Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 1 September 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 September 2019, Arsenal 2 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +9       2.59    85.81     1.77    86.49     8.43    57.16    33.20    84.39    94.96    98.23    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          4   10  +11       0.29    53.91     3.19    90.93     7.61    75.18    64.00    94.46    98.67    99.68    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         4    8   +3       1.96    76.33     2.18    55.51     9.47     3.09     0.04     0.57     4.15    10.77    32.20     1.46R    0.18  
Crystal_Palace    4    7   +1       1.46    71.44     0.94    50.18     9.21    -5.46     0.01     0.10     1.17     3.66    14.82     4.87R    0.79  
Arsenal           4    7   +0       1.14    68.25    -0.37    66.44     9.63    20.64     0.81     5.57    26.58    47.90    76.09     0.09R    0.01  
Everton           4    7   +0       0.54    58.02    -1.46    53.00     9.19    -2.08     0.02     0.22     2.26     6.64    22.47     2.35R    0.30  
West_Ham          4    7   -1       1.76    76.30    -0.24    48.92     9.34   -10.50     0.00     0.07     1.00     3.13    12.68     6.45R    1.09  
Man_Utd           4    5   +3      -2.02    23.61     0.72    63.76     9.34    21.80     0.43     3.40    18.40    36.34    68.52     0.12R    0.01  
Tottenham         4    5   +1      -1.59    25.85    -0.71    69.41     9.25    29.28     1.31     9.26    39.44    61.77    85.51     0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd         4    5   +0       0.78    63.92     2.04    40.74     9.43   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.49     2.80    26.96R    8.04  
Chelsea           4    5   -3      -2.08    22.11    -5.57    61.51     9.34    11.83     0.19     1.90    12.09    26.62    58.40     0.27R    0.02  
Burnley           4    4   -1       0.17    56.30     1.85    42.51     8.97   -15.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.54     3.37    19.28R    4.83  
Southampton       4    4   -2      -0.04    52.66     0.41    42.49     9.05   -16.64     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.55     3.50    19.57R    4.82  
Newcastle         4    4   -2      -0.87    39.36    -1.03    44.98     8.86   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.26     1.00     5.39    11.95R    2.39  
Bournemouth       4    4   -3      -0.37    47.38    -0.53    42.89     9.30   -18.89     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.80     4.04    19.28R    5.15  
Brighton          4    4   -3       0.05    53.79     0.05    37.64     8.59   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.96    37.16R   11.77  
Wolverhampton     4    3   -1      -1.86    24.52    -0.12    45.49     9.13    -8.47     0.00     0.02     0.35     1.29     6.50    11.84R    2.64  
Aston_Villa       4    3   -2      -0.77    39.19     0.98    35.84     9.36   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     1.04    46.48R   19.67  
Norwich           4    3   -4      -0.17    48.58     1.05    35.73     9.69   -32.75     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.21     1.21    47.85R   21.63  
Watford           4    1   -6      -3.91     6.90    -5.14    36.30     8.92   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.77    43.99R   16.65  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Birmingham 2 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Swansea          6   16   +8       6.43    97.67     5.96    80.59    10.81    22.54    22.93    39.74    75.89    49.00P    0.10R    0.01  
Charlton         6   14   +6       5.62    94.89     5.73    66.99    11.28     3.25     3.27     7.62    29.99    12.32P    3.49R    0.53  
Leeds_United     6   13   +7       3.33    83.25     4.89    79.32    10.85    24.19    19.53    35.45    73.04    45.93P    0.21R    0.02  
West_Brom        6   12   +3       1.56    66.58    -0.44    79.65    11.04    22.80    21.27    36.95    73.08    47.78P    0.18R    0.01  
Bristol_City     6   11   +3       2.37    75.83     2.38    70.26    10.87     9.45     4.72    11.16    40.53    18.06P    1.49R    0.23  
Fulham           6   10   +5       0.13    50.94     2.55    72.23    11.72    16.15     8.65    17.41    48.40    25.91P    1.48R    0.24  
