Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 22 September 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 September 2019, Arsenal 3 2 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         6   18  +12       4.40    94.10     2.26    88.89     7.85    59.91    44.68    91.10    97.81    99.36    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          6   13  +18      -2.13    19.91     3.88    89.67     7.15    81.51    53.55    94.06    98.76    99.67    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         6   11   +3       2.87    81.19     3.21    57.43     8.88     5.49     0.04     0.54     5.09    13.66    40.16     0.67R    0.08  
Arsenal           6   11   +1       1.03    62.31    -1.70    65.62     9.11    18.03     0.40     3.33    23.33    45.25    75.34     0.09R    0.00  
West_Ham          6   11   +1       3.03    82.71     1.72    51.48     8.80    -6.61     0.00     0.10     1.37     4.48    17.74     3.15R    0.40  
Bournemouth       6   10   +1       2.67    79.54     3.11    49.07     8.95   -10.59     0.01     0.05     0.86     2.81    12.24     6.32R    1.09  
Tottenham         6    8   +4      -2.54    20.43     0.41    69.75     8.69    32.96     1.08     7.60    42.89    66.08    88.80     0.01R    0.00  
Man_Utd           6    8   +2      -2.38    24.55    -1.18    61.48     8.71    16.45     0.08     1.20    11.40    26.51    60.68     0.17R    0.02  
Burnley           6    8   +1       0.95    63.21     3.06    44.47     8.50   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.72     4.65    13.20R    2.72  
Sheff_Utd         6    8   +1       1.20    65.98     3.37    42.52     8.86   -16.20     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.65     3.40    20.51R    5.29  
Chelsea           6    8   -1      -1.91    28.43    -3.65    63.65     8.82    17.25     0.17     1.98    17.01    36.04    69.23     0.12R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace    6    8   -3       0.48    57.23    -1.72    46.57     8.61   -13.00     0.00     0.01     0.32     1.30     6.93     9.41R    1.72  
Southampton       6    7   -3       0.40    56.54    -0.38    42.09     8.37   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.35     2.55    20.83R    5.01  
Everton           6    7   -4      -2.35    24.77    -5.64    46.95     8.66   -11.90     0.00     0.02     0.38     1.53     7.69     8.53R    1.58  
Brighton          6    6   -3      -0.36    46.42     0.66    37.26     8.03   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.63    40.25R   12.88  
Norwich           6    6   -5       1.36    68.78     3.06    39.68     9.26   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.37     2.25    33.12R   11.43  
Newcastle         6    5   -4      -2.02    26.54    -1.69    43.73     8.53   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.58     3.82    15.01R    3.23  
Aston_Villa       6    4   -3      -1.76    30.58     1.67    35.53     8.72   -26.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.62    49.38R   20.97  
Wolverhampton     6    4   -4      -2.99    18.54    -2.16    42.66     8.63   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.46     3.05    19.14R    4.85  
Watford           6    2  -14      -3.69    10.50    -8.27    33.55     8.38   -37.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.30    60.10R   28.72  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 September 2019, West_Brom 4 2 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     8   17   +9       3.96    84.12     5.97    80.41    10.20    25.79    22.75    39.86    76.82    50.44P    0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          8   17   +7       4.84    89.24     5.21    77.54    10.20    19.43    14.71    28.22    67.47    38.62P    0.14R    0.01  
Preston          8   16   +7       3.85    83.25     5.27    73.09    10.40    14.43     7.89    16.74    50.36    24.84P    0.50R    0.06  
West_Brom        8   16   +5       1.90    67.73     0.10    80.79    10.52    24.45    25.21    41.94    76.93    52.33P    0.08R    0.00  
QPR              8   16   +2       5.59    92.09     2.91    61.55    10.17    -8.65     0.71     2.10    13.17     4.08P    6.28R    0.95  
Nott'm_Forest    8   15   +5       4.09    85.14     5.05    70.86    10.10    10.75     4.54    10.79    40.89    17.65P    0.69R    0.08  
