Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 20 September 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 September 2019, Southampton 1 3 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 5 15 +11 3.12 88.72 1.96 87.63 8.15 59.08 47.47 85.73 95.63 98.57 99.86 0.00 0.00 Man_City 5 10 +10 -2.04 20.61 0.29 87.32 7.62 69.61 47.19 87.07 96.17 98.91 99.91 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 6 10 +1 2.57 78.78 2.87 48.65 8.96 -11.10 0.01 0.03 0.56 2.17 10.76 6.77R 1.20 Tottenham 5 8 +5 -1.03 34.83 1.54 72.26 8.94 35.77 3.36 14.83 49.33 71.18 91.84 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 5 8 +4 -1.00 37.07 0.81 64.68 9.10 21.50 0.56 3.62 17.04 36.43 72.34 0.10R 0.01 Leicester 5 8 +2 1.07 64.81 1.95 54.51 9.14 2.66 0.03 0.33 2.28 7.31 27.37 1.70R 0.22 Chelsea 5 8 +0 -0.94 37.53 -3.34 64.74 9.22 17.75 0.64 3.85 17.35 36.51 71.51 0.11R 0.01 Arsenal 5 8 +0 0.36 55.04 -1.03 65.47 9.34 19.61 0.73 4.30 19.29 40.00 73.62 0.10R 0.01 West_Ham 5 8 -1 1.38 68.58 -0.33 48.27 8.99 -11.09 0.00 0.05 0.58 1.91 10.28 7.04R 1.26 Everton 5 7 -2 -0.69 41.69 -3.22 49.96 9.06 -7.12 0.00 0.10 0.82 2.91 13.58 4.87R 0.87 Southampton 6 7 -3 0.31 55.36 -0.47 42.14 8.53 -19.09 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.27 2.51 20.68R 5.29 Crystal_Palace 5 7 -3 0.98 64.56 -1.56 47.75 8.97 -11.43 0.00 0.05 0.41 1.50 8.92 7.89R 1.56 Norwich 5 6 -3 2.21 79.31 3.94 41.49 9.55 -23.59 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.53 3.43 26.57R 8.67 Burnley 5 5 -1 -0.18 50.32 1.91 42.07 8.77 -15.53 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.42 2.80 20.65R 5.66 Sheff_Utd 5 5 -1 -0.50 45.95 1.30 38.23 9.01 -22.46 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.17 1.34 36.90R 13.66 Brighton 5 5 -3 -0.37 47.03 0.01 37.00 8.25 -24.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.62 41.19R 14.20 Aston_Villa 5 4 -2 -1.11 37.76 1.07 35.82 8.98 -26.82 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.76 47.55R 21.06 Newcastle 5 4 -4 -1.13 36.47 -0.97 44.68 8.82 -11.39 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.67 4.83 13.28R 3.03 Wolverhampton 5 3 -4 -2.72 17.82 -2.30 42.46 8.91 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.38 3.03 19.99R 5.53 Watford 5 2 -6 -3.91 8.99 -4.41 36.45 8.72 -26.86 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.68 44.60R 17.76Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 September 2019, Barnsley 0 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 7 16 +9 4.51 88.88 6.23 81.47 10.47 26.88 26.12 43.96 78.92 54.01P 0.05R 0.00 Swansea 7 16 +7 5.04 91.44 4.96 77.70 10.57 19.20 15.32 29.07 66.92 38.65P 0.17R 0.02 Charlton 7 14 +5 4.24 87.28 4.69 64.12 10.89 0.28 1.78 4.37 20.37 7.63P 4.78R 0.84 Bristol_City 7 14 +4 3.86 85.42 3.14 72.46 10.62 11.31 6.86 14.86 