16 +3 0.14 50.78 -2.52 79.33 9.42 27.37 20.83 40.87 81.16 53.77P 0.02R 0.00 Blackpool 10 16 +2 1.92 66.92 1.43 64.67 9.16 5.10 1.06 3.53 24.65 8.06P 1.46R 0.01 Doncaster 8 15 +4 2.00 68.68 0.93 72.24 9.94 16.13 6.95 16.58 55.03 26.33P 0.33R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 10 15 +1 0.70 56.70 0.02 60.43 9.20 -1.01 0.43 1.39 13.06 3.80P 3.99R 0.05 Peterborough 9 14 +10 -0.76 42.79 6.15 74.13 9.72 29.54 9.67 22.53 64.67 34.27P 0.16R 0.00 Lincoln_City 10 13 -1 0.28 53.33 0.70 54.20 9.58 -10.01 0.12 0.44 4.72 1.22P 15.26R 0.39 Shrewsbury 9 13 -1 0.73 57.63 -0.97 60.83 9.37 -1.16 0.46 1.65 14.22 4.13P 4.05R 0.03 Oxford_Utd 10 12 +4 -2.02 32.92 3.67 62.56 9.55 9.70 0.80 2.67 20.02 6.46P 2.97R 0.03 Rotherham 8 12 +4 -1.19 37.74 0.50 69.55 10.73 16.64 5.59 13.12 45.95 21.97P 1.05R 0.01 Burton_Albion 9 12 +2 -0.94 41.93 1.15 67.26 9.58 13.08 2.40 6.79 35.85 14.13P 0.99R 0.01 MK_Dons 9 12 -2 0.25 53.10 -1.05 52.76 9.81 -14.26 0.06 0.30 3.83 0.94P 19.99R 0.70 Gillingham 9 10 +4 -2.66 26.65 3.54 58.30 9.74 3.71 0.30 1.09 10.80 3.18P 7.55R 0.13 Rochdale 9 10 -4 0.18 53.20 0.40 50.94 9.37 -16.46 0.02 0.09 2.04 0.38P 24.92R 0.99 Tranmere 9 9 -2 -0.59 45.83 2.95 45.90 9.59 -20.78 0.01 0.03 0.78 0.13P 44.97R 2.71 Accrington_Stanley 9 7 -6 -3.21 22.19 -2.59 46.88 9.35 -20.10 0.01 0.05 0.84 0.16P 40.38R 2.32 Portsmouth 7 6 -1 -4.88 8.85 -2.99 67.57 10.21 15.92 3.20 8.70 38.28 17.36P 1.37R 0.02 Southend 9 4 -13 -5.95 6.44 -8.92 42.91 9.40 -29.96 0.01 0.01 0.28 0.06P 58.33R 5.56 AFC_Wimbledon 10 3 -9 -7.37 2.40 -3.75 39.98 8.86 -23.90 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 69.51R 7.89 Bolton 8 -9 -22 -3.55 15.46 -14.77 23.83 9.23 -49.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.85R 79.12 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 September 2019, Bradford 3 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 10 22 +8 5.29 88.60 3.63 79.26 9.63 19.70 22.72 50.87 79.80 58.72P 0.00R 0.00 Crewe 10 21 +5 6.48 92.67 3.75 72.47 9.89 8.09 7.85 24.84 54.73 30.98P 0.14R 0.04 Cheltenham 10 20 +10 5.10 87.14 8.27 71.07 9.78 12.63 6.12 21.11 50.36 27.26P 0.19R 0.04 Swindon 10 20 +7 4.14 82.46 3.76 75.33 9.86 16.01 13.10 35.52 66.53 43.25P 0.05R 0.02 Forest_Green 10 18 +2 3.85 80.90 1.17 70.64 9.66 7.23 4.92 18.69 47.68 25.64P 0.23R 0.05 Bradford 10 17 +5 0.55 54.32 0.96 77.90 10.10 22.22 20.37 46.24 75.68 55.29P 0.02R 0.01 Newport_County 10 17 +3 3.53 79.31 3.07 67.48 9.66 5.26 2.82 11.63 35.27 16.85P 0.53R 0.12 Crawley_Town 10 16 +3 2.85 74.32 3.88 61.26 9.56 -2.91 0.67 3.63 15.92 5.93P 2.51R 0.79 Grimsby 10 15 +4 1.84 66.89 4.59 60.68 9.48 -0.71 0.56 3.20 14.35 5.40P 2.55R 0.69 Colchester 10 15 +3 -0.07 49.64 0.94 70.43 9.64 12.15 5.14 18.96 47.72 26.56P 0.18R 0.06 Cambridge_Utd 10 14 +3 2.21 70.28 5.51 60.66 9.43 -0.17 0.55 3.13 14.10 5.26P 2.77R 0.85 Northampton 10 14 +2 -0.15 49.17 1.30 66.95 9.83 7.51 2.72 11.30 34.48 17.07P 0.72R 0.22 Port_Vale 10 13 -3 1.42 63.94 -0.30 56.24 9.27 -11.00 0.13 1.00 5.93 1.95P 7.16R 2.56 Plymouth 10 12 +1 -3.97 19.57 -2.46 70.00 10.36 