Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 6 September 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 September 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Liverpool 4 12 +9 2.59 85.62 1.80 86.69 8.35 57.53 33.86 84.80 95.22 98.34 99.82 0.00 0.00
Man_City 4 10 +11 0.32 54.37 3.21 90.98 7.61 75.24 63.44 94.28 98.59 99.64 99.96 0.00 0.00
Leicester 4 8 +3 1.93 76.22 2.13 55.55 9.34 3.18 0.04 0.45 4.03 10.39 31.85 1.36R 0.14
Crystal_Palace 4 7 +1 1.47 71.63 0.93 50.14 9.06 -5.47 0.01 0.07 0.98 3.42 14.31 4.45R 0.72
Arsenal 4 7 +0 1.16 68.50 -0.38 66.70 9.59 21.04 0.75 5.44 26.68 48.60 77.33 0.10R 0.01
Everton 4 7 +0 0.56 58.46 -1.42 52.84 9.24 -2.31 0.02 0.25 2.23 6.39 22.38 2.44R 0.35
West_Ham 4 7 -1 1.76 76.09 -0.21 48.90 9.37 -10.61 0.00 0.09 0.98 3.15 12.33 6.63R 1.09
Man_Utd 4 5 +3 -2.03 23.58 0.72 63.66 9.34 21.58 0.36 3.14 17.63 35.68 68.06 0.14R 0.01
Tottenham 4 5 +1 -1.65 25.17 -0.83 69.77 9.15 29.87 1.32 9.37 40.56 63.40 86.94 0.01R 0.00
Sheff_Utd 4 5 +0 0.78 63.95 2.04 40.69 9.46 -19.67 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.47 2.78 27.01R 8.35
Chelsea 4 5 -3 -2.08 22.18 -5.55 61.46 9.45 11.77 0.20 2.03 11.91 26.26 57.94 0.30R 0.03
Burnley 4 4 -1 0.17 56.32 1.87 42.60 8.94 -14.88 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.53 3.39 18.59R 4.67
Southampton 4 4 -2 -0.03 52.80 0.45 42.43 9.06 -16.78 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.58 3.65 19.50R 4.97
Newcastle 4 4 -2 -0.85 39.47 -1.00 45.00 8.87 -10.93 0.00 0.02 0.18 0.86 5.54 11.91R 2.33
Bournemouth 4 4 -3 -0.39 47.29 -0.52 42.87 9.33 -18.94 0.00 0.02 0.21 0.78 4.06 19.55R 5.27
Brighton 4 4 -3 0.05 53.66 0.08 37.61 8.60 -23.76 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.95 37.22R 12.04
Wolverhampton 4 3 -1 -1.85 24.45 -0.13 45.41 9.04 -8.58 0.00 0.03 0.29 1.07 6.18 11.67R 2.48
Aston_Villa 4 3 -2 -0.77 39.25 0.99 35.59 9.19 -28.29 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.76 47.40R 19.84
Norwich 4 3 -4 -0.19 48.05 0.96 35.82 9.54 -32.41 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.18 1.01 47.48R 20.84
Watford 4 1 -6 -3.91 6.91 -5.15 36.14 8.91 -27.58 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.76 44.25R 16.87
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Birmingham 2 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Swansea 6 16 +8 6.43 97.75 5.97 80.48 10.86 22.42 22.86 39.54 75.61 48.62P 0.13R 0.02
Charlton 6 14 +6 5.60 94.89 5.72 67.05 11.43 3.32 3.54 7.93 30.13 12.73P 3.58R 0.63
Leeds_United 6 13 +7 3.34 83.26 4.88 79.10 10.81 23.88 19.31 34.88 72.13 45.50P 0.15R 0.01
West_Brom 6 12 +3 1.60 66.71 -0.38 79.62 11.00 22.70 21.45 37.29 73.03 47.92P 0.14R 0.01
