Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 27 August 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 August 2019, Bournemouth 1 3 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         3    9   +6       1.99    80.99     0.60    84.93     8.70    53.65    32.03    78.71    92.27    97.03    99.53     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          3    7   +7       0.04    50.49     1.92    89.66     7.99    70.71    63.14    91.69    97.62    99.33    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           3    6   +0       1.49    72.08    -0.47    66.50     9.99    20.06     1.37     7.51    26.73    46.42    75.57     0.15R    0.02  
Leicester         3    5   +1       0.80    64.21     0.90    53.40     9.67     0.60     0.04     0.45     2.84     7.40    24.83     2.94R    0.47  
Man_Utd           3    4   +3      -1.18    32.33     1.43    65.15     9.62    23.42     0.92     5.73    21.71    41.12    73.13     0.15R    0.01  
Burnley           3    4   +2       0.60    63.77     3.16    44.13     9.26   -11.41     0.00     0.02     0.24     1.01     5.25    15.79R    3.88  
Tottenham         3    4   +1      -1.15    30.85    -0.62    69.53     9.52    28.55     1.96    11.70    38.80    60.57    85.24     0.03R    0.01  
Brighton          3    4   +1       0.21    56.21     1.41    38.59     8.68   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.19     1.24    33.83R   10.35  
Sheff_Utd         3    4   +0       0.62    63.63     1.08    39.00     9.50   -22.55     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.37     2.09    34.52R   12.26  
Crystal_Palace    3    4   +0       0.29    57.92     0.61    48.50     9.39    -6.41     0.01     0.08     0.75     2.44    11.49     7.54R    1.56  
Bournemouth       3    4   -1       0.46    61.74     0.51    44.78     9.57   -15.32     0.00     0.04     0.37     1.29     6.41    15.53R    3.66  
Everton           3    4   -1      -0.84    37.98    -2.11    51.22     9.47    -2.94     0.02     0.22     1.59     4.78    18.02     4.20R    0.70  
Chelsea           3    4   -3      -1.01    35.22    -4.45    63.06     9.58    13.74     0.50     3.67    15.17    31.63    64.29     0.26R    0.03  
West_Ham          3    4   -3       0.65    64.67    -1.36    46.96     9.63   -12.96     0.00     0.06     0.54     2.00     9.31    10.89R    2.48  
Wolverhampton     3    3   +0      -0.74    37.68     0.50    47.20     9.30    -6.30     0.00     0.05     0.56     1.88     8.91     9.38R    1.87  
Aston_Villa       3    3   -1       0.18    53.60     1.33    36.94     9.64   -27.41     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.25     1.49    43.50R   17.87  
Norwich           3    3   -2       0.73    63.66     2.02    37.69    10.08   -29.39     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.34     2.18    41.19R   17.43  
Southampton       3    3   -2      -0.12    47.97    -0.27    42.08     9.32   -17.62     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.64     3.52    22.35R    6.38  
Newcastle         3    3   -2      -0.26    45.51    -0.71    45.96     9.10    -9.79     0.00     0.03     0.31     1.22     6.88    11.10R    2.21  
Watford           3    0   -6      -3.78     3.46    -5.47    36.00     9.11   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.71    46.65R   18.83  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 August 2019, Swansea 3 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     5   13   +8       4.81    94.72     6.01    82.00    11.10    27.45    27.47    44.55    79.23    54.27P    0.08R    0.01  
Swansea          5   13   +7       4.69    94.34     4.78    77.54    11.10    19.48    15.13    29.08    65.71    38.66P    0.32R    0.06  
Charlton         5   11   +4       4.15    90.89     3.98    63.26    11.52    -2.09     1.75     4.26    19.78     7.53P    7.39R    1.76  
Bristol_City     5   10   +3       2.91    82.77     2.63    70.53    11.17     9.38     5.14    12.06    41.23    18.85P    1.65R    0.28  
Fulham           5    9   +5       0.48    54.70     2.48    72.31    12.22    15.73     9.19    17.99    48.30    26.14P    1.86R    0.33  
Preston          5    9   +4       1.27    64.89     2.73    68.31    11.36     8.36     3.91     9.19    34.24    14.96P    2.87R    0.56  
