Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 7 September 2019 at 21:00:02 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 September 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 4 12 +9 2.59 85.75 1.78 86.64 8.37 57.45 33.15 84.72 95.16 98.41 99.76 0.00 0.00
Man_City 4 10 +11 0.28 53.52 3.15 91.09 7.63 75.58 64.07 94.49 98.70 99.64 99.97 0.00 0.00
Leicester 4 8 +3 1.94 76.16 2.15 55.48 9.38 3.04 0.04 0.47 3.95 10.44 31.98 1.40R 0.20
Crystal_Palace 4 7 +1 1.48 71.97 0.95 50.00 9.14 -5.71 0.00 0.09 1.07 3.46 14.22 4.69R 0.77
Arsenal 4 7 +0 1.12 67.90 -0.41 66.78 9.59 21.23 0.80 5.57 27.49 49.09 77.31 0.05R 0.01
Everton 4 7 +0 0.55 58.05 -1.46 52.86 9.24 -2.31 0.01 0.22 2.15 6.44 22.39 2.54R 0.34
West_Ham 4 7 -1 1.81 76.90 -0.15 48.80 9.36 -10.78 0.00 0.09 0.95 2.95 12.20 6.75R 1.26
Man_Utd 4 5 +3 -2.05 23.25 0.68 63.70 9.40 21.63 0.40 3.23 17.95 36.17 68.34 0.16R 0.02
Tottenham 4 5 +1 -1.60 25.86 -0.73 69.46 9.26 29.32 1.34 9.10 39.51 61.94 85.72 0.02R 0.00
Sheff_Utd 4 5 +0 0.80 64.12 2.06 40.56 9.46 -20.06 0.00 0.02 0.15 0.51 2.77 27.56R 8.60
Chelsea 4 5 -3 -2.08 21.92 -5.54 61.54 9.36 11.80 0.19 1.93 11.83 26.36 58.41 0.29R 0.02
Burnley 4 4 -1 0.18 56.56 1.89 42.67 8.95 -14.79 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.55 3.58 18.45R 4.42
Southampton 4 4 -2 -0.01 52.99 0.44 42.40 9.04 -16.77 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.50 3.42 20.03R 5.19
Newcastle 4 4 -2 -0.86 39.50 -1.03 45.16 8.90 -10.70 0.00 0.01 0.23 1.01 5.69 11.62R 2.28
Bournemouth 4 4 -3 -0.38 47.09 -0.56 42.89 9.40 -18.90 0.00 0.02 0.22 0.82 4.24 19.57R 5.31
Brighton 4 4 -3 0.04 53.62 0.05 37.63 8.53 -23.67 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.10 0.96 36.93R 11.78
Wolverhampton 4 3 -1 -1.85 24.34 -0.13 45.43 9.10 -8.51 0.00 0.03 0.29 1.17 6.15 11.73R 2.43
Aston_Villa 4 3 -2 -0.77 39.39 1.00 35.59 9.26 -28.30 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.91 47.65R 19.82
Norwich 4 3 -4 -0.17 48.51 1.02 35.79 9.60 -32.53 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.20 1.17 47.64R 21.23
Watford 4 1 -6 -3.93 6.79 -5.14 36.41 8.95 -27.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.80 42.92R 16.31
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Birmingham 2 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Swansea 6 16 +8 6.44 97.71 5.99 80.07 10.82 21.84 21.59 38.09 74.44 47.50P 0.10R 0.01
Charlton 6 14 +6 5.63 95.15 5.78 66.96 11.32 3.19 3.42 7.74 29.77 12.08P 3.59R 0.70
Leeds_United 6 13 +7 3.36 83.60 4.92 79.04 10.73 23.79 18.96 34.88 72.36 45.46P 0.16R 0.02
West_Brom 6 12 +3 1.55 66.56 -0.44 79.76 10.94 22.92 21.86 37.77 73.69 48.34P 0.16R 0.02
Bristol_City 6 11 +3 2.39 76.31 2.40 70.05 10.91 9.07 4.98 10.98 39.81 17.96P 1.66R 0.25
