Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 10 September 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 September 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 4 12 +9 2.62 85.87 1.81 86.50 8.43 57.20 32.98 84.38 94.98 98.21 99.82 0.00 0.00
Man_City 4 10 +11 0.31 54.05 3.25 91.02 7.67 75.37 64.27 94.34 98.53 99.62 99.98 0.00 0.00
Leicester 4 8 +3 1.94 76.21 2.16 55.46 9.37 3.04 0.04 0.50 3.93 10.61 32.15 1.39R 0.18
Crystal_Palace 4 7 +1 1.51 72.24 0.99 49.89 9.13 -5.85 0.01 0.10 1.07 3.34 13.92 4.84R 0.79
Arsenal 4 7 +0 1.15 68.21 -0.36 66.46 9.64 20.65 0.75 5.35 26.29 47.96 76.51 0.11R 0.00
Everton 4 7 +0 0.54 58.17 -1.46 52.91 9.24 -2.28 0.01 0.22 2.20 6.47 22.55 2.51R 0.32
West_Ham 4 7 -1 1.76 76.06 -0.26 49.19 9.33 -10.13 0.00 0.09 1.03 3.23 13.07 6.16R 1.07
Man_Utd 4 5 +3 -2.09 22.94 0.61 63.91 9.42 22.01 0.40 3.42 18.36 37.25 69.12 0.17R 0.02
Tottenham 4 5 +1 -1.62 25.38 -0.77 69.62 9.19 29.58 1.30 9.61 40.72 62.71 86.05 0.02R 0.00
Sheff_Utd 4 5 +0 0.78 63.77 2.05 40.67 9.39 -19.71 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.48 2.74 27.04R 8.18
Chelsea 4 5 -3 -2.04 22.57 -5.48 61.25 9.41 11.38 0.23 1.90 11.69 25.70 57.32 0.33R 0.03
Burnley 4 4 -1 0.17 56.31 1.86 42.55 8.97 -15.01 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.53 3.46 19.18R 4.82
Southampton 4 4 -2 -0.03 52.73 0.42 42.50 9.01 -16.53 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.59 3.46 19.54R 4.99
Newcastle 4 4 -2 -0.86 39.48 -1.02 45.18 8.86 -10.68 0.00 0.02 0.23 0.90 5.60 11.50R 2.26
Bournemouth 4 4 -3 -0.42 46.72 -0.60 42.99 9.33 -18.72 0.00 0.01 0.20 0.73 4.22 18.96R 5.09
Brighton 4 4 -3 0.05 53.70 0.06 37.66 8.61 -23.63 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.99 37.43R 12.00
Wolverhampton 4 3 -1 -1.82 24.94 -0.09 45.21 9.14 -8.87 0.00 0.02 0.31 1.12 6.19 12.32R 2.72
Aston_Villa 4 3 -2 -0.77 39.37 0.99 35.66 9.35 -28.16 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.93 47.64R 20.38
Norwich 4 3 -4 -0.18 48.49 1.00 35.80 9.52 -32.52 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.15 1.08 47.58R 20.91
Watford 4 1 -6 -3.92 6.74 -5.14 36.42 8.92 -27.16 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.14 0.86 43.26R 16.25
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Birmingham 2 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Swansea 6 16 +8 6.39 97.53 5.90 80.61 10.82 22.55 22.85 39.75 75.89 49.05P 0.12R 0.01
Charlton 6 14 +6 5.58 94.89 5.69 67.42 11.26 3.83 3.57 8.03 30.78 12.66P 3.13R 0.55
Leeds_United 6 13 +7 3.37 83.64 4.92 79.08 10.76 23.85 18.91 34.51 72.18 45.12P 0.18R 0.02
West_Brom 6 12 +3 1.55 66.31 -0.45 79.68 10.98 22.80 21.48 36.96 73.10 47.63P 0.16R 0.01
Bristol_City 6 11 +3 2.39 75.92 2.40 69.91 10.98 8.89 4.73 10.65 39.43 17.34P 1.87R 0.30
