Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 30 August 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 August 2019, Bournemouth 1 3 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Liverpool 3 9 +6 1.98 80.90 0.56 85.00 8.69 53.67 32.02 78.76 92.01 96.97 99.57 0.00 0.00 Man_City 3 7 +7 0.05 50.65 1.91 89.76 7.94 71.04 63.20 91.87 97.61 99.27 99.91 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 3 6 +0 1.48 71.89 -0.49 66.70 9.88 20.31 1.22 7.31 26.65 47.19 76.40 0.11R 0.02 Leicester 3 5 +1 0.82 64.41 0.93 53.30 9.65 0.44 0.03 0.38 2.67 7.13 24.65 2.83R 0.45 Man_Utd 3 4 +3 -1.17 32.58 1.44 65.04 9.65 23.20 0.94 5.63 21.39 40.51 72.38 0.12R 0.01 Burnley 3 4 +2 0.59 63.60 3.15 43.96 9.22 -11.68 0.00 0.02 0.22 0.85 4.86 16.36R 4.14 Tottenham 3 4 +1 -1.16 30.54 -0.64 69.78 9.45 28.96 2.05 11.91 39.45 61.05 85.97 0.02R 0.00 Brighton 3 4 +1 0.18 55.66 1.37 38.72 8.75 -20.22 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.17 1.33 33.38R 10.31 Sheff_Utd 3 4 +0 0.56 62.53 1.00 39.42 9.59 -21.81 0.00 0.01 0.13 0.42 2.39 32.91R 11.41 Crystal_Palace 3 4 +0 0.28 57.96 0.61 48.64 9.41 -6.21 0.01 0.07 0.73 2.59 11.82 7.18R 1.44 Bournemouth 3 4 -1 0.48 62.32 0.54 44.72 9.65 -15.44 0.00 0.04 0.45 1.32 6.32 15.71R 3.92 Everton 3 4 -1 -0.84 38.02 -2.10 50.98 9.46 -3.29 0.02 0.18 1.45 4.44 17.41 4.31R 0.71 Chelsea 3 4 -3 -1.03 35.14 -4.49 63.15 9.62 13.79 0.50 3.65 15.36 31.65 64.64 0.24R 0.02 West_Ham 3 4 -3 0.64 64.52 -1.36 46.82 9.63 -13.16 0.01 0.06 0.65 2.03 9.36 11.01R 2.54 Wolverhampton 3 3 +0 -0.73 37.86 0.51 47.00 9.33 -6.66 0.00 0.05 0.52 1.86 8.90 9.61R 2.02 Aston_Villa 3 3 -1 0.20 53.92 1.34 36.82 9.59 -27.53 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.20 1.33 44.22R 18.07 Norwich 3 3 -2 0.75 64.20 2.10 37.70 9.98 -29.50 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.40 1.93 41.03R 16.96 Southampton 3 3 -2 -0.09 48.72 -0.24 41.72 9.26 -18.19 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.55 3.16 23.36R 6.70 Newcastle 3 3 -2 -0.26 45.57 -0.72 46.05 9.13 -9.64 0.00 0.02 0.33 1.31 6.81 10.93R 2.34 Watford 3 0 -6 -3.75 3.62 -5.43 35.98 9.16 -28.08 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 0.86 46.68R 18.96Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 30 August 2019, Cardiff 1 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leeds_United 5 13 +8 4.76 94.55 5.95 82.09 11.04 27.62 28.01 45.23 79.60 55.00P 0.08R 0.01 Swansea 5 13 +7 4.70 94.39 4.79 77.37 11.06 19.22 15.07 28.60 65.44 38.21P 0.24R 0.03 Charlton 5 11 +4 4.13 90.80 3.94 63.33 11.55 -1.94 1.69 4.41 20.41 7.58P 7.41R 1.81 Fulham 6 10 +5 0.15 51.15 2.54 72.35 11.60 16.33 8.27 17.15 48.53 25.73P 1.43R 0.22 Bristol_City 5 10 +3 2.88 82.53 2.58 70.68 