Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 9 September 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 September 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 4 12 +9 2.61 85.75 1.86 86.34 8.44 56.84 32.48 84.16 94.97 98.20 99.75 0.00 0.00 Man_City 4 10 +11 0.31 54.23 3.20 91.05 7.65 75.43 64.85 94.49 98.72 99.62 99.97 0.00 0.00 Leicester 4 8 +3 1.95 76.24 2.16 55.54 9.38 3.16 0.04 0.51 4.11 10.78 32.36 1.45R 0.18 Crystal_Palace 4 7 +1 1.48 71.80 0.97 50.15 9.17 -5.42 0.00 0.09 1.10 3.66 14.79 4.62R 0.76 Arsenal 4 7 +0 1.18 68.57 -0.34 66.22 9.71 20.19 0.81 5.57 25.97 46.99 75.16 0.11R 0.01 Everton 4 7 +0 0.54 58.00 -1.46 53.04 9.29 -1.97 0.02 0.26 2.46 6.84 22.92 2.43R 0.34 West_Ham 4 7 -1 1.71 75.34 -0.33 49.15 9.34 -10.17 0.01 0.11 1.04 3.25 13.08 6.18R 1.04 Man_Utd 4 5 +3 -2.03 23.34 0.71 63.88 9.33 21.95 0.38 3.46 18.80 37.28 68.95 0.11R 0.02 Tottenham 4 5 +1 -1.59 26.11 -0.70 69.32 9.29 29.11 1.23 9.21 39.11 61.71 85.31 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 4 5 +0 0.79 64.12 2.03 40.73 9.43 -19.52 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.48 2.78 26.87R 8.26 Chelsea 4 5 -3 -2.08 22.33 -5.54 61.48 9.40 11.82 0.18 2.05 12.37 26.57 57.95 0.28R 0.03 Burnley 4 4 -1 0.16 56.21 1.82 42.67 9.03 -14.75 0.00 0.02 0.17 0.59 3.67 18.94R 4.55 Southampton 4 4 -2 -0.03 52.72 0.40 42.49 9.05 -16.62 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.60 3.45 19.46R 5.01 Newcastle 4 4 -2 -0.88 39.06 -1.05 45.08 8.88 -10.80 0.00 0.02 0.22 0.91 5.54 11.69R 2.25 Bournemouth 4 4 -3 -0.38 47.44 -0.54 42.88 9.35 -18.87 0.00 0.02 0.24 0.86 4.22 19.22R 5.04 Brighton 4 4 -3 0.07 54.16 0.11 37.44 8.62 -24.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.88 38.09R 12.40 Wolverhampton 4 3 -1 -1.87 24.39 -0.14 45.63 9.07 -8.15 0.00 0.03 0.33 1.23 6.63 11.11R 2.46 Aston_Villa 4 3 -2 -0.80 38.87 0.92 35.74 9.23 -27.96 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.86 47.01R 19.46 Norwich 4 3 -4 -0.18 48.30 1.01 35.71 9.53 -32.68 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.12 1.02 47.79R 20.99 Watford 4 1 -6 -3.88 7.01 -5.08 36.12 8.90 -27.59 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.72 44.61R 17.18Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Birmingham 2 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Swansea 6 16 +8 6.39 97.71 5.90 80.62 10.77 22.59 22.53 39.22 76.07 48.76P 0.10R 0.01 Charlton 6 14 +6 5.60 94.88 5.72 67.03 11.18 3.34 3.14 7.41 29.77 12.02P 3.28R 0.59 Leeds_United 6 13 +7 3.33 83.38 4.89 79.37 10.79 24.27 19.77 35.69 72.67 46.34P 0.12R 0.02 West_Brom 6 12 +3 1.51 65.91 -0.50 79.85 10.96 23.05 21.67 37.91 73.69 48.47P 0.16R 0.02 Bristol_City 6 11 +3 2.38 75.98 2.39 69.88 10.90 8.86 