Fulham 6 10 +5 0.09 50.78 2.49 72.46 11.77 16.39 8.91 18.03 49.24 26.60P 1.49R 0.24
Preston 6 10 +4 1.08 62.49 2.99 68.27 11.09 8.90 3.54 8.75 34.29 14.83P 2.63R 0.46
QPR 6 10 +0 2.66 78.99 1.46 56.69 10.68 -13.38 0.31 0.89 7.09 1.98P 17.67R 4.80
Birmingham 6 10 -2 2.64 79.16 -0.68 60.09 10.51 -9.01 0.55 1.64 11.05 3.45P 10.15R 2.36
Nott'm_Forest 6 9 +3 1.11 63.00 3.53 66.66 10.72 7.22 2.26 6.09 28.43 11.15P 3.14R 0.55
Sheff_Wed 6 9 +2 -0.00 49.92 0.84 63.17 10.80 0.93 1.31 3.45 18.84 7.01P 6.05R 1.28
Millwall 6 9 -2 2.32 76.67 0.25 57.67 10.31 -10.48 0.25 0.84 7.41 2.05P 14.72R 3.69
Cardiff 6 8 -2 -1.12 38.09 -3.32 64.33 11.44 0.23 2.05 5.19 22.94 9.87P 5.91R 1.14
Brentford 6 7 +1 -1.75 30.78 0.14 67.98 10.99 10.06 3.41 8.51 33.14 15.03P 2.59R 0.47
Luton 6 7 +0 -0.70 43.08 0.92 59.02 11.67 -5.38 0.85 2.29 12.49 4.57P 14.36R 3.95
Reading 6 7 +0 -0.06 50.92 1.89 53.75 10.45 -12.42 0.14 0.44 4.11 1.12P 24.65R 7.54
Blackburn 6 7 -2 -0.24 48.42 -0.37 59.89 10.74 -5.10 0.55 1.73 11.63 3.77P 10.75R 2.74
Middlesbrough 6 6 -1 -3.13 17.57 -2.31 65.55 10.45 6.33 1.79 4.89 24.36 10.30P 3.40R 0.61
Derby 6 6 -3 -2.58 22.84 -3.52 66.16 10.77 4.93 1.96 5.45 26.91 11.47P 3.58R 0.66
Hull 6 5 -3 -2.82 20.84 -2.25 57.21 10.87 -7.78 0.31 1.11 8.33 2.67P 16.39R 4.55
Barnsley 6 5 -5 -2.39 25.00 -3.82 52.43 10.96 -16.12 0.16 0.47 3.74 1.16P 30.43R 10.58
Wigan 6 4 -7 -2.91 19.12 -5.13 50.88 10.29 -18.81 0.04 0.13 2.07 0.48P 34.37R 12.18
Huddersfield 6 1 -6 -5.86 2.50 -4.03 45.74 10.67 -20.38 0.02 0.09 1.03 0.29P 53.65R 26.49
Stoke 6 1 -9 -6.20 1.83 -7.54 49.59 10.27 -18.07 0.03 0.13 1.53 0.41P 38.63R 14.82
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2019, Bristol_Rovers 3 3 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Wycombe 7 15 +6 4.34 88.12 4.36 62.03 10.18 -0.85 1.04 2.94 18.13 5.65P 4.39R 0.06
Coventry 7 15 +5 4.34 88.00 3.47 66.80 9.97 6.40 2.33 6.18 32.33 11.46P 1.44R 0.02
Ipswich 6 14 +10 3.66 86.40 6.80 82.21 11.06 35.58 32.33 51.13 83.89 60.94P 0.06R 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 7 13 +3 2.06 71.26 1.06 68.31 10.14 9.80 3.27 8.42 38.15 15.24P 1.11R 0.01
Lincoln_City 7 12 +6 2.30 73.34 5.96 62.60 10.55 5.26 1.29 3.64 20.91 7.19P 4.33R 0.10
Blackpool 7 12 +4 1.85 69.05 3.16 66.08 9.98 8.92 2.00 5.66 30.42 11.29P 1.62R 0.02
Doncaster 5 11 +3 2.36 76.97 0.21 72.26 10.84 15.01 7.93 17.24 53.36 26.13P 0.65R 0.01
Sunderland 6 11 +1 0.68 57.95 -2.33 80.61 10.27 29.12 24.59 44.27 81.60 56.28P 0.06R 0.00
Peterborough 6 10 +6 0.56 56.37 4.18 73.06 10.56 23.55 8.42 19.16 57.78 29.41P 0.41R 0.00
Burton_Albion 6 10 +3 0.99 61.61 1.85 70.37 10.36 15.64 5.29 12.50 46.82 21.44P 0.74R 0.01
Rochdale 6 9 +3 1.58 68.10 4.36 56.50 10.32 -5.71 0.27 0.88 8.35 2.13P 12.54R 0.48