Bristol_City     8   15   +4       3.50    81.11     3.16    71.79    10.32    11.01     5.85    13.45    45.01    20.68P    0.64R    0.07  
Charlton         8   14   +3       3.27    79.33     3.19    61.29    10.47    -3.69     0.89     2.30    13.34     4.49P    6.85R    1.21  
Sheff_Wed        8   13   +4       0.78    57.96     2.11    65.50    10.06     4.77     1.53     4.34    23.12     8.72P    2.54R    0.32  
Blackburn        8   13   +1       2.46    73.76     1.75    64.35    10.18    -0.05     1.27     3.52    19.63     6.86P    3.55R    0.54  
Birmingham       8   13   -2       3.14    79.26    -0.52    60.51     9.99    -8.25     0.50     1.46    10.57     3.07P    7.46R    1.28  
Fulham           8   12   +5      -0.62    43.88     2.55    71.26    10.91    15.72     6.34    13.94    44.40    22.43P    1.02R    0.11  
Cardiff          8   12   -1       0.04    50.75    -2.53    66.69    10.65     3.01     2.52     6.26    27.47    11.75P    2.56R    0.37  
Hull             8    9   +0      -2.21    29.43    -0.26    60.01    10.39    -2.10     0.51     1.65    11.23     3.73P    8.59R    1.67  
Middlesbrough    8    9   -1      -3.17    20.73    -2.79    64.76     9.77     4.91     1.19     3.27    20.30     7.91P    2.58R    0.33  
Millwall         8    9   -5       0.14    52.90    -1.99    53.73     9.70   -14.92     0.06     0.22     2.78     0.66P   21.28R    5.15  
Brentford        8    8   -1      -3.50    18.64    -1.84    64.30    10.30     5.30     1.37     3.78    20.68     8.10P    3.65R    0.57  
Derby            8    8   -3      -3.35    20.57    -3.59    65.90    10.33     5.67     1.83     5.03    24.72    10.46P    2.74R    0.37  
Wigan            8    8   -5      -1.62    34.92    -3.11    54.19     9.84   -13.43     0.09     0.31     3.38     0.87P   20.14R    4.75  
Reading          8    7   -2      -2.13    29.83     0.76    50.59     9.79   -14.44     0.03     0.13     1.54     0.39P   31.76R    8.91  
Luton            8    7   -4      -2.80    25.10    -2.01    52.60    10.93   -15.07     0.16     0.55     3.84     1.25P   27.50R    8.09  
Barnsley         8    5   -8      -4.15    14.00    -5.49    48.47    10.22   -20.33     0.01     0.09     1.20     0.34P   40.78R   14.48  
Stoke            8    2  -10      -7.36     1.69    -7.81    48.12     9.82   -18.14     0.02     0.04     0.88     0.25P   41.57R   14.11  
Huddersfield     8    1  -10      -7.38     1.21    -6.11    41.63    10.09   -26.18     0.01     0.02     0.25     0.08P   67.03R   36.56  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 September 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 1 3 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich               9   21  +12       5.52    90.61     7.36    83.95     9.82    34.93    40.97    60.77    90.22    69.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry              9   19   +6       5.44    90.61     4.23    68.49     9.54     8.30     3.16     8.45    39.09    14.58P    0.64R    0.00  
Wycombe              10   19   +5       4.29    83.41     3.52    61.18     9.25    -2.35     0.60     1.91    14.77     4.06P    3.52R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town        9   17   +4       2.60    73.14     0.95    68.60     9.63     9.36     3.32     8.87    40.11    15.64P    0.64R    0.00  
Sunderland            9   16   +3       0.13    50.61    -2.52    79.22     9.54    27.26    20.76    40.71    80.85    53.67P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool            10   16   +2       1.90    66.72     1.39    64.62     9.17     5.06     1.12     3.60    24.55     7.99P    1.46R    0.02  
Doncaster             8   15   +4       2.02    68.93     0.99    72.08     9.93    15.81     6.73    16.28    54.41    25.78P    0.30R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       10   15   +1       0.62    55.95    -0.08    60.64     9.24    -0.65     0.47     1.62    13.54     3.94P    3.92R    0.04  
Peterborough          9   14  +10      -0.80    42.76     6.11    74.18     9.69    29.72     9.71    22.48    64.97    34.74P    0.15R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         10   13   -1       0.34    54.06     0.77    54.06     9.51   -10.21     0.10     0.37     4.71     1.09P   15.21R    0.46  
Shrewsbury            9   13   -1       0.72    57.32    -1.01    60.93     9.46    -0.99     0.57     1.77    14.83     4.38P    3.98R    0.05  