4.73 10.73 38.88 17.27P 1.65R 0.30 Fulham 6 10 +5 0.13 51.25 2.56 72.31 11.73 16.20 8.65 17.67 49.09 26.29P 1.44R 0.26 Preston 6 10 +4 1.07 62.54 2.99 68.20 11.04 8.75 3.54 8.63 33.79 14.62P 2.58R 0.37 QPR 6 10 +0 2.67 79.09 1.46 56.52 10.64 -13.66 0.28 0.89 6.73 1.99P 17.93R 4.79 Birmingham 6 10 -2 2.65 79.22 -0.65 60.02 10.60 -9.12 0.55 1.72 11.48 3.50P 10.56R 2.37 Nott'm_Forest 6 9 +3 1.12 63.36 3.55 66.66 10.65 7.22 2.27 5.90 28.12 11.03P 3.11R 0.56 Sheff_Wed 6 9 +2 -0.00 50.19 0.84 63.29 10.70 1.05 1.32 3.48 19.14 7.00P 5.75R 1.16 Millwall 6 9 -2 2.29 76.51 0.22 57.58 10.29 -10.54 0.24 0.78 7.21 1.99P 14.60R 3.54 Cardiff 6 8 -2 -1.18 37.41 -3.40 64.68 11.41 0.72 2.12 5.47 23.79 10.31P 5.52R 1.15 Brentford 6 7 +1 -1.78 30.39 0.10 68.09 10.83 10.21 3.34 8.07 33.58 14.88P 2.52R 0.43 Luton 6 7 +0 -0.64 43.72 0.98 58.88 11.77 -5.54 0.94 2.42 12.59 4.64P 14.74R 4.30 Reading 6 7 +0 -0.01 51.37 1.93 53.80 10.35 -12.34 0.10 0.34 3.95 0.93P 24.36R 7.32 Blackburn 6 7 -2 -0.21 48.88 -0.32 59.91 10.74 -5.08 0.56 1.71 11.66 3.78P 10.90R 2.71 Middlesbrough 6 6 -1 -3.10 17.94 -2.28 65.29 10.32 5.94 1.55 4.27 23.57 9.64P 3.45R 0.58 Derby 6 6 -3 -2.61 22.72 -3.56 66.34 10.78 5.15 2.13 5.82 27.53 11.55P 3.51R 0.68 Hull 6 5 -3 -2.83 20.68 -2.27 57.18 10.84 -7.86 0.30 1.02 8.15 2.54P 16.35R 4.70 Barnsley 6 5 -5 -2.47 24.39 -3.94 52.75 11.02 -15.60 0.18 0.50 4.06 1.28P 29.53R 10.40 Wigan 6 4 -7 -2.90 19.24 -5.11 51.05 10.23 -18.59 0.04 0.18 2.10 0.50P 34.06R 11.68 Huddersfield 6 1 -6 -5.85 2.46 -4.04 45.62 10.52 -20.49 0.01 0.05 0.88 0.22P 53.92R 26.56 Stoke 6 1 -9 -6.15 1.98 -7.48 49.30 10.25 -18.53 0.04 0.13 1.52 0.47P 39.87R 15.50League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2019, Bristol_Rovers 3 3 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wycombe 7 15 +6 4.34 88.28 4.33 62.15 10.18 -0.70 0.99 2.90 18.52 5.62P 4.22R 0.06 Coventry 7 15 +5 4.33 88.09 3.45 66.84 10.03 6.53 2.33 6.43 32.31 11.72P 1.40R 0.01 Ipswich 6 14 +10 3.65 86.44 6.79 82.25 10.93 35.68 32.66 51.33 83.91 61.16P 0.07R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 7 13 +3 2.09 71.83 1.12 68.21 10.17 9.72 3.13 8.39 37.57 15.25P 1.14R 0.01 Lincoln_City 7 12 +6 2.20 72.12 5.79 63.19 10.75 6.20 1.54 4.21 23.08 8.25P 4.17R 0.10 Blackpool 7 12 +4 1.78 68.30 3.09 66.31 9.99 9.28 2.16 6.02 31.17 11.73P 1.54R 0.01 Doncaster 5 11 +3 2.38 77.20 0.25 71.86 10.81 14.40 7.32 16.14 51.68 24.92P 0.68R 0.00 Sunderland 6 11 +1 0.71 58.28 -2.30 80.48 10.25 29.01 24.26 43.17 81.10 55.43P 0.04R 0.00 Peterborough 6 10 +6 0.47 55.36 4.04 73.39 10.55 24.11 8.74 19.90 58.85 30.21P 0.40R 0.00 Burton_Albion 6 10 +3 0.98 61.49 1.83 70.17 10.39 15.28 4.94 11.95 46.00 20.55P 0.79R 0.01 Rochdale 6 9 +3 1.63 68.69 4.43 56.25 