Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 25 September 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 September 2019, Arsenal 3 2 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 6 18 +12 4.40 94.19 2.27 88.88 7.87 59.86 44.24 91.25 97.88 99.39 99.94 0.00 0.00 Man_City 6 13 +18 -2.12 19.82 3.91 89.75 7.11 81.53 54.08 94.32 98.79 99.69 99.98 0.00 0.00 Leicester 6 11 +3 2.90 81.50 3.25 57.15 8.89 5.05 0.03 0.41 4.80 13.11 39.24 0.75R 0.09 Arsenal 6 11 +1 1.03 62.51 -1.69 65.55 9.09 17.88 0.42 3.23 23.35 45.04 75.34 0.06R 0.00 West_Ham 6 11 +1 3.02 82.28 1.69 51.60 8.79 -6.40 0.00 0.06 1.40 4.65 18.17 3.12R 0.37 Bournemouth 6 10 +1 2.66 79.51 3.12 48.99 8.95 -10.79 0.00 0.03 0.90 3.00 12.14 6.34R 1.17 Tottenham 6 8 +4 -2.49 21.25 0.51 69.53 8.73 32.54 0.89 7.26 42.17 65.25 88.09 0.01R 0.01 Man_Utd 6 8 +2 -2.40 24.46 -1.23 61.70 8.79 16.81 0.12 1.38 12.00 27.83 61.88 0.19R 0.02 Burnley 6 8 +1 0.97 63.49 3.12 44.38 8.52 -12.58 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.72 4.65 13.71R 2.88 Sheff_Utd 6 8 +1 1.21 65.94 3.38 42.30 8.83 -16.52 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.54 3.22 21.37R 5.80 Chelsea 6 8 -1 -1.91 28.44 -3.64 63.58 8.86 17.13 0.20 1.98 17.25 36.03 69.16 0.08R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 6 8 -3 0.42 56.23 -1.83 46.99 8.64 -12.34 0.00 0.02 0.37 1.43 7.61 8.74R 1.66 Southampton 6 7 -3 0.41 56.69 -0.37 42.10 8.42 -19.63 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.36 2.56 21.00R 5.16 Everton 6 7 -4 -2.28 25.50 -5.58 46.72 8.70 -12.28 0.00 0.02 0.42 1.41 7.60 9.15R 1.71 Brighton 6 6 -3 -0.40 45.97 0.62 37.25 8.13 -23.43 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.63 40.71R 13.17 Norwich 6 6 -5 1.32 68.33 2.97 39.84 9.13 -26.35 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.38 2.18 32.27R 11.00 Newcastle 6 5 -4 -2.02 26.46 -1.68 43.64 8.52 -12.36 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.55 3.83 15.57R 3.31 Aston_Villa 6 4 -3 -1.77 30.34 1.58 35.82 8.73 -25.96 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.68 47.88R 19.87 Wolverhampton 6 4 -4 -2.95 18.83 -2.12 42.62 8.55 -14.46 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.45 2.83 19.14R 4.79 Watford 6 2 -14 -3.71 10.53 -8.26 33.58 8.41 -37.69 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.28 59.90R 28.99Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 September 2019, West_Brom 4 2 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 8 17 +9 3.90 83.64 5.92 80.61 10.19 26.11 23.50 40.33 77.56 51.10P 0.03R 0.01 Swansea 8 17 +7 4.80 88.75 5.13 77.58 10.29 19.59 14.68 28.74 67.10 38.76P 0.13R 0.01 Preston 8 16 +7 3.82 83.12 5.21 73.28 10.45 14.71 7.95 17.14 50.87 25.42P 0.50R 0.04 West_Brom 8 16 +5 1.91 68.14 0.16 80.70 10.51 24.29 24.66 41.28 76.79 51.93P 