Oxford_Utd           10   12   +4      -2.03    32.69     3.68    62.58     9.57     9.77     0.77     2.70    20.14     6.59P    2.95R    0.02  
Rotherham             8   12   +4      -1.13    38.30     0.57    69.39    10.65    16.33     5.40    12.85    45.05    21.41P    1.07R    0.01  
Burton_Albion         9   12   +2      -0.98    41.57     1.08    67.47     9.62    13.38     2.59     7.36    36.50    14.59P    1.00R    0.01  
MK_Dons               9   12   -2       0.30    53.80    -0.99    52.71     9.88   -14.37     0.07     0.30     3.84     1.00P   20.34R    0.68  
Gillingham            9   10   +4      -2.60    27.17     3.62    58.17     9.77     3.55     0.34     1.10    10.68     3.14P    7.60R    0.13  
Rochdale              9   10   -4       0.18    53.31     0.35    50.99     9.41   -16.31     0.04     0.13     2.16     0.46P   24.76R    0.93  
Tranmere              9    9   -2      -0.55    45.96     3.02    45.67     9.51   -21.18     0.01     0.03     0.67     0.13P   45.87R    2.75  
Accrington_Stanley    9    7   -6      -3.19    22.17    -2.58    46.85     9.45   -20.11     0.00     0.04     0.86     0.18P   40.81R    2.35  
Portsmouth            7    6   -1      -4.86     8.86    -2.95    67.40    10.34    15.63     3.27     8.63    37.68    17.26P    1.47R    0.02  
Southend              9    4  -13      -5.99     6.56    -9.00    43.15     9.41   -29.49     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.05P   57.55R    5.61  
AFC_Wimbledon        10    3   -9      -7.37     2.48    -3.80    40.10     8.85   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   68.83R    7.70  
Bolton                8   -9  -22      -3.54    15.56   -14.74    23.74     9.31   -49.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.88R   79.20  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 September 2019, Bradford 3 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter           10   22   +8       5.28    88.48     3.60    79.41     9.64    19.93    23.11    51.44    80.17    59.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe            10   21   +5       6.44    92.62     3.69    72.54     9.89     8.25     7.98    25.16    55.09    31.40P    0.16R    0.05  
Cheltenham       10   20  +10       5.19    87.46     8.40    70.91     9.78    12.40     6.09    20.70    49.80    26.90P    0.21R    0.05  
Swindon          10   20   +7       4.15    82.15     3.79    75.15     9.91    15.72    12.39    34.64    65.95    42.43P    0.05R    0.02  
Forest_Green     10   18   +2       3.81    80.81     1.11    70.75     9.59     7.38     5.22    18.83    48.18    25.96P    0.20R    0.04  
Bradford         10   17   +5       0.44    53.61     0.83    78.14    10.07    22.55    20.79    47.35    76.28    56.08P    0.05R    0.00  
Newport_County   10   17   +3       3.68    80.10     3.26    67.24     9.60     4.90     2.55    11.22    34.52    16.36P    0.52R    0.14  
Crawley_Town     10   16   +3       2.96    74.92     4.03    61.10     9.63    -3.18     0.71     3.61    15.45     5.79P    2.58R    0.76  
Grimsby          10   15   +4       1.90    67.40     4.70    60.67     9.48    -0.79     0.57     3.22    14.50     5.39P    2.55R    0.77  
Colchester       10   15   +3       0.01    50.28     1.07    70.16     9.66    11.76     4.99    18.23    46.77    25.82P    0.23R    0.06  
Cambridge_Utd    10   14   +3       2.21    70.16     5.49    60.58     9.52    -0.30     0.47     3.07    14.39     5.32P    2.99R    1.01  
Northampton      10   14   +2      -0.22    48.40     1.21    67.22     9.86     7.93     2.86    11.84    35.31    17.67P    0.65R    0.18  
Port_Vale        10   13   -3       1.42    63.95    -0.28    56.20     9.32   -11.07     0.15     1.01     6.05     2.01P    7.04R    2.49  
Plymouth         10   12   +1      -4.00    19.17    -2.47    69.84    10.35    13.84     5.84    19.47    46.65    27.59P    0.54R    0.15  
Macclesfield     10   12   -1       0.99    60.58     2.87    49.44     9.05   -18.02     0.01     0.14     1.32     0.32P   21.62R    9.55  
Walsall          10   12   -4      -2.24    31.42    -4.93    66.34     9.91     3.71     2.39    10.07    31.65    16.20P    0.89R    0.27  
Salford_City     10   11   -4       0.49    56.37     1.14    44.92     9.37   -28.16     0.01     0.07     0.61     0.16P   41.24R   22.95  