Fulham 6 10 +5 0.15 51.27 2.56 72.32 11.64 16.29 8.73 17.72 48.87 26.31P 1.39R 0.22
Preston 6 10 +4 1.07 62.32 2.97 68.21 11.11 8.80 3.80 9.02 34.17 15.12P 2.64R 0.49
QPR 6 10 +0 2.62 78.54 1.39 56.91 10.67 -13.08 0.37 1.04 7.43 2.12P 17.21R 4.49
Birmingham 6 10 -2 2.71 79.60 -0.59 59.60 10.53 -9.76 0.50 1.48 10.55 3.18P 11.43R 2.65
Nott'm_Forest 6 9 +3 1.13 63.62 3.54 66.43 10.85 6.88 2.36 6.04 28.04 11.06P 3.51R 0.68
Sheff_Wed 6 9 +2 0.03 50.32 0.88 63.28 10.77 1.08 1.32 3.61 19.22 7.17P 5.98R 1.18
Millwall 6 9 -2 2.21 75.57 0.12 58.11 10.32 -9.83 0.32 1.08 7.94 2.32P 13.71R 3.26
Cardiff 6 8 -2 -1.15 37.75 -3.37 64.48 11.29 0.43 2.00 5.22 23.21 9.86P 5.63R 1.18
Brentford 6 7 +1 -1.79 30.10 0.11 67.93 10.74 10.02 3.37 7.94 32.98 14.56P 2.39R 0.42
Luton 6 7 +0 -0.69 43.31 0.94 59.06 11.74 -5.32 0.92 2.45 12.80 4.69P 14.72R 4.21
Reading 6 7 +0 -0.02 51.33 1.95 53.70 10.39 -12.45 0.15 0.43 3.93 1.12P 24.93R 7.63
Blackburn 6 7 -2 -0.20 49.19 -0.29 59.67 10.78 -5.40 0.60 1.67 11.45 3.74P 11.62R 2.87
Middlesbrough 6 6 -1 -3.12 17.73 -2.33 65.60 10.35 6.32 1.73 4.68 24.68 10.31P 3.33R 0.61
Derby 6 6 -3 -2.63 22.43 -3.59 66.36 10.84 5.25 2.39 6.16 27.61 11.89P 3.48R 0.60
Hull 6 5 -3 -2.84 20.59 -2.28 57.32 10.85 -7.59 0.40 1.15 8.25 2.77P 16.25R 4.60
Barnsley 6 5 -5 -2.44 24.76 -3.88 52.60 10.97 -15.90 0.15 0.48 4.01 1.22P 30.26R 10.63
Wigan 6 4 -7 -2.93 18.91 -5.13 51.11 10.24 -18.51 0.05 0.19 2.29 0.59P 33.65R 11.79
Huddersfield 6 1 -6 -5.87 2.47 -4.06 45.90 10.60 -20.09 0.02 0.07 0.90 0.24P 53.31R 26.28
Stoke 6 1 -9 -6.22 1.89 -7.57 49.66 10.37 -17.96 0.03 0.11 1.62 0.41P 38.89R 15.18
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2019, Bristol_Rovers 3 3 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Wycombe 7 15 +6 4.36 88.22 4.38 62.00 10.08 -0.96 0.95 2.80 17.92 5.45P 4.18R 0.08
Coventry 7 15 +5 4.30 87.96 3.42 66.91 10.00 6.63 2.53 6.54 32.55 11.78P 1.43R 0.01
Ipswich 6 14 +10 3.61 86.28 6.74 82.23 10.87 35.64 32.87 51.37 84.22 61.15P 0.07R 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 7 13 +3 2.13 72.11 1.13 68.11 10.10 9.47 3.08 8.10 37.23 14.71P 1.05R 0.01
Lincoln_City 7 12 +6 2.24 72.54 5.84 62.90 10.63 5.74 1.41 3.92 22.06 7.57P 4.07R 0.11
Blackpool 7 12 +4 1.83 68.95 3.14 66.27 10.01 9.18 2.17 5.94 30.65 11.37P 1.57R 0.03
Doncaster 5 11 +3 2.35 77.03 0.22 71.96 10.78 14.54 7.55 16.65 52.07 25.45P 0.67R 0.02
Sunderland 6 11 +1 0.72 58.47 -2.26 80.31 10.17 28.65 24.00 42.94 80.86 55.48P 0.05R 0.00
Peterborough 6 10 +6 0.50 55.64 4.06 73.30 10.41 24.00 8.52 19.59 58.44 30.09P 0.41R 0.00
Burton_Albion 6 10 +3 0.99 61.40 1.81 70.28 10.35 15.46 5.10 12.60 46.40 21.27P 0.87R 0.01
Rochdale 6 9 +3 1.62 68.42 4.39 56.36 10.28 -5.96 0.26 0.87 8.02 2.14P 12.77R 0.46
