Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 31 August 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Burnley 0 3 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         4   12   +9       2.63    86.07     1.92    86.31     8.39    56.30    33.21    83.76    95.12    98.39    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          4   10  +11       0.34    54.72     3.35    90.75     7.71    74.08    63.66    93.75    98.67    99.65    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         4    8   +3       2.00    77.12     2.23    55.42     9.42     3.12     0.06     0.52     3.97    10.69    32.38     1.46R    0.18  
Crystal_Palace    4    7   +1       1.49    71.87     0.95    49.99     9.11    -5.45     0.00     0.11     1.03     3.50    14.37     4.71R    0.70  
West_Ham          4    7   -1       1.75    76.13    -0.26    48.89     9.31   -10.34     0.00     0.09     0.93     3.10    12.88     6.38R    1.15  
Arsenal           3    6   +0       1.49    72.36    -0.44    66.53     9.78    19.96     0.85     6.15    27.49    48.94    76.69     0.10R    0.02  
Man_Utd           4    5   +3      -2.00    23.73     0.78    63.46     9.30    21.11     0.39     3.23    17.48    35.63    67.98     0.14R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd         4    5   +0       0.77    63.74     1.99    40.77     9.33   -19.13     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.51     2.78    26.60R    8.16  
Chelsea           4    5   -3      -2.08    22.10    -5.53    61.29     9.33    11.38     0.20     1.91    11.33    26.11    58.38     0.32R    0.03  
Tottenham         3    4   +1      -1.16    30.25    -0.61    69.62     9.52    28.63     1.60    10.24    40.88    63.05    86.11     0.03R    0.00  
Burnley           4    4   -1       0.18    56.59     1.83    42.62     8.95   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.54     3.59    18.97R    4.75  
Everton           3    4   -1      -0.76    39.20    -1.98    50.99     9.43    -3.34     0.02     0.16     1.63     4.99    17.97     4.31R    0.69  
Southampton       4    4   -2      -0.03    52.87     0.40    42.33     8.99   -16.51     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.58     3.47    20.09R    5.08  
Newcastle         4    4   -2      -0.89    38.85    -1.09    45.23     8.84   -10.30     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.01     5.87    11.42R    2.15  
Bournemouth       4    4   -3      -0.39    47.17    -0.58    43.02     9.37   -18.30     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.85     4.58    19.52R    5.25  
Brighton          4    4   -3       0.05    53.62     0.02    37.64     8.56   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     1.00    37.40R   11.88  
Wolverhampton     3    3   +0      -0.78    37.04     0.44    46.96     9.25    -6.70     0.01     0.04     0.55     1.83     9.18     9.05R    1.88  
Aston_Villa       4    3   -2      -0.83    38.37     0.84    35.88     9.28   -27.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.17     0.99    46.73R   19.62  
Norwich           4    3   -4      -0.19    48.20     0.91    35.88     9.61   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.20     1.28    47.57R   20.95  
Watford           4    1   -6      -3.89     6.82    -5.14    36.09     8.87   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.12     0.77    45.18R   17.49  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Birmingham 2 1 Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Swansea          6   16   +8       6.40    97.58     5.92    80.63    10.84    22.66    22.85    39.54    76.20    48.95P    0.11R    0.01  
Charlton         6   14   +6       5.61    95.00     5.72    67.02    11.25     3.29     3.31     7.74    29.55    12.23P    3.28R    0.56  
Leeds_United     6   13   +7       3.32    83.41     4.87    79.32    10.70    24.23    19.22    35.47    72.90    46.03P    0.15R    0.01  
West_Brom        6   12   +3       1.54    66.05    -0.47    79.70    11.02    22.79    21.28    37.11    73.20    47.96P    0.20R    0.03  
Bristol_City     6   11   +3       2.38    76.18     2.38    70.05    10.81     9.09     4.62    10.89    39.60    17.66P    1.61R    0.27  
Fulham           6   10   +5       0.11    50.92     2.51    72.49    11.73    16.55     8.85    17.72    49.57    26.58P    1.45R    0.25  
