Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 8 May 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 May 2019, Man_City 1 0 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         37   95  +69       8.42    87.94     4.56    97.40     1.05    70.65    80.60   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   94  +65      12.84    95.53    12.40    96.44     1.03    66.78    19.40   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   71  +24       3.58    65.71    -1.90    72.57     1.32    24.31     0.00     0.00    58.80   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   70  +28      -1.00    44.58    -4.14    72.07     1.22    29.05     0.00     0.00    41.20    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   67  +20       2.08    58.92    -2.87    68.78     1.31    20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   66  +13       0.80    53.26    -9.24    68.45     1.02    14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   57   +3       8.67    83.42     7.61    57.41     0.86     1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   53   +8      -0.88    46.30     4.37    53.71     1.09     6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   51   +3      -1.03    45.64     2.72    52.17     1.28     2.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   50   -4       5.21    73.02     7.69    51.59     1.32    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   49   -6       2.78    63.19     3.56    50.16     1.28    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   46   -4      -0.64    47.64     3.86    47.70     1.32    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   45  -12       0.79    54.05     1.99    46.06     1.25   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   42  -10      -3.32    35.22    -1.00    43.55     1.31    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   40  -21      -1.70    42.66    -5.26    40.98     1.23   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   38  -20      -3.49    34.58    -3.38    40.10     1.20   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   36  -22      -2.48    38.89    -2.24    36.43     0.87   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   31  -37      -1.17    45.46    -4.36    31.40     0.85   -38.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           37   26  -43      -5.20    26.38    -5.58    27.18     1.27   -43.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     37   15  -54      -9.73     7.63    -8.80    15.67     1.05   -55.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 May 2019, Aston_Villa 1 2 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         46   94  +36      16.58    94.66    13.61    94.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   89  +37      10.71    85.22    14.17    89.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   83  +23      11.13    85.89     9.98    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.97P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       46   80  +25       0.65    52.28    -0.24    80.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.24P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   76  +21      -0.36    48.16     0.82    76.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.30P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   74  +15       0.24    50.77    -0.89    74.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.49P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   73   +8       1.76    56.93    -4.04    73.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   70   +6       4.44    67.07     2.49    70.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   66   +7       3.42    63.39     7.91    66.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         46   65   +3      -3.69    36.37    -5.23    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +14      -6.72    25.94     2.70    64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   64   -2       0.61    52.83    -2.21    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   62   -2      -1.29    45.52    -1.32    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   61   +6       2.50    60.24    12.98    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   61   +0      -3.71    36.37    -2.04    61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   60   -5      -1.13    46.20    -1.26    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           46   55   -7      -8.57    20.74    -8.23    55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   52  -13      -7.52    23.45    -7.82    52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   51  -18      -2.27    42.00    -2.05    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   47  -17      -5.52    29.61    -0.61    47.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   44  -16     -11.99    11.45    -5.63    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   40  -31      -4.82    31.89     0.09    40.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   32  -49      -4.90    29.75    -8.82    32.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         46   31  -41     -14.71     5.75   -14.36    31.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Blackpool 0 3 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                46   94  +48       8.82    80.02    14.23    94.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             46   91  +41       4.80    67.50     6.45    91.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             46   88  +33       9.50    82.11    10.52    88.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.67P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   88  +32      11.95    87.39    12.66    88.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.32P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           46   85  +33       1.92    56.78     2.73    85.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.91P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   73  +18       3.33    62.53     8.41    73.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.09P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         46   72   +9       3.30    62.23     1.00    72.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry             46   65   +0       5.78    71.41     5.05    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   63   +9      -4.92    32.33     1.95    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   62   -2       0.31    51.52    -0.42    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   61   +6      -4.04    35.20     3.06    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   60   -6      -0.82    47.09    -2.29    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   55  -11      -2.20    42.19    -1.38    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   55  -16       2.47    60.07    -0.04    55.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   54   -3      -5.95    28.28     1.25    54.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   54  -33       4.02    66.53   -11.25    54.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   53  -12       0.02    50.90     3.71    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   52   -8      -9.43    18.40    -5.94    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   50  -13      -7.93    22.26    -4.88    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   50  -21      -0.98    46.87    -4.13    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   50  -24      -2.49    41.14    -6.84    50.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Walsall              46   47  -22      -5.10    30.86    -5.27    47.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   46  -30      -9.42    17.79   -17.31    46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford             46   41  -28     -11.34    12.91   -11.26    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Bury 1 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     46   85  +30       8.44    79.25    10.27    85.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   79  +26       0.62    52.23     2.71    79.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   79  +22       0.72    52.45    -0.56    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        46   76  +28      -1.62    43.68     6.88    76.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.95P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   74  +21       7.41    76.17    15.93    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.04P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   73  +13       7.27    75.43     9.01    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.24P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   46   71   +0       9.82    83.11     2.73    71.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   70  +12       0.33    51.42     2.29    70.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           46   70  +11      -0.56    47.98    -0.01    70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        46   70   +4       5.51    70.53     1.92    70.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   68   +5       0.85    53.39    -0.84    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   65   +1       2.95    61.42     2.80    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   64   +3      -3.03    38.69    -2.86    64.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   62   +7      -8.88    20.63    -4.50    62.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   61   +1      -5.42    30.80    -3.71    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       46   57  -11       0.01    50.77    -1.28    57.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   56  -11       2.10    58.92     1.33    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        46   54  -16       0.90    54.60    -1.07    54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   53  -17      -0.84    47.51    -3.08    53.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -16      -5.80    28.24    -5.20    49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   47  -26      -5.79    28.05   -11.54    47.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   44  -26      -1.38    45.45     1.20    44.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   41  -36     -10.31    15.33   -17.15    41.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -25      -9.57    16.57    -5.28    40.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      46   89  +38       8.25    78.88    12.19    89.00     0.00    38.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   86  +30      14.76    92.28    17.73    86.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00    20.69P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       46   85  +32       9.97    82.16    14.12    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    26.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   84  +19      13.21    90.14     7.37    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    22.62P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   81  +31       2.35    58.68     7.69    81.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00    30.38P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     46   74  +21       4.52    66.41    11.35    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   74   -1      12.95    89.22     2.10    74.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   67  +14      -2.21    41.63     4.65    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   66   +4       0.69    52.96     0.05    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   65   -5       3.24    62.44    -3.50    65.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   64   +1       2.80    61.05     2.84    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   60   -1      -4.20    34.59    -2.45    60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             46   60   -5      -7.06    25.06   -11.57    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   60   -6      -4.65    33.18    -8.64    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       46   59   +2     -10.77    15.49    -8.17    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   59   +1       0.92    54.31     6.24    59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   59   -6      -1.42    45.02    -2.52    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   56   -6      -7.53    23.14    -7.21    56.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   54  -25       3.36    64.05    -6.55    54.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   52  -12      -7.79    22.39    -7.91    52.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   44  -29      -9.65    16.64   -16.52    44.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   41  -30      -3.35    37.72    -0.89    41.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    46   40  -22      -8.94    19.47     1.59    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   34  -45      -7.34    22.04   -11.98    34.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00