MK_Dons 6 9 -3 1.24 64.24 -2.12 52.19 10.74 -19.03 0.16 0.48 4.29 1.21P 25.19R 1.74
Bristol_Rovers 7 8 -2 -1.85 31.23 -2.42 55.80 9.93 -6.90 0.15 0.63 6.54 1.91P 12.92R 0.47
Shrewsbury 6 8 -2 0.08 52.23 -1.57 59.91 10.08 -2.22 0.46 1.56 13.29 3.91P 6.71R 0.19
Rotherham 5 7 -1 -0.46 45.00 -1.92 66.08 11.60 7.38 3.58 8.33 32.88 14.50P 3.30R 0.12
Gillingham 6 6 +3 -2.40 23.72 2.83 57.74 10.50 1.38 0.45 1.33 10.66 3.25P 10.52R 0.34
Tranmere 6 5 +0 -1.71 31.48 2.83 44.79 10.39 -21.35 0.01 0.06 0.92 0.22P 50.56R 5.71
Portsmouth 5 5 +0 -2.79 18.14 -1.47 70.95 10.77 19.75 6.20 14.81 49.88 25.23P 0.88R 0.02
Accrington_Stanley 6 5 -4 -1.90 29.67 -1.87 48.91 10.16 -18.55 0.04 0.13 1.95 0.46P 34.57R 2.56
Oxford_Utd 7 5 -5 -3.01 20.93 -2.22 55.60 10.33 -6.26 0.18 0.64 7.16 2.01P 14.62R 0.66
AFC_Wimbledon 7 2 -6 -5.24 5.00 -2.13 43.67 9.55 -19.89 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.08P 54.35R 6.05
Southend 6 0 -13 -6.43 0.78 -9.93 41.64 10.05 -32.15 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.06P 63.37R 9.87
Bolton 5 -11 -17 -3.45 11.08 -13.09 25.95 10.16 -44.86 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 95.67R 71.54
Adjustments:
Bolton -12
Bury -12
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2019, Bradford 2 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Exeter 7 17 +6 5.86 95.07 3.74 79.63 10.24 19.54 22.05 50.69 80.35 58.32P 0.02R 0.01
Newport_County 7 15 +5 5.45 93.33 4.89 70.90 10.24 9.10 5.39 19.74 50.43 26.53P 0.42R 0.12
Crewe 7 15 +2 5.98 94.62 2.77 70.45 10.52 5.10 5.32 19.10 48.01 24.95P 0.62R 0.23
Swindon 7 14 +6 3.01 79.35 3.90 74.24 10.54 16.13 10.97 31.59 63.26 39.58P 0.17R 0.04
Forest_Green 7 13 +1 3.17 80.94 0.55 69.61 10.30 6.01 4.39 16.74 44.96 23.14P 0.62R 0.23
Cheltenham 7 11 +5 0.86 59.59 4.18 62.64 10.33 2.32 1.23 6.02 22.48 9.46P 2.95R 1.14
Grimsby 7 11 +4 2.13 73.03 4.88 61.10 10.19 -0.35 0.70 4.21 17.68 6.83P 3.91R 1.52
Plymouth 7 11 +4 -0.80 41.49 0.62 77.69 11.22 24.08 19.74 44.95 74.06 53.92P 0.15R 0.04
Macclesfield 7 11 +3 2.72 78.30 4.88 52.97 9.73 -13.33 0.08 0.67 4.20 1.23P 15.72R 6.96
Bradford 7 11 +3 -0.63 43.21 0.06 74.98 10.85 18.61 13.04 35.09 65.98 44.39P 0.22R 0.05
Crawley_Town 7 11 +2 1.57 67.10 2.30 58.05 10.10 -7.29 0.36 2.33 11.10 4.02P 7.01R 2.75
Mansfield 7 9 +2 -2.87 21.19 -1.38 72.79 10.23 17.05 7.88 26.63 59.15 36.62P 0.21R 0.05
Colchester 7 9 +0 -1.27 36.89 -1.02 66.87 10.33 6.89 2.78 11.72 35.78 17.83P 1.19R 0.40
Port_Vale 7 9 -2 0.51 57.09 -0.68 55.01 9.88 -11.70 0.16 0.99 6.20 1.97P 11.79R 5.10
Salford_City 7 8 +0 0.28 55.20 3.06 47.23 10.39 -22.07 0.07 0.31 1.93 0.57P 36.57R 21.50
Cambridge_Utd 7 8 -1 0.06 52.56 1.10 54.00 9.87 -10.70 0.10 0.77 5.25 1.61P 13.95R 6.42
Leyton_Orient 7 8 -4 0.14 53.47 -1.43 47.76 10.22 -24.32 0.03 0.25 1.87 0.52P 34.52R 19.85
