Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 17 September 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 September 2019, Aston_Villa 0 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 5 15 +11 3.17 88.89 1.97 87.70 8.13 59.41 48.68 86.35 95.84 98.68 99.89 0.00 0.00
Man_City 5 10 +10 -2.03 20.61 0.32 87.14 7.59 69.37 46.24 86.93 96.27 98.91 99.91 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 5 8 +5 -1.04 34.77 1.53 72.02 8.90 35.36 3.14 14.34 48.67 70.95 91.74 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 5 8 +4 -0.96 37.66 0.87 64.69 9.00 21.55 0.59 3.74 17.07 36.65 72.74 0.07R 0.01
Leicester 5 8 +2 1.06 64.77 1.95 54.29 9.13 2.36 0.03 0.28 2.21 7.02 26.59 1.84R 0.27
Chelsea 5 8 +0 -0.91 37.77 -3.27 64.77 9.16 17.88 0.65 3.68 17.60 36.77 72.34 0.11R 0.02
Arsenal 5 8 +0 0.38 55.42 -0.98 65.34 9.42 19.50 0.67 4.43 19.49 39.86 73.32 0.10R 0.01
West_Ham 5 8 -1 1.41 68.70 -0.30 48.29 9.06 -11.12 0.00 0.06 0.58 2.07 10.45 7.12R 1.36
Bournemouth 5 7 -1 1.03 65.11 1.00 45.67 9.13 -15.48 0.00 0.02 0.32 1.20 6.64 12.61R 2.80
Southampton 5 7 -1 1.63 72.26 1.38 44.71 8.87 -14.95 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.78 4.92 13.94R 3.28
Everton 5 7 -2 -0.75 41.27 -3.33 50.06 9.02 -6.92 0.00 0.09 0.85 2.96 14.07 4.87R 0.80
Crystal_Palace 5 7 -3 1.01 65.00 -1.50 47.65 9.00 -11.66 0.00 0.03 0.39 1.54 9.02 8.36R 1.64
Norwich 5 6 -3 2.18 78.97 3.91 41.74 9.65 -23.20 0.00 0.02 0.16 0.67 3.77 25.88R 8.51
Burnley 5 5 -1 -0.16 50.64 1.91 42.35 8.77 -15.08 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.38 2.97 20.17R 5.39
Sheff_Utd 5 5 -1 -0.50 45.89 1.27 38.20 8.95 -22.55 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14 1.34 37.29R 13.64
Brighton 5 5 -3 -0.34 47.40 0.07 36.94 8.22 -24.68 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.57 41.66R 14.67
Aston_Villa 5 4 -2 -1.14 37.16 1.03 35.54 8.88 -27.31 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.67 49.02R 21.72
Newcastle 5 4 -4 -1.15 36.25 -1.00 44.92 8.79 -10.95 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.76 5.21 12.94R 2.89
Wolverhampton 5 3 -4 -2.77 17.26 -2.35 42.74 8.88 -14.59 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.46 3.18 19.36R 5.22
Watford 5 2 -6 -3.95 8.78 -4.48 36.45 8.68 -26.93 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.64 44.66R 17.76
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 September 2019, Barnsley 0 2 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Leeds_United 7 16 +9 4.49 88.69 6.21 81.53 10.39 27.00 26.22 43.87 79.05 53.84P 0.03R 0.00
Swansea 7 16 +7 5.00 91.33 4.88 77.95 10.47 19.60 15.61 29.76 67.70 39.57P 0.15R 0.02
Charlton 7 14 +5 4.22 86.90 4.67 64.41 10.87 0.65 1.76 4.49 21.31 7.93P 4.56R 0.78
Bristol_City 7 14 +4 3.86 84.91 3.15 72.20 10.63 10.95 6.56 14.50 46.55 21.89P 0.74R 0.08
