Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 12 May 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 May 2019, Brighton 1 4 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         38   98  +72       8.49    87.96     4.68    98.00     0.00    72.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   97  +67      13.24    95.97    12.56    97.00     0.00    67.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          38   72  +24       3.02    62.92    -2.01    72.00     0.00    24.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   71  +28      -1.99    40.35    -5.06    71.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   70  +22       2.81    62.00    -2.33    70.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   66  +11      -0.56    47.00   -11.16    66.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    38   57   +1       8.41    82.59     7.49    57.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   54   +8      -0.92    46.18     4.79    54.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   52   +3      -1.09    45.52     3.02    52.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   52   -3       3.60    66.09     5.16    52.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   50   -7       4.68    70.99     6.29    50.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   49   -2       0.06    50.78     4.57    49.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   45   -6      -2.87    37.74     1.22    45.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   45  -14       0.02    50.54     1.33    45.00     0.00   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   40  -23      -2.08    40.95    -5.60    40.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   39  -20      -4.25    31.72    -4.03    39.00     0.00   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         38   36  -25      -2.51    38.98    -2.73    36.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   34  -35       0.24    52.59    -3.07    34.00     0.00   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           38   26  -47      -5.12    26.84    -6.76    26.00     0.00   -47.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     38   16  -54      -9.61     8.35    -8.38    16.00     0.00   -54.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 May 2019, Aston_Villa 1 2 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         46   94  +36      16.57    94.62    13.63    94.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   89  +37      10.76    85.37    14.29    89.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   83  +23      11.19    86.00    10.06    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.01P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       46   80  +25       0.60    51.80    -0.38    80.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.77P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   76  +21      -0.55    47.72     0.54    76.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.29P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   74  +15       0.44    51.80    -0.63    74.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.93P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   73   +8       1.69    56.71    -4.12    73.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   70   +6       4.21    65.98     2.17    70.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   66   +7       3.43    63.18     7.93    66.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         46   65   +3      -3.64    36.94    -5.16    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +14      -6.94    25.24     2.30    64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   64   -2       0.78    53.25    -1.94    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   62   -2      -1.36    45.02    -1.44    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   61   +6       2.36    59.74    12.87    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   61   +0      -3.58    36.85    -1.82    61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   60   -5      -0.88    47.17    -0.88    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           46   55   -7      -8.50    20.86    -8.12    55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   52  -13      -7.59    23.46    -7.93    52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   51  -18      -2.27    41.70    -2.08    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   47  -17      -5.45    29.62    -0.51    47.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   44  -16     -12.02    11.41    -5.70    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   40  -31      -4.99    31.30    -0.19    40.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   32  -49      -4.74    30.12    -8.58    32.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         46   31  -41     -14.65     5.67   -14.29    31.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Blackpool 0 3 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                46   94  +48       9.22    80.80    14.91    94.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             46   91  +41       4.95    67.93     6.65    91.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             46   88  +33       9.65    82.58    10.74    88.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.92P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   88  +32      12.13    87.45    12.89    88.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.13P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           46   85  +33       1.87    56.79     2.63    85.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.43P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   73  +18       3.06    61.64     7.98    73.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.52P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         46   72   +9       3.38    62.63     1.10    72.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry             46   65   +0       5.75    71.31     5.05    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   63   +9      -4.89    32.55     2.02    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   62   -2       0.42    52.07    -0.30    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   61   +6      -4.20    34.74     2.84    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   60   -6      -0.85    47.29    -2.27    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   55  -11      -2.29    41.53    -1.53    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   55  -16       2.54    60.86     0.02    55.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   54   -3      -6.14    27.64     0.94    54.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   54  -33       4.06    66.29   -11.23    54.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   53  -12       0.09    51.08     3.85    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   52   -8      -9.32    18.35    -5.83    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   50  -13      -8.06    21.89    -5.03    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   50  -21      -0.90    47.20    -3.98    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   50  -24      -2.43    41.23    -6.78    50.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Walsall              46   47  -22      -5.33    30.33    -5.68    47.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   46  -30      -9.72    17.13   -17.71    46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford             46   41  -28     -11.33    12.83   -11.26    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Bury 1 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     46   85  +30       8.15    78.48     9.80    85.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   79  +26       0.75    52.65     2.93    79.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   79  +22       0.55    51.75    -0.75    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        46   76  +28      -1.60    43.60     6.91    76.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    40.02P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   74  +21       7.72    77.36    16.34    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.67P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   73  +13       7.04    75.06     8.60    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.18P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   46   71   +0       9.74    83.03     2.56    71.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.12P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   70  +12       0.41    51.69     2.36    70.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           46   70  +11      -0.30    49.08     0.36    70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        46   70   +4       5.52    70.24     1.96    70.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   68   +5       0.77    52.88    -0.95    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   65   +1       3.21    62.66     3.24    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   64   +3      -2.93    39.20    -2.63    64.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   62   +7      -9.20    19.37    -4.94    62.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   61   +1      -5.48    30.35    -3.84    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       46   57  -11      -0.04    50.59    -1.29    57.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   56  -11       2.17    59.19     1.42    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        46   54  -16       1.06    54.90    -0.89    54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   53  -17      -0.88    47.13    -3.02    53.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -16      -5.92    27.64    -5.40    49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   47  -26      -5.98    27.83   -11.81    47.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   44  -26      -1.04    46.80     1.70    44.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   41  -36     -10.45    14.76   -17.34    41.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -25      -9.61    16.27    -5.32    40.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      46   89  +38       8.55    79.56    12.53    89.00     0.00    38.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   86  +30      14.89    92.35    17.93    86.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00    20.59P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       46   85  +32      10.08    82.61    14.22    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   84  +19      13.10    90.16     7.19    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    23.03P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   81  +31       2.37    58.84     7.70    81.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00    30.55P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     46   74  +21       4.28    65.32    10.92    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   74   -1      12.80    88.97     1.87    74.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   67  +14      -2.13    42.00     4.76    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   66   +4       0.56    52.37    -0.12    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   65   -5       3.28    62.61    -3.44    65.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   64   +1       2.74    60.85     2.78    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   60   -1      -4.14    34.79    -2.37    60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             46   60   -5      -7.35    24.28   -11.97    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   60   -6      -4.66    33.10    -8.65    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       46   59   +2     -10.91    15.46    -8.35    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   59   +1       0.98    54.34     6.33    59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   59   -6      -1.44    44.94    -2.52    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   56   -6      -7.32    23.83    -6.89    56.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   54  -25       3.41    64.10    -6.54    54.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   52  -12      -7.66    22.75    -7.76    52.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   44  -29      -9.85    16.18   -16.75    44.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   41  -30      -3.38    37.65    -0.98    41.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    46   40  -22      -8.74    20.36     1.92    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   34  -45      -7.34    21.98   -11.82    34.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00