Preston          6   10   +4       1.06    62.53     2.97    68.26    11.02     8.89     3.64     8.61    34.17    14.66P    2.59R    0.44  
QPR              6   10   +0       2.66    79.10     1.46    56.67    10.46   -13.46     0.25     0.80     6.64     1.81P   16.92R    4.43  
Birmingham       6   10   -2       2.62    79.06    -0.69    60.18    10.42    -8.91     0.52     1.62    11.32     3.46P    9.94R    2.27  
Nott'm_Forest    6    9   +3       1.15    63.82     3.59    66.49    10.73     6.97     2.31     5.82    27.74    10.79P    3.22R    0.56  
Sheff_Wed        6    9   +2       0.01    50.06     0.83    63.21    10.65     0.99     1.30     3.43    18.60     6.93P    5.83R    1.20  
Millwall         6    9   -2       2.23    75.62     0.13    58.04    10.28    -9.90     0.29     0.95     7.82     2.22P   13.44R    3.21  
Cardiff          6    8   -2      -1.12    38.00    -3.33    64.38    11.37     0.29     2.06     5.18    22.76     9.61P    5.71R    1.26  
Brentford        6    7   +1      -1.78    30.18     0.13    68.08    10.91    10.20     3.42     8.38    33.88    15.20P    2.53R    0.46  
Luton            6    7   +0      -0.64    44.10     1.01    58.71    11.76    -5.93     0.86     2.25    12.15     4.47P   15.37R    4.39  
Reading          6    7   +0       0.02    51.76     2.02    53.34    10.40   -13.03     0.10     0.36     3.74     0.99P   26.18R    7.86  
Blackburn        6    7   -2      -0.28    48.00    -0.41    60.01    10.66    -4.95     0.57     1.60    11.82     3.67P   10.73R    2.49  
Middlesbrough    6    6   -1      -3.10    17.74    -2.30    65.43    10.36     6.15     1.68     4.65    23.95    10.04P    3.36R    0.60  
Derby            6    6   -3      -2.58    22.68    -3.54    66.44    10.82     5.30     2.27     6.00    27.75    11.67P    3.30R    0.60  
Hull             6    5   -3      -2.80    21.08    -2.23    57.15    10.91    -7.90     0.34     1.08     8.25     2.68P   16.66R    4.72  
Barnsley         6    5   -5      -2.43    24.84    -3.89    52.50    11.02   -16.02     0.14     0.45     3.79     1.16P   30.13R   10.87  
Wigan            6    4   -7      -2.93    18.93    -5.13    50.99    10.39   -18.64     0.06     0.18     2.22     0.62P   34.17R   11.89  
Huddersfield     6    1   -6      -5.85     2.46    -4.05    45.72    10.58   -20.30     0.03     0.08     0.92     0.25P   53.59R   26.27  
Stoke            6    1   -9      -6.18     1.95    -7.51    49.40    10.29   -18.36     0.02     0.08     1.46     0.37P   39.53R   15.37  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich               6   14  +10       3.60    86.33     6.74    82.32    10.89    35.52    33.23    52.09    84.63    62.05P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City          6   12   +8       3.15    81.81     7.11    65.75    10.92    10.27     2.84     7.15    31.21    12.17P    2.50R    0.05  
Blackpool             6   12   +5       2.95    80.20     3.76    67.51    10.14    10.20     2.83     7.75    35.78    14.07P    1.23R    0.02  
Coventry              6   12   +4       3.04    81.28     2.94    64.70    10.09     4.93     1.63     4.57    25.89     8.94P    2.38R    0.04  
Wycombe               6   12   +4       3.13    82.27     3.01    59.34    10.18    -4.29     0.50     1.59    12.60     3.53P    7.40R    0.17  
Sunderland            6   11   +1       0.74    58.69    -2.22    80.21    10.18    28.18    23.55    42.63    80.98    55.10P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough          6   10   +6       0.55    56.06     4.16    72.87    10.50    23.01     8.15    18.85    57.39    29.02P    0.46R    0.00  
Burton_Albion         6   10   +3       1.07    62.32     1.97    70.06    10.30    15.05     4.74    11.74    45.93    20.24P    0.81R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town        6   10   +2       0.96    61.65     0.85    66.91    10.44     9.21     2.70     7.21    34.36    13.49P    1.71R    0.03  
Rochdale              6    9   +3       1.63    68.62     4.39    56.31    10.31    -5.74     0.26     0.86     8.15     2.10P   12.81R    0.47  
Doncaster             4    8   +2       1.24    66.55     0.05    70.29    11.10    13.35     6.29    13.82    46.74    21.96P    1.18R    0.02  