Northampton 7 7 -1 -2.25 26.97 -0.54 63.43 10.44 3.53 1.29 6.84 24.83 11.28P 2.81R 1.05
Carlisle 7 7 -5 -2.39 26.15 -4.69 59.81 10.51 -6.03 0.71 3.57 15.27 6.27P 5.92R 2.34
Morecambe 7 6 -4 -2.15 27.99 -1.86 49.61 9.97 -18.47 0.05 0.29 2.34 0.71P 26.69R 14.16
Walsall 7 6 -5 -3.66 16.12 -5.21 64.76 10.87 3.20 2.15 9.29 29.05 14.98P 2.47R 0.93
Oldham 7 5 -5 -4.02 13.38 -4.19 61.99 10.54 0.48 1.00 5.28 20.70 9.15P 4.01R 1.58
Stevenage 7 3 -6 -6.11 3.68 -5.39 53.17 10.21 -10.26 0.10 0.77 5.01 1.76P 16.01R 7.72
Scunthorpe 7 1 -10 -8.98 0.38 -10.55 56.12 11.05 -7.55 0.43 2.15 10.11 4.39P 12.05R 5.81
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2019, Aldershot 1 2 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Woking 10 23 +10 8.58 96.73 8.99 74.17 10.98 12.81 13.03 48.59 20.39P 1.32R 0.05
Halifax 10 22 +9 7.98 96.31 8.47 74.45 9.77 13.79 10.56 49.75 19.03P 0.61R 0.02
Bromley 10 22 +7 6.10 90.95 3.65 74.02 10.19 10.69 10.87 47.91 18.57P 0.99R 0.03
Maidenhead 10 17 +7 3.84 80.59 7.86 61.99 9.83 0.17 0.94 11.11 2.69P 11.06R 0.77
Stockport 10 17 +2 4.99 86.39 4.68 60.71 10.69 -6.56 1.16 10.66 2.88P 16.30R 1.48
Yeovil 10 16 +4 -1.22 38.81 -1.17 79.01 10.32 24.43 23.71 68.12 38.62P 0.30R 0.00
Dover_Athletic 10 16 +1 1.83 65.89 0.35 66.73 10.02 2.84 2.79 22.37 7.10P 4.84R 0.23
Torquay 10 15 +0 3.36 77.01 3.57 56.93 10.76 -12.62 0.45 5.94 1.46P 27.20R 4.17
Hartlepool 10 15 +0 1.40 62.63 0.19 61.50 9.82 -4.67 0.78 9.79 2.56P 12.59R 0.94
Dag_&_Red 10 15 -1 1.73 65.45 -0.33 64.72 9.93 -0.51 1.61 16.51 4.81P 7.33R 0.50
Solihull_Moors 9 14 +6 -0.93 41.25 2.05 73.08 10.25 18.58 9.74 46.09 19.81P 1.27R 0.03
Barnet 8 13 +2 1.66 66.35 1.35 70.04 10.30 9.51 5.56 33.70 12.47P 2.70R 0.14
Eastleigh 10 12 -2 -0.60 45.77 -0.26 60.16 9.95 -3.94 0.63 8.19 2.21P 15.52R 1.45
Notts_County 10 11 +2 -6.22 8.68 -3.43 74.00 10.50 22.94 11.73 50.44 25.22P 1.29R 0.02
Boreham_Wood 10 11 +1 -2.74 27.53 0.95 57.59 9.79 -3.25 0.33 5.25 1.42P 21.51R 2.25
Sutton_United 10 11 -2 -2.20 31.67 -1.23 57.65 9.86 -6.17 0.30 5.15 1.28P 21.93R 2.31
Harrogate_Town 10 11 -3 -3.24 24.16 -3.70 61.43 10.11 -1.81 0.91 10.80 3.26P 13.05R 1.10
Wrexham 9 10 -2 -3.22 22.35 -3.35 65.15 10.05 4.74 1.90 18.47 6.24P 6.74R 0.49
Barrow 10 10 -4 -2.59 28.79 -2.39 55.93 9.84 -9.35 0.17 3.63 0.90P 27.50R 3.76
AFC_Fylde 9 10 -5 -4.41 15.10 -8.14 65.72 10.29 2.44 2.45 19.96 7.02P 6.56R 0.42
Aldershot 9 8 -4 -2.18 30.86 -0.90 50.12 9.61 -16.30 0.02 0.86 0.17P 50.27R 9.92
Chorley 10 7 -13 -1.33 39.85 -3.83 37.79 9.55 -43.60 0.00 0.06 0.01P 89.59R 61.37
Ebbsfleet_United 10 6 -9 -6.53 6.49 -7.09 55.52 9.99 -8.86 0.19 3.36 0.94P 29.07R 4.08
Chesterfield 10 5 -6 -8.90 1.97 -6.28 54.94 10.02 -5.31 0.17 3.29 0.94P 30.44R 4.49
