Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 25 August 2019 at 15:27:09 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 August 2019, Bournemouth 1 3 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool         3    9   +6       1.99    80.94     0.52    84.69     8.75    53.52    29.91    73.53    90.26    96.39    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Man_City          3    7   +7       0.09    51.53     2.00    89.88     7.94    71.88    62.84    90.25    97.32    99.25    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal           3    6   +0       1.43    71.32    -0.53    66.56     9.88    20.21     1.26     6.57    22.68    43.46    75.24     0.12R    0.01  
Leicester         3    5   +1       0.85    65.12     0.96    53.55     9.70     0.71     0.04     0.36     2.23     6.80    24.22     2.73R    0.46  
Man_Utd           3    4   +3      -1.19    32.38     1.39    65.03     9.64    23.33     0.79     4.98    18.34    37.67    71.66     0.10R    0.01  
Tottenham         2    4   +2       0.81    76.40     1.16    73.52     9.70    34.37     4.68    20.52    52.19    72.65    91.62     0.02R    0.00  
Brighton          3    4   +1       0.15    55.27     1.35    38.62     8.64   -20.69     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.13     1.13    32.65R    9.82  
Sheff_Utd         3    4   +0       0.54    62.17     0.98    39.22     9.52   -22.59     0.01     0.03     0.09     0.35     2.09    32.42R   11.19  
Crystal_Palace    3    4   +0       0.31    58.34     0.67    48.39     9.49    -6.80     0.01     0.09     0.68     2.22    10.93     7.54R    1.49  
Bournemouth       3    4   -1       0.48    62.27     0.53    44.54     9.54   -16.03     0.00     0.04     0.31     1.08     5.84    15.64R    3.79  
Everton           3    4   -1      -0.81    38.70    -2.06    51.13     9.45    -3.15     0.02     0.18     1.20     4.00    17.07     4.10R    0.72  
Chelsea           3    4   -3      -1.00    35.41    -4.42    63.26     9.52    14.10     0.43     3.22    12.80    29.24    64.08     0.24R    0.01  
West_Ham          3    4   -3       0.66    64.86    -1.35    47.25     9.73   -12.76     0.00     0.08     0.64     2.09     9.78    10.18R    2.21  
Burnley           2    3   +2       0.76    63.87     2.91    44.09     9.52   -12.30     0.00     0.02     0.20     0.90     5.26    16.04R    4.14  
Aston_Villa       3    3   -1       0.13    52.46     1.35    37.09     9.70   -27.28     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.25     1.57    41.82R   17.12  
Norwich           3    3   -2       0.65    62.02     1.97    37.72    10.06   -29.78     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.31     2.04    40.02R   16.81  
Southampton       3    3   -2      -0.09    48.89    -0.24    42.09     9.27   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.49     3.27    21.41R    5.88  
Wolverhampton     2    2   +0      -0.18    49.24     0.77    48.08     9.57    -5.79     0.02     0.09     0.62     2.15    10.69     8.12R    1.68  
Newcastle         2    0   -3      -2.44     9.05    -2.53    42.33     9.30   -14.27     0.00     0.02     0.11     0.49     3.40    20.19R    5.41  
Watford           3    0   -6      -3.76     3.41    -5.44    35.71     9.13   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.74    46.66R   19.26  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 25 August 2019, Swansea 3 0 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leeds_United     5   13   +8       4.74    94.33     5.91    82.29    11.10    27.86    28.40    45.75    80.05    55.49P    0.08R    0.01  
Swansea          5   13   +7       4.65    94.35     4.70    77.73    11.04    19.81    15.28    29.55    66.75    39.20P    0.27R    0.03  
Charlton         5   11   +4       4.17    91.11     4.02    63.17    11.61    -2.14     1.75     4.35    19.89     7.51P    7.84R    1.88  
Bristol_City     5   10   +3       2.88    82.40     2.58    70.87    11.14     9.90     5.47    12.49    42.09    19.26P    1.50R    0.24  
Fulham           5    9   +5       0.43    54.00     2.42    72.52    11.99    16.02     8.86    17.98    49.00    26.50P    1.61R    0.31  
Preston          5    9   +4       1.29    65.50     2.73    68.39    11.21     8.50     3.84     9.03    34.26    14.87P    2.59R    0.45  