Preston          6   10   +4       1.07    62.46     2.98    68.05    10.95     8.54     3.35     8.31    33.15    14.20P    2.52R    0.42  
QPR              6   10   +0       2.66    78.78     1.48    56.62    10.70   -13.52     0.30     0.99     6.94     1.95P   17.77R    4.68  
Birmingham       6   10   -2       2.65    79.00    -0.67    60.16    10.52    -8.89     0.62     1.72    11.35     3.67P   10.19R    2.32  
Nott'm_Forest    6    9   +3       1.10    62.86     3.51    66.79    10.80     7.45     2.33     6.29    29.06    11.61P    3.18R    0.57  
Sheff_Wed        6    9   +2       0.02    50.16     0.86    63.14    10.69     0.88     1.25     3.34    18.62     6.68P    5.84R    1.17  
Millwall         6    9   -2       2.29    76.60     0.22    57.61    10.26   -10.59     0.25     0.78     7.20     2.01P   14.47R    3.61  
Cardiff          6    8   -2      -1.14    37.88    -3.36    64.47    11.35     0.43     2.24     5.17    23.24     9.77P    5.71R    1.23  
Brentford        6    7   +1      -1.73    30.82     0.19    67.85    10.93     9.89     3.09     7.98    33.06    14.67P    2.61R    0.53  
Luton            6    7   +0      -0.62    44.10     1.02    58.69    11.67    -5.91     0.83     2.21    12.02     4.35P   15.12R    4.39  
Reading          6    7   +0      -0.03    51.09     1.92    53.72    10.43   -12.44     0.16     0.42     3.99     1.06P   24.79R    7.56  
Blackburn        6    7   -2      -0.23    48.84    -0.36    59.79    10.64    -5.30     0.56     1.71    11.23     3.76P   10.97R    2.65  
Middlesbrough    6    6   -1      -3.17    16.96    -2.38    65.57    10.30     6.32     1.69     4.63    24.19    10.20P    3.10R    0.53  
Derby            6    6   -3      -2.67    22.08    -3.66    66.77    10.76     5.79     2.38     6.28    28.88    12.23P    3.06R    0.53  
Hull             6    5   -3      -2.83    20.80    -2.25    57.12    10.85    -7.97     0.39     1.08     7.85     2.50P   16.60R    4.82  
Barnsley         6    5   -5      -2.44    24.55    -3.90    52.57    10.95   -15.95     0.10     0.41     3.73     1.16P   29.95R   10.55  
Wigan            6    4   -7      -2.94    18.84    -5.16    51.16    10.31   -18.45     0.05     0.18     2.23     0.58P   33.54R   11.63  
Huddersfield     6    1   -6      -5.84     2.44    -4.03    45.64    10.52   -20.45     0.01     0.05     0.83     0.23P   54.18R   26.68  
Stoke            6    1   -9      -6.17     1.89    -7.50    49.50    10.27   -18.21     0.02     0.09     1.51     0.39P   39.43R   15.10  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich               6   14  +10       3.66    86.49     6.84    81.85    10.84    34.68    31.85    50.17    83.64    60.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Lincoln_City          6   12   +8       3.15    81.74     7.08    65.74    10.90    10.30     2.83     7.06    31.28    12.35P    2.52R    0.06  
Blackpool             6   12   +5       2.93    79.96     3.75    67.72    10.06    10.50     3.10     7.91    36.23    14.33P    1.02R    0.01  
Coventry              6   12   +4       3.04    81.44     2.95    64.83    10.13     5.17     1.68     4.71    26.52     9.18P    2.39R    0.04  
Wycombe               6   12   +4       3.14    82.31     3.01    59.17    10.29    -4.54     0.59     1.83    12.45     3.69P    7.72R    0.20  
Sunderland            6   11   +1       0.70    58.19    -2.25    80.10    10.21    28.01    23.73    42.79    80.65    54.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough          6   10   +6       0.51    55.59     4.11    72.80    10.53    22.92     8.24    18.99    57.19    29.19P    0.51R    0.01  
Burton_Albion         6   10   +3       1.07    62.25     1.96    70.11    10.32    15.14     4.90    12.05    45.88    20.37P    0.74R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town        6   10   +2       0.98    61.79     0.89    66.82    10.41     9.13     2.91     7.27    33.84    13.42P    1.74R    0.02  
Rochdale              6    9   +3       1.62    68.69     4.37    56.13    10.16    -6.04     0.23     0.76     7.55     1.88P   12.80R    0.46  
Doncaster             4    8   +2       1.25    66.62     0.06    70.37    11.06    13.48     6.25    14.16    46.94    22.26P    1.08R    0.02  