10.29 -6.18 0.24 0.87 7.84 2.02P 12.95R 0.47 MK_Dons 6 9 -3 1.26 64.58 -2.08 52.22 10.77 -19.04 0.15 0.46 4.44 1.12P 25.20R 1.56 Bristol_Rovers 7 8 -2 -1.75 32.12 -2.27 55.50 9.93 -7.43 0.16 0.58 5.99 1.73P 13.68R 0.56 Shrewsbury 6 8 -2 0.10 52.64 -1.51 59.81 10.04 -2.39 0.48 1.48 12.78 3.77P 6.58R 0.15 Rotherham 5 7 -1 -0.47 44.84 -1.93 66.09 11.51 7.39 3.33 8.04 32.26 14.07P 3.29R 0.09 Gillingham 6 6 +3 -2.44 23.49 2.78 57.84 10.63 1.43 0.48 1.50 11.11 3.55P 10.48R 0.35 Tranmere 6 5 +0 -1.74 31.30 2.81 44.66 10.46 -21.67 0.01 0.09 1.02 0.24P 51.30R 5.46 Portsmouth 5 5 +0 -2.80 17.79 -1.52 71.22 10.89 20.19 6.85 15.75 50.83 26.15P 0.87R 0.02 Accrington_Stanley 6 5 -4 -1.91 29.53 -1.88 49.00 10.19 -18.50 0.03 0.13 2.00 0.46P 33.97R 2.50 Oxford_Utd 7 5 -5 -2.99 21.12 -2.17 55.61 10.28 -6.30 0.19 0.64 6.87 1.88P 14.77R 0.54 AFC_Wimbledon 7 2 -6 -5.27 4.85 -2.15 43.87 9.59 -19.59 0.00 0.01 0.41 0.08P 53.69R 5.87 Southend 6 0 -13 -6.43 0.77 -9.91 41.75 9.99 -31.89 0.00 0.01 0.28 0.07P 62.86R 9.54 Bolton 5 -11 -17 -3.40 11.34 -13.00 25.59 10.21 -45.55 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 95.90R 72.68 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2019, Bradford 2 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 7 17 +6 5.89 95.10 3.76 79.53 10.20 19.32 21.20 49.88 79.96 57.78P 0.02R 0.00 Newport_County 7 15 +5 5.46 93.38 4.92 70.90 10.18 9.11 5.34 19.58 50.12 26.34P 0.37R 0.10 Crewe 7 15 +2 5.98 94.50 2.76 70.60 10.50 5.35 5.45 19.37 48.40 25.34P 0.55R 0.17 Swindon 7 14 +6 2.97 79.02 3.84 74.34 10.53 16.31 10.74 31.87 63.37 39.68P 0.16R 0.05 Forest_Green 7 13 +1 3.12 80.49 0.49 69.97 10.29 6.48 4.63 17.71 46.40 24.26P 0.53R 0.17 Cheltenham 7 11 +5 0.85 59.39 4.20 62.50 10.38 2.11 1.17 5.76 22.18 9.27P 3.01R 1.12 Grimsby 7 11 +4 2.18 73.58 4.95 61.03 10.13 -0.49 0.69 3.85 17.41 6.60P 3.98R 1.49 Plymouth 7 11 +4 -0.84 41.13 0.55 77.77 11.27 24.22 19.95 45.06 73.83 53.90P 0.14R 0.04 Macclesfield 7 11 +3 2.70 78.11 4.88 52.79 9.79 -13.61 0.09 0.69 4.23 1.22P 16.23R 7.46 Bradford 7 11 +3 -0.69 42.74 -0.03 75.40 11.06 19.22 13.94 36.04 66.83 45.29P 0.23R 0.07 Crawley_Town 7 11 +2 1.63 67.96 2.35 57.78 10.10 -7.74 0.32 2.14 10.83 3.77P 7.38R 2.90 Mansfield 7 9 +2 -2.87 21.15 -1.41 72.78 10.30 17.03 7.94 26.70 58.72 36.67P 0.21R 0.07 Colchester 7 9 +0 -1.25 37.03 -0.96 66.81 10.36 6.78 2.63 11.50 35.52 17.53P 1.21R 0.41 Port_Vale 7 9 -2 0.51 56.90 -0.70 55.21 9.81 -11.44 0.15 0.94 6.23 1.88P 11.25R 4.86 Salford_City 7 8 +0 0.24 54.85 3.03 47.17 10.29 -22.20 0.03 0.27 1.70 0.53P 36.17R 21.15 Cambridge_Utd 7 8 -1 0.03 52.12 1.05 54.20 9.88 -10.38 0.08 0.77 5.28 1.58P 13.18R 6.06 Leyton_Orient 7 8 -4 0.15 53.49 -1.44 47.67 10.21 -24.36 0.02 0.22 1.74 0.51P 34.53R 