Bristol_City 6 11 +3 2.36 75.88 2.40 70.09 10.88 9.13 4.77 11.19 39.91 17.94P 1.62R 0.28
Fulham 6 10 +5 0.16 51.42 2.59 72.10 11.61 15.92 8.36 17.08 48.15 25.75P 1.46R 0.26
Preston 6 10 +4 1.06 62.31 2.99 68.29 10.91 8.93 3.58 8.74 34.31 14.73P 2.39R 0.44
QPR 6 10 +0 2.64 78.94 1.41 56.86 10.63 -13.13 0.29 0.97 7.14 1.98P 17.20R 4.50
Birmingham 6 10 -2 2.66 79.32 -0.64 59.94 10.55 -9.27 0.49 1.57 11.21 3.44P 10.61R 2.46
Nott'm_Forest 6 9 +3 1.09 62.88 3.49 66.52 10.71 7.02 2.25 5.89 28.04 10.90P 3.41R 0.62
Sheff_Wed 6 9 +2 0.01 50.05 0.85 63.25 10.62 1.07 1.26 3.56 18.73 7.00P 5.78R 1.09
Millwall 6 9 -2 2.25 76.03 0.14 57.95 10.28 -10.08 0.27 0.94 7.73 2.13P 13.70R 3.46
Cardiff 6 8 -2 -1.14 37.78 -3.35 64.48 11.40 0.52 2.20 5.32 23.28 9.93P 5.85R 1.22
Brentford 6 7 +1 -1.72 31.30 0.20 67.80 10.90 9.79 3.18 7.93 32.87 14.37P 2.68R 0.49
Luton 6 7 +0 -0.69 43.30 0.92 59.05 11.70 -5.27 0.82 2.24 12.65 4.62P 14.29R 4.16
Reading 6 7 +0 -0.01 51.33 1.95 53.58 10.42 -12.68 0.13 0.44 3.96 1.08P 25.18R 7.67
Blackburn 6 7 -2 -0.22 48.90 -0.34 59.81 10.62 -5.20 0.57 1.64 11.26 3.61P 10.81R 2.56
Middlesbrough 6 6 -1 -3.16 17.44 -2.37 65.68 10.39 6.43 1.80 4.89 24.98 10.61P 3.24R 0.56
Derby 6 6 -3 -2.62 22.50 -3.58 66.43 10.88 5.27 2.26 6.09 28.04 11.97P 3.54R 0.65
Hull 6 5 -3 -2.84 20.73 -2.30 57.23 10.82 -7.73 0.34 1.05 8.18 2.56P 16.24R 4.50
Barnsley 6 5 -5 -2.40 24.89 -3.84 52.38 11.08 -16.20 0.14 0.45 3.83 1.25P 30.75R 11.06
Wigan 6 4 -7 -2.91 19.12 -5.11 51.15 10.46 -18.44 0.07 0.22 2.45 0.71P 34.27R 11.79
Huddersfield 6 1 -6 -5.85 2.48 -4.05 45.66 10.57 -20.40 0.02 0.06 0.86 0.23P 54.11R 26.60
Stoke 6 1 -9 -6.19 1.96 -7.56 49.60 10.34 -18.00 0.03 0.10 1.53 0.41P 38.88R 14.96
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Ipswich 6 14 +10 3.63 86.41 6.78 82.13 10.85 35.17 32.87 51.46 84.47 61.27P 0.07R 0.00
Lincoln_City 6 12 +8 3.17 81.79 7.13 65.70 10.96 10.18 2.90 7.20 31.21 12.43P 2.62R 0.05
Blackpool 6 12 +5 2.97 80.24 3.81 67.52 10.09 10.21 2.89 7.46 35.66 13.80P 1.25R 0.02
Coventry 6 12 +4 3.03 81.37 2.96 64.80 10.15 5.02 1.70 4.83 26.45 9.31P 2.40R 0.02
Wycombe 6 12 +4 3.12 82.19 2.98 59.16 10.33 -4.59 0.56 1.80 12.63 3.73P 7.92R 0.17
Sunderland 6 11 +1 0.74 58.51 -2.21 80.25 10.19 28.21 23.71 43.14 80.99 55.49P 0.05R 0.00
Peterborough 6 10 +6 0.49 55.45 4.08 73.00 10.38 23.33 8.32 19.06 57.89 29.43P 0.35R 0.01
Burton_Albion 6 10 +3 1.06 62.07 1.95 70.11 10.26 15.15 4.86 12.01 45.95 20.54P 0.76R 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 6 10 +2 1.01 62.01 0.94 66.74 10.39 8.94 2.67 7.13 33.60 13.27P 1.70R 0.02
Rochdale 6 9 +3 1.58 68.40 4.29 56.44 10.18 -5.54 0.23 0.81 8.04 2.03P 12.08R 0.47
Doncaster 4 8 +2 1.25 66.63 0.05 70.19 10.99 13.25 6.05 13.59 46.22 21.68P 1.15R 0.01