14.01 6.08 19.89 47.35 28.26P 0.49R 0.15 Macclesfield 10 12 -1 1.03 61.06 2.91 49.48 9.06 -17.98 0.02 0.16 1.39 0.34P 21.27R 9.44 Walsall 10 12 -4 -2.17 31.91 -4.85 66.11 9.95 3.42 2.32 9.73 30.87 15.68P 0.87R 0.27 Salford_City 10 11 -4 0.57 57.02 1.29 44.74 9.29 -28.44 0.01 0.05 0.52 0.12P 42.04R 23.29 Carlisle 10 11 -6 -2.02 33.00 -4.90 60.19 9.93 -6.36 0.60 3.24 14.01 5.73P 3.75R 1.30 Mansfield 10 10 -3 -6.17 7.92 -6.64 65.04 9.71 5.49 1.64 8.03 27.47 13.91P 1.07R 0.27 Oldham 10 10 -3 -3.95 18.81 -3.39 63.69 9.88 3.56 1.30 6.44 23.54 10.86P 1.67R 0.51 Leyton_Orient 10 9 -6 -1.58 37.11 -1.24 46.10 9.57 -24.63 0.01 0.10 0.82 0.24P 35.97R 19.45 Morecambe 10 6 -10 -4.52 13.74 -5.17 43.96 9.16 -27.01 0.00 0.02 0.34 0.07P 44.62R 25.69 Scunthorpe 10 5 -8 -9.71 1.19 -9.51 57.01 10.32 -4.11 0.33 2.08 9.74 4.24P 7.79R 3.12 Stevenage 10 4 -8 -8.63 1.48 -6.58 48.88 9.40 -13.97 0.01 0.13 1.41 0.40P 23.42R 11.05National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 September 2019, AFC_Fylde 3 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Bromley 13 29 +9 8.40 94.59 4.85 78.08 9.36 14.63 15.80 64.43 26.04P 0.14R 0.00 Halifax 13 25 +9 7.05 91.55 8.68 73.81 9.09 14.41 7.00 47.17 15.54P 0.50R 0.02 Woking 13 25 +9 6.68 89.08 8.30 70.05 9.90 8.82 4.49 32.84 10.54P 2.03R 0.05 Yeovil 13 25 +8 2.14 65.25 0.51 84.96 9.41 30.17 44.08 86.82 58.31P 0.02R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 13 23 +4 3.60 75.44 1.59 69.72 9.24 6.07 3.56 30.19 9.47P 1.65R 0.04 Dag_&_Red 13 22 +3 3.67 76.01 2.21 69.38 9.18 6.19 2.81 28.53 8.15P 1.82R 0.06 Barrow 13 19 +4 0.45 53.68 2.92 64.73 9.20 4.60 1.10 15.52 4.31P 5.12R 0.24 Barnet 12 19 +0 1.88 65.18 -1.09 68.67 9.36 4.66 2.43 26.70 7.99P 2.43R 0.10 Maidenhead 13 18 +5 1.28 60.64 6.67 58.40 9.09 -2.44 0.17 4.74 1.01P 17.19R 1.35 Solihull_Moors 12 17 +4 -2.07 33.64 0.00 69.80 9.57 13.19 3.63 32.37 11.42P 1.86R 0.05 Notts_County 13 17 +3 -5.10 16.63 -3.56 74.71 9.60 21.95 9.63 53.17 24.65P 0.62R 0.02 Stockport 13 17 -5 3.16 73.86 1.41 52.56 9.51 -20.04 0.07 1.64 0.31P 41.31R 6.03 Torquay 13 16 -2 1.11 59.49 2.85 53.05 9.74 -15.59 0.09 1.87 0.45P 38.86R 6.19 Harrogate_Town 13 16 -2 -2.65 31.07 -3.22 62.84 9.34 0.09 0.76 11.22 3.07P 8.58R 0.52 AFC_Fylde 12 16 -3 -3.17 26.41 -7.16 68.77 9.66 6.26 2.97 28.25 9.81P 2.71R 0.10 Eastleigh 13 16 -3 -0.25 49.03 -0.39 60.37 9.18 -4.51 0.31 6.67 1.51P 13.11R 0.93 Hartlepool 13 16 -4 -0.80 44.69 -2.42 56.98 9.07 -10.80 0.12 3.22 0.74P 22.31R 2.01 Boreham_Wood 13 15 +4 -3.36 26.20 3.23 59.52 9.13 2.95 0.24 6.21 1.60P 13.84R 1.00 Sutton_United 13 15 +0 -2.64 30.98 0.24 59.22 9.16 -1.64 0.27 5.78 1.55P 15.03R 1.10 Aldershot 13 14 -6 -0.51 47.47 -1.26 52.05 8.75 -16.40 0.01 0.86 0.16P 41.72R 5.68 Wrexham 12 11 -4 -6.36 9.52 -5.38 60.36 9.43 0.29 0.40 7.65 2.33P 12.95R 1.13 Ebbsfleet_United 13 10 -9 -6.48 10.07 -6.82 56.03 9.29 -8.02 0.06 2.91 0.74P 25.90R 2.91 Chesterfield 13 9 -9 -8.55 4.47 -8.55 52.54 9.23 -11.88 0.02 1.25 0.29P 38.79R 5.76 Chorley 13 9 -15 -2.09 35.21 -3.63 37.27 8.87 -42.95 0.00 0.01 0.00P 91.51R 64.71