Shrewsbury            6    8   -2       0.10    52.56    -1.54    59.53    10.05    -2.59     0.41     1.54    12.54     3.79P    6.90R    0.17  
Rotherham             4    7   +0       0.58    59.02    -1.47    67.89    11.90     9.02     5.34    11.55    38.92    18.47P    2.55R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers        6    7   -2      -1.10    37.74    -1.91    56.62    10.01    -5.78     0.27     0.85     7.66     2.20P   11.38R    0.43  
MK_Dons               5    6   -4      -0.00    50.76    -2.59    50.35    10.86   -19.99     0.09     0.30     3.33     0.81P   31.23R    2.54  
Gillingham            5    5   +3      -1.99    26.47     2.87    57.82    10.76     1.00     0.49     1.62    11.65     3.68P   10.80R    0.36  
Portsmouth            5    5   +0      -2.77    18.10    -1.46    70.79    10.85    19.31     6.33    14.70    49.57    25.03P    0.98R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd            6    5   -4      -2.07    28.32    -1.95    56.45    10.47    -6.06     0.26     0.90     8.51     2.44P   13.02R    0.49  
Tranmere              5    4   +0      -1.38    33.72     2.66    45.14    10.71   -20.76     0.03     0.10     1.24     0.29P   49.04R    5.73  
Accrington_Stanley    5    4   -4      -1.84    27.96    -2.43    48.37    10.25   -19.30     0.02     0.12     1.87     0.38P   36.59R    2.93  
AFC_Wimbledon         6    2   -5      -4.21     8.05    -1.75    45.08     9.74   -18.41     0.01     0.04     0.72     0.16P   48.50R    4.52  
Southend              6    0  -13      -6.44     0.72   -10.02    41.78    10.00   -31.39     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   62.57R    9.78  
Bolton                5  -11  -17      -3.46    10.84   -13.19    25.68    10.14   -44.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    95.88R   72.19  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Crawley_Town 1 0 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter            6   14   +4       4.58    91.75     2.24    76.52    10.46    15.47    16.65    42.11    72.07    49.95P    0.14R    0.03  
Newport_County    6   12   +4       4.14    89.12     4.36    68.90    10.46     7.67     4.82    17.73    44.78    23.71P    0.98R    0.31  
Crewe             6   12   +0       4.51    90.43     1.01    67.48    10.65     1.19     3.94    14.47    38.74    19.59P    1.58R    0.56  
Grimsby           6   11   +6       3.34    84.70     6.65    63.66    10.35     3.47     1.87     8.21    26.56    11.75P    2.68R    0.97  
Swindon           6   11   +4       1.96    72.06     2.79    71.59    10.71    12.69     8.35    26.14    55.26    33.39P    0.53R    0.16  
Plymouth          6   10   +4      -0.14    47.95     1.05    78.59    11.34    24.76    25.24    51.46    77.25    59.51P    0.15R    0.06  
Macclesfield      6   10   +3       3.13    83.29     4.91    53.18     9.93   -13.55     0.15     0.96     5.12     1.58P   17.73R    8.14  
Crawley_Town      6   10   +2       1.94    72.07     2.31    58.52    10.33    -7.10     0.63     3.29    13.38     5.04P    8.06R    3.34  
Forest_Green      6   10   +0       1.71    69.92    -0.19    67.72    10.62     4.61     4.07    15.13    40.61    21.25P    1.51R    0.57  
Port_Vale         6    9   -1       1.51    68.35    -0.13    56.53    10.06   -10.40     0.33     1.74     8.96     3.04P   10.78R    4.64  
Cheltenham        6    8   +3      -0.31    47.65     2.86    59.63    10.47    -1.51     0.86     4.26    16.57     6.82P    6.52R    2.55  
Bradford          6    8   +2      -1.82    29.91    -0.31    73.35    11.20    17.56    12.45    32.91    61.62    41.78P    0.51R    0.15  
Cambridge_Utd     6    8   +0       1.21    66.23     1.82    55.97    10.08    -8.77     0.26     1.66     8.49     2.93P   11.60R    5.40  
Colchester        6    8   +0      -0.80    41.70    -0.84    67.59    10.58     7.37     3.94    15.32    40.19    21.81P    1.31R    0.47  
Leyton_Orient     6    8   -2       0.97    63.11    -0.32    49.81    10.53   -20.92     0.07     0.61     3.43     1.09P   30.18R   16.68  
Salford_City      6    7   +0       0.51    58.09     2.80    47.44    10.70   -21.97     0.04     0.36     2.37     0.70P   38.87R   23.93  
Northampton       6    7   +0      -1.28    35.98    -0.10    64.55    10.55     4.21     2.24     9.65    29.58    14.50P    2.59R    0.93  