Sheff_Wed        5    9   +3       1.68    70.26     2.31    66.35    10.93     4.66     2.52     6.13    27.01    10.88P    3.40R    0.62  
West_Brom        5    9   +2       0.71    58.01    -0.18    78.45    11.12    22.43    17.50    32.18    68.91    42.99P    0.31R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    5    8   +3       1.63    71.34     3.76    67.41    11.06     7.83     3.00     7.24    30.52    12.61P    3.08R    0.57  
Millwall         5    8   -2       2.70    83.15     0.31    58.77    10.54    -9.58     0.40     1.22     9.09     2.59P   12.86R    3.31  
Reading          5    7   +2       1.18    66.45     3.66    57.13    10.75    -7.46     0.27     0.95     7.70     2.23P   16.10R    4.53  
QPR              5    7   -1       0.76    61.16     0.03    53.68    10.87   -16.80     0.14     0.49     4.46     1.19P   26.59R    8.51  
Blackburn        5    7   -1       0.53    58.00    -0.36    60.27    10.84    -5.68     0.67     1.91    12.13     4.09P   10.61R    2.73  
Cardiff          5    7   -2      -0.61    43.00    -3.15    65.02    11.67     0.64     2.54     6.04    24.69    10.87P    5.58R    1.20  
Birmingham       5    7   -3       1.27    67.92    -1.28    57.79    10.66   -11.05     0.33     0.97     8.06     2.36P   15.01R    4.11  
Derby            5    6   +0      -1.78    28.36    -1.37    69.98    10.96    11.69     4.41    10.61    39.56    18.84P    1.72R    0.28  
Middlesbrough    5    5   -1      -2.92    17.44    -2.52    65.32    10.64     5.52     1.72     4.82    23.69    10.12P    3.77R    0.71  
Luton            5    4   -1      -1.89    28.87     0.58    57.52    12.06    -6.18     0.70     1.88    10.71     3.89P   18.52R    6.08  
Brentford        5    4   -2      -2.98    16.51    -2.23    64.25    11.10     3.98     1.49     4.12    22.35     8.65P    5.65R    1.32  
Hull             5    4   -3      -2.56    20.93    -2.40    57.21    11.11    -8.55     0.40     1.14     8.28     2.67P   17.39R    5.09  
Barnsley         5    4   -5      -2.29    23.98    -4.16    52.57    11.28   -16.90     0.19     0.55     4.20     1.38P   30.79R   11.48  
Wigan            5    3   -7      -2.41    21.13    -4.85    51.63    10.55   -18.60     0.06     0.26     2.70     0.72P   32.51R   11.65  
Huddersfield     5    1   -5      -4.86     4.14    -3.61    47.42    10.87   -19.03     0.03     0.12     1.42     0.41P   47.76R   22.04  
Stoke            5    1   -8      -5.09     3.51    -6.90    51.09    10.66   -16.86     0.04     0.20     2.46     0.69P   34.44R   12.80  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2019, Bolton 0 5 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Ipswich               5   11   +7       2.89    82.57     5.13    78.53    11.40    28.65    20.43    37.67    74.39    48.13P    0.19R    0.00  
Blackpool             5   11   +5       3.22    85.31     3.64    68.24    10.50    10.73     3.57     9.20    39.25    16.12P    1.14R    0.03  
Wycombe               5   11   +4       3.64    88.42     3.26    60.29    10.59    -3.33     0.77     2.32    15.79     4.74P    6.60R    0.30  
Sunderland            5   11   +4       1.70    70.82     0.14    83.88    10.49    34.62    37.02    57.50    88.46    67.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry              5   11   +4       3.42    87.11     2.94    65.18    10.34     5.29     1.82     5.17    28.04    10.10P    2.21R    0.05  
Fleetwood_Town        5   10   +4       2.03    74.90     2.38    69.13    10.66    12.44     4.20    10.71    42.87    18.24P    1.07R    0.02  
Lincoln_City          5    9   +6       1.97    73.02     5.80    62.30    11.37     5.47     1.61     4.33    22.45     8.19P    5.53R    0.25  
Doncaster             4    8   +2       1.24    66.63     0.04    70.33    11.19    13.33     6.12    13.91    47.23    22.41P    1.12R    0.03  
Shrewsbury            5    8   +1       0.70    59.93     0.30    61.73    10.31     1.68     0.79     2.63    18.34     6.00P    4.39R    0.17  
Peterborough          5    7   +3      -0.74    41.58     1.67    69.03    10.97    16.16     4.72    11.51    43.44    19.87P    1.35R    0.04  
Burton_Albion         5    7   +1      -0.09    49.57     0.64    67.47    10.67    11.46     3.08     8.32    37.16    15.62P    1.53R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers        5    7   +0      -0.21    47.71    -0.62    58.88    10.48    -2.38     0.54     1.64    12.47     3.82P    8.19R    0.49  