Sheff_Wed        5    9   +3       1.66    70.03     2.26    66.50    10.79     4.84     2.42     6.10    27.36    10.84P    3.32R    0.62  
West_Brom        5    9   +2       0.64    56.95    -0.31    78.87    11.21    23.17    18.51    33.93    70.14    45.01P    0.25R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    5    8   +3       1.58    70.89     3.73    67.69    10.95     8.24     2.86     7.38    31.73    13.03P    2.82R    0.50  
Millwall         5    8   -2       2.75    83.61     0.38    58.40    10.52   -10.13     0.34     1.07     8.53     2.45P   13.66R    3.46  
Reading          5    7   +2       1.22    66.83     3.74    56.95    10.63    -7.73     0.29     0.91     7.27     2.05P   16.59R    4.39  
QPR              5    7   -1       0.77    61.22     0.04    53.50    10.73   -17.08     0.14     0.42     4.08     1.08P   26.93R    8.75  
Blackburn        5    7   -1       0.53    57.91    -0.38    60.41    10.85    -5.39     0.70     1.91    12.49     4.14P   10.28R    2.47  
Cardiff          5    7   -2      -0.64    42.51    -3.18    65.10    11.75     0.76     2.51     6.00    25.37    10.90P    5.84R    1.36  
Birmingham       5    7   -3       1.20    67.10    -1.38    58.14    10.73   -10.49     0.35     1.09     8.47     2.52P   14.55R    3.88  
Derby            5    6   +0      -1.74    28.82    -1.32    70.11    11.03    11.77     4.60    10.94    40.00    19.08P    1.69R    0.32  
Middlesbrough    5    5   -1      -2.92    17.30    -2.52    65.25    10.56     5.42     1.72     4.46    23.25     9.65P    3.76R    0.73  
Luton            5    4   -1      -1.88    28.96     0.61    57.58    12.03    -6.07     0.67     1.92    10.81     3.95P   18.39R    5.84  
Brentford        5    4   -2      -2.98    16.68    -2.24    64.34    11.15     4.03     1.58     4.44    22.46     8.94P    5.59R    1.23  
Hull             5    4   -3      -2.57    20.96    -2.42    57.16    11.18    -8.66     0.37     1.16     8.49     2.71P   17.59R    5.30  
Barnsley         5    4   -5      -2.28    24.07    -4.14    52.38    11.29   -17.17     0.14     0.49     4.01     1.25P   31.37R   11.93  
Wigan            5    3   -7      -2.44    20.59    -4.90    51.94    10.65   -18.24     0.09     0.29     3.03     0.80P   31.84R   11.33  
Huddersfield     5    1   -5      -4.89     4.07    -3.65    47.53    11.00   -18.81     0.04     0.15     1.51     0.48P   47.22R   22.32  
Stoke            5    1   -8      -5.10     3.48    -6.91    51.17    10.65   -16.77     0.06     0.21     2.53     0.71P   34.14R   12.58  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2019, Bolton 0 5 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich               5   11   +7       2.92    82.77     5.16    78.59    11.24    28.70    20.28    37.32    74.88    48.28P    0.15R    0.00  
Blackpool             5   11   +5       3.22    85.00     3.62    68.33    10.48    10.81     3.63     9.30    39.07    15.98P    1.03R    0.02  
Wycombe               5   11   +4       3.67    88.65     3.31    60.05    10.64    -3.68     0.71     2.17    14.94     4.36P    6.83R    0.26  
Sunderland            5   11   +4       1.75    71.22     0.20    83.62    10.53    34.23    36.18    56.26    87.76    66.66P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry              5   11   +4       3.47    87.62     3.00    65.02    10.38     5.10     1.76     5.09    27.47     9.92P    2.31R    0.03  
Fleetwood_Town        5   10   +4       1.99    74.28     2.33    69.55    10.64    13.09     4.71    11.56    44.18    19.62P    0.92R    0.03  
Lincoln_City          5    9   +6       1.89    72.04     5.68    62.47    11.26     5.83     1.64     4.32    22.63     8.32P    4.87R    0.23  
Shrewsbury            5    9   +2       1.63    69.42     1.19    63.27    10.35     3.60     1.26     3.59    22.23     7.64P    3.21R    0.09  
Doncaster             4    8   +2       1.25    66.83     0.05    70.62    11.03    13.73     6.05    14.17    47.95    22.63P    0.91R    0.02  
Peterborough          5    7   +3      -0.80    40.70     1.57    69.18    11.01    16.45     5.04    11.75    43.49    19.83P    1.23R    0.05  
Burton_Albion         5    7   +1      -0.13    49.13     0.57    67.75    10.73    11.90     3.40     8.88    37.77    16.23P    1.51R    0.06  