Carlisle         10   11   -6      -1.97    33.88    -4.81    60.07     9.79    -6.55     0.47     2.97    13.50     5.24P    3.66R    1.23  
Mansfield        10   10   -3      -6.14     7.95    -6.61    64.97     9.69     5.45     1.70     7.97    27.28    13.76P    1.06R    0.30  
Oldham           10   10   -3      -3.94    18.87    -3.38    63.84     9.91     3.75     1.32     6.56    24.08    11.18P    1.71R    0.53  
Leyton_Orient    10    9   -6      -1.56    37.45    -1.24    46.02     9.56   -24.68     0.01     0.11     0.80     0.22P   36.57R   19.71  
Morecambe        10    6  -10      -4.55    13.68    -5.19    43.97     9.15   -27.07     0.00     0.03     0.34     0.09P   44.67R   25.59  
Scunthorpe       10    5   -8      -9.73     1.23    -9.55    57.06    10.35    -4.05     0.31     2.08     9.91     4.41P    7.75R    3.27  
Stevenage        10    4   -8      -8.72     1.47    -6.73    49.01     9.46   -13.71     0.01     0.21     1.41     0.52P   23.05R   10.86  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 September 2019, AFC_Fylde 3 1 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Bromley            12   26   +8       7.12    92.24     4.36    76.21     9.58    13.26    13.58    58.08    23.15P    0.36R    0.01  
Halifax            12   25  +10       8.29    95.33     9.50    75.84     9.33    16.35    12.15    57.16    21.83P    0.32R    0.00  
Woking             12   25  +10       7.60    92.90     8.63    71.57    10.18     9.91     7.19    39.88    13.94P    1.71R    0.08  
Yeovil             12   22   +6       1.29    59.66    -0.36    82.81     9.69    27.21    36.99    81.85    51.70P    0.06R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic     12   20   +3       2.29    67.67     1.09    67.89     9.56     4.75     3.09    25.58     7.96P    3.19R    0.16  
Barnet             11   19   +3       2.72    72.01     1.15    72.04     9.58    10.57     6.33    41.44    14.79P    1.14R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red          12   19   +1       2.50    69.35     0.88    66.40     9.42     2.17     1.88    20.53     5.86P    4.28R    0.26  
Maidenhead         12   18   +6       2.43    69.45     7.32    60.27     9.27    -0.57     0.45     7.71     1.77P   13.12R    0.99  
Stockport          12   17   -3       3.70    77.69     2.05    54.16     9.84   -17.81     0.15     2.75     0.63P   35.72R    5.76  
Barrow             12   16   +2      -0.53    46.24     1.85    62.84     9.45     2.25     0.89    12.62     3.42P    8.60R    0.67  
Torquay            12   16   -1       2.09    67.15     3.10    55.26     9.92   -12.76     0.23     3.48     0.82P   30.98R    4.95  
Boreham_Wood       12   15   +5      -2.34    32.08     3.71    60.92     9.31     4.03     0.53     9.00     2.59P   11.52R    0.89  
Sutton_United      12   15   +2      -1.58    38.06     1.77    61.88     9.49     2.27     0.69    10.77     2.93P   10.46R    0.73  
Hartlepool         12   15   -4      -0.43    47.49    -2.35    57.46     9.36   -10.73     0.22     4.17     1.03P   22.33R    2.45  
Solihull_Moors     11   14   +2      -2.91    27.22    -0.76    67.89     9.72    10.81     3.16    27.06     9.66P    3.37R    0.19  
Notts_County       12   14   +2      -6.31    10.59    -3.93    72.87     9.91    20.57     8.49    46.93    22.14P    1.22R    0.06  
Aldershot          12   14   -4       0.30    53.71    -0.18    53.36     8.93   -14.28     0.03     1.40     0.30P   36.48R    5.54  
Harrogate_Town     12   13   -3      -4.23    20.28    -4.08    60.42     9.62    -2.15     0.55     8.46     2.34P   14.11R    1.24  
AFC_Fylde          11   13   -4      -4.42    17.71    -7.54    66.49     9.82     4.17     2.35    22.34     7.81P    4.89R    0.32  
Eastleigh          12   13   -4      -1.61    38.01    -1.12    57.91     9.42    -6.63     0.23     4.80     1.09P   20.46R    2.40  
Wrexham            11   11   -3      -5.07    13.78    -4.53    61.86     9.55     1.48     0.74    10.71     3.42P   10.55R    1.02  
Chorley            12    9  -13      -1.42    40.11    -2.91    39.13     9.11   -39.66     0.00     0.04     0.01P   88.10R   58.39  
Chesterfield       12    8   -9      -8.19     4.52    -8.58    53.21     9.45   -11.37     0.05     1.79     0.47P   37.16R    6.42  
Ebbsfleet_United   12    7  -12      -7.65     5.18    -9.08    52.52     9.41   -13.85     0.03     1.44     0.35P   39.86R    7.46