MK_Dons 6 9 -3 1.28 64.69 -2.05 52.04 10.73 -19.26 0.13 0.44 4.37 1.16P 25.86R 1.68
Bristol_Rovers 7 8 -2 -1.83 30.97 -2.37 55.79 9.84 -6.90 0.13 0.59 6.39 1.72P 12.91R 0.50
Shrewsbury 6 8 -2 0.08 52.25 -1.55 59.88 10.07 -2.25 0.45 1.59 13.04 4.07P 6.50R 0.16
Rotherham 5 7 -1 -0.47 44.91 -1.93 66.30 11.53 7.73 3.56 8.32 33.50 14.57P 3.33R 0.09
Gillingham 6 6 +3 -2.43 23.75 2.83 57.85 10.60 1.49 0.44 1.38 11.18 3.52P 10.52R 0.36
Tranmere 6 5 +0 -1.72 31.25 2.80 44.92 10.45 -21.09 0.02 0.08 1.03 0.26P 50.34R 5.39
Portsmouth 5 5 +0 -2.78 17.89 -1.51 71.11 10.85 19.99 6.58 15.45 50.46 25.76P 0.88R 0.02
Accrington_Stanley 6 5 -4 -1.91 29.45 -1.86 48.91 10.27 -18.66 0.04 0.16 2.11 0.48P 34.58R 2.72
Oxford_Utd 7 5 -5 -2.99 21.33 -2.15 55.53 10.29 -6.44 0.19 0.63 6.81 1.87P 14.70R 0.62
AFC_Wimbledon 7 2 -6 -5.26 4.97 -2.16 43.76 9.51 -19.76 0.01 0.02 0.38 0.08P 54.25R 5.81
Southend 6 0 -13 -6.42 0.87 -9.89 41.71 10.11 -32.01 0.00 0.02 0.29 0.06P 63.18R 10.13
Bolton 5 -11 -17 -3.42 11.34 -13.03 25.75 10.22 -45.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.80R 71.81
Adjustments:
Bolton -12
Bury -12
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2019, Bradford 2 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Exeter 7 17 +6 5.90 95.09 3.80 79.48 10.33 19.32 21.73 49.91 79.80 57.75P 0.03R 0.01
Newport_County 7 15 +5 5.41 93.08 4.85 71.10 10.24 9.41 5.75 20.29 50.99 27.16P 0.37R 0.12
Crewe 7 15 +2 5.98 94.71 2.77 70.63 10.35 5.36 5.26 19.29 48.83 25.46P 0.48R 0.17
Swindon 7 14 +6 2.96 78.89 3.83 74.21 10.54 16.14 10.82 31.48 63.31 39.32P 0.19R 0.04
Forest_Green 7 13 +1 3.18 80.82 0.57 69.66 10.41 6.09 4.66 17.18 45.38 23.68P 0.62R 0.21
Cheltenham 7 11 +5 0.93 60.18 4.30 62.14 10.32 1.59 1.11 5.65 21.12 8.87P 3.16R 1.10
Grimsby 7 11 +4 2.15 73.04 4.90 60.98 10.19 -0.46 0.75 4.14 17.47 6.80P 4.08R 1.57
Plymouth 7 11 +4 -0.83 41.14 0.57 77.64 11.28 24.02 19.90 44.95 73.72 53.67P 0.15R 0.04
Macclesfield 7 11 +3 2.70 78.23 4.84 52.98 9.81 -13.32 0.09 0.66 4.31 1.23P 16.11R 7.34
Bradford 7 11 +3 -0.60 43.41 0.09 74.85 10.99 18.46 12.69 34.64 65.03 43.82P 0.21R 0.07
Crawley_Town 7 11 +2 1.54 67.04 2.21 58.21 10.13 -7.10 0.40 2.35 11.43 4.03P 6.79R 2.69
Mansfield 7 9 +2 -2.88 21.29 -1.38 72.84 10.22 17.14 8.31 27.05 58.90 37.16P 0.18R 0.07
Colchester 7 9 +0 -1.24 37.23 -0.95 66.78 10.36 6.75 2.60 11.52 35.46 17.59P 1.22R 0.40
Port_Vale 7 9 -2 0.55 57.50 -0.64 55.11 9.78 -11.60 0.14 0.99 6.00 1.88P 11.48R 4.77
Salford_City 7 8 +0 0.27 54.99 3.08 47.18 10.47 -22.18 0.03 0.30 1.90 0.59P 36.36R 21.65
Cambridge_Utd 7 8 -1 0.01 52.02 1.05 54.15 9.92 -10.44 0.10 0.77 5.46 1.66P 13.68R 6.13
Leyton_Orient 7 8 -4 0.15 53.56 -1.44 47.75 10.26 -24.37 0.05 0.27 1.91 0.55P 34.62R 19.77