Bristol_Rovers        5    7   +0      -0.22    47.61    -0.64    58.67    10.45    -2.65     0.46     1.45    12.10     3.64P    8.14R    0.43  
Rochdale              5    6   +0       0.30    55.05     1.88    52.48    10.60   -12.05     0.10     0.42     4.59     1.14P   21.57R    2.04  
Rotherham             3    6   +0       1.46    70.25    -0.63    69.81    12.36    11.60     7.07    15.23    45.79    22.99P    2.02R    0.09  
Portsmouth            4    4   +0      -2.41    19.32    -1.47    71.29    11.19    19.38     7.01    16.16    51.40    26.31P    0.86R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd            5    4   -4      -1.60    31.70    -1.90    56.76    10.82    -5.76     0.33     1.08     9.74     2.81P   12.35R    0.85  
MK_Dons               4    4   -4      -0.69    42.89    -2.71    49.02    11.50   -20.57     0.13     0.39     3.34     0.92P   34.39R    5.00  
Tranmere              4    3   +0      -1.43    29.63     1.85    43.40    11.00   -24.14     0.01     0.07     1.01     0.22P   53.77R   10.63  
Gillingham            4    2   -2      -2.64    17.25    -0.63    53.85    11.00    -7.54     0.19     0.62     6.54     1.80P   18.64R    1.83  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    1   -5      -3.76     8.20    -1.64    45.40    10.11   -18.45     0.00     0.03     0.83     0.16P   45.01R    6.56  
Accrington_Stanley    4    1   -5      -3.28    10.68    -3.17    46.30    10.48   -20.67     0.02     0.09     1.30     0.33P   42.39R    6.32  
Southend              5    0  -10      -5.32     1.56    -7.50    44.87    10.47   -25.05     0.01     0.05     0.95     0.20P   48.15R    8.26  
Bolton                4  -11  -12      -3.19    11.35   -10.09    29.82    10.64   -33.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   89.71R   57.20  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2019, Bradford 0 1 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter            5   11   +3       3.13    85.20     1.50    74.38    10.67    13.76    10.78    33.18    65.07    41.34P    0.22R    0.06  
Plymouth          5   10   +6       1.08    63.23     2.82    81.98    11.58    29.77    33.68    61.92    84.49    68.84P    0.08R    0.02  
Forest_Green      5   10   +2       3.11    84.64     1.88    70.81    10.75     9.09     6.12    22.15    51.81    29.21P    0.72R    0.19  
Macclesfield      5    9   +3       3.13    84.97     4.41    53.30    10.16   -13.68     0.12     0.93     5.53     1.64P   17.55R    8.25  
Newport_County    5    9   +2       2.62    80.33     2.53    65.71    10.50     3.44     2.15    10.66    33.57    15.80P    1.94R    0.66  
Crewe             5    9   -1       2.94    82.69     0.12    64.72    10.69    -1.51     1.90     9.15    29.74    13.41P    2.62R    1.02  
Grimsby           5    8   +4       1.64    71.52     4.57    59.90    10.58    -1.47     0.73     4.20    17.13     6.76P    6.22R    2.55  
Cheltenham        5    8   +4       0.85    61.53     3.55    61.75    10.73     0.60     1.30     6.25    22.24     9.67P    4.43R    1.74  
Bradford          5    8   +3      -0.46    44.26     0.68    76.14    11.39    20.61    16.10    41.39    70.62    50.25P    0.28R    0.07  
Swindon           5    8   +2       0.95    62.79     1.70    69.26    10.79     9.70     5.10    18.97    46.83    25.69P    1.03R    0.35  
Cambridge_Utd     5    8   +1       2.33    79.15     2.58    57.65    10.20    -7.42     0.29     2.17    11.38     3.80P    8.75R    3.85  
Crawley_Town      5    7   +1       0.50    57.74     1.62    55.93    10.61    -9.78     0.32     2.04     9.65     3.38P   12.62R    5.62  
Leyton_Orient     5    7   -2       1.19    66.40    -0.51    50.44    10.92   -20.62     0.12     0.81     4.31     1.48P   28.48R   16.19  
Mansfield         5    6   +1      -2.78    17.57    -1.82    72.53    10.78    16.28     8.54    28.32    59.45    37.98P    0.41R    0.12  
Salford_City      5    6   +0       0.98    64.36     3.02    47.70    10.92   -22.26     0.03     0.50     2.87     0.88P   37.59R   23.36  
Port_Vale         5    6   -2      -0.01    51.18    -0.94    54.36    10.21   -12.40     0.19     1.07     6.72     2.05P   15.09R    7.07  
Colchester        5    5   -1      -2.44    21.71    -1.83    64.73    10.84     4.65     2.02     9.89    31.46    15.46P    2.63R    1.03  
