Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 4 September 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 September 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 4 12 +9 2.59 85.62 1.80 86.64 8.29 57.31 33.49 85.24 95.36 98.41 99.78 0.00 0.00 Man_City 4 10 +11 0.30 54.15 3.21 90.99 7.63 75.26 63.99 94.64 98.77 99.69 99.98 0.00 0.00 Leicester 4 8 +3 1.93 76.21 2.14 55.59 9.39 3.19 0.03 0.48 4.20 10.88 32.31 1.39R 0.19 Crystal_Palace 4 7 +1 1.50 72.04 0.98 49.88 9.16 -5.79 0.01 0.09 1.07 3.28 13.79 5.04R 0.73 Arsenal 4 7 +0 1.16 68.53 -0.35 66.29 9.55 20.34 0.69 5.02 26.16 47.38 75.75 0.11R 0.02 Everton 4 7 +0 0.52 57.68 -1.48 53.11 9.31 -1.90 0.01 0.23 2.33 6.69 23.45 2.44R 0.36 West_Ham 4 7 -1 1.73 75.91 -0.26 49.19 9.41 -10.07 0.00 0.08 1.03 3.31 13.22 6.17R 1.06 Man_Utd 4 5 +3 -2.02 23.52 0.73 63.60 9.29 21.46 0.33 3.05 17.62 35.89 67.86 0.18R 0.03 Tottenham 4 5 +1 -1.61 25.71 -0.75 69.45 9.16 29.27 1.23 9.10 39.99 62.49 85.98 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 4 5 +0 0.80 64.42 2.06 40.52 9.37 -19.87 0.00 0.01 0.14 0.51 2.65 27.24R 8.26 Chelsea 4 5 -3 -2.08 22.14 -5.55 61.59 9.35 12.00 0.22 2.00 12.10 26.65 58.69 0.27R 0.03 Burnley 4 4 -1 0.18 56.52 1.87 42.58 8.97 -14.92 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.59 3.47 18.93R 4.76 Southampton 4 4 -2 -0.05 52.41 0.40 42.53 9.01 -16.49 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.57 3.44 19.26R 4.95 Newcastle 4 4 -2 -0.88 39.29 -1.05 45.12 8.87 -10.70 0.00 0.02 0.21 0.96 5.48 11.70R 2.31 Bournemouth 4 4 -3 -0.39 47.16 -0.56 42.91 9.36 -18.85 0.00 0.02 0.26 0.86 4.21 19.45R 5.06 Brighton 4 4 -3 0.05 53.83 0.09 37.65 8.56 -23.73 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.87 37.08R 11.93 Wolverhampton 4 3 -1 -1.85 24.68 -0.12 45.46 9.14 -8.52 0.00 0.02 0.34 1.27 6.32 11.74R 2.71 Aston_Villa 4 3 -2 -0.79 38.87 0.95 35.77 9.25 -27.86 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.14 0.90 46.87R 19.47 Norwich 4 3 -4 -0.17 48.44 0.98 35.82 9.49 -32.42 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.18 1.13 47.17R 20.59 Watford 4 1 -6 -3.87 7.00 -5.07 36.05 8.95 -27.73 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.12 0.74 44.97R 17.54Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Birmingham 2 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Swansea 6 16 +8 6.48 97.73 6.00 80.39 10.74 22.29 22.25 38.78 75.53 48.22P 0.11R 0.01 Charlton 6 14 +6 5.58 94.93 5.70 67.25 11.25 3.60 3.23 7.84 30.68 12.55P 3.30R 0.65 Leeds_United 6 13 +7 3.32 83.19 4.89 79.13 10.79 23.91 19.07 34.81 72.31 45.44P 0.16R 0.02 West_Brom 6 12 +3 1.56 66.45 -0.46 79.94 11.06 23.20 22.35 38.31 73.82 49.02P 0.19R 0.04 Bristol_City 6 11 +3 2.36 75.62 