Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 13 May 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 May 2019, Brighton 1 4 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         38   98  +72       8.54    88.17     4.66    98.00     0.00    72.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   97  +67      13.17    95.78    12.38    97.00     0.00    67.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   72  +24       2.98    62.92    -1.95    72.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   71  +28      -1.96    40.52    -4.98    71.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   70  +22       2.77    61.78    -2.41    70.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   66  +11      -0.30    48.24   -10.70    66.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   57   +1       8.58    83.05     7.73    57.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   54   +8      -1.02    45.80     4.74    54.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   52   +3      -1.18    44.79     2.84    52.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   52   -3       3.55    65.84     5.08    52.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   50   -7       4.75    70.73     6.40    50.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   49   -2      -0.10    49.94     4.37    49.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   45   -6      -2.98    37.51     1.06    45.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   45  -14      -0.07    50.40     1.16    45.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   40  -23      -2.15    40.69    -5.64    40.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   39  -20      -4.04    32.54    -3.68    39.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   36  -25      -2.51    38.99    -2.84    36.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   34  -35       0.15    51.91    -3.20    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           38   26  -47      -4.99    27.29    -6.57    26.00     0.00   -47.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     38   16  -54      -9.69     8.17    -8.47    16.00     0.00   -54.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 May 2019, Aston_Villa 1 2 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         46   94  +36      16.58    94.62    13.65    94.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   89  +37      10.70    85.08    14.18    89.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   83  +23      11.28    86.44    10.12    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.12P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       46   80  +25       0.40    51.57    -0.59    80.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.14P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   76  +21      -0.40    48.41     0.75    76.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.86P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   74  +15       0.32    51.18    -0.75    74.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.88P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   73   +8       1.49    55.88    -4.34    73.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   70   +6       4.60    67.47     2.69    70.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   66   +7       3.57    63.76     8.14    66.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         46   65   +3      -3.41    37.49    -4.78    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +14      -6.69    26.26     2.74    64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   64   -2       0.85    53.65    -1.83    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   62   -2      -1.20    45.74    -1.26    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   61   +6       2.33    59.56    12.77    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   61   +0      -3.69    36.39    -1.99    61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   60   -5      -1.30    45.45    -1.57    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           46   55   -7      -8.54    20.60    -8.20    55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   52  -13      -7.57    23.41    -7.80    52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   51  -18      -2.26    42.00    -2.05    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   47  -17      -5.65    29.02    -0.83    47.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   44  -16     -12.08    11.33    -5.81    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   40  -31      -4.94    31.46    -0.05    40.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   32  -49      -4.78    30.08    -8.69    32.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         46   31  -41     -14.78     5.53   -14.52    31.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Blackpool 0 3 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                46   94  +48       8.98    80.59    14.50    94.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             46   91  +41       5.02    68.14     6.77    91.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             46   88  +33       9.45    82.11    10.49    88.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.81P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   88  +32      12.04    87.60    12.84    88.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.13P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           46   85  +33       1.82    56.52     2.57    85.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.53P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   73  +18       3.03    61.41     7.94    73.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.54P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         46   72   +9       3.24    62.04     0.86    72.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry             46   65   +0       5.88    71.52     5.21    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   63   +9      -4.92    32.32     1.99    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   62   -2       0.37    51.92    -0.41    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   61   +6      -4.08    35.20     2.97    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   60   -6      -0.42    48.80    -1.65    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   55  -11      -2.24    41.82    -1.37    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   55  -16       2.01    58.38    -0.84    55.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   54   -3      -5.99    28.14     1.17    54.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   54  -33       4.28    67.06   -10.83    54.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   53  -12      -0.30    49.57     3.25    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   52   -8      -9.33    18.12    -5.88    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   50  -13      -7.86    22.38    -4.80    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   50  -21      -0.84    47.25    -3.92    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   50  -24      -2.36    41.76    -6.56    50.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Walsall              46   47  -22      -5.48    29.90    -5.88    47.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   46  -30      -9.36    18.29   -17.21    46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford             46   41  -28     -11.29    12.95   -11.21    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Bury 1 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     46   85  +30       8.37    78.94    10.16    85.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   79  +26       0.79    52.75     3.03    79.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   79  +22       0.59    51.97    -0.69    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        46   76  +28      -1.47    44.13     7.11    76.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.73P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   74  +21       7.49    76.33    15.95    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.14P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   73  +13       6.93    74.57     8.53    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.25P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   46   71   +0       9.76    82.76     2.61    71.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   70  +12       0.46    51.80     2.48    70.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           46   70  +11      -0.54    48.09    -0.04    70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        46   70   +4       5.45    70.28     1.80    70.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   68   +5       0.70    53.01    -1.07    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   65   +1       3.07    61.87     2.94    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   64   +3      -3.21    38.10    -3.08    64.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   62   +7      -8.81    20.50    -4.34    62.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   61   +1      -5.33    31.29    -3.53    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       46   57  -11      -0.20    49.70    -1.54    57.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   56  -11       2.26    59.38     1.50    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        46   54  -16       1.14    55.47    -0.74    54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   53  -17      -0.79    47.61    -2.93    53.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -16      -5.95    27.81    -5.35    49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   47  -26      -5.77    28.53   -11.56    47.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   44  -26      -1.00    46.97     1.77    44.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   41  -36     -10.35    15.03   -17.23    41.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -25      -9.89    15.85    -5.79    40.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      46   89  +38       8.36    79.13    12.28    89.00     0.00    38.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   86  +30      14.63    92.20    17.51    86.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00    20.71P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       46   85  +32      10.06    82.36    14.18    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   84  +19      13.12    90.09     7.28    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    23.18P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   81  +31       2.64    59.73     8.14    81.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00    30.30P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     46   74  +21       4.68    66.69    11.60    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   74   -1      12.77    89.00     1.76    74.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   67  +14      -2.26    41.62     4.58    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   66   +4       0.57    52.51    -0.09    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   65   -5       3.27    62.92    -3.49    65.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   64   +1       2.85    61.41     2.92    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   60   -1      -4.21    34.89    -2.44    60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             46   60   -5      -7.59    23.44   -12.26    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   60   -6      -4.92    32.19    -9.01    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       46   59   +2     -11.17    14.74    -8.76    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   59   +1       0.91    53.92     6.26    59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   59   -6      -1.10    46.31    -2.02    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   56   -6      -7.30    24.14    -6.86    56.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   54  -25       3.36    63.92    -6.61    54.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   52  -12      -7.58    23.18    -7.68    52.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   44  -29      -9.67    16.73   -16.56    44.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   41  -30      -3.28    38.12    -0.75    41.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    46   40  -22      -8.93    19.51     1.59    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   34  -45      -7.14    22.55   -11.56    34.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00