Morecambe         5    5   -2      -0.86    40.93    -0.61    51.73    10.40   -15.54     0.11     0.76     4.50     1.48P   22.52R   11.69  
Walsall           5    5   -3      -2.03    26.57    -3.31    68.53    11.39     8.05     4.75    18.21    44.48    25.75P    1.70R    0.65  
Northampton       5    4   -2      -2.78    18.14    -1.95    60.78    10.89    -0.85     1.07     5.34    19.94     8.78P    5.99R    2.57  
Carlisle          5    4   -4      -3.13    15.92    -4.43    59.40    10.95    -5.30     0.77     4.21    16.64     7.17P    7.78R    3.35  
Oldham            5    4   -4      -2.65    19.81    -3.77    63.94    10.86     1.69     1.84     8.62    28.46    13.61P    3.33R    1.38  
Stevenage         5    2   -4      -4.35     6.74    -3.42    56.34    10.47    -5.81     0.29     1.91    10.01     3.79P   11.08R    4.87  
Scunthorpe        5    1   -7      -6.77     1.19    -8.38    61.20    11.78    -1.01     1.68     7.35    23.07    11.78P    6.93R    3.32  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 August 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 0 Harrogate_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Woking              7   18   +9       8.43    98.60     9.08    73.74    12.06    12.48    12.35    45.71    19.39P    2.29R    0.14  
Bromley             7   17   +6       5.33    92.55     2.76    72.42    10.99     8.33     8.51    40.40    15.06P    1.89R    0.10  
Halifax             7   16   +9       5.89    94.44     8.17    71.96    10.39    13.02     6.94    39.04    13.79P    1.46R    0.07  
Solihull_Moors      7   13   +7       0.63    56.03     2.69    75.41    10.88    20.51    13.36    52.68    24.10P    0.94R    0.02  
Maidenhead          7   13   +5       3.76    84.51     5.59    59.60    10.40    -5.80     0.64     7.69     1.82P   16.63R    1.37  
Dover_Athletic      7   12   +1       2.06    70.77     0.46    67.44    10.74     3.77     3.44    24.13     8.08P    4.96R    0.32  
Stockport           7   11   +3       2.78    77.63     5.17    59.48    11.75    -4.43     1.18    10.26     3.08P   19.92R    2.73  
Torquay             7   11   -1       3.24    81.02     2.12    53.83    11.71   -18.74     0.37     4.42     1.13P   37.49R    7.15  
Sutton_United       7   10   +2      -0.32    46.81     0.89    62.10    10.63    -0.22     1.19    12.12     3.57P   11.58R    0.91  
Barnet              7   10   +1       0.24    53.08     0.66    68.37    10.51     8.48     3.84    26.96     9.47P    3.70R    0.19  
Dag_&_Red           7   10   -2       0.92    60.57    -1.19    62.99    10.81    -3.01     1.46    13.91     3.99P   10.88R    0.89  
Notts_County        7    9   +4      -4.01    13.96    -1.45    79.68    11.32    30.94    25.85    67.65    40.75P    0.51R    0.02  
Wrexham             7    9   -1      -1.11    38.67    -1.79    68.39    10.51     7.91     3.56    27.01     9.64P    3.61R    0.22  
AFC_Fylde           7    9   -4      -2.47    25.38    -6.87    68.77    10.80     5.41     4.32    28.38    10.74P    3.94R    0.25  
Harrogate_Town      7    8   -1      -1.69    33.61    -1.00    66.70    11.04     6.77     3.01    23.45     7.85P    6.05R    0.50  
Hartlepool          7    8   -2      -1.22    38.25    -1.42    57.32    10.75    -8.95     0.41     5.63     1.43P   23.80R    2.82  
Eastleigh           7    8   -3      -0.37    47.56    -1.02    58.97    10.68    -6.98     0.54     7.26     1.85P   19.27R    1.98  
Yeovil              7    7   -1      -4.78    10.07    -4.21    71.08    11.17    14.94     7.23    37.71    17.10P    2.81R    0.17  
Barrow              7    7   -3      -1.62    33.93    -1.59    57.58    10.54    -7.50     0.37     5.69     1.43P   22.40R    2.55  
Boreham_Wood        7    5   -1      -4.17    13.02    -0.35    55.34    10.53    -5.78     0.23     3.84     1.02P   28.51R    3.80  
Aldershot           7    5   -4      -2.73    22.93    -1.31    49.30    10.01   -17.10     0.04     0.85     0.16P   51.41R   10.15  
Chesterfield        7    4   -4      -6.13     4.67    -4.79    59.25    10.76    -1.49     0.65     8.08     2.53P   17.71R    2.11  
Ebbsfleet_United    7    4   -8      -4.40    11.32    -6.03    58.72    10.81    -6.35     0.49     7.08     2.03P   19.94R    2.35  
Chorley             7    4  -12      -1.40    37.03    -4.55    36.99    10.34   -46.21     0.00     0.05     0.01P   88.29R   59.22