2.38 70.12 10.92 9.21 4.78 11.24 40.00 18.03P 1.65R 0.28 Fulham 6 10 +5 0.17 51.68 2.60 71.96 11.78 15.73 8.63 17.09 47.59 25.49P 1.61R 0.28 Preston 6 10 +4 1.00 61.76 2.89 68.44 11.07 9.17 3.93 9.26 34.92 15.39P 2.40R 0.42 QPR 6 10 +0 2.61 78.64 1.35 57.08 10.60 -12.78 0.32 0.97 7.34 2.02P 16.58R 4.33 Birmingham 6 10 -2 2.67 79.35 -0.63 59.99 10.62 -9.18 0.57 1.64 11.60 3.61P 10.66R 2.44 Nott'm_Forest 6 9 +3 1.15 63.70 3.59 66.43 10.80 6.91 2.25 5.88 28.01 10.91P 3.36R 0.58 Sheff_Wed 6 9 +2 0.02 50.28 0.89 63.25 10.63 1.06 1.28 3.37 18.87 6.92P 5.67R 1.09 Millwall 6 9 -2 2.25 76.08 0.17 57.82 10.25 -10.24 0.25 0.88 7.44 2.08P 14.03R 3.45 Cardiff 6 8 -2 -1.16 37.67 -3.40 64.30 11.42 0.20 2.07 5.19 23.04 9.78P 5.86R 1.26 Brentford 6 7 +1 -1.76 30.63 0.14 67.94 10.90 9.96 3.09 8.02 33.11 14.50P 2.66R 0.54 Luton 6 7 +0 -0.68 43.55 0.95 58.90 11.74 -5.58 0.81 2.33 12.44 4.63P 14.82R 4.32 Reading 6 7 +0 -0.03 51.18 1.92 53.90 10.35 -12.17 0.11 0.38 4.00 1.04P 24.14R 7.10 Blackburn 6 7 -2 -0.21 49.08 -0.29 59.61 10.79 -5.58 0.57 1.76 11.38 3.70P 11.51R 2.86 Middlesbrough 6 6 -1 -3.11 17.56 -2.30 65.44 10.34 6.10 1.68 4.60 23.99 10.03P 3.34R 0.57 Derby 6 6 -3 -2.60 22.65 -3.56 66.27 10.75 5.05 2.16 5.69 27.18 11.40P 3.41R 0.59 Hull 6 5 -3 -2.85 20.91 -2.29 57.23 10.99 -7.73 0.39 1.16 8.44 2.87P 16.63R 4.73 Barnsley 6 5 -5 -2.43 24.63 -3.90 52.53 10.96 -15.88 0.12 0.41 3.72 1.09P 29.87R 10.78 Wigan 6 4 -7 -2.89 19.26 -5.08 50.83 10.25 -18.90 0.04 0.18 2.11 0.56P 35.01R 12.19 Huddersfield 6 1 -6 -5.82 2.47 -4.00 45.56 10.57 -20.55 0.02 0.08 0.83 0.25P 54.65R 26.75 Stoke 6 1 -9 -6.20 1.90 -7.55 49.84 10.37 -17.79 0.03 0.12 1.63 0.47P 38.38R 14.71League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Ipswich 6 14 +10 3.59 86.22 6.75 82.15 10.85 35.17 32.96 51.54 84.36 61.48P 0.05R 0.00 Lincoln_City 6 12 +8 3.17 82.25 7.14 65.68 10.83 10.20 2.71 6.88 31.08 12.00P 2.58R 0.05 Blackpool 6 12 +5 2.98 80.35 3.83 67.44 10.06 10.09 2.72 7.49 35.65 13.83P 1.31R 0.01 Coventry 6 12 +4 3.06 81.52 2.98 64.67 10.09 4.88 1.69 4.69 25.80 9.01P 2.53R 0.04 Wycombe 6 12 +4 3.10 81.89 2.93 59.39 10.23 -4.07 0.55 1.74 12.87 3.73P 7.41R 0.17 Sunderland 6 11 +1 0.76 58.87 -2.21 80.17 10.26 28.13 24.03 43.03 80.88 55.36P 0.06R 0.00 Peterborough 6 10 +6 0.52 55.93 4.12 72.92 10.51 23.15 8.40 19.26 57.86 29.46P 0.46R 0.01 Burton_Albion 6 10 +3 1.09 62.54 1.98 69.94 10.37 14.93 4.70 11.87 45.81 20.37P 0.85R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 6 10 +2 1.02 62.29 0.95 66.70 10.34 8.89 2.60 6.95 33.40 13.09P 1.86R 0.03 Rochdale 6 9 +3 1.60 68.39 4.35 56.28 10.29 -5.82 0.26 0.86 8.20 2.15P 12.78R 0.50 Doncaster 4 8 +2 1.24 66.41 0.05 70.23 11.04 13.31 6.10 13.86 46.87 22.03P 1.27R 