Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 9 May 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 May 2019, Man_City 1 0 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         37   95  +69       8.36    87.82     4.40    97.42     1.04    70.67    80.88   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   94  +65      12.78    95.70    12.33    96.44     1.03    66.77    19.12   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   71  +24       3.57    65.66    -1.88    72.57     1.32    24.30     0.00     0.00    58.54   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   70  +28      -1.13    44.22    -4.28    72.09     1.21    29.07     0.00     0.00    41.46    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   67  +20       2.06    59.07    -2.86    68.79     1.30    20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   66  +13       0.64    52.43    -9.44    68.45     1.02    14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   57   +3       8.74    83.48     7.74    57.41     0.86     1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   53   +8      -0.89    46.29     4.30    53.70     1.08     6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   51   +3      -0.85    46.67     2.92    52.17     1.28     2.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   50   -4       5.16    72.81     7.63    51.60     1.32    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   49   -6       2.77    62.79     3.45    50.16     1.28    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   46   -4      -0.70    47.35     3.79    47.71     1.32    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   45  -12       0.82    54.29     2.06    46.05     1.25   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   42  -10      -2.96    36.97    -0.52    43.52     1.31    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   40  -21      -1.70    42.92    -5.14    40.98     1.23   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   38  -20      -3.47    34.68    -3.36    40.10     1.20   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   36  -22      -2.48    39.11    -2.22    36.42     0.86   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   31  -37      -1.14    45.80    -4.34    31.39     0.85   -38.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           37   26  -43      -5.25    26.25    -5.56    27.21     1.28   -43.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     37   15  -54      -9.78     7.48    -9.01    15.67     1.05   -55.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 May 2019, Aston_Villa 1 2 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         46   94  +36      16.62    94.48    13.66    94.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   89  +37      10.94    85.47    14.52    89.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   83  +23      11.31    86.17    10.21    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.16P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       46   80  +25       0.50    51.32    -0.48    80.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.08P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   76  +21      -0.59    47.38     0.44    76.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   74  +15       0.43    51.68    -0.60    74.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.27P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   73   +8       1.66    56.66    -4.14    73.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   70   +6       4.40    66.70     2.43    70.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   66   +7       3.23    62.71     7.70    66.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         46   65   +3      -3.60    36.83    -5.06    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +14      -6.95    25.18     2.37    64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   64   -2       0.48    52.22    -2.39    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   62   -2      -1.12    46.20    -1.11    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   61   +6       2.70    61.12    13.35    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   61   +0      -3.54    37.06    -1.77    61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   60   -5      -1.23    45.63    -1.42    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           46   55   -7      -8.66    20.27    -8.34    55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   52  -13      -7.42    23.65    -7.67    52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   51  -18      -2.36    41.29    -2.23    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   47  -17      -5.50    29.31    -0.63    47.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   44  -16     -12.05    11.37    -5.76    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   40  -31      -4.92    31.57    -0.02    40.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   32  -49      -4.72    30.74    -8.59    32.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         46   31  -41     -14.75     5.43   -14.46    31.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Blackpool 0 3 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                46   94  +48       8.94    80.35    14.46    94.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             46   91  +41       5.11    68.69     6.91    91.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             46   88  +33       9.62    82.37    10.70    88.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.16P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   88  +32      12.16    87.78    12.99    88.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           46   85  +33       1.62    55.73     2.29    85.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.46P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   73  +18       3.18    61.91     8.21    73.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.38P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         46   72   +9       3.32    62.46     1.02    72.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry             46   65   +0       5.78    71.28     5.07    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   63   +9      -5.02    31.82     1.85    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   62   -2       0.35    52.00    -0.40    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   61   +6      -4.07    35.10     3.00    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   60   -6      -0.66    47.76    -2.04    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   55  -11      -2.21    41.94    -1.42    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   55  -16       2.45    60.23    -0.08    55.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   54   -3      -6.26    27.58     0.76    54.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   54  -33       4.16    66.69   -11.03    54.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   53  -12       0.10    51.01     3.82    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   52   -8      -9.24    18.38    -5.71    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   50  -13      -7.90    22.21    -4.85    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   50  -21      -1.11    46.27    -4.31    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   50  -24      -2.62    40.36    -7.08    50.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Walsall              46   47  -22      -5.39    30.36    -5.70    47.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   46  -30      -9.51    17.61   -17.44    46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford             46   41  -28     -11.22    13.13   -11.03    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Bury 1 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     46   85  +30       8.24    78.66    10.05    85.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   79  +26       0.77    52.61     2.95    79.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   79  +22       0.66    52.17    -0.61    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        46   76  +28      -1.54    44.14     7.01    76.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.76P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   74  +21       7.51    76.64    16.03    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.17P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   73  +13       7.14    75.13     8.75    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.19P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   46   71   +0       9.71    82.78     2.52    71.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   70  +12       0.51    52.18     2.51    70.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           46   70  +11      -0.77    47.28    -0.37    70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        46   70   +4       5.42    70.16     1.80    70.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   68   +5       0.87    53.36    -0.75    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   65   +1       3.18    62.48     3.18    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   64   +3      -3.20    37.90    -3.08    64.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   62   +7      -8.80    20.68    -4.38    62.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   61   +1      -5.20    31.63    -3.36    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       46   57  -11      -0.31    49.54    -1.70    57.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   56  -11       2.14    59.13     1.44    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        46   54  -16       1.07    54.94    -0.83    54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   53  -17      -0.99    46.74    -3.20    53.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -16      -5.95    28.14    -5.42    49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   47  -26      -5.79    28.43   -11.57    47.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   44  -26      -1.08    46.72     1.64    44.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   41  -36     -10.40    14.94   -17.34    41.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -25      -9.54    16.59    -5.25    40.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      46   89  +38       8.41    79.42    12.34    89.00     0.00    38.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   86  +30      14.57    92.09    17.42    86.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00    21.18P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       46   85  +32      10.23    82.99    14.40    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   84  +19      13.12    90.23     7.28    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    22.48P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   81  +31       2.62    59.59     8.06    81.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00    30.42P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     46   74  +21       4.57    66.01    11.45    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   74   -1      12.91    89.12     1.99    74.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   67  +14      -2.41    40.96     4.34    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   66   +4       0.45    52.04    -0.25    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   65   -5       3.23    62.68    -3.58    65.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   64   +1       2.69    60.82     2.74    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   60   -1      -4.52    33.73    -2.96    60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             46   60   -5      -7.37    24.11   -11.97    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   60   -6      -4.55    33.35    -8.50    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       46   59   +2     -10.85    15.33    -8.24    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   59   +1       1.14    55.21     6.62    59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   59   -6      -1.44    45.05    -2.53    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   56   -6      -7.35    23.71    -6.90    56.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   54  -25       3.39    63.96    -6.49    54.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   52  -12      -7.70    22.88    -7.86    52.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   44  -29      -9.78    16.41   -16.59    44.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   41  -30      -3.16    38.61    -0.62    41.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    46   40  -22      -8.90    20.27     1.70    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   34  -45      -7.27    22.12   -11.82    34.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00