Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 25 August 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 August 2019, Bournemouth 1 3 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         3    9   +6       2.01    81.24     0.62    84.93     8.73    53.56    31.80    78.32    91.99    96.96    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          3    7   +7       0.05    50.73     1.89    89.83     7.89    70.99    63.29    92.13    97.90    99.35    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           3    6   +0       1.46    71.63    -0.51    66.78     9.86    20.53     1.27     7.34    27.07    47.37    76.51     0.10R    0.02  
Leicester         3    5   +1       0.85    64.91     0.95    53.23     9.78     0.28     0.04     0.43     2.60     7.30    24.68     3.13R    0.53  
Man_Utd           3    4   +3      -1.15    32.90     1.46    65.06     9.63    23.25     0.89     5.56    21.20    40.82    72.71     0.14R    0.01  
Burnley           3    4   +2       0.60    63.70     3.16    44.04     9.20   -11.52     0.00     0.03     0.23     0.86     5.00    15.91R    3.98  
Tottenham         3    4   +1      -1.16    30.66    -0.64    69.71     9.49    28.93     2.15    12.02    39.14    60.70    85.54     0.03R    0.00  
Brighton          3    4   +1       0.18    55.80     1.38    38.50     8.66   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     1.20    34.14R   10.53  
Sheff_Utd         3    4   +0       0.59    63.09     1.04    39.17     9.46   -22.31     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.33     2.03    33.51R   11.58  
Crystal_Palace    3    4   +0       0.25    57.00     0.55    48.55     9.45    -6.33     0.01     0.12     0.87     2.64    11.71     7.26R    1.47  
Bournemouth       3    4   -1       0.46    62.00     0.51    44.95     9.59   -15.07     0.00     0.04     0.38     1.34     6.70    14.95R    3.68  
Everton           3    4   -1      -0.80    38.60    -2.05    51.00     9.50    -3.27     0.03     0.23     1.55     4.53    17.42     4.46R    0.79  
Chelsea           3    4   -3      -1.04    34.88    -4.48    63.16     9.60    13.84     0.51     3.56    15.22    31.38    64.61     0.25R    0.03  
West_Ham          3    4   -3       0.67    65.02    -1.31    46.61     9.59   -13.53     0.00     0.07     0.56     1.95     8.79    11.26R    2.67  
Wolverhampton     3    3   +0      -0.75    37.36     0.48    47.22     9.36    -6.31     0.01     0.08     0.55     1.84     9.15     9.34R    1.89  
Aston_Villa       3    3   -1       0.17    53.29     1.32    37.02     9.72   -27.22     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.24     1.61    43.26R   17.93  
Norwich           3    3   -2       0.73    63.59     2.04    37.88    10.06   -29.09     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.37     2.13    40.63R   16.62  
Southampton       3    3   -2      -0.11    48.19    -0.25    41.89     9.26   -17.87     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.56     3.18    22.95R    6.53  
Newcastle         3    3   -2      -0.25    45.77    -0.69    45.84     9.16   -10.03     0.00     0.03     0.29     1.24     6.78    11.55R    2.38  
Watford           3    0   -6      -3.78     3.48    -5.48    35.88     9.14   -28.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.80    47.11R   19.37  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 August 2019, Swansea 3 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     5   13   +8       4.80    94.52     6.02    81.91    10.92    27.21    27.06    44.44    79.28    54.24P    0.08R    0.01  
Swansea          5   13   +7       4.68    94.64     4.78    77.54    11.10    19.45    15.53    28.83    65.78    38.05P    0.32R    0.05  
Charlton         5   11   +4       4.11    90.67     3.93    63.51    11.69    -1.66     1.98     4.71    20.70     7.99P    7.45R    1.80  
Bristol_City     5   10   +3       2.89    82.56     2.61    70.62    11.08     9.47     5.16    11.96    41.08    18.72P    1.62R    0.28  
Fulham           5    9   +5       0.45    54.37     2.46    72.36    11.98    15.80     8.89    17.74    48.49    26.01P    1.62R    0.26  
Preston          5    9   +4       1.32    65.46     2.78    68.15    11.15     8.13     3.52     8.71    33.56    14.74P    2.77R    0.48  