0.01 Shrewsbury 6 8 -2 0.15 53.12 -1.50 59.43 9.96 -2.75 0.39 1.40 12.19 3.64P 6.97R 0.17 Rotherham 4 7 +0 0.59 59.29 -1.47 67.91 11.81 9.02 5.18 11.50 39.20 18.32P 2.59R 0.08 Bristol_Rovers 6 7 -2 -1.10 37.62 -1.91 56.75 10.01 -5.54 0.23 0.81 7.78 2.20P 11.43R 0.40 MK_Dons 5 6 -4 -0.00 50.77 -2.59 50.28 11.03 -20.12 0.10 0.32 3.57 0.88P 31.99R 2.56 Gillingham 5 5 +3 -2.04 26.04 2.78 58.37 10.70 1.95 0.64 1.77 12.38 4.12P 9.81R 0.29 Portsmouth 5 5 +0 -2.79 17.99 -1.49 70.73 10.86 19.23 6.46 14.94 49.43 25.13P 0.99R 0.02 Oxford_Utd 6 5 -4 -2.07 27.98 -1.96 56.41 10.47 -6.12 0.20 0.82 8.37 2.28P 13.52R 0.56 Tranmere 5 4 +0 -1.37 34.00 2.69 45.01 10.67 -21.02 0.03 0.08 1.19 0.28P 49.44R 5.62 Accrington_Stanley 5 4 -4 -1.89 27.68 -2.49 48.67 10.36 -18.81 0.04 0.16 2.07 0.43P 35.71R 2.77 AFC_Wimbledon 6 2 -5 -4.24 7.78 -1.79 45.21 9.78 -18.20 0.00 0.02 0.67 0.14P 47.86R 4.55 Southend 6 0 -13 -6.43 0.77 -10.03 41.90 9.96 -31.23 0.00 0.02 0.35 0.07P 62.59R 8.93 Bolton 5 -11 -17 -3.44 11.00 -13.12 25.39 10.22 -45.28 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 95.95R 73.22 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Crawley_Town 1 0 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 6 14 +4 4.57 91.90 2.21 76.47 10.36 15.38 16.55 41.82 72.10 49.75P 0.08R 0.02 Newport_County 6 12 +4 4.12 89.13 4.34 69.08 10.34 7.82 4.89 17.85 45.21 23.91P 0.90R 0.29 Crewe 6 12 +0 4.52 90.57 1.00 67.39 10.70 1.04 3.87 14.43 38.80 19.42P 1.64R 0.61 Grimsby 6 11 +6 3.28 84.01 6.57 63.99 10.42 3.97 2.01 8.52 27.68 12.34P 2.67R 0.95 Swindon 6 11 +4 1.95 72.09 2.75 71.77 10.66 12.96 8.76 26.57 55.58 33.78P 0.51R 0.15 Plymouth 6 10 +4 -0.15 47.92 1.03 78.61 11.37 24.78 25.55 51.43 77.20 59.43P 0.14R 0.04 Macclesfield 6 10 +3 3.14 83.44 4.92 53.40 9.95 -13.17 0.13 0.95 5.47 1.66P 17.09R 7.71 Crawley_Town 6 10 +2 1.99 72.28 2.35 58.24 10.39 -7.53 0.65 3.27 12.88 5.05P 8.39R 3.51 Forest_Green 6 10 +0 1.76 70.20 -0.13 67.64 10.63 4.51 4.04 15.20 39.82 20.92P 1.45R 0.51 Port_Vale 6 9 -1 1.45 67.96 -0.20 56.84 10.08 -10.00 0.31 2.04 9.67 3.48P 10.17R 4.43 Cheltenham 6 8 +3 -0.33 47.18 2.82 59.93 10.46 -1.05 0.91 4.48 17.10 7.10P 6.04R 2.45 Bradford 6 8 +2 -1.79 30.48 -0.26 73.03 11.30 17.14 11.97 32.17 60.35 40.84P 0.56R 0.23 Cambridge_Utd 6 8 +0 1.18 65.92 1.80 55.85 10.11 -8.99 0.25 1.73 8.30 2.89P 11.87R 5.35 Colchester 6 8 +0 -0.75 42.22 -0.76 67.49 10.55 7.25 3.84 15.23 39.75 21.63P 1.40R 0.45 Leyton_Orient 6 8 -2 0.96 62.80 -0.33 49.85 10.55 -20.84 0.11 0.65 3.50 1.12P 29.87R 16.34 Salford_City 6 7 +0 0.53 58.15 2.86 47.23 10.54 -22.22 0.03 0.31 2.12 0.59P 39.22R 24.27 Northampton 6 7 +0 -1.28 35.92 -0.11 64.69 10.78 4.43 2.57 10.26 30.53 15.01P 2.81R 1.09 Carlisle 6 7 -3 -1.40 34.80 -3.24 62.12 10.65 -2.48 1.41 6.56 22.44 10.41P 4.47R 1.67 Mansfield 6 6 +0 -3.90 11.84 -2.49 70.51 10.61 14.23 6.84 23.28 52.17 32.51P 0.76R 0.22 Morecambe 6 5 -4 -1.62 32.65 -1.66 50.21 10.11 -17.85 0.05 0.45 3.01 0.92P 27.69R 14.90 Walsall 6 5 -5 -3.41 16.07 -5.32 65.12 11.16 3.18 2.95 11.43 32.47 17.35P 3.16R 1.24 Oldham 6 4 -5 -4.00 11.37 -4.77 61.16 10.56 -1.28 1.10 5.38 19.84 9.11P 5.33R 2.22 Stevenage 6 3 -4 -5.07 5.50 -3.91 55.24 10.36 -7.02 0.20 1.59 8.24 3.02P 13.34R 6.18 Scunthorpe 6 1 -8 -8.19 0.52 -9.44 58.33 11.44 -4.26 1.02 4.40 15.77 7.76P 10.43R 5.19National League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 September 2019, Dag_&_Red 1 1 Bromley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Halifax 9 22 +11 8.86 98.36 9.77 76.67 9.96 17.10 14.83 56.46 23.95P 0.36R 0.01 Woking 9 22 +10 9.06 98.07 9.15 74.80 11.20 13.21 13.61 48.89 20.91P 1.30R 0.02 Bromley 9 19 +6 4.53 84.97 2.72 71.60 10.52 8.42 7.51 37.09 13.91P 1.91R 0.03 Maidenhead 9 17 +8 4.88 87.46 8.38 63.67 10.05 1.58 1.43 13.64 3.58P 8.33R 0.25 Stockport 9 17 +5 5.99 91.42 7.05 66.19 11.11 2.70 3.42 21.52 6.98P 6.84R 0.34 Dover_Athletic 9 16 +3 3.01 75.89 2.01 69.73 10.27 7.42 4.89 30.71 10.67P 2.81R 0.08 Solihull_Moors 9 14 +6 -0.90 41.57 2.05 72.73 10.20 18.03 8.50 42.27 17.71P 1.23R 0.02 Hartlepool 9 14 +0 1.48 64.19 -0.23 61.47 10.17 -5.27 0.84 9.78 2.62P 12.59R 0.49 Yeovil 9 13 +2 -2.19 30.32 -2.21 76.37 10.61 20.98 16.05 56.17 28.98P 0.75R 0.02 Barnet 8 13 +2 1.52 65.28 1.17 70.55 10.30 10.24 5.32 33.49 12.19P 2.28R 0.05 Torquay 9 12 -2 2.13 70.10 2.06 52.53 10.96 -18.88 0.21 2.76 0.75P 41.68R 5.41 Dag_&_Red 9 12 -2 0.38 54.33 -0.87 62.89 10.16 -1.87 1.07 11.95 3.33P 9.95R 0.50 Harrogate_Town 9 11 -1 -2.06 32.11 -2.04 65.04 10.34 3.82 1.98 17.46 5.83P 7.12R 0.29 Eastleigh 9 11 -2 -0.15 49.72 -0.16 60.18 10.17 -4.50 0.66 7.79 2.15P 15.20R 0.90 Notts_County 9 10 +2 -5.49 10.13 -2.98 75.33 10.81 24.56 14.48 53.34 28.14P 1.05R 0.03 Wrexham 9 10 -2 -3.10 23.42 -3.20 65.61 10.13 5.40 2.02 18.33 6.37P 5.83R 0.23 Sutton_United 9 10 -2 -2.34 29.38 -2.06 57.33 10.06 -7.29 0.30 4.66 1.24P 22.35R 1.45 AFC_Fylde 9 10 -5 -4.34 15.48 -8.07 65.70 10.23 2.40 2.03 18.73 6.48P 6.22R 0.20 Boreham_Wood 9 8 -1 -4.35 15.33 -1.02 54.32 10.04 -7.62 0.11 2.64 0.66P 31.88R 2.59 Aldershot 8 8 -3 -1.05 40.87 -0.25 51.81 9.93 -14.75 0.05 1.42 0.33P 41.95R 4.76 Barrow 9 7 -5 -3.93 17.63 -2.92 54.31 10.06 -10.20 0.16 2.56 0.71P 32.26R 3.11 Chesterfield 9 5 -5 -7.58 3.49 -5.33 56.96 10.41 -3.38 0.31 4.77 1.46P 23.59R 2.06 Ebbsfleet_United 9 5 -9 -6.21 6.29 -7.12 55.89 10.24 -8.88 0.19 3.54 1.04P 27.34R 2.40 Chorley 9 4 -16 -2.58 26.25 -5.89 32.66 9.56 -53.21 0.00 0.02 0.00P 95.18R 74.75