Rochdale              5    6   +0       0.34    55.53     1.90    52.41    10.54   -12.26     0.11     0.43     4.57     1.16P   22.76R    1.97  
Rotherham             3    6   +0       1.41    69.45    -0.70    70.11    12.30    12.04     7.48    15.64    46.70    23.66P    2.04R    0.09  
MK_Dons               4    6   -3       1.13    65.47    -1.98    52.24    11.41   -17.71     0.16     0.63     5.53     1.48P   25.28R    3.03  
Portsmouth            4    4   +0      -2.41    19.42    -1.46    71.41    11.12    19.58     6.94    16.32    52.27    27.12P    0.90R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd            5    4   -4      -1.58    31.92    -1.87    56.89    10.87    -5.56     0.38     1.15    10.02     2.99P   12.65R    0.85  
Tranmere              4    3   +0      -1.46    29.38     1.80    43.56    11.03   -24.08     0.02     0.07     1.12     0.24P   54.24R   10.46  
Gillingham            4    2   -2      -2.66    17.10    -0.66    53.82    11.00    -7.55     0.18     0.66     6.66     1.78P   19.53R    1.80  
AFC_Wimbledon         5    1   -5      -3.77     8.00    -1.65    45.36    10.03   -18.49     0.01     0.03     0.84     0.16P   45.96R    6.66  
Accrington_Stanley    4    1   -5      -3.27    10.73    -3.14    46.05    10.66   -21.06     0.03     0.10     1.41     0.32P   44.34R    6.68  
Southend              5    0  -10      -5.33     1.59    -7.52    45.02    10.44   -24.83     0.02     0.06     0.94     0.21P   48.76R    8.10  
Bolton                4  -11  -12      -3.16    11.90   -10.04    29.65    10.74   -34.19     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.01P   90.21R   58.91  

Adjustments:
Bolton               -12
Bury                 -12



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2019, Bradford 0 1 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Exeter            5   11   +3       3.16    85.22     1.54    74.24    10.67    13.57    10.54    32.69    64.70    41.04P    0.27R    0.07  
Plymouth          5   10   +6       1.07    63.07     2.80    82.31    11.48    30.26    34.45    63.08    85.54    70.16P    0.06R    0.02  
Forest_Green      5   10   +2       3.09    84.73     1.82    71.02    10.77     9.38     6.62    22.79    52.69    30.01P    0.60R    0.19  
Macclesfield      5    9   +3       3.15    85.18     4.42    53.09    10.15   -14.06     0.14     0.91     5.27     1.62P   18.17R    8.63  
Newport_County    5    9   +2       2.59    80.24     2.50    65.94    10.55     3.73     2.33    10.98    33.92    15.92P    2.04R    0.75  
Crewe             5    9   -1       2.97    82.88     0.14    64.60    10.67    -1.64     1.84     8.83    29.53    12.97P    2.74R    1.01  
Grimsby           5    8   +4       1.60    71.16     4.54    59.89    10.56    -1.47     0.72     4.23    17.11     6.75P    6.00R    2.40  
Cheltenham        5    8   +4       0.86    61.66     3.59    61.65    10.70     0.35     1.20     6.00    21.67     9.23P    4.55R    1.83  
Bradford          5    8   +3      -0.41    44.90     0.76    75.72    11.44    20.08    15.07    39.81    69.12    48.72P    0.35R    0.11  
Swindon           5    8   +2       0.94    62.73     1.69    69.31    10.83     9.79     4.92    18.81    47.14    25.64P    1.04R    0.36  
Cambridge_Utd     5    8   +1       2.33    79.59     2.56    57.87    10.36    -7.09     0.39     2.55    12.16     4.31P    8.70R    3.77  
Crawley_Town      5    7   +1       0.51    58.09     1.63    56.12    10.53    -9.48     0.32     1.98     9.76     3.43P   11.72R    5.28  
Leyton_Orient     5    7   -2       1.25    67.30    -0.45    49.95    10.77   -21.37     0.09     0.65     3.73     1.20P   29.67R   16.82  
Mansfield         5    6   +1      -2.79    17.67    -1.83    72.39    10.82    16.05     8.48    28.02    58.84    37.62P    0.39R    0.14  
Salford_City      5    6   +0       0.96    64.08     3.02    47.82    10.93   -22.17     0.09     0.47     2.75     0.84P   37.10R   22.89  
Port_Vale         5    6   -2       0.03    51.47    -0.90    54.24    10.25   -12.54     0.14     1.19     6.69     2.17P   15.54R    7.35  
Colchester        5    5   -1      -2.46    21.34    -1.86    64.92    10.78     4.91     2.18    10.12    31.69    15.78P    2.48R    0.89  