Shrewsbury            6    8   -2       0.13    52.88    -1.53    59.41    10.02    -2.76     0.42     1.38    12.11     3.62P    7.17R    0.17  
Rotherham             4    7   +0       0.55    58.48    -1.53    68.09    11.92     9.42     5.45    11.82    39.85    18.89P    2.68R    0.09  
Bristol_Rovers        6    7   -2      -1.12    37.63    -1.94    57.04     9.99    -5.13     0.28     0.83     8.29     2.41P   10.45R    0.34  
MK_Dons               5    6   -4      -0.00    50.67    -2.57    50.18    11.02   -20.32     0.13     0.36     3.38     0.92P   31.74R    2.65  
Gillingham            5    5   +3      -2.02    26.19     2.80    58.46    10.74     2.05     0.58     1.77    12.69     4.01P    9.52R    0.33  
Portsmouth            5    5   +0      -2.76    18.29    -1.44    70.70    10.90    19.16     6.48    14.89    49.27    25.03P    1.01R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd            6    5   -4      -2.01    28.55    -1.89    56.46    10.49    -6.04     0.31     1.00     8.33     2.43P   13.20R    0.51  
Tranmere              5    4   +0      -1.35    34.26     2.70    45.00    10.74   -20.96     0.02     0.09     1.23     0.31P   49.55R    5.61  
Accrington_Stanley    5    4   -4      -1.81    28.47    -2.37    48.18    10.26   -19.52     0.03     0.13     1.74     0.41P   36.91R    3.20  
AFC_Wimbledon         6    2   -5      -4.21     7.79    -1.75    44.99     9.75   -18.48     0.01     0.02     0.64     0.12P   48.48R    4.99  
Southend              6    0  -13      -6.42     0.80   -10.01    41.67     9.98   -31.62     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P   63.11R    9.59  
Bolton                5  -11  -17      -3.49    10.61   -13.24    25.75    10.21   -44.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.59R   71.65  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Crawley_Town 1 0 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter            6   14   +4       4.59    91.80     2.25    76.55    10.42    15.42    16.70    42.24    72.41    50.08P    0.11R    0.04  
Newport_County    6   12   +4       4.16    89.35     4.37    69.00    10.35     7.76     4.79    17.86    45.02    23.86P    0.84R    0.31  
Crewe             6   12   +0       4.52    90.64     1.01    67.41    10.62     1.04     3.75    14.24    38.76    19.14P    1.57R    0.54  
Grimsby           6   11   +6       3.29    84.50     6.58    63.90    10.29     3.84     1.99     8.56    27.30    12.30P    2.58R    1.00  
Swindon           6   11   +4       1.95    71.77     2.76    71.78    10.65    12.96     8.72    26.61    56.07    33.78P    0.46R    0.14  
Plymouth          6   10   +4      -0.17    47.59     1.02    78.58    11.35    24.76    25.42    51.66    77.44    59.55P    0.18R    0.06  
Macclesfield      6   10   +3       3.12    83.33     4.90    53.43     9.93   -13.13     0.16     0.94     5.41     1.65P   17.25R    7.94  
Crawley_Town      6   10   +2       2.04    72.98     2.44    58.07    10.38    -7.76     0.58     3.11    12.76     4.93P    8.70R    3.56  
Forest_Green      6   10   +0       1.72    69.85    -0.18    67.65    10.48     4.54     3.84    15.13    40.05    20.99P    1.36R    0.46  
Port_Vale         6    9   -1       1.54    68.64    -0.08    56.52    10.03   -10.47     0.27     1.80     9.02     3.20P   10.99R    4.86  
Cheltenham        6    8   +3      -0.32    47.25     2.84    59.73    10.42    -1.36     0.90     4.36    16.42     6.98P    6.42R    2.67  
Bradford          6    8   +2      -1.83    29.89    -0.32    73.23    11.25    17.41    12.23    32.68    61.09    41.50P    0.55R    0.21  
Cambridge_Utd     6    8   +0       1.16    65.63     1.78    56.09     9.95    -8.58     0.23     1.61     8.44     2.87P   11.37R    4.94  
Colchester        6    8   +0      -0.75    42.17    -0.76    67.34    10.57     7.09     3.89    14.81    39.23    21.22P    1.44R    0.53  
Leyton_Orient     6    8   -2       0.97    63.09    -0.34    49.90    10.54   -20.79     0.12     0.62     3.55     1.12P   30.04R   16.64  
Salford_City      6    7   +0       0.47    57.53     2.78    47.43    10.55   -21.98     0.04     0.29     2.10     0.59P   38.69R   23.63  
Northampton       6    7   +0      -1.29    35.77    -0.13    64.66    10.64     4.42     2.35    10.30    30.47    15.23P    2.66R    1.02  