Preston 7 13 +6 2.31 73.31 4.39 71.03 10.76 12.70 5.67 12.71 42.84 19.93P 1.13R 0.15
West_Brom 7 13 +3 1.24 62.83 -0.34 79.35 10.70 22.72 20.39 35.63 72.10 46.50P 0.17R 0.01
QPR 7 13 +1 4.02 86.11 2.08 59.04 10.45 -11.24 0.53 1.41 9.22 2.77P 10.97R 2.15
Birmingham 7 13 -1 4.33 88.62 0.30 62.66 10.25 -6.35 0.84 2.43 15.11 4.73P 5.38R 0.87
Nott'm_Forest 7 12 +4 2.94 79.12 4.77 69.60 10.48 10.25 3.66 9.19 37.08 15.91P 1.35R 0.18
Sheff_Wed 7 12 +4 1.28 63.44 2.31 66.07 10.49 4.93 2.12 5.57 25.33 10.05P 2.71R 0.38
Fulham 7 11 +5 -0.27 47.38 2.53 71.36 11.25 15.40 6.98 14.56 44.59 22.93P 1.25R 0.18
Blackburn 7 10 +0 0.89 60.20 0.86 62.36 10.47 -1.67 0.92 2.56 15.52 5.35P 6.13R 1.11
Middlesbrough 7 9 +0 -1.99 29.30 -2.02 66.75 10.08 6.74 2.14 5.47 26.56 11.36P 1.98R 0.23
Cardiff 7 9 -2 -1.36 36.17 -3.15 64.55 11.04 1.25 1.95 4.97 22.07 9.42P 4.66R 0.76
Millwall 7 9 -4 1.40 66.71 -1.13 55.65 9.98 -13.27 0.11 0.42 4.45 1.15P 17.45R 4.14
Luton 7 7 -1 -1.84 32.25 0.35 56.63 11.29 -8.02 0.43 1.24 8.11 2.77P 17.47R 4.83
Reading 7 7 -1 -0.93 41.43 1.50 52.49 10.16 -12.98 0.07 0.27 2.75 0.74P 26.40R 7.43
Brentford 7 7 -1 -2.75 22.83 -1.29 65.46 10.60 6.42 1.87 4.92 23.84 9.71P 3.44R 0.52
Derby 7 7 -3 -3.27 19.04 -3.99 65.63 10.52 4.66 1.75 4.78 24.25 10.02P 3.23R 0.47
Hull 7 6 -3 -3.47 17.36 -2.67 56.15 10.58 -8.89 0.28 0.78 6.17 1.94P 16.97R 4.30
Wigan 7 5 -7 -3.00 20.93 -4.69 51.43 10.09 -17.36 0.06 0.18 2.12 0.54P 30.11R 8.83
Barnsley 7 5 -7 -3.26 19.34 -5.11 50.16 10.65 -19.23 0.05 0.21 2.13 0.63P 35.99R 12.55
Huddersfield 7 1 -8 -6.80 1.49 -5.49 42.81 10.14 -24.34 0.01 0.01 0.32 0.08P 63.09R 32.82
Stoke 7 1 -10 -7.26 1.09 -8.11 47.58 10.05 -19.90 0.02 0.07 0.86 0.24P 44.66R 17.22
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 September 2019, Bolton 0 0 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Coventry 9 19 +6 5.23 89.71 3.93 68.45 9.55 8.18 2.96 7.53 37.37 13.25P 0.60R 0.00
Ipswich 8 18 +11 4.17 85.42 6.75 82.19 10.19 34.19 31.26 50.73 85.49 60.97P 0.02R 0.00
Wycombe 9 16 +4 2.81 75.23 2.76 58.78 9.51 -5.09 0.32 0.97 9.89 2.48P 6.30R 0.06
Sunderland 8 15 +3 1.00 59.40 -1.82 81.07 9.65 29.99 25.25 45.48 84.05 57.73P 0.02R 0.00
Blackpool 9 15 +2 2.27 70.83 1.41 64.94 9.37 4.83 1.34 3.74 24.52 8.00P 1.46R 0.00
Peterborough 8 14 +12 0.13 50.78 7.31 76.07 9.92 32.91 12.93 27.48 69.94 39.66P 0.10R 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 8 14 +3 1.56 65.73 0.86 67.71 9.93 9.55 2.80 7.40 35.68 13.71P 0.97R 0.01
Lincoln_City 9 13 +5 0.55 55.74 4.93 60.12 9.92 3.34 0.56 1.80 13.80 4.13P 5.26R 0.09
Burton_Albion 8 12 +3 0.40 54.38 2.14 69.63 9.84 15.70 3.87 9.99 43.62 18.17P 0.64R 0.00
Doncaster 7 12 +2 0.79 57.69 -0.40 69.74 10.13 12.79 4.30 10.65 43.56 18.61P 0.70R 0.01