Sheff_Wed        5    9   +3       1.67    69.80     2.28    66.34    11.02     4.66     2.45     6.20    27.38    11.19P    3.68R    0.71  
West_Brom        5    9   +2       0.66    57.23    -0.29    78.85    11.21    23.06    18.91    33.98    69.98    44.85P    0.27R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    5    8   +3       1.61    71.27     3.73    67.60    11.05     8.10     2.87     7.49    31.60    13.07P    2.98R    0.56  
Millwall         5    8   -2       2.74    83.35     0.34    58.44    10.57   -10.04     0.33     1.09     8.83     2.49P   13.69R    3.45  
Reading          5    7   +2       1.19    66.71     3.68    57.15    10.72    -7.34     0.31     0.96     7.66     2.12P   16.16R    4.39  
QPR              5    7   -1       0.75    60.96     0.01    53.65    10.78   -16.79     0.14     0.49     4.40     1.16P   26.42R    8.72  
Blackburn        5    7   -1       0.50    57.62    -0.40    60.42    10.87    -5.37     0.71     2.00    12.64     4.19P   10.44R    2.55  
Cardiff          5    7   -2      -0.62    42.73    -3.17    65.14    11.76     0.89     2.46     6.10    25.34    11.08P    5.60R    1.29  
Birmingham       5    7   -3       1.25    67.58    -1.35    57.94    10.70   -10.79     0.37     1.06     8.21     2.43P   14.98R    3.90  
Derby            5    6   +0      -1.74    28.82    -1.32    69.91    11.03    11.54     4.50    10.92    39.53    18.96P    1.87R    0.28  
Middlesbrough    5    5   -1      -2.88    17.79    -2.48    65.04    10.55     5.16     1.55     4.37    22.83     9.53P    3.96R    0.75  
Luton            5    4   -1      -1.88    29.24     0.61    57.52    12.00    -6.24     0.70     1.87    10.50     3.88P   18.22R    6.06  
Brentford        5    4   -2      -2.96    16.46    -2.22    64.33    11.17     4.00     1.73     4.62    22.25     9.18P    5.70R    1.31  
Hull             5    4   -3      -2.59    20.96    -2.47    57.55    11.21    -8.00     0.51     1.35     9.09     2.95P   16.99R    4.93  
Barnsley         5    4   -5      -2.26    24.35    -4.09    52.28    11.34   -17.37     0.16     0.53     4.02     1.27P   31.84R   11.93  
Wigan            5    3   -7      -2.44    20.74    -4.90    51.81    10.68   -18.34     0.07     0.25     2.89     0.79P   32.11R   11.71  
Huddersfield     5    1   -5      -4.87     4.20    -3.63    47.45    11.02   -18.92     0.04     0.14     1.55     0.44P   47.81R   22.33  
Stoke            5    1   -8      -5.10     3.48    -6.92    51.30    10.56   -16.60     0.05     0.18     2.40     0.68P   33.42R   12.24  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2019, Bolton 0 5 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich               5   11   +7       2.84    82.19     5.05    79.03    11.32    29.36    21.02    38.96    76.00    49.96P    0.17R    0.01  
Blackpool             5   11   +5       3.25    85.30     3.68    67.97    10.51    10.25     3.40     8.76    38.28    15.35P    1.24R    0.03  
Wycombe               5   11   +4       3.68    88.77     3.33    60.06    10.59    -3.71     0.74     2.22    15.32     4.53P    6.81R    0.33  
Sunderland            5   11   +4       1.71    70.68     0.15    83.82    10.58    34.79    36.60    56.67    88.16    67.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry              5   11   +4       3.43    87.30     2.97    65.06    10.39     5.04     1.79     5.11    27.85     9.88P    2.26R    0.06  
Fleetwood_Town        5   10   +4       2.01    74.75     2.35    69.30    10.74    12.78     4.46    11.10    43.36    18.98P    1.01R    0.02  
Lincoln_City          5    9   +6       1.96    73.02     5.77    62.44    11.33     5.71     1.59     4.36    22.87     8.28P    5.34R    0.25  
Doncaster             4    8   +2       1.22    66.11     0.01    70.52    11.25    13.68     6.24    14.38    48.02    22.90P    1.06R    0.03  
Shrewsbury            5    8   +1       0.71    59.96     0.33    61.79    10.36     1.75     0.91     2.66    18.45     6.03P    4.63R    0.16  
Peterborough          5    7   +3      -0.75    41.20     1.66    69.14    10.89    16.37     4.70    11.32    43.70    19.46P    1.17R    0.03  
Burton_Albion         5    7   +1      -0.13    49.23     0.57    67.74    10.76    11.92     3.21     8.55    38.22    16.00P    1.58R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers        5    7   +0      -0.24    47.49    -0.66    58.72    10.46    -2.61     0.54     1.58    12.28     3.80P    8.32R    0.37  