0.07R 0.01 QPR 8 16 +2 5.57 91.93 2.89 61.45 10.21 -8.73 0.69 1.91 13.08 3.81P 6.53R 1.01 Nott'm_Forest 8 15 +5 4.13 85.71 5.08 70.77 10.20 10.68 4.39 10.81 41.08 17.46P 0.75R 0.07 Bristol_City 8 15 +4 3.52 80.92 3.18 71.79 10.31 10.92 5.71 13.16 45.04 20.66P 0.68R 0.05 Charlton 8 14 +3 3.25 79.37 3.19 61.39 10.53 -3.58 0.97 2.47 13.80 4.75P 6.78R 1.16 Sheff_Wed 8 13 +4 0.76 57.65 2.11 65.32 10.14 4.54 1.60 4.26 22.93 8.42P 2.50R 0.32 Blackburn 8 13 +1 2.43 73.55 1.71 64.49 10.24 0.15 1.34 3.74 20.23 7.30P 3.51R 0.55 Birmingham 8 13 -2 3.12 79.12 -0.54 60.61 9.96 -8.11 0.49 1.52 10.54 3.22P 7.22R 1.22 Fulham 8 12 +5 -0.58 44.45 2.64 70.95 10.90 15.25 6.07 13.29 43.19 21.62P 1.14R 0.12 Cardiff 8 12 -1 0.02 50.62 -2.57 66.90 10.79 3.26 2.85 6.78 28.66 12.34P 2.59R 0.31 Hull 8 9 +0 -2.21 29.67 -0.28 60.10 10.47 -1.99 0.60 1.70 11.59 3.94P 8.61R 1.65 Middlesbrough 8 9 -1 -3.14 21.14 -2.78 64.80 9.77 4.94 1.18 3.42 20.21 8.11P 2.67R 0.37 Millwall 8 9 -5 0.16 53.45 -2.00 53.75 9.68 -14.85 0.08 0.24 2.76 0.64P 21.41R 5.11 Brentford 8 8 -1 -3.36 19.67 -1.66 63.95 10.32 4.76 1.26 3.54 19.35 7.62P 4.07R 0.66 Derby 8 8 -3 -3.32 20.43 -3.54 65.81 10.21 5.51 1.67 4.65 24.28 9.84P 2.68R 0.36 Wigan 8 8 -5 -1.62 34.82 -3.12 54.39 9.82 -13.10 0.13 0.34 3.40 0.94P 19.52R 4.41 Reading 8 7 -2 -2.15 29.52 0.71 50.72 9.85 -14.30 0.03 0.16 1.63 0.42P 31.36R 8.81 Luton 8 7 -4 -2.79 25.00 -2.01 52.49 10.91 -15.25 0.13 0.41 3.68 1.14P 27.77R 8.18 Barnsley 8 5 -8 -4.24 13.61 -5.63 48.72 10.12 -20.00 0.01 0.06 1.13 0.28P 39.79R 13.98 Stoke 8 2 -10 -7.32 1.76 -7.77 48.08 9.80 -18.24 0.02 0.06 0.84 0.22P 41.40R 14.24 Huddersfield 8 1 -10 -7.34 1.13 -6.04 41.43 9.98 -26.56 0.00 0.01 0.25 0.06P 68.29R 37.34League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 September 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 3 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Ipswich 9 21 +12 5.51 90.96 7.34 84.01 9.77 35.06 40.78 61.02 90.55 69.88P 0.01R 0.00 Coventry 9 19 +6 5.40 90.24 4.16 68.56 9.52 8.37 3.08 8.47 39.54 14.63P 0.60R 0.00 Wycombe 10 19 +5 4.26 83.13 3.49 61.27 9.25 -2.31 0.57 1.82 15.05 4.08P 3.40R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 9 17 +4 2.64 73.64 1.01 68.39 9.62 9.06 3.09 8.30 39.15 14.94P 0.70R 0.00 Sunderland 9 16 +3 0.07 49.91 -2.62 79.63 9.55 27.93 21.79 42.20 81.71 54.82P 0.03R 0.00 Blackpool 10 16 +2 1.92 66.90 1.41 64.57 9.27 4.98 1.19 3.56 24.46 7.79P 1.52R 0.01 Doncaster 8 15 +4 2.00 69.05 0.94 72.16 9.90 15.92 6.50 16.20 54.69 25.71P 0.29R 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 10 15 +1 0.68 56.56 0.03 60.42 9.28 -1.03 0.40 1.52 13.28 3.86P 4.17R 0.03 Peterborough 9 14 +10 -0.77 43.09 6.15 74.13 9.71 29.62 9.63 22.34 64.52 34.37P 0.14R 0.00 Lincoln_City 10 13 -1 0.33 53.66 0.78 54.13 9.58 -10.18 0.11 0.40 4.79 