MK_Dons 8 12 -1 1.77 67.38 0.25 55.92 10.22 -10.91 0.19 0.71 7.24 1.86P 13.11R 0.28
Bristol_Rovers 9 12 -1 -0.66 44.16 -1.57 57.68 9.41 -4.84 0.18 0.69 7.82 2.18P 7.85R 0.09
Shrewsbury 8 12 -1 0.73 57.85 -1.53 60.52 9.70 -2.43 0.45 1.49 13.51 3.95P 4.65R 0.05
Rotherham 7 11 +4 -0.38 45.92 1.01 71.59 11.07 19.49 7.74 16.72 52.03 26.32P 0.80R 0.00
Gillingham 8 10 +5 -1.69 33.62 3.92 59.76 10.14 4.73 0.57 1.65 13.73 4.21P 6.34R 0.10
Rochdale 8 10 -3 1.03 61.34 0.57 51.97 9.56 -16.42 0.04 0.15 2.73 0.58P 21.28R 0.52
Oxford_Utd 9 9 -2 -2.74 25.82 -0.83 57.07 9.74 -2.75 0.18 0.68 7.83 2.10P 9.61R 0.12
Portsmouth 6 6 +0 -3.48 14.62 -2.00 69.82 10.59 18.67 5.06 12.07 45.49 21.73P 0.98R 0.01
Tranmere 8 6 -3 -2.31 27.46 1.96 42.61 9.75 -24.98 0.00 0.02 0.37 0.10P 58.12R 4.34
Accrington_Stanley 8 6 -6 -2.66 25.21 -2.25 47.38 9.59 -20.35 0.01 0.05 0.96 0.18P 38.16R 1.77
AFC_Wimbledon 9 3 -7 -6.35 3.70 -2.22 42.71 9.16 -19.80 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.05P 57.12R 3.90
Southend 8 1 -14 -7.59 1.24 -9.82 40.38 9.58 -33.37 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.02P 67.56R 7.62
Bolton 7 -10 -22 -3.69 12.79 -15.37 22.36 9.31 -53.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.34R 81.02
Adjustments:
Bolton -12
Bury -12
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 September 2019, Carlisle 0 0 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Exeter 9 21 +8 5.77 91.94 3.79 79.56 9.81 19.60 24.60 53.18 80.94 60.68P 0.01R 0.00
Crewe 9 18 +2 5.75 91.30 2.11 70.01 10.01 3.92 5.34 18.55 45.80 24.06P 0.42R 0.14
Cheltenham 9 17 +8 3.65 80.08 6.51 67.63 10.05 7.79 3.81 14.04 37.91 19.09P 0.67R 0.17
Swindon 9 17 +6 2.74 74.17 3.13 73.37 10.07 14.50 10.16 29.60 60.34 37.33P 0.19R 0.03
Forest_Green 9 17 +2 4.37 85.35 1.39 71.59 9.90 8.00 6.91 22.83 52.71 29.72P 0.22R 0.06
Newport_County 9 16 +3 3.90 82.89 3.12 67.82 9.73 5.16 3.13 13.06 37.87 18.45P 0.64R 0.20
Crawley_Town 9 15 +3 3.15 77.53 3.76 60.94 9.74 -3.88 0.78 4.03 16.08 6.22P 3.35R 1.11
Cambridge_Utd 9 14 +4 3.25 79.12 6.07 62.23 9.60 1.02 0.99 4.78 19.07 7.52P 2.38R 0.78
Bradford 9 14 +3 -0.53 44.96 -0.22 75.60 10.44 19.13 15.50 38.78 68.46 47.85P 0.11R 0.03
Northampton 9 13 +2 0.39 54.34 1.53 68.27 10.01 8.87 4.03 14.93 40.55 21.21P 0.71R 0.21
Grimsby 9 12 +3 0.67 57.41 4.27 58.60 9.81 -2.46 0.44 2.59 11.53 4.37P 5.46R 2.09
Plymouth 9 12 +3 -2.89 25.29 -0.87 73.98 10.60 20.07 12.92 33.82 62.89 43.07P 0.28R 0.11
Colchester 9 12 +2 -1.01 41.09 0.97 69.07 9.89 11.55 4.51 16.74 44.02 24.43P 0.46R 0.14
Macclesfield 9 12 +0 2.00 70.16 3.41 50.75 9.28 -17.17 0.04 0.32 2.17 0.61P 20.52R 9.24
Port_Vale 9 12 -3 1.69 67.28 -0.45 56.41 9.44 -11.04 0.18 1.19 6.88 2.25P 8.24R 3.11
Salford_City 9 11 -1 0.86 59.59 2.47 47.45 9.56 -22.78 0.03 0.18 1.26 0.32P 33.62R 17.62