47.30 22.59P 0.74R 0.08 Preston 7 13 +6 2.35 73.53 4.45 70.91 10.70 12.52 5.52 12.40 42.13 19.46P 1.04R 0.14 West_Brom 7 13 +3 1.27 63.01 -0.27 79.34 10.72 22.71 20.39 35.78 72.26 46.79P 0.13R 0.02 QPR 7 13 +1 4.04 86.58 2.07 58.90 10.36 -11.31 0.43 1.22 9.01 2.48P 11.05R 2.20 Birmingham 7 13 -1 4.32 88.28 0.31 62.67 10.32 -6.38 0.88 2.53 15.40 5.04P 5.64R 0.90 Nott'm_Forest 7 12 +4 2.90 78.78 4.71 69.76 10.48 10.44 3.91 9.55 37.57 16.09P 1.34R 0.14 Sheff_Wed 7 12 +4 1.28 63.37 2.28 66.11 10.46 5.04 2.15 5.43 25.61 9.99P 2.61R 0.34 Fulham 7 11 +5 -0.28 47.18 2.48 71.70 11.39 15.87 7.46 15.64 45.84 24.01P 1.24R 0.18 Blackburn 7 10 +0 0.96 61.09 0.96 62.15 10.45 -2.05 0.83 2.46 15.07 5.03P 6.23R 1.12 Middlesbrough 7 9 +0 -2.00 29.15 -2.01 66.78 10.02 6.79 1.92 5.27 26.57 11.12P 1.94R 0.25 Cardiff 7 9 -2 -1.37 36.28 -3.16 64.57 11.04 1.21 1.90 4.82 22.30 9.34P 4.65R 0.77 Millwall 7 9 -4 1.37 66.56 -1.18 55.86 10.03 -12.93 0.13 0.44 4.71 1.23P 17.05R 4.13 Luton 7 7 -1 -1.90 31.54 0.23 56.99 11.32 -7.48 0.49 1.41 8.63 2.99P 16.59R 4.44 Reading 7 7 -1 -0.95 40.70 1.46 52.59 10.13 -12.75 0.05 0.19 2.80 0.66P 26.01R 7.22 Brentford 7 7 -1 -2.76 22.63 -1.30 65.20 10.48 5.95 1.67 4.44 23.11 9.33P 3.50R 0.59 Derby 7 7 -3 -3.24 19.46 -3.96 65.45 10.52 4.45 1.77 4.84 23.65 9.93P 3.41R 0.54 Hull 7 6 -3 -3.52 17.22 -2.76 56.29 10.71 -8.62 0.28 0.90 6.63 2.15P 17.13R 4.27 Wigan 7 5 -7 -2.96 20.74 -4.62 51.17 10.12 -17.70 0.05 0.16 1.98 0.55P 31.43R 9.54 Barnsley 7 5 -7 -3.26 18.92 -5.11 50.05 10.49 -19.37 0.04 0.18 1.96 0.58P 36.32R 12.58 Huddersfield 7 1 -8 -6.78 1.48 -5.43 42.73 10.22 -24.57 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.06P 63.47R 33.49 Stoke 7 1 -10 -7.32 1.08 -8.18 47.87 10.11 -19.49 0.02 0.08 0.96 0.28P 43.48R 16.21League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 September 2019, Bolton 0 0 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Coventry 9 19 +6 5.32 90.05 4.03 68.32 9.44 7.99 2.72 7.23 36.87 13.18P 0.61R 0.00 Ipswich 8 18 +11 4.17 85.35 6.74 82.10 10.17 33.97 30.94 50.63 85.60 60.95P 0.02R 0.00 Wycombe 9 16 +4 2.82 74.96 2.76 58.76 9.46 -5.16 0.34 1.06 9.98 2.52P 6.36R 0.05 Sunderland 8 15 +3 1.01 59.36 -1.80 81.06 9.71 30.03 25.73 46.01 84.09 58.05P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 9 15 +2 2.19 70.18 1.30 65.04 9.48 5.04 1.42 3.94 25.04 8.40P 1.44R 0.02 Peterborough 8 14 +12 0.09 50.54 7.21 76.02 9.96 32.87 13.16 27.55 69.47 39.26P 0.12R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 8 14 +3 1.65 66.39 1.01 67.33 9.90 8.94 2.62 6.96 34.31 13.16P 1.07R 0.01 Lincoln_City 9 13 +5 0.50 55.23 4.85 60.27 10.02 3.56 0.64 1.89 14.52 4.49P 5.25R 0.08 Burton_Albion 8 12 +3 0.37 54.13 2.05 69.90 9.78 16.06 4.09 10.23 44.59 19.18P 0.52R 0.00 Doncaster 7 12 +2 0.84 58.50 -0.36 69.61 10.24 12.61 4.38 10.56 43.51 