1.21P 15.24R 0.43 Shrewsbury 9 13 -1 0.71 57.32 -1.00 60.82 9.45 -1.16 0.39 1.55 14.39 4.15P 4.06R 0.04 Oxford_Utd 10 12 +4 -2.01 33.11 3.70 62.47 9.56 9.57 0.84 2.63 19.60 6.46P 3.02R 0.02 Rotherham 8 12 +4 -1.18 37.88 0.53 69.45 10.63 16.45 5.29 12.46 45.16 21.40P 1.04R 0.00 Burton_Albion 9 12 +2 -0.96 41.83 1.12 67.46 9.71 13.37 2.51 7.22 36.71 14.75P 1.04R 0.00 MK_Dons 9 12 -2 0.25 53.37 -1.07 52.72 9.82 -14.34 0.07 0.28 3.86 0.90P 20.17R 0.62 Gillingham 9 10 +4 -2.65 26.62 3.54 58.31 9.75 3.78 0.32 1.10 10.66 3.12P 7.53R 0.12 Rochdale 9 10 -4 0.18 53.41 0.41 50.89 9.47 -16.50 0.02 0.13 2.06 0.42P 25.10R 0.92 Tranmere 9 9 -2 -0.55 45.82 2.98 45.77 9.68 -21.00 0.01 0.05 0.86 0.18P 45.84R 2.82 Accrington_Stanley 9 7 -6 -3.19 22.26 -2.58 46.83 9.33 -20.14 0.01 0.03 0.81 0.17P 40.24R 2.20 Portsmouth 7 6 -1 -4.83 8.98 -2.92 67.44 10.34 15.76 3.40 8.71 37.80 17.09P 1.46R 0.02 Southend 9 4 -13 -5.97 6.41 -8.95 43.08 9.37 -29.77 0.00 0.02 0.27 0.05P 57.49R 5.44 AFC_Wimbledon 10 3 -9 -7.36 2.50 -3.73 40.08 8.83 -23.76 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 68.97R 7.48 Bolton 8 -9 -22 -3.54 15.53 -14.74 23.72 9.20 -49.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.95R 79.82 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 September 2019, Bradford 3 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 10 22 +8 5.30 88.46 3.65 79.24 9.67 19.75 22.54 50.87 79.59 58.51P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 10 21 +5 6.44 92.61 3.67 72.56 9.81 8.29 7.76 24.72 55.20 31.24P 0.13R 0.03 Cheltenham 10 20 +10 5.11 87.18 8.28 71.15 9.83 12.74 6.32 21.43 50.66 27.76P 0.14R 0.02 Swindon 10 20 +7 4.14 82.47 3.79 75.29 9.76 15.93 12.34 35.09 66.79 43.06P 0.05R 0.01 Forest_Green 10 18 +2 3.74 80.28 1.02 70.83 9.62 7.54 5.44 19.09 48.71 26.08P 0.18R 0.04 Bradford 10 17 +5 0.43 53.35 0.83 78.16 10.18 22.59 21.14 47.54 76.35 56.49P 0.04R 0.01 Newport_County 10 17 +3 3.62 79.70 3.19 67.54 9.58 5.33 2.71 11.49 35.32 16.71P 0.54R 0.10 Crawley_Town 10 16 +3 2.92 74.64 3.98 61.12 9.55 -3.19 0.62 3.59 15.39 5.81P 2.57R 0.78 Grimsby 10 15 +4 1.94 67.78 4.73 60.59 9.52 -0.95 0.51 3.12 14.26 5.32P 2.67R 0.82 Colchester 10 15 +3 -0.01 50.28 1.02 70.34 9.65 12.00 4.99 18.57 47.79 26.50P 0.23R 0.05 Cambridge_Utd 10 14 +3 2.25 70.80 5.56 60.51 9.39 -0.40 0.48 2.89 13.72 4.99P 2.87R 0.90 Northampton 10 14 +2 -0.21 48.73 1.21 67.30 9.81 8.00 2.91 11.88 35.50 17.69P 0.71R 0.22 Port_Vale 10 13 -3 1.40 64.19 -0.34 56.36 9.26 -10.87 0.14 1.06 6.11 1.92P 6.74R 2.41 Plymouth 10 12 +1 -4.05 19.05 -2.54 69.99 10.40 14.01 6.13 19.74 46.93 28.16P 0.51R 0.15 Macclesfield 10 12 -1 0.95 60.37 2.80 49.69 8.99 -17.60 0.02 0.18 1.40 0.35P 20.56R 8.93 Walsall 10 12 -4 -2.21 31.46 -4.88 66.20 9.90 3.54 2.27 9.76 31.17 15.75P 0.95R 0.28 Salford_City 10 11 -4 0.58 57.32 