11.02 9.60 5.18 12.15 41.75 19.13P 1.52R 0.22 Preston 5 9 +4 1.26 64.88 2.71 68.39 11.29 8.56 3.90 9.27 34.74 15.30P 2.70R 0.47 Sheff_Wed 5 9 +3 1.68 70.11 2.32 66.25 10.91 4.50 2.44 6.03 27.00 10.80P 3.57R 0.71 West_Brom 5 9 +2 0.62 56.60 -0.36 79.00 11.15 23.30 19.39 34.58 70.96 45.45P 0.23R 0.03 Nott'm_Forest 5 8 +3 1.63 71.31 3.78 67.36 11.08 7.71 2.86 7.35 30.63 12.79P 2.99R 0.64 Cardiff 6 8 -2 -1.10 38.18 -3.30 64.49 11.36 0.48 2.02 5.07 22.96 9.66P 5.95R 1.24 Millwall 5 8 -2 2.73 83.27 0.34 58.51 10.53 -9.84 0.32 1.13 8.57 2.42P 13.23R 3.37 Reading 5 7 +2 1.21 66.97 3.73 56.86 10.82 -7.78 0.27 1.04 7.48 2.29P 17.18R 4.68 QPR 5 7 -1 0.72 60.65 -0.03 53.65 10.70 -16.78 0.13 0.44 4.28 1.07P 26.44R 8.37 Blackburn 5 7 -1 0.56 58.60 -0.34 60.33 10.93 -5.58 0.72 2.05 12.67 4.18P 10.65R 2.62 Birmingham 5 7 -3 1.24 67.60 -1.32 57.88 10.70 -10.90 0.37 1.23 8.28 2.56P 15.19R 3.89 Derby 5 6 +0 -1.71 29.40 -1.28 69.74 11.01 11.31 4.31 10.46 38.80 18.33P 1.89R 0.33 Middlesbrough 5 5 -1 -2.96 16.85 -2.58 65.56 10.53 5.84 1.75 4.75 24.67 10.28P 3.53R 0.68 Luton 5 4 -1 -1.86 29.07 0.64 57.74 12.05 -5.91 0.74 2.02 11.12 4.06P 17.65R 5.88 Brentford 5 4 -2 -2.98 16.61 -2.23 64.25 11.14 3.93 1.71 4.56 22.22 9.12P 5.67R 1.16 Hull 5 4 -3 -2.59 20.64 -2.44 57.39 11.20 -8.29 0.46 1.31 8.96 2.89P 16.81R 5.10 Barnsley 5 4 -5 -2.28 24.25 -4.15 52.57 11.39 -16.94 0.19 0.53 4.28 1.31P 31.02R 11.74 Wigan 5 3 -7 -2.35 21.73 -4.78 51.56 10.61 -18.71 0.08 0.29 2.63 0.70P 32.91R 11.76 Huddersfield 5 1 -5 -4.84 4.17 -3.61 47.38 11.04 -18.94 0.04 0.15 1.51 0.43P 47.90R 22.48 Stoke 5 1 -8 -5.09 3.56 -6.90 51.13 10.61 -16.79 0.07 0.21 2.52 0.71P 33.80R 12.53League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2019, Bolton 0 5 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Ipswich 5 11 +7 2.83 82.16 5.05 78.95 11.31 29.27 20.95 38.80 75.82 49.79P 0.14R 0.00 Blackpool 5 11 +5 3.22 85.16 3.64 68.07 10.33 10.50 3.39 8.67 38.18 15.39P 0.97R 0.01 Wycombe 5 11 +4 3.66 88.68 3.28 60.16 10.50 -3.49 0.64 2.06 15.08 4.38P 6.47R 0.26 Sunderland 5 11 +4 1.74 71.02 0.19 83.87 10.56 34.63 36.83 56.76 88.25 67.30P 0.02R 0.00 Coventry 5 11 +4 3.44 87.48 2.97 65.09 10.44 5.16 1.83 5.18 27.91 9.75P 2.26R 0.06 Fleetwood_Town 5 10 +4 2.04 74.85 2.39 69.26 10.63 12.71 4.43 10.81 42.94 18.31P 0.93R 0.03 Lincoln_City 5 9 +6 1.96 72.57 5.78 62.06 11.43 5.12 1.55 4.14 22.06 7.87P 5.52R 0.32 Shrewsbury 5 9 +2 1.63 69.51 1.19 63.40 10.25 3.76 1.14 3.67 22.54 7.85P 2.90R 0.08 Doncaster 4 8 +2 1.23 66.40 0.02 70.63 11.17 13.82 6.25 14.30 48.37 22.86P 1.02R 0.04 Peterborough 5 7 +3 -0.76 41.31 1.65 68.93 10.81 15.92 4.29 10.88 42.73 18.98P 1.18R 0.05 Burton_Albion 5 7 +1 -0.08 49.81 0.64 67.67 10.60 11.75 3.09 8.40 37.45 