18.54P 0.82R 0.01 MK_Dons 8 12 -1 1.81 68.04 0.34 55.78 10.21 -11.11 0.19 0.70 6.99 1.79P 13.35R 0.35 Bristol_Rovers 9 12 -1 -0.65 44.41 -1.56 57.64 9.49 -4.86 0.23 0.78 7.96 2.28P 7.87R 0.10 Shrewsbury 8 12 -1 0.79 58.46 -1.43 60.46 9.73 -2.57 0.45 1.55 13.49 3.83P 4.80R 0.04 Rotherham 7 11 +4 -0.38 46.12 1.05 71.54 10.84 19.37 7.24 16.24 51.99 25.49P 0.70R 0.00 Gillingham 8 10 +5 -1.70 33.71 3.91 59.75 10.01 4.70 0.57 1.65 13.35 4.09P 5.92R 0.05 Rochdale 8 10 -3 1.04 61.74 0.58 52.08 9.66 -16.23 0.04 0.21 2.91 0.62P 21.77R 0.69 Oxford_Utd 9 9 -2 -2.78 25.17 -0.88 57.14 9.72 -2.62 0.20 0.69 8.02 2.24P 9.40R 0.12 Portsmouth 6 6 +0 -3.48 14.59 -1.99 69.78 10.51 18.62 5.04 12.05 45.55 21.55P 0.92R 0.01 Tranmere 8 6 -3 -2.32 27.38 1.93 42.82 9.73 -24.66 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.07P 57.50R 4.34 Accrington_Stanley 8 6 -6 -2.72 24.50 -2.33 47.47 9.55 -20.19 0.01 0.05 1.02 0.21P 37.91R 1.65 AFC_Wimbledon 9 3 -7 -6.28 4.06 -2.15 42.57 9.14 -19.98 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.05P 57.99R 4.23 Southend 8 1 -14 -7.64 1.19 -9.85 40.46 9.60 -33.21 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.04P 67.44R 7.61 Bolton 7 -10 -22 -3.71 12.52 -15.40 22.49 9.46 -53.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.20R 80.65 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 September 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 9 21 +8 5.73 91.89 3.74 79.89 9.86 20.07 25.87 54.42 81.88 61.70P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 9 18 +2 5.77 91.11 2.14 70.01 10.14 3.92 5.58 18.89 45.82 24.58P 0.51R 0.13 Cheltenham 9 17 +8 3.61 79.92 6.45 67.56 9.94 7.69 3.36 13.48 37.87 18.67P 0.64R 0.16 Swindon 9 17 +6 2.78 74.39 3.20 73.28 10.10 14.32 9.67 29.66 59.89 37.16P 0.18R 0.04 Forest_Green 9 17 +2 4.32 85.16 1.35 71.56 9.88 7.97 6.80 22.60 52.51 29.42P 0.28R 0.09 Newport_County 9 16 +3 3.82 82.33 3.01 67.94 9.77 5.33 3.38 13.21 38.26 18.78P 0.62R 0.15 Crawley_Town 9 15 +3 3.16 77.62 3.79 60.85 9.74 -4.01 0.75 3.88 16.01 6.13P 3.39R 1.13 Cambridge_Utd 9 14 +4 3.35 79.73 6.18 62.08 9.75 0.77 0.97 4.79 19.13 7.60P 2.63R 0.86 Bradford 9 14 +3 -0.54 45.19 -0.22 75.65 10.50 19.19 15.77 38.79 68.16 47.78P 0.10R 0.02 Northampton 9 13 +2 0.39 54.24 1.56 68.07 10.14 8.57 3.88 14.94 39.91 21.11P 0.80R 0.23 Grimsby 9 12 +3 0.66 57.27 4.25 58.70 9.62 -2.34 0.44 2.47 11.20 4.25P 5.02R 1.89 Plymouth 9 12 +3 -2.88 25.06 -0.82 73.83 10.59 19.77 12.51 33.66 62.63 42.55P 0.20R 0.04 Colchester 9 12 +2 -0.98 41.24 0.97 68.92 9.81 11.36 4.18 16.22 43.56 23.76P 0.52R 0.17 Macclesfield 9 12 +0 2.03 70.36 3.43 50.83 9.24 -17.12 0.03 0.28 2.21 0.57P 20.21R 9.03 Port_Vale 9 12 -3 1.74 67.88 -0.39 56.22 9.43 -11.35 0.16 1.15 6.70 2.09P 8.61R 3.38 Salford_City 9 11 -1 0.96 60.46 2.61 47.25 9.74 -23.05 0.01 0.16 1.42 0.36P 