1.33 44.63 9.26 -28.68 0.00 0.05 0.52 0.12P 42.67R 23.58 Carlisle 10 11 -6 -1.99 33.53 -4.86 60.15 9.84 -6.35 0.54 3.00 13.67 5.40P 3.67R 1.30 Mansfield 10 10 -3 -6.09 8.15 -6.54 64.67 9.69 5.07 1.65 7.63 26.19 13.12P 1.00R 0.27 Oldham 10 10 -3 -3.87 19.23 -3.25 63.41 9.76 3.16 1.09 5.94 22.48 10.04P 1.74R 0.51 Leyton_Orient 10 9 -6 -1.54 37.70 -1.23 46.00 9.56 -24.72 0.00 0.09 0.81 0.19P 36.15R 19.51 Morecambe 10 6 -10 -4.50 13.69 -5.15 43.76 9.15 -27.31 0.00 0.03 0.34 0.08P 45.48R 26.33 Scunthorpe 10 5 -8 -9.73 1.20 -9.55 56.91 10.34 -4.24 0.36 2.05 9.63 4.23P 7.74R 3.16 Stevenage 10 4 -8 -8.73 1.54 -6.71 49.13 9.45 -13.63 0.02 0.18 1.49 0.49P 22.66R 10.58National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 September 2019, AFC_Fylde 3 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Bromley 13 29 +9 8.48 94.72 4.93 77.92 9.39 14.36 15.52 63.71 25.71P 0.14R 0.00 Halifax 13 25 +9 7.02 91.39 8.63 73.94 9.14 14.62 7.23 48.16 16.01P 0.50R 0.01 Woking 13 25 +9 6.63 88.90 8.22 70.22 9.88 9.01 4.84 33.19 10.69P 1.94R 0.05 Yeovil 13 25 +8 2.16 65.55 0.52 84.93 9.37 30.10 43.70 86.67 58.07P 0.02R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 13 23 +4 3.61 75.31 1.59 69.89 9.25 6.28 3.49 30.89 9.41P 1.62R 0.04 Dag_&_Red 13 22 +3 3.70 76.05 2.29 69.23 9.19 5.96 2.77 27.96 8.09P 1.92R 0.09 Barrow 13 19 +4 0.47 53.98 2.93 64.69 9.23 4.55 1.00 15.58 4.10P 5.40R 0.24 Barnet 12 19 +0 1.81 64.62 -1.18 68.73 9.42 4.75 2.75 26.99 8.45P 2.34R 0.09 Maidenhead 13 18 +5 1.32 60.87 6.72 58.30 9.01 -2.53 0.16 4.51 0.91P 17.16R 1.28 Solihull_Moors 12 17 +4 -2.10 33.43 -0.03 69.80 9.55 13.27 3.64 32.29 11.31P 1.85R 0.04 Notts_County 13 17 +3 -5.19 16.33 -3.72 74.88 9.62 22.23 9.88 54.05 25.47P 0.69R 0.02 Stockport 13 17 -5 3.17 73.94 1.42 52.46 9.50 -20.25 0.05 1.57 0.29P 41.82R 6.19 Torquay 13 16 -2 1.10 59.29 2.83 53.07 9.75 -15.57 0.08 2.10 0.44P 38.92R 6.26 Harrogate_Town 13 16 -2 -2.66 30.87 -3.23 62.91 9.23 0.23 0.62 10.97 2.91P 8.25R 0.43 AFC_Fylde 12 16 -3 -3.14 26.53 -7.08 68.63 9.64 5.99 2.81 27.71 9.57P 2.73R 0.12 Eastleigh 13 16 -3 -0.22 49.43 -0.38 60.20 9.20 -4.76 0.28 6.53 1.52P 13.46R 1.06 Hartlepool 13 16 -4 -0.82 44.52 -2.43 56.97 9.05 -10.87 0.16 3.30 0.75P 22.37R 1.92 Boreham_Wood 13 15 +4 -3.29 26.76 3.33 59.48 9.16 2.91 0.27 6.12 1.52P 14.01R 1.02 Sutton_United 13 15 +0 -2.64 30.88 0.27 59.22 9.19 -1.60 0.25 5.66 1.45P 15.17R 1.05 Aldershot 13 14 -6 -0.43 48.09 -1.17 51.92 8.74 -16.58 0.02 0.78 0.13P 41.84R 5.81 Wrexham 12 11 -4 -6.30 9.65 -5.30 60.31 9.30 0.21 0.35 7.13 2.08P 12.63R 1.05 Ebbsfleet_United 13 10 -9 -6.50 10.22 -6.81 56.13 9.31 -7.88 0.10 2.85 0.78P 25.35R 3.02 Chesterfield 13 9 -9 -8.62 4.55 -8.67 52.72 9.16 -11.54 0.04 1.27 0.33P 38.10R 5.55 Chorley 13 9 -15 -2.12 34.90 -3.68 37.35 8.74 -42.86 0.00 0.01 0.00 91.77R 64.67