15.80P 1.45R 0.04 Bristol_Rovers 5 7 +0 -0.20 48.16 -0.60 58.59 10.35 -2.69 0.41 1.46 11.93 3.58P 7.88R 0.38 Rochdale 5 6 +0 0.32 55.19 1.86 52.37 10.46 -12.12 0.10 0.39 4.34 1.09P 21.92R 1.94 Rotherham 3 6 +0 1.42 69.64 -0.69 70.08 12.49 11.97 7.56 15.91 46.46 23.72P 2.01R 0.11 Portsmouth 4 4 +0 -2.43 19.20 -1.49 71.54 11.10 19.74 6.84 16.22 52.57 27.02P 0.80R 0.03 Oxford_Utd 5 4 -4 -1.61 31.57 -1.95 56.71 10.73 -5.78 0.33 1.09 9.46 2.81P 12.06R 0.83 MK_Dons 4 4 -4 -0.70 42.96 -2.72 48.92 11.40 -20.71 0.08 0.30 3.20 0.80P 34.94R 5.05 Tranmere 4 3 +0 -1.42 29.91 1.86 43.37 11.08 -24.37 0.03 0.07 1.11 0.21P 53.83R 10.94 Gillingham 4 2 -2 -2.62 17.49 -0.62 53.77 10.98 -7.63 0.20 0.69 6.31 1.79P 18.92R 1.73 AFC_Wimbledon 5 1 -5 -3.76 8.28 -1.62 45.44 10.13 -18.39 0.01 0.05 0.90 0.17P 44.91R 6.52 Accrington_Stanley 4 1 -5 -3.31 10.52 -3.22 46.38 10.55 -20.46 0.02 0.09 1.45 0.34P 41.98R 6.35 Southend 5 0 -10 -5.32 1.60 -7.51 44.74 10.51 -25.26 0.02 0.04 0.92 0.16P 48.56R 8.58 Bolton 4 -11 -12 -3.20 11.38 -10.11 30.04 10.62 -33.46 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 89.33R 56.66 Adjustments: Bolton -12 Bury -12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2019, Bradford 0 1 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Exeter 5 11 +3 3.16 85.39 1.53 74.11 10.66 13.41 10.25 32.54 63.96 40.71P 0.23R 0.07 Plymouth 5 10 +6 1.09 63.19 2.82 82.07 11.63 29.91 34.08 62.33 84.79 69.35P 0.07R 0.02 Forest_Green 5 10 +2 3.10 84.66 1.85 70.80 10.88 9.08 6.48 22.75 51.98 29.97P 0.68R 0.22 Macclesfield 5 9 +3 3.17 85.45 4.48 52.93 10.11 -14.23 0.11 0.89 5.12 1.59P 18.58R 9.04 Newport_County 5 9 +2 2.64 80.91 2.55 65.70 10.60 3.44 2.22 10.72 33.76 15.78P 2.03R 0.79 Crewe 5 9 -1 2.92 82.61 0.07 64.93 10.83 -1.17 2.02 9.73 30.99 14.22P 2.81R 1.05 Grimsby 5 8 +4 1.62 71.66 4.54 60.09 10.41 -1.23 0.69 4.09 17.21 6.76P 5.83R 2.35 Cheltenham 5 8 +4 0.85 61.62 3.57 61.79 10.65 0.59 1.18 6.13 22.24 9.48P 4.45R 1.70 Bradford 5 8 +3 -0.45 44.48 0.70 75.85 11.50 20.24 15.69 40.03 69.45 48.93P 0.30R 0.12 Swindon 5 8 +2 0.91 62.50 1.64 69.46 10.88 10.07 5.27 19.64 47.72 26.46P 0.95R 0.34 Cambridge_Utd 5 8 +1 2.33 79.30 2.58 57.71 10.35 -7.32 0.40 2.53 11.97 4.30P 8.91R 3.70 Crawley_Town 5 7 +1 0.48 57.40 1.57 56.29 10.64 -9.18 0.37 2.17 10.47 3.74P 11.65R 5.41 Leyton_Orient 5 7 -2 1.26 67.40 -0.41 49.98 10.70 -21.30 0.10 0.68 3.72 1.14P 29.31R 16.71 Mansfield 5 6 +1 -2.79 17.33 -1.84 72.32 10.75 15.98 8.25 27.94 58.69 37.34P 0.47R 0.15 Salford_City 5 6 +0 0.97 64.13 2.98 47.96 10.92 -21.78 0.08 0.52 2.88 0.94P 36.74R 22.49 Port_Vale 5 6 -2 0.01 51.35 -0.92 54.46 10.36 -12.20 0.22 1.33 7.12 2.42P 15.43R 7.17 Colchester 5 5 -1 -2.45 21.45 -1.82 64.74 10.82 4.62 2.04 9.88 31.44 