34.62R 18.61 Carlisle 9 11 -4 -1.29 38.91 -3.89 62.06 9.94 -3.56 0.99 5.02 19.41 8.23P 3.01R 1.06 Mansfield 9 9 -3 -5.57 9.02 -6.28 65.70 9.88 5.98 2.35 9.89 31.28 16.31P 1.21R 0.35 Leyton_Orient 9 9 -5 -0.80 43.90 -1.20 46.88 9.75 -24.34 0.01 0.13 1.25 0.33P 36.25R 20.21 Walsall 9 9 -5 -3.49 20.59 -5.39 64.14 10.22 1.89 1.72 7.90 25.96 13.08P 2.11R 0.72 Oldham 9 7 -5 -4.83 12.25 -4.26 61.70 10.01 1.03 0.89 4.78 18.87 8.40P 3.33R 1.24 Morecambe 9 6 -8 -3.82 17.08 -4.26 45.33 9.39 -24.89 0.00 0.07 0.57 0.16P 42.11R 24.13 Scunthorpe 9 5 -7 -8.66 1.92 -8.95 58.55 10.62 -2.84 0.64 3.37 13.60 6.37P 7.21R 3.14 Stevenage 9 3 -8 -8.58 1.25 -7.00 49.02 9.74 -14.38 0.03 0.23 1.88 0.61P 26.42R 13.20National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 September 2019, Barnet 2 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Woking 11 24 +10 8.24 95.01 9.02 72.97 10.55 11.46 10.14 45.15 17.28P 1.49R 0.09 Bromley 11 23 +7 5.66 87.92 3.59 73.43 9.95 10.37 9.78 46.60 17.50P 0.96R 0.02 Halifax 11 22 +8 7.11 93.51 8.11 72.94 9.53 12.66 7.75 44.56 15.51P 0.84R 0.03 Yeovil 11 19 +5 0.03 49.63 -0.78 81.05 10.13 26.16 30.60 76.10 45.62P 0.19R 0.01 Barnet 10 19 +5 3.87 80.97 2.85 74.30 9.82 13.95 10.36 50.63 20.42P 0.72R 0.03 Dag_&_Red 11 18 +1 2.91 73.11 0.99 67.13 9.80 2.64 2.60 23.66 7.03P 4.40R 0.28 Maidenhead 11 17 +6 2.85 73.34 7.39 60.69 9.56 -0.62 0.56 8.86 2.10P 13.42R 1.02 Dover_Athletic 11 17 +1 1.15 59.80 -0.19 65.20 9.82 1.10 1.82 18.41 5.39P 6.29R 0.41 Stockport 11 17 +1 3.88 79.24 4.13 58.30 10.45 -9.24 0.60 7.24 1.86P 22.69R 2.79 Torquay 11 15 -1 2.41 69.86 3.10 55.16 10.41 -14.01 0.29 4.25 1.06P 32.67R 5.62 Hartlepool 11 15 -2 0.49 54.67 -1.10 59.17 9.59 -8.19 0.37 6.46 1.56P 17.91R 1.68 Solihull_Moors 10 14 +3 -1.93 33.53 -0.36 69.50 10.10 12.21 4.97 33.15 12.28P 2.86R 0.17 Notts_County 11 14 +3 -5.01 14.84 -3.05 75.75 10.14 23.96 14.64 58.39 29.84P 0.75R 0.03 Barrow 11 13 -1 -1.45 38.69 -0.07 59.73 9.64 -2.95 0.48 7.46 1.93P 15.78R 1.51 Eastleigh 11 13 -2 -0.79 44.22 0.02 59.71 9.62 -3.90 0.40 7.09 1.75P 16.10R 1.71 Boreham_Wood 11 12 +1 -2.95 27.20 1.16 57.38 9.48 -2.77 0.23 4.77 1.22P 21.52R 2.37 Sutton_United 11 12 -2 -2.40 30.98 -1.02 57.78 9.72 -5.35 0.23 5.35 1.30P 21.36R 2.32 Harrogate_Town 11 12 -3 -3.93 20.67 -4.15 61.15 9.80 -1.60 0.70 9.94 2.83P 13.12R 1.19 Wrexham 10 11 -2 -3.77 20.18 -3.61 64.29 9.86 3.99 1.52 16.60 5.54P 7.47R 0.65 Aldershot 11 11 -5 -1.41 39.23 -1.22 50.86 9.22 -16.59 0.02 0.92 0.17P 47.86R 9.09 AFC_Fylde 10 10 -6 -5.44 11.53 -8.64 64.32 10.08 1.34 1.61 17.14 5.80P 8.08R 0.61 Chesterfield 11 8 -5 -7.65 4.91 -5.83 56.55 9.67 -4.27 0.21 4.14 1.21P 24.89R 3.31 Chorley 11 8 -13 -1.41 40.08 -3.43 38.56 9.42 -41.41 0.00 0.05 0.00P 88.57R 60.47 Ebbsfleet_United 11 7 -9 -6.82 6.81 -6.93 55.15 9.75 -8.93 0.11 3.08 0.81P 30.07R 4.59