Rochdale              5    6   +0       0.30    54.87     1.85    52.52    10.59   -12.04     0.10     0.38     4.61     1.08P   22.52R    1.90  
Rotherham             3    6   +0       1.47    70.28    -0.60    69.76    12.49    11.52     7.10    15.24    45.75    22.93P    2.23R    0.09  
MK_Dons               4    6   -3       1.14    65.47    -1.98    52.16    11.46   -17.94     0.16     0.65     5.51     1.52P   25.92R    3.13  
Portsmouth            4    4   +0      -2.42    19.05    -1.47    71.21    11.21    19.19     6.82    15.98    51.34    26.48P    1.01R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd            5    4   -4      -1.58    31.92    -1.87    56.90    10.76    -5.62     0.35     1.15     9.73     2.83P   12.49R    0.90  
Tranmere              4    3   +0      -1.44    29.54     1.84    43.30    10.94   -24.53     0.02     0.08     0.97     0.25P   54.89R   10.71  
Gillingham            4    2   -2      -2.63    17.17    -0.63    53.76    11.05    -7.72     0.21     0.71     6.46     1.84P   19.77R    1.94  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    1   -5      -3.76     8.12    -1.65    45.53    10.14   -18.29     0.00     0.02     0.92     0.18P   45.45R    6.56  
Accrington_Stanley    4    1   -5      -3.29    10.67    -3.17    46.18    10.58   -20.87     0.02     0.08     1.28     0.30P   43.67R    6.87  
Southend              5    0  -10      -5.30     1.61    -7.48    44.93    10.43   -24.99     0.01     0.05     0.89     0.20P   48.62R    8.22  
Bolton                4  -11  -12      -3.17    11.50   -10.06    29.75    10.78   -34.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   89.81R   58.30  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2019, Bradford 0 1 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter            5   11   +3       3.12    84.98     1.47    74.46    10.81    13.91    11.00    33.56    65.01    41.69P    0.27R    0.06  
Plymouth          5   10   +6       1.07    62.97     2.82    82.03    11.64    29.89    33.65    61.74    84.76    68.74P    0.07R    0.03  
Forest_Green      5   10   +2       3.06    84.29     1.78    70.92    10.85     9.24     6.49    22.72    52.13    29.51P    0.66R    0.20  
Macclesfield      5    9   +3       3.17    85.27     4.47    52.85    10.02   -14.45     0.10     0.77     4.96     1.47P   18.27R    8.78  
Newport_County    5    9   +2       2.63    80.72     2.55    65.69    10.58     3.45     2.21    10.54    33.32    15.44P    2.04R    0.73  
Crewe             5    9   -1       2.91    82.67     0.05    65.06    10.86    -1.01     2.24    10.01    31.32    14.49P    2.72R    1.07  
Grimsby           5    8   +4       1.65    71.90     4.59    59.86    10.44    -1.54     0.70     4.06    16.69     6.64P    6.01R    2.45  
Cheltenham        5    8   +4       0.88    61.95     3.60    61.65    10.80     0.33     1.24     6.31    21.99     9.51P    4.67R    1.93  
Bradford          5    8   +3      -0.42    44.91     0.75    75.56    11.42    19.83    14.88    39.18    68.63    48.22P    0.30R    0.10  
Swindon           5    8   +2       0.94    62.78     1.67    69.43    10.85     9.96     5.16    19.24    47.48    26.09P    1.01R    0.35  
Cambridge_Utd     5    8   +1       2.35    79.69     2.59    57.58    10.34    -7.51     0.36     2.40    11.43     4.08P    9.15R    3.94  
Crawley_Town      5    7   +1       0.50    57.57     1.59    56.11    10.57    -9.51     0.34     2.07     9.94     3.57P   11.89R    5.53  
Leyton_Orient     5    7   -2       1.26    67.42    -0.40    49.87    10.76   -21.54     0.10     0.68     3.69     1.20P   30.00R   16.97  
Mansfield         5    6   +1      -2.81    17.33    -1.88    72.54    10.82    16.30     8.51    28.14    59.52    37.94P    0.46R    0.15  
Salford_City      5    6   +0       0.96    63.79     2.98    48.22    10.97   -21.54     0.07     0.55     3.16     0.99P   35.57R   21.74  
Port_Vale         5    6   -2       0.02    51.45    -0.92    54.29    10.26   -12.45     0.15     1.17     6.70     2.21P   15.62R    7.39  
Colchester        5    5   -1      -2.43    21.92    -1.82    64.75    10.70     4.72     2.06     9.69    31.08    15.23P    2.54R    0.95  