15.50P 2.60R 0.96 Morecambe 5 5 -2 -0.89 40.31 -0.67 51.73 10.40 -15.63 0.12 0.76 4.60 1.47P 22.59R 11.70 Walsall 5 5 -3 -2.03 26.26 -3.31 68.77 11.31 8.41 5.06 18.46 44.99 25.87P 1.45R 0.55 Northampton 5 4 -2 -2.81 18.12 -2.00 60.97 10.81 -0.66 1.05 5.48 20.27 8.85P 5.53R 2.26 Carlisle 5 4 -4 -3.13 15.49 -4.40 59.21 10.82 -5.60 0.75 3.90 15.85 6.55P 7.72R 3.41 Oldham 5 4 -4 -2.58 20.49 -3.68 63.41 10.95 1.02 1.69 8.08 26.95 12.76P 3.86R 1.56 Stevenage 5 2 -4 -4.37 6.39 -3.46 56.45 10.47 -5.68 0.25 1.99 10.26 3.89P 10.92R 4.99 Scunthorpe 5 1 -7 -6.77 1.14 -8.40 61.41 11.79 -0.80 1.62 7.42 23.58 11.98P 6.89R 3.24National League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 August 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot4 Bot1 Woking 7 18 +9 8.44 98.58 9.11 73.42 11.91 12.08 11.77 44.95 18.67P 2.34R 0.12 Bromley 7 17 +6 5.36 92.59 2.80 72.52 11.04 8.58 8.89 41.06 15.34P 1.92R 0.07 Halifax 7 16 +9 5.91 94.61 8.19 71.91 10.37 12.92 6.91 38.85 13.82P 1.61R 0.05 Solihull_Moors 7 13 +7 0.65 56.09 2.72 75.26 10.80 20.28 13.08 52.44 23.79P 0.86R 0.02 Maidenhead 7 13 +5 3.71 83.90 5.53 59.85 10.45 -5.33 0.69 8.15 1.95P 16.49R 1.29 Dover_Athletic 7 12 +1 2.10 71.13 0.53 67.32 10.75 3.51 3.40 23.94 7.77P 5.18R 0.35 Stockport 7 11 +3 2.79 77.94 5.18 59.61 11.56 -4.25 1.10 10.14 2.94P 19.47R 2.37 Torquay 7 11 -1 3.25 81.30 2.13 53.83 11.69 -18.94 0.45 4.44 1.16P 37.49R 7.08 Sutton_United 7 10 +2 -0.38 46.17 0.81 62.27 10.65 -0.02 1.31 12.50 3.75P 11.63R 0.79 Barnet 7 10 +1 0.22 52.89 0.63 68.35 10.47 8.48 3.68 26.98 9.46P 3.69R 0.22 Dag_&_Red 7 10 -2 0.92 60.29 -1.19 62.83 10.68 -3.27 1.44 13.23 3.93P 11.00R 0.97 Notts_County 7 9 +4 -3.90 14.89 -1.31 79.28 11.53 30.34 25.32 66.47 40.12P 0.72R 0.05 Wrexham 7 9 -1 -1.13 38.40 -1.83 68.70 10.49 8.34 3.84 28.20 10.14P 3.58R 0.17 AFC_Fylde 7 9 -4 -2.46 25.19 -6.86 68.59 10.76 5.13 4.20 28.16 10.83P 4.18R 0.24 Harrogate_Town 7 8 -1 -1.66 34.02 -0.96 66.55 10.96 6.59 2.93 22.73 7.51P 6.27R 0.50 Hartlepool 7 8 -2 -1.24 38.30 -1.46 57.44 10.72 -8.75 0.39 5.88 1.51P 23.54R 2.61 Eastleigh 7 8 -3 -0.42 47.27 -1.08 59.16 10.58 -6.72 0.61 7.46 1.93P 18.57R 2.07 Yeovil 7 7 -1 -4.79 10.10 -4.24 71.19 11.33 15.08 7.94 38.19 17.76P 2.86R 0.22 Barrow 7 7 -3 -1.70 33.19 -1.72 57.93 10.59 -6.99 0.49 6.07 1.75P 21.74R 2.49 Boreham_Wood 7 5 -1 -4.15 13.29 -0.33 55.37 10.53 -5.68 0.26 3.97 1.02P 28.36R 4.03 Aldershot 7 5 -4 -2.68 23.62 -1.25 49.10 9.95 -17.42 0.02 0.80 0.15P 52.26R 10.77 Chesterfield 7 4 -4 -6.06 4.70 -4.73 59.02 10.80 -1.81 0.67 7.78 2.46P 18.67R 2.18 Ebbsfleet_United 7 4 -8 -4.46 10.79 -6.13 58.89 10.82 -6.09 0.62 7.48 2.20P 19.68R 2.40 Chorley 7 4 -12 -1.40 37.18 -4.53 37.07 10.59 -46.08 0.01 0.12 0.02P 87.88R 58.95