Shrewsbury 6 8 -2 0.16 53.23 -1.47 59.23 9.90 -3.03 0.38 1.26 11.45 3.43P 6.93R 0.16
Rotherham 4 7 +0 0.57 58.84 -1.49 67.91 11.88 9.18 5.24 11.63 39.18 18.39P 2.62R 0.08
Bristol_Rovers 6 7 -2 -1.10 37.60 -1.91 56.67 10.01 -5.70 0.28 0.85 7.91 2.26P 11.35R 0.37
MK_Dons 5 6 -4 0.02 51.32 -2.55 50.18 10.91 -20.38 0.09 0.32 3.32 0.79P 31.68R 2.68
Gillingham 5 5 +3 -2.03 26.20 2.81 58.24 10.77 1.72 0.52 1.65 12.41 3.85P 10.27R 0.36
Portsmouth 5 5 +0 -2.76 18.41 -1.45 70.82 10.72 19.34 6.34 14.54 49.89 25.03P 0.87R 0.01
Oxford_Utd 6 5 -4 -2.06 27.98 -1.98 56.59 10.48 -5.82 0.32 0.99 8.55 2.37P 13.20R 0.55
Tranmere 5 4 +0 -1.37 33.93 2.68 45.07 10.76 -20.88 0.02 0.09 1.27 0.28P 49.80R 5.29
Accrington_Stanley 5 4 -4 -1.90 27.40 -2.49 48.68 10.32 -18.87 0.03 0.13 1.96 0.42P 35.67R 2.87
AFC_Wimbledon 6 2 -5 -4.23 7.74 -1.75 45.16 9.68 -18.27 0.01 0.04 0.63 0.14P 48.09R 4.44
Southend 6 0 -13 -6.42 0.76 -9.98 41.66 9.99 -31.65 0.00 0.02 0.33 0.07P 63.11R 9.95
Bolton 5 -11 -17 -3.46 10.72 -13.17 25.53 10.24 -45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.05R 72.46
Adjustments:
Bolton -12
Bury -12
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Crawley_Town 1 0 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Exeter 6 14 +4 4.59 91.83 2.25 76.45 10.37 15.31 16.75 41.59 71.96 49.48P 0.09R 0.02
Newport_County 6 12 +4 4.14 89.01 4.36 69.19 10.40 8.03 5.06 18.35 45.75 24.57P 0.78R 0.26
Crewe 6 12 +0 4.49 90.52 1.01 67.45 10.60 1.12 3.78 14.52 38.74 19.58P 1.51R 0.54
Grimsby 6 11 +6 3.28 83.95 6.59 63.90 10.38 3.82 1.99 8.67 27.44 12.54P 2.73R 1.03
Swindon 6 11 +4 1.94 72.01 2.74 71.59 10.64 12.73 8.52 26.48 55.29 33.55P 0.50R 0.17
Plymouth 6 10 +4 -0.17 47.71 1.01 78.46 11.41 24.54 25.32 51.33 76.68 59.01P 0.21R 0.08
Macclesfield 6 10 +3 3.09 82.93 4.87 53.51 9.96 -12.96 0.18 0.93 5.59 1.68P 17.20R 8.08
Crawley_Town 6 10 +2 2.00 72.43 2.36 58.40 10.37 -7.26 0.61 3.25 13.38 5.17P 8.19R 3.36
Forest_Green 6 10 +0 1.74 70.08 -0.16 67.59 10.56 4.44 4.10 15.14 39.69 21.00P 1.42R 0.47
Port_Vale 6 9 -1 1.54 68.63 -0.09 56.40 10.04 -10.63 0.24 1.86 8.91 3.06P 10.84R 4.61
Cheltenham 6 8 +3 -0.36 46.78 2.77 60.04 10.46 -0.88 0.92 4.53 17.26 7.13P 6.08R 2.47
Bradford 6 8 +2 -1.83 29.92 -0.32 73.36 11.05 17.56 12.36 32.83 61.74 41.99P 0.46R 0.15
Cambridge_Utd 6 8 +0 1.15 65.80 1.78 56.01 10.16 -8.72 0.28 1.83 8.67 3.11P 11.99R 5.28
Colchester 6 8 +0 -0.73 41.99 -0.75 67.22 10.47 6.90 3.84 14.41 39.04 20.73P 1.42R 0.48
Leyton_Orient 6 8 -2 0.95 62.74 -0.36 50.12 10.54 -20.32 0.09 0.66 3.57 1.14P 29.06R 15.80
Salford_City 6 7 +0 0.55 58.42 2.89 47.07 10.48 -22.55 0.04 0.33 2.05 0.63P 39.83R 24.69
Northampton 6 7 +0 -1.26 36.12 -0.10 64.46 10.56 4.12 2.33 9.71 29.60 14.53P 2.74R 0.97