Carlisle          6    7   -3      -1.39    34.72    -3.24    62.34    10.62    -2.17     1.44     6.80    23.11    10.53P    4.27R    1.69  
Mansfield         6    6   +0      -3.94    11.56    -2.57    70.71    10.58    14.52     7.10    23.69    52.86    32.83P    0.63R    0.18  
Morecambe         6    5   -4      -1.63    32.45    -1.70    50.27    10.11   -17.86     0.07     0.47     2.95     0.93P   27.18R   14.70  
Walsall           6    5   -5      -3.42    16.00    -5.31    64.98    11.08     2.97     3.00    11.28    31.82    17.10P    3.03R    1.18  
Oldham            6    4   -5      -4.01    11.12    -4.77    61.49    10.58    -0.82     1.21     5.71    20.66     9.36P    5.10R    2.13  
Stevenage         6    3   -4      -5.04     5.56    -3.87    55.20    10.37    -6.98     0.25     1.61     8.06     3.16P   13.59R    6.12  
Scunthorpe        6    1   -8      -8.19     0.51    -9.45    58.29    11.43    -4.42     0.99     4.42    15.56     7.65P   10.47R    5.10  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 August 2019, Bromley 2 2 AFC_Fylde; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Woking              8   21  +10       9.77    99.10     9.65    75.99    11.65    14.30    16.07    52.51    23.41P    1.37R    0.03  
Halifax             8   19  +10       7.47    97.00     9.11    74.60    10.32    15.45    10.74    48.10    18.98P    0.77R    0.02  
Bromley             8   18   +6       5.00    89.00     2.84    72.36    10.80     8.95     8.43    39.90    14.92P    1.90R    0.06  
Maidenhead          8   16   +8       5.08    89.75     8.12    63.58    10.26     0.82     1.47    13.53     3.62P    8.85R    0.45  
Dover_Athletic      8   15   +3       3.48    80.35     2.15    70.16    10.54     7.48     5.18    31.87    10.97P    2.79R    0.10  
Stockport           8   14   +4       4.36    85.84     6.03    63.42    11.50    -0.15     2.16    15.92     5.04P   11.98R    0.96  
Solihull_Moors      8   13   +6      -0.81    41.39     1.57    73.07    10.69    18.03     9.30    43.35    18.82P    1.49R    0.04  
Barnet              8   13   +2       1.52    65.36     1.18    70.43    10.31    10.05     5.02    32.59    11.87P    2.40R    0.07  
Hartlepool          8   11   -1       0.08    51.59    -0.90    59.20    10.48    -7.53     0.53     7.06     1.86P   18.62R    1.37  
Torquay             8   11   -2       2.31    72.72     1.82    52.13    11.34   -20.63     0.25     2.92     0.76P   43.76R    7.77  
Dag_&_Red           8   11   -2       0.67    57.78    -1.00    62.85    10.51    -2.61     1.30    12.40     3.64P   10.92R    0.75  
Yeovil              8   10   +1      -3.46    19.66    -2.69    74.83    11.07    20.33    13.18    50.19    25.28P    1.25R    0.05  
Sutton_United       8   10   -1      -1.35    37.34    -1.56    58.31    10.42    -7.10     0.50     6.16     1.77P   20.67R    1.66  
AFC_Fylde           8   10   -4      -3.00    22.84    -7.09    68.37    10.57     5.42     3.61    26.31     9.92P    4.26R    0.17  
Notts_County        8    9   +2      -5.12    10.33    -3.04    76.24    11.26    25.75    16.77    55.80    30.23P    1.07R    0.04  
Wrexham             8    9   -2      -2.60    25.78    -2.99    66.25    10.18     5.80     2.16    19.77     6.82P    5.24R    0.24  
Boreham_Wood        8    8   +1      -3.27    20.96     0.56    57.13    10.34    -3.64     0.33     4.96     1.34P   23.10R    1.96  
Harrogate_Town      8    8   -3      -2.81    25.02    -2.58    63.52    10.71     2.00     1.50    14.61     4.67P   10.12R    0.67  
Aldershot           8    8   -3      -1.10    40.54    -0.30    52.12     9.88   -14.44     0.08     1.45     0.28P   41.05R    4.96  
Eastleigh           8    8   -4      -1.55    35.95    -1.71    57.45    10.32    -8.32     0.33     4.93     1.21P   23.00R    2.18  
Barrow              8    7   -4      -2.79    24.32    -2.20    56.33    10.48    -8.59     0.26     4.29     1.09P   26.57R    2.77  
Chesterfield        8    5   -4      -6.43     5.25    -4.67    58.94    10.59    -1.42     0.58     7.07     2.28P   18.96R    1.82  
Ebbsfleet_United    8    4   -9      -5.80     6.29    -7.06    56.24    10.60    -9.08     0.24     4.30     1.21P   27.20R    2.92  
Chorley             8    4  -14      -2.04    30.95    -5.23    34.46    10.00   -50.90     0.00     0.03     0.00P   92.66R   68.94