Morecambe         5    5   -2      -0.89    40.43    -0.65    51.76    10.38   -15.57     0.11     0.73     4.48     1.40P   22.47R   11.69  
Walsall           5    5   -3      -2.04    26.44    -3.32    68.93    11.39     8.62     5.03    19.18    45.62    26.82P    1.48R    0.57  
Northampton       5    4   -2      -2.80    18.23    -1.96    60.85    10.68    -0.80     0.88     5.05    19.61     8.46P    5.47R    2.26  
Carlisle          5    4   -4      -3.15    15.72    -4.44    59.28    11.00    -5.48     0.75     4.07    16.60     6.99P    7.81R    3.42  
Oldham            5    4   -4      -2.65    19.75    -3.76    63.84    10.87     1.64     1.74     8.51    28.18    13.35P    3.47R    1.39  
Stevenage         5    2   -4      -4.33     6.55    -3.41    56.13    10.47    -6.10     0.29     1.90     9.75     3.63P   11.31R    5.10  
Scunthorpe        5    1   -7      -6.78     1.14    -8.41    61.48    11.75    -0.62     1.70     7.46    23.45    11.95P    6.55R    3.06  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 24 August 2019, Bromley 1 0 Boreham_Wood; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Woking              6   15   +8       7.07    97.61     8.48    70.21    12.24     8.75     7.55    34.53    13.08P    4.31R    0.35  
Bromley             6   14   +5       4.01    87.91     2.30    70.75    11.29     7.37     6.98    35.17    12.88P    2.72R    0.15  
Solihull_Moors      6   13   +8       2.19    73.59     3.97    78.37    11.13    24.01    20.94    62.60    32.37P    0.51R    0.02  
Halifax             6   13   +8       4.49    90.78     7.48    69.55    10.52    11.03     4.69    30.35    10.19P    2.51R    0.15  
Maidenhead          6   13   +6       4.81    92.32     6.10    61.65    10.70    -3.57     1.10    11.07     2.78P   11.99R    1.07  
Dover_Athletic      6   12   +2       3.46    83.75     1.50    69.62    11.06     6.00     5.29    30.94    10.76P    3.45R    0.24  
Torquay             6   10   -1       3.37    83.80     1.66    53.68    11.82   -19.08     0.45     4.33     1.16P   36.67R    8.28  
Sutton_United       6    9   +2       0.21    52.47     1.12    62.98    10.86     0.55     1.50    14.17     4.09P    9.82R    0.84  
Wrexham             6    9   +1       0.24    53.28     0.14    71.55    10.61    12.47     6.25    37.53    14.67P    1.77R    0.08  
Barnet              6    9   +1       0.99    62.28     1.16    69.62    10.69     9.77     4.67    30.80    11.10P    2.87R    0.18  
Stockport           6    8   +1       1.39    67.59     3.55    54.98    11.95   -10.98     0.53     5.49     1.49P   31.75R    6.79  
AFC_Fylde           6    8   -4      -2.09    27.59    -6.85    69.42    11.18     5.89     5.30    30.81    11.89P    3.63R    0.27  
Yeovil              6    7   +0      -3.35    16.57    -3.12    73.77    11.47    17.71    11.56    46.44    23.12P    1.66R    0.12  
Harrogate_Town      6    7   -1      -1.57    33.47    -1.41    66.74    11.18     6.19     3.28    23.46     8.08P    5.85R    0.54  
Barrow              6    7   -2      -0.52    45.07    -1.00    59.77    10.76    -4.99     0.70     8.31     2.25P   15.92R    1.85  
Dag_&_Red           6    7   -3      -0.86    41.21    -2.45    59.78    10.90    -6.14     0.73     8.49     2.36P   16.58R    2.13  
Notts_County        6    6   +0      -4.25    10.96    -3.09    75.77    11.69    22.91    15.85    53.72    28.60P    1.24R    0.09  
Boreham_Wood        6    5   +0      -2.84    20.88     0.54    57.13    10.64    -3.97     0.37     5.38     1.41P   21.95R    3.08  
Hartlepool          6    5   -4      -2.76    21.78    -3.24    53.95    10.62   -13.18     0.15     2.94     0.65P   32.44R    5.56  
Eastleigh           6    5   -4      -2.28    25.87    -2.52    55.70    10.71   -10.45     0.32     4.08     1.05P   26.84R    4.45  
Chesterfield        6    4   -2      -4.79     7.98    -2.86    62.50    11.03     3.36     1.45    13.37     4.47P   11.06R    1.24  
Aldershot           6    4   -4      -2.58    21.91    -1.61    49.47    10.20   -17.15     0.03     0.97     0.22P   48.82R   11.56  
Chorley             6    4   -8      -1.18    38.75    -2.98    39.83    10.91   -38.19     0.00     0.21     0.03P   80.64R   46.95  
Ebbsfleet_United    6    1   -9      -5.89     2.65    -6.87    56.39    10.88    -8.33     0.29     4.83     1.30P   25.00R    4.01