Carlisle          6    7   -3      -1.38    34.77    -3.22    61.98    10.64    -2.67     1.48     6.55    22.06    10.15P    4.76R    1.90  
Mansfield         6    6   +0      -3.95    11.56    -2.55    70.57    10.54    14.32     7.15    23.12    52.50    32.39P    0.69R    0.23  
Morecambe         6    5   -4      -1.60    32.75    -1.66    50.28    10.13   -17.79     0.06     0.52     3.16     0.96P   27.65R   14.94  
Walsall           6    5   -5      -3.40    16.19    -5.30    64.77    11.12     2.70     2.85    11.01    31.39    16.67P    3.29R    1.39  
Oldham            6    4   -5      -4.00    11.34    -4.78    61.39    10.66    -0.99     1.18     5.69    20.89     9.58P    5.25R    2.22  
Stevenage         6    3   -4      -5.08     5.37    -3.93    55.42    10.32    -6.70     0.24     1.69     8.47     3.27P   13.01R    5.88  
Scunthorpe        6    1   -8      -8.21     0.51    -9.48    58.50    11.42    -4.04     1.08     4.60    16.01     7.99P   10.12R    4.89  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Bromley 2 2 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Woking              8   21  +10       9.73    99.08     9.63    76.03    11.69    14.32    16.27    52.62    23.65P    1.31R    0.05  
Halifax             8   19  +10       7.42    97.06     9.05    74.58    10.20    15.46    10.67    47.77    18.61P    0.76R    0.02  
Bromley             8   18   +6       4.98    88.84     2.79    72.47    10.83     9.09     8.60    39.98    15.25P    1.85R    0.06  
Maidenhead          8   16   +8       5.01    89.26     8.05    63.74    10.26     1.11     1.38    13.93     3.65P    8.57R    0.40  
Dover_Athletic      8   15   +3       3.44    80.17     2.13    70.22    10.65     7.56     5.46    32.01    11.28P    2.87R    0.12  
Stockport           8   14   +4       4.37    85.97     6.08    63.19    11.48    -0.46     2.09    15.54     4.87P   12.07R    1.01  
Solihull_Moors      8   13   +6      -0.80    41.68     1.56    73.26    10.67    18.37     9.63    44.15    19.21P    1.44R    0.04  
Barnet              8   13   +2       1.52    65.03     1.16    70.38    10.30     9.98     4.97    32.51    11.93P    2.23R    0.07  
Hartlepool          8   11   -1       0.06    51.51    -0.92    59.24    10.42    -7.46     0.60     7.05     1.91P   18.45R    1.26  
Torquay             8   11   -2       2.35    73.08     1.86    51.98    11.20   -20.75     0.23     2.56     0.67P   43.92R    7.48  
Dag_&_Red           8   11   -2       0.66    57.60    -1.01    63.15    10.52    -2.21     1.25    12.91     3.75P   10.36R    0.71  
Yeovil              8   10   +1      -3.36    20.46    -2.57    74.63    10.97    19.96    12.37    49.15    24.47P    1.22R    0.04  
Sutton_United       8   10   -1      -1.35    37.36    -1.58    58.39    10.38    -7.01     0.43     5.96     1.57P   20.41R    1.57  
AFC_Fylde           8   10   -4      -2.98    22.90    -7.09    68.34    10.63     5.34     3.95    26.43    10.01P    4.20R    0.17  
Notts_County        8    9   +2      -5.14    10.24    -3.10    76.28    11.25    25.83    16.64    55.95    30.44P    1.13R    0.03  
Wrexham             8    9   -2      -2.59    25.91    -2.98    66.32    10.18     5.88     2.13    19.86     6.71P    5.13R    0.23  
Boreham_Wood        8    8   +1      -3.25    21.17     0.58    56.98    10.30    -3.90     0.26     4.58     1.16P   23.55R    1.99  
Harrogate_Town      8    8   -3      -2.84    24.78    -2.60    63.70    10.69     2.30     1.55    14.79     4.66P    9.68R    0.61  
Aldershot           8    8   -3      -1.05    41.11    -0.21    51.82     9.93   -14.92     0.07     1.43     0.28P   42.12R    5.49  
Eastleigh           8    8   -4      -1.57    35.66    -1.73    57.47    10.42    -8.31     0.35     5.14     1.32P   23.08R    2.30  
Barrow              8    7   -4      -2.73    25.08    -2.14    56.07    10.48    -8.96     0.27     4.06     1.13P   27.39R    2.90  
Chesterfield        8    5   -4      -6.48     4.98    -4.74    59.08    10.57    -1.13     0.59     7.29     2.30P   18.48R    1.60  
Ebbsfleet_United    8    4   -9      -5.81     6.30    -7.07    56.26    10.66    -9.04     0.24     4.28     1.15P   26.94R    3.00  
Chorley             8    4  -14      -2.02    30.85    -5.16    34.40    10.00   -51.04     0.00     0.04     0.01P   92.83R   68.83