Northampton 7 7 -1 -2.22 27.70 -0.49 63.38 10.56 3.49 1.38 7.07 24.80 11.42P 2.84R 1.15
Carlisle 7 7 -5 -2.41 26.16 -4.71 59.84 10.53 -5.99 0.60 3.54 15.54 6.17P 5.91R 2.43
Morecambe 7 6 -4 -2.10 28.46 -1.78 49.40 10.00 -18.87 0.03 0.28 2.28 0.63P 27.54R 14.62
Walsall 7 6 -5 -3.69 15.67 -5.25 65.08 10.80 3.57 2.19 9.44 30.25 15.06P 2.35R 0.87
Oldham 7 5 -5 -4.03 13.35 -4.23 62.15 10.43 0.67 0.97 5.21 20.90 9.19P 3.64R 1.43
Stevenage 7 3 -6 -6.14 3.64 -5.44 53.17 10.22 -10.23 0.09 0.77 5.06 1.79P 16.01R 7.57
Scunthorpe 7 1 -10 -8.99 0.42 -10.56 56.14 11.07 -7.49 0.35 2.24 10.13 4.49P 11.98R 5.80
National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 September 2019, Aldershot 1 2 Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Woking 10 23 +10 8.69 96.82 9.16 73.82 10.98 12.26 12.46 47.35 19.70P 1.50R 0.07
Halifax 10 22 +9 7.97 96.39 8.44 74.43 9.80 13.82 10.56 49.79 18.96P 0.65R 0.02
Bromley 10 22 +7 6.07 90.57 3.63 74.14 10.31 10.84 11.45 48.26 19.09P 1.04R 0.02
Maidenhead 10 17 +7 3.78 80.29 7.77 62.12 9.79 0.44 0.93 11.18 2.75P 10.77R 0.85
Stockport 10 17 +2 4.91 85.94 4.57 60.98 10.78 -6.21 1.21 11.23 3.12P 15.85R 1.57
Yeovil 10 16 +4 -1.20 39.09 -1.13 78.94 10.19 24.34 23.35 68.01 38.39P 0.30R 0.01
Dover_Athletic 10 16 +1 1.83 65.90 0.35 66.79 9.98 2.98 2.68 22.37 7.13P 4.82R 0.28
Torquay 10 15 +0 3.40 77.42 3.58 57.10 10.90 -12.34 0.61 6.30 1.60P 27.12R 4.02
Hartlepool 10 15 +0 1.37 62.43 0.14 61.45 9.95 -4.68 0.86 10.07 2.67P 12.79R 1.00
Dag_&_Red 10 15 -1 1.82 66.33 -0.21 64.52 9.88 -0.80 1.53 15.87 4.42P 7.51R 0.41
Solihull_Moors 9 14 +6 -0.90 41.49 2.07 73.09 10.35 18.60 9.88 46.00 19.97P 1.36R 0.06
Barnet 8 13 +2 1.62 66.23 1.30 70.15 10.28 9.57 5.63 33.76 12.43P 2.54R 0.13
Eastleigh 10 12 -2 -0.58 46.22 -0.21 59.99 9.95 -4.24 0.60 7.84 2.02P 15.72R 1.53
Notts_County 10 11 +2 -6.19 8.66 -3.42 73.89 10.48 22.76 11.77 50.13 25.34P 1.39R 0.06
Boreham_Wood 10 11 +1 -2.85 26.87 0.82 57.72 9.79 -3.04 0.29 5.33 1.40P 20.88R 2.08
Sutton_United 10 11 -2 -2.24 31.42 -1.29 57.66 9.89 -6.14 0.36 5.22 1.39P 21.95R 2.28
Harrogate_Town 10 11 -3 -3.39 23.17 -3.93 61.79 10.16 -1.25 0.99 11.29 3.29P 12.31R 1.04
Wrexham 9 10 -2 -3.24 22.52 -3.40 65.16 10.09 4.76 1.93 18.54 6.19P 6.77R 0.44
Barrow 10 10 -4 -2.60 28.69 -2.36 55.76 9.78 -9.57 0.18 3.46 0.90P 27.91R 3.58
AFC_Fylde 9 10 -5 -4.41 15.06 -8.14 65.82 10.36 2.53 2.44 20.64 7.31P 6.51R 0.44
Aldershot 9 8 -4 -2.16 31.07 -0.87 50.09 9.57 -16.31 0.03 0.88 0.20P 50.46R 9.85
Chorley 10 7 -13 -1.28 40.23 -3.70 37.83 9.64 -43.70 0.00 0.05 0.01P 89.12R 61.17
Ebbsfleet_United 10 6 -9 -6.44 6.86 -6.97 55.38 10.01 -9.10 0.13 3.29 0.85P 29.79R 4.36
Chesterfield 10 5 -6 -8.85 2.09 -6.20 54.82 9.99 -5.52 0.12 3.15 0.88P 30.92R 4.72
