Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 11 May 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 May 2019, Man_City 1 0 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         37   95  +69       8.33    87.67     4.37    97.41     1.04    70.67    80.87   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   94  +65      12.80    95.61    12.43    96.44     1.03    66.79    19.13   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   71  +24       3.47    65.09    -2.02    72.58     1.32    24.31     0.00     0.00    58.72   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   70  +28      -1.25    43.32    -4.48    72.09     1.21    29.08     0.00     0.00    41.28    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   67  +20       2.31    60.19    -2.40    68.78     1.31    20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   66  +13       0.76    52.99    -9.27    68.45     1.02    14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   57   +3       8.74    83.50     7.75    57.40     0.86     1.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   53   +8      -0.97    45.92     4.19    53.70     1.08     6.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   51   +3      -0.90    46.37     2.82    52.16     1.28     2.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   50   -4       5.24    73.15     7.78    51.60     1.32    -3.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   49   -6       2.80    62.79     3.53    50.16     1.28    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   46   -4      -0.83    46.69     3.56    47.71     1.32    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   45  -12       0.79    54.24     1.96    46.05     1.26   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   42  -10      -3.14    36.20    -0.79    43.55     1.31    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   40  -21      -1.62    43.32    -5.08    40.98     1.23   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   38  -20      -3.46    34.99    -3.39    40.09     1.20   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   36  -22      -2.54    38.92    -2.31    36.42     0.87   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   31  -37      -1.15    45.70    -4.39    31.40     0.85   -38.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           37   26  -43      -5.07    27.03    -5.34    27.19     1.27   -43.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     37   15  -54      -9.76     7.18    -8.93    15.68     1.05   -55.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 May 2019, Aston_Villa 1 2 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         46   94  +36      16.53    94.53    13.56    94.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   89  +37      10.56    84.88    14.01    89.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   83  +23      11.37    86.35    10.29    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.93P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       46   80  +25       0.43    51.53    -0.61    80.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.60P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   76  +21      -0.47    48.11     0.70    76.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.22P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   74  +15       0.47    51.80    -0.60    74.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.25P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   73   +8       1.48    55.93    -4.39    73.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   70   +6       4.27    65.99     2.23    70.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   66   +7       3.46    63.48     8.01    66.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         46   65   +3      -3.71    36.33    -5.30    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +14      -6.88    25.67     2.45    64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   64   -2       0.78    53.28    -1.95    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   62   -2      -1.37    45.37    -1.49    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   61   +6       2.54    60.54    13.11    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   61   +0      -3.68    36.56    -1.97    61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   60   -5      -1.02    46.59    -1.12    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           46   55   -7      -8.32    21.30    -7.94    55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   52  -13      -7.64    23.33    -7.96    52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   51  -18      -2.46    40.91    -2.39    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   47  -17      -5.33    30.14    -0.28    47.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   44  -16     -11.95    11.63    -5.66    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   40  -31      -4.98    31.28    -0.08    40.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   32  -49      -4.88    29.98    -8.75    32.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         46   31  -41     -14.35     6.01   -13.87    31.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Blackpool 0 3 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                46   94  +48       9.02    80.66    14.56    94.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             46   91  +41       4.86    67.76     6.49    91.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             46   88  +33       9.45    82.01    10.50    88.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.07P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   88  +32      11.91    86.97    12.57    88.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           46   85  +33       2.01    56.94     2.88    85.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.09P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   73  +18       3.11    61.50     8.07    73.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.43P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         46   72   +9       3.36    62.61     1.11    72.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry             46   65   +0       5.85    71.55     5.24    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   63   +9      -4.86    32.65     2.07    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   62   -2       0.39    52.04    -0.37    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   61   +6      -4.34    33.97     2.58    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   60   -6      -0.73    47.52    -2.13    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   55  -11      -2.16    42.50    -1.28    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   55  -16       2.61    60.68     0.13    55.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   54   -3      -6.02    27.98     1.16    54.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   54  -33       4.22    66.73   -10.92    54.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   53  -12       0.13    51.25     3.88    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   52   -8      -9.30    18.23    -5.79    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   50  -13      -7.99    21.89    -5.00    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   50  -21      -0.97    46.89    -4.12    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   50  -24      -2.55    40.87    -7.04    50.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Walsall              46   47  -22      -5.40    30.06    -5.70    47.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   46  -30      -9.63    17.69   -17.68    46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford             46   41  -28     -11.31    13.06   -11.22    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Bury 1 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     46   85  +30       8.25    78.83     9.96    85.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   79  +26       0.73    52.56     2.87    79.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   79  +22       0.63    51.99    -0.57    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        46   76  +28      -1.31    44.91     7.32    76.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    40.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   74  +21       7.35    75.70    15.82    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.21P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   73  +13       7.27    75.45     8.93    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.90P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   46   71   +0       9.98    83.50     2.95    71.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.84P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   70  +12       0.23    50.91     2.14    70.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           46   70  +11      -0.53    47.98     0.01    70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        46   70   +4       5.56    70.58     1.97    70.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   68   +5       0.90    53.70    -0.73    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   65   +1       3.11    62.01     3.08    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   64   +3      -3.23    38.06    -3.09    64.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   62   +7      -8.97    19.75    -4.61    62.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   61   +1      -5.74    29.89    -4.12    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       46   57  -11      -0.22    49.57    -1.64    57.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   56  -11       2.08    58.79     1.24    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        46   54  -16       0.88    54.29    -1.09    54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   53  -17      -0.97    46.73    -3.21    53.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -16      -5.59    29.13    -4.88    49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   47  -26      -5.86    28.34   -11.70    47.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   44  -26      -0.97    47.06     1.79    44.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   41  -36     -10.31    15.19   -17.18    41.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -25      -9.59    16.37    -5.27    40.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      46   89  +38       8.26    78.87    12.12    89.00     0.00    38.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   86  +30      14.82    92.16    17.77    86.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00    20.68P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       46   85  +32      10.06    82.43    14.21    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    26.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   84  +19      12.99    89.99     7.09    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    22.85P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   81  +31       2.63    59.65     8.08    81.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00    30.44P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     46   74  +21       4.47    65.81    11.23    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   74   -1      12.87    88.89     1.93    74.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   67  +14      -2.20    41.56     4.66    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   66   +4       0.65    52.94     0.01    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   65   -5       3.25    62.66    -3.49    65.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   64   +1       2.61    60.58     2.60    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   60   -1      -4.21    34.87    -2.47    60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             46   60   -5      -7.18    25.00   -11.75    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   60   -6      -4.79    32.67    -8.84    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       46   59   +2     -10.77    15.47    -8.18    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   59   +1       0.98    54.34     6.36    59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   59   -6      -1.36    45.09    -2.41    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   56   -6      -7.34    24.16    -6.85    56.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   54  -25       3.19    63.07    -6.84    54.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   52  -12      -7.68    22.92    -7.78    52.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   44  -29      -9.61    16.68   -16.43    44.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   41  -30      -3.17    38.55    -0.67    41.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    46   40  -22      -9.13    19.44     1.42    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   34  -45      -7.24    22.38   -11.76    34.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00