19.76 Northampton 7 7 -1 -2.25 27.32 -0.52 63.25 10.48 3.32 1.34 6.52 24.19 10.83P 2.93R 1.15 Carlisle 7 7 -5 -2.43 25.86 -4.73 59.96 10.50 -5.80 0.69 3.63 15.54 6.21P 5.65R 2.35 Morecambe 7 6 -4 -2.09 28.60 -1.75 49.30 9.96 -19.00 0.04 0.31 2.14 0.62P 27.45R 14.49 Walsall 7 6 -5 -3.67 15.80 -5.20 64.80 10.87 3.21 2.09 9.09 29.28 14.76P 2.40R 0.87 Oldham 7 5 -5 -3.99 13.50 -4.16 62.14 10.49 0.66 0.95 5.24 21.10 9.25P 3.78R 1.50 Stevenage 7 3 -6 -6.06 3.65 -5.33 52.89 10.11 -10.65 0.08 0.64 4.64 1.56P 16.55R 7.79 Scunthorpe 7 1 -10 -8.99 0.36 -10.56 56.19 11.11 -7.45 0.43 2.23 10.35 4.62P 12.09R 5.97National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2019, Aldershot 1 2 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Woking 10 23 +10 8.69 96.92 9.11 73.86 10.79 12.26 12.03 47.14 19.20P 1.34R 0.05 Halifax 10 22 +9 8.04 96.40 8.52 74.34 9.84 13.67 10.57 49.57 18.74P 0.69R 0.01 Bromley 10 22 +7 6.08 90.74 3.59 74.07 10.18 10.73 11.19 48.07 19.00P 0.99R 0.02 Maidenhead 10 17 +7 3.80 80.63 7.79 62.14 9.82 0.45 1.02 11.16 2.91P 10.77R 0.71 Stockport 10 17 +2 5.01 86.48 4.71 60.71 10.74 -6.56 1.14 10.76 2.95P 16.45R 1.58 Yeovil 10 16 +4 -1.17 39.50 -1.09 78.91 10.38 24.27 23.50 67.66 38.25P 0.33R 0.01 Dover_Athletic 10 16 +1 1.87 66.25 0.37 66.79 9.96 2.94 2.83 22.42 6.97P 4.80R 0.33 Torquay 10 15 +0 3.43 77.38 3.65 56.87 10.77 -12.63 0.48 6.08 1.48P 27.43R 3.99 Hartlepool 10 15 +0 1.34 62.04 0.09 61.57 9.92 -4.52 0.90 10.17 2.72P 12.53R 0.91 Dag_&_Red 10 15 -1 1.77 65.68 -0.25 64.50 9.90 -0.85 1.47 15.81 4.56P 7.53R 0.44 Solihull_Moors 9 14 +6 -0.97 40.92 1.96 73.27 10.29 18.91 10.00 46.65 20.22P 1.32R 0.03 Barnet 8 13 +2 1.59 65.81 1.25 70.31 10.26 9.83 5.76 34.76 13.11P 2.45R 0.15 Eastleigh 10 12 -2 -0.59 45.70 -0.25 60.16 10.01 -4.02 0.64 8.24 2.30P 15.87R 1.45 Notts_County 10 11 +2 -6.18 8.86 -3.42 73.92 10.56 22.82 11.76 49.94 25.04P 1.40R 0.07 Boreham_Wood 10 11 +1 -2.78 27.28 0.92 57.54 9.81 -3.30 0.31 5.24 1.31P 21.54R 2.14 Sutton_United 10 11 -2 -2.28 31.09 -1.34 57.87 9.86 -5.80 0.34 5.29 1.39P 21.22R 2.14 Harrogate_Town 10 11 -3 -3.37 23.28 -3.90 61.70 10.09 -1.35 1.02 11.08 3.36P 12.52R 0.99 Wrexham 9 10 -2 -3.27 21.99 -3.41 65.29 10.10 4.94 2.11 18.89 6.47P 6.45R 0.41 Barrow 10 10 -4 -2.61 28.51 -2.40 56.11 9.87 -9.10 0.17 3.78 0.88P 26.93R 3.46 AFC_Fylde 9 10 -5 -4.40 15.26 -8.11 65.58 10.34 2.21 2.41 20.05 7.18P 6.80R 0.38 Aldershot 9 8 -4 -2.17 30.98 -0.89 50.20 9.69 -16.17 0.04 0.95 0.21P 49.80R 9.96 Chorley 10 7 -13 -1.29 40.27 -3.66 37.66 9.56 -43.87 0.00 0.03 0.01P 89.77R 61.53 Ebbsfleet_United 10 6 -9 -6.48 6.79 -7.00 55.19 10.07 -9.33 0.15 3.26 0.93P 30.37R 4.62 Chesterfield 10 5 -6 -8.90 1.98 -6.24 54.84 10.01 -5.52 0.16 3.02 0.81P 30.70R 4.60