Carlisle 9 11 -4 -1.27 39.01 -3.85 61.99 10.00 -3.70 0.98 5.05 19.31 8.40P 3.13R 1.09
Mansfield 9 9 -3 -5.48 9.16 -6.19 65.42 9.90 5.55 2.14 9.57 30.14 15.68P 1.25R 0.38
Leyton_Orient 9 9 -5 -0.77 44.33 -1.10 46.66 9.75 -24.87 0.02 0.14 1.09 0.28P 37.08R 20.81
Walsall 9 9 -5 -3.49 20.67 -5.40 64.17 10.31 1.96 1.88 8.10 26.13 13.10P 2.10R 0.70
Oldham 9 7 -5 -4.81 12.28 -4.22 61.51 10.08 0.76 0.86 4.69 18.77 8.34P 3.48R 1.26
Morecambe 9 6 -8 -3.76 17.50 -4.17 45.21 9.41 -25.01 0.01 0.07 0.64 0.17P 42.59R 24.81
Scunthorpe 9 5 -7 -8.74 1.90 -9.08 58.71 10.59 -2.58 0.70 3.51 13.65 6.26P 6.84R 3.01
Stevenage 9 3 -8 -8.58 1.14 -7.00 49.06 9.67 -14.42 0.03 0.24 1.80 0.61P 26.24R 12.88
National League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 September 2019, Barnet 2 0 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Woking 11 24 +10 8.21 95.14 8.99 72.91 10.45 11.38 9.80 45.29 16.91P 1.54R 0.05
Bromley 11 23 +7 5.55 87.52 3.42 73.67 9.89 10.79 10.12 47.45 17.97P 0.88R 0.02
Halifax 11 22 +8 7.08 93.57 8.08 73.06 9.51 12.86 8.02 45.53 15.92P 0.88R 0.02
Yeovil 11 19 +5 0.09 50.08 -0.71 80.98 10.02 26.01 30.31 76.12 45.53P 0.14R 0.00
Barnet 10 19 +5 3.86 80.75 2.85 74.11 9.79 13.61 9.93 50.08 20.17P 0.75R 0.02
Dag_&_Red 11 18 +1 2.89 73.15 0.97 67.18 9.70 2.71 2.61 23.49 7.00P 4.19R 0.25
Maidenhead 11 17 +6 2.84 73.36 7.40 60.74 9.62 -0.54 0.60 9.15 2.13P 13.42R 1.00
Dover_Athletic 11 17 +1 1.12 59.62 -0.21 65.12 9.82 0.99 1.95 18.37 5.52P 6.46R 0.38
Stockport 11 17 +1 3.81 79.24 3.99 58.50 10.34 -8.85 0.58 7.41 1.83P 21.49R 2.54
Torquay 11 15 -1 2.49 70.09 3.24 54.98 10.41 -14.21 0.27 4.06 0.94P 33.57R 5.78
Hartlepool 11 15 -2 0.41 54.17 -1.21 59.45 9.63 -7.71 0.37 6.85 1.62P 17.27R 1.69
Solihull_Moors 10 14 +3 -1.92 33.62 -0.32 69.29 10.02 11.87 4.79 32.63 12.03P 2.79R 0.17
Notts_County 11 14 +3 -4.94 15.08 -2.95 75.54 10.29 23.64 15.02 57.47 29.96P 0.74R 0.02
Barrow 11 13 -1 -1.47 38.77 -0.13 59.80 9.68 -2.80 0.42 7.63 1.92P 15.80R 1.70
Eastleigh 11 13 -2 -0.67 45.44 0.15 59.65 9.63 -4.12 0.41 7.14 1.79P 16.29R 1.57
Boreham_Wood 11 12 +1 -3.00 26.88 1.13 57.37 9.57 -2.72 0.25 4.95 1.30P 21.77R 2.35
Sutton_United 11 12 -2 -2.46 30.40 -1.14 58.11 9.66 -4.81 0.29 5.59 1.38P 20.33R 2.17
Harrogate_Town 11 12 -3 -3.81 21.54 -4.02 60.79 9.82 -2.10 0.72 9.26 2.69P 14.02R 1.34
Wrexham 10 11 -2 -3.83 19.78 -3.69 64.62 9.87 4.46 1.69 17.45 5.86P 7.00R 0.58
Aldershot 11 11 -5 -1.38 39.56 -1.17 50.73 9.18 -16.85 0.02 0.81 0.16P 48.20R 9.25
AFC_Fylde 10 10 -6 -5.40 11.47 -8.56 64.16 9.97 1.14 1.49 16.23 5.52P 8.20R 0.56
Chesterfield 11 8 -5 -7.60 5.16 -5.77 56.60 9.81 -4.28 0.20 4.21 1.11P 25.13R 3.51
Chorley 11 8 -13 -1.45 39.55 -3.47 38.63 9.36 -41.36 0.00 0.03 0.01P 88.68R 59.99
Ebbsfleet_United 11 7 -9 -6.78 7.00 -6.88 55.01 9.73 -9.11 0.13 2.81 0.74P 30.47R 5.03