Carlisle 6 7 -3 -1.39 34.66 -3.23 62.16 10.76 -2.43 1.44 6.90 22.89 10.71P 4.51R 1.84
Mansfield 6 6 +0 -3.92 11.49 -2.53 70.58 10.45 14.35 6.78 23.21 52.44 32.10P 0.60R 0.18
Morecambe 6 5 -4 -1.61 32.79 -1.66 50.19 10.07 -17.97 0.07 0.48 2.99 0.89P 27.63R 14.87
Walsall 6 5 -5 -3.44 15.66 -5.36 64.97 11.01 2.91 2.69 11.10 31.84 16.89P 3.05R 1.21
Oldham 6 4 -5 -4.01 11.25 -4.78 61.36 10.59 -0.94 1.31 5.76 20.39 9.56P 5.20R 2.15
Stevenage 6 3 -4 -5.05 5.36 -3.91 55.34 10.36 -6.80 0.23 1.63 8.44 3.30P 13.22R 6.06
Scunthorpe 6 1 -8 -8.15 0.57 -9.38 58.24 11.49 -4.39 1.07 4.49 15.65 7.66P 10.74R 5.24
National League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 September 2019, Dag_&_Red 1 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1
Halifax 9 22 +11 8.86 98.32 9.74 76.73 10.04 17.13 15.17 56.68 24.14P 0.36R 0.00
Woking 9 22 +10 9.07 98.04 9.18 74.84 11.41 13.13 14.16 49.08 21.34P 1.31R 0.03
Bromley 9 19 +6 4.58 85.45 2.78 71.53 10.48 8.24 7.27 36.89 13.35P 1.88R 0.04
Maidenhead 9 17 +8 4.80 87.36 8.26 63.94 10.08 1.98 1.51 14.18 3.94P 7.74R 0.29
Stockport 9 17 +5 5.99 91.47 7.06 66.23 11.16 2.77 3.47 21.88 7.19P 7.01R 0.32
Dover_Athletic 9 16 +3 2.98 75.37 1.99 69.73 10.29 7.43 5.00 30.39 10.63P 2.66R 0.09
Solihull_Moors 9 14 +6 -0.94 41.04 2.02 72.74 10.28 18.10 8.39 42.90 17.97P 1.35R 0.03
Hartlepool 9 14 +0 1.51 64.16 -0.20 61.42 10.17 -5.39 0.79 9.81 2.61P 12.70R 0.57
Yeovil 9 13 +2 -2.12 31.00 -2.09 76.16 10.78 20.70 15.67 55.16 28.66P 0.83R 0.01
Barnet 8 13 +2 1.56 65.47 1.24 70.43 10.25 10.00 5.31 33.29 12.16P 2.22R 0.06
Torquay 9 12 -2 2.17 70.50 2.10 52.35 10.95 -19.13 0.18 2.49 0.59P 42.13R 6.00
Dag_&_Red 9 12 -2 0.41 54.52 -0.85 62.63 10.17 -2.21 0.99 11.57 3.19P 10.29R 0.53
Harrogate_Town 9 11 -1 -2.06 32.00 -2.00 65.06 10.43 3.82 1.96 17.31 5.66P 7.35R 0.26
Eastleigh 9 11 -2 -0.23 48.91 -0.26 60.52 10.22 -3.98 0.68 8.41 2.24P 14.61R 0.89
Notts_County 9 10 +2 -5.54 9.87 -3.06 75.39 10.77 24.70 14.25 53.46 28.17P 0.99R 0.02
Wrexham 9 10 -2 -3.15 23.04 -3.26 65.62 10.04 5.44 1.94 18.00 6.12P 5.58R 0.19
Sutton_United 9 10 -2 -2.28 29.98 -1.94 57.22 10.21 -7.43 0.29 4.81 1.25P 23.02R 1.61
AFC_Fylde 9 10 -5 -4.38 15.24 -8.11 65.77 10.30 2.58 2.18 19.00 6.73P 6.13R 0.22
Boreham_Wood 9 8 -1 -4.34 15.33 -1.00 54.16 9.91 -7.86 0.15 2.50 0.63P 32.05R 2.52
Aldershot 8 8 -3 -1.09 40.50 -0.31 51.89 9.89 -14.62 0.06 1.47 0.34P 41.60R 4.59
Barrow 9 7 -5 -3.86 17.92 -2.82 54.09 10.06 -10.55 0.11 2.26 0.59P 33.14R 3.29
Chesterfield 9 5 -5 -7.63 3.19 -5.44 57.01 10.33 -3.23 0.29 4.78 1.42P 23.06R 2.05
Ebbsfleet_United 9 5 -9 -6.14 6.75 -7.04 55.96 10.26 -8.82 0.18 3.68 1.07P 26.97R 2.37
Chorley 9 4 -16 -2.62 26.06 -5.98 32.84 9.56 -52.80 0.00 0.00 0.00P 95.01R 74.02