Morecambe         5    5   -2      -0.89    40.43    -0.65    51.78    10.35   -15.52     0.09     0.75     4.42     1.39P   22.32R   11.60  
Walsall           5    5   -3      -2.01    26.75    -3.27    68.94    11.29     8.66     4.93    18.74    45.68    26.68P    1.42R    0.51  
Northampton       5    4   -2      -2.84    17.82    -2.03    61.25    10.73    -0.22     1.09     5.57    20.60     9.10P    5.27R    2.18  
Carlisle          5    4   -4      -3.12    15.83    -4.41    59.22    10.98    -5.59     0.76     4.13    16.30     6.79P    7.99R    3.58  
Oldham            5    4   -4      -2.61    20.00    -3.72    63.65    10.93     1.37     1.82     8.42    27.70    13.21P    3.64R    1.43  
Stevenage         5    2   -4      -4.35     6.57    -3.43    56.32    10.50    -5.82     0.27     1.96    10.13     3.84P   11.05R    5.01  
Scunthorpe        5    1   -7      -6.77     1.17    -8.39    61.25    11.92    -0.96     1.78     7.60    23.33    11.98P    7.08R    3.35  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2019, Bromley 1 0 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Woking              6   15   +8       7.05    97.68     8.45    70.43    12.16     9.10     7.92    35.22    13.60P    3.85R    0.33  
Bromley             6   14   +5       4.01    88.02     2.27    70.54    11.25     7.03     6.72    34.22    12.55P    2.87R    0.18  
Solihull_Moors      6   13   +8       2.17    73.46     3.98    78.34    10.99    23.92    20.44    62.53    31.85P    0.43R    0.01  
Halifax             6   13   +8       4.48    90.90     7.48    69.45    10.43    10.89     4.41    30.14     9.86P    2.49R    0.15  
Maidenhead          6   13   +6       4.85    92.26     6.14    61.48    10.72    -3.77     1.18    10.96     2.76P   12.37R    1.13  
Dover_Athletic      6   12   +2       3.46    83.91     1.49    69.70    11.02     6.10     5.36    31.14    10.86P    3.20R    0.21  
Torquay             6   10   -1       3.38    83.74     1.69    53.40    11.93   -19.66     0.43     4.31     1.08P   37.72R    9.17  
Sutton_United       6    9   +2       0.23    52.69     1.15    63.14    10.97     0.79     1.68    14.65     4.45P    9.79R    0.90  
Wrexham             6    9   +1       0.22    53.02     0.12    71.58    10.59    12.50     6.57    37.30    14.85P    1.78R    0.08  
Barnet              6    9   +1       1.04    62.74     1.24    69.37    10.63     9.40     4.29    29.76    10.56P    2.91R    0.17  
Stockport           6    8   +1       1.39    67.64     3.52    55.02    11.90   -10.78     0.58     5.44     1.56P   31.60R    6.72  
AFC_Fylde           6    8   -4      -2.08    27.58    -6.80    69.49    11.12     6.02     5.40    30.89    12.17P    3.46R    0.23  
Yeovil              6    7   +0      -3.31    16.85    -3.06    73.53    11.49    17.34    11.32    45.60    22.35P    1.69R    0.10  
Harrogate_Town      6    7   -1      -1.49    34.33    -1.28    66.49    11.24     5.87     3.14    23.01     7.97P    6.29R    0.64  
Barrow              6    7   -2      -0.53    45.15    -1.02    59.77    10.69    -5.03     0.66     8.18     2.19P   15.84R    1.81  
Dag_&_Red           6    7   -3      -0.90    40.78    -2.51    59.91    10.81    -5.97     0.82     8.61     2.46P   16.00R    1.99  
Notts_County        6    6   +0      -4.31    10.72    -3.19    76.07    11.65    23.45    16.47    55.18    29.59P    1.17R    0.08  
Boreham_Wood        6    5   +0      -2.84    20.87     0.55    57.13    10.71    -3.91     0.40     5.57     1.40P   22.10R    3.23  
Hartlepool          6    5   -4      -2.80    21.02    -3.30    54.09    10.70   -12.86     0.18     3.11     0.75P   32.35R    5.41  
Eastleigh           6    5   -4      -2.30    25.70    -2.55    56.04    10.70    -9.98     0.33     4.48     1.11P   25.78R    4.13  
Chesterfield        6    4   -2      -4.79     7.98    -2.85    62.44    10.98     3.34     1.34    13.54     4.42P   10.89R    1.25  
Aldershot           6    4   -4      -2.52    22.61    -1.55    49.21    10.17   -17.57     0.02     0.89     0.17P   49.95R   11.94  
Chorley             6    4   -8      -1.24    38.12    -3.07    40.02    10.86   -37.95     0.00     0.20     0.04P   80.16R   46.01  
Ebbsfleet_United    6    1   -9      -5.89     2.77    -6.90    56.44    11.01    -8.26     0.32     5.08     1.42P   25.32R    4.12