Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 7 May 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 May 2019, Man_City 1 0 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         37   95  +69       8.30    87.59     4.32    97.41     1.04    70.67    80.54   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   94  +65      12.89    95.74    12.66    96.44     1.03    66.78    19.46   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   71  +24       3.36    64.88    -2.12    72.59     1.32    24.32     0.00     0.00    59.12   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   70  +28      -0.93    44.92    -4.02    72.08     1.22    29.06     0.00     0.00    40.88    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   67  +20       2.05    59.16    -2.86    68.78     1.31    20.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   66  +13       0.79    53.55    -9.27    68.46     1.01    14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   57   +3       8.77    83.66     7.76    57.41     0.86     1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   53   +8      -0.97    45.67     4.22    53.71     1.09     6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   51   +3      -0.97    45.87     2.72    52.16     1.28     2.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   50   -4       5.22    73.11     7.75    51.59     1.32    -3.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   49   -6       2.82    62.95     3.57    50.16     1.28    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   46   -4      -0.72    47.22     3.69    47.71     1.31    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   45  -12       0.69    53.76     1.80    46.05     1.25   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   42  -10      -3.04    37.01    -0.67    43.54     1.31    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   40  -21      -1.65    43.08    -5.10    40.99     1.23   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   38  -20      -3.46    34.94    -3.40    40.11     1.19   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   36  -22      -2.37    39.68    -2.07    36.42     0.87   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   31  -37      -1.16    45.50    -4.41    31.39     0.84   -38.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           37   26  -43      -5.30    25.87    -5.67    27.19     1.27   -43.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     37   15  -54      -9.77     7.50    -8.91    15.66     1.05   -55.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 May 2019, Aston_Villa 1 2 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         46   94  +36      16.53    94.47    13.53    94.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   89  +37      10.72    85.41    14.16    89.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   83  +23      11.21    86.20    10.14    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.72P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       46   80  +25       0.59    51.91    -0.31    80.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.51P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   76  +21      -0.39    48.54     0.77    76.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.45P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   74  +15       0.36    51.35    -0.71    74.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.33P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   73   +8       1.63    56.34    -4.20    73.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   70   +6       4.24    66.17     2.18    70.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   66   +7       3.65    63.99     8.18    66.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         46   65   +3      -3.60    36.94    -5.09    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +14      -6.88    25.82     2.47    64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   64   -2       0.72    52.84    -2.06    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   62   -2      -1.23    45.71    -1.22    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   61   +6       2.45    60.01    12.96    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   61   +0      -3.69    36.47    -1.99    61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   60   -5      -1.12    46.11    -1.24    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           46   55   -7      -8.29    21.31    -7.88    55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   52  -13      -7.52    23.58    -7.78    52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   51  -18      -2.55    40.72    -2.47    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   47  -17      -5.43    29.80    -0.54    47.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   44  -16     -12.13    11.14    -5.90    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   40  -31      -5.01    31.15    -0.09    40.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   32  -49      -4.92    29.93    -8.88    32.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         46   31  -41     -14.49     5.86   -14.02    31.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Blackpool 0 3 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                46   94  +48       9.08    80.66    14.66    94.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             46   91  +41       4.98    68.17     6.69    91.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             46   88  +33       9.49    82.10    10.51    88.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.01P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   88  +32      11.91    87.13    12.57    88.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           46   85  +33       1.75    56.27     2.55    85.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    32.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   73  +18       3.15    61.87     8.17    73.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.43P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         46   72   +9       3.20    61.87     0.81    72.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry             46   65   +0       5.79    71.26     5.07    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   63   +9      -4.93    32.44     2.01    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   62   -2       0.28    51.64    -0.50    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   61   +6      -4.14    34.61     2.84    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   60   -6      -0.65    48.10    -1.95    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   55  -11      -2.13    42.15    -1.26    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   55  -16       2.36    59.94    -0.20    55.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   54   -3      -5.98    28.29     1.18    54.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   54  -33       4.27    67.00   -10.97    54.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   53  -12      -0.01    50.79     3.65    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   52   -8      -9.35    18.13    -5.84    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   50  -13      -7.98    22.24    -5.00    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   50  -21      -1.04    46.83    -4.24    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   50  -24      -2.53    40.85    -6.90    50.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Walsall              46   47  -22      -5.41    30.28    -5.75    47.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   46  -30      -9.34    18.47   -17.15    46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford             46   41  -28     -11.15    13.49   -10.96    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Bury 1 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     46   85  +30       8.43    79.25    10.21    85.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   79  +26       0.90    52.95     3.11    79.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   79  +22       0.68    52.29    -0.58    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        46   76  +28      -1.50    44.18     7.04    76.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.65P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   74  +21       7.47    76.50    16.01    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.12P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   73  +13       6.90    74.31     8.40    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.36P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   46   71   +0       9.77    82.80     2.62    71.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.87P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   70  +12       0.44    51.75     2.44    70.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           46   70  +11      -0.95    46.33    -0.56    70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        46   70   +4       5.64    70.78     2.05    70.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   68   +5       0.92    53.60    -0.75    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   65   +1       3.38    63.08     3.51    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   64   +3      -3.20    37.94    -3.06    64.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   62   +7      -9.00    19.82    -4.70    62.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   61   +1      -5.36    30.82    -3.56    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       46   57  -11      -0.23    49.46    -1.61    57.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   56  -11       2.02    58.79     1.24    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        46   54  -16       1.03    54.96    -0.89    54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   53  -17      -1.13    46.37    -3.42    53.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -16      -5.80    28.58    -5.23    49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   47  -26      -5.72    28.88   -11.49    47.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   44  -26      -0.97    47.07     1.79    44.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   41  -36     -10.30    15.08   -17.18    41.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -25      -9.66    16.35    -5.40    40.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      46   89  +38       8.22    78.76    12.00    89.00     0.00    38.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   86  +30      14.69    91.98    17.67    86.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00    21.26P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       46   85  +32      10.04    82.69    14.13    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   84  +19      13.21    90.30     7.36    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   81  +31       2.67    59.66     8.18    81.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00    30.16P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     46   74  +21       4.39    65.64    11.14    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   74   -1      12.86    88.69     1.96    74.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   67  +14      -2.39    41.19     4.39    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   66   +4       0.51    52.19    -0.22    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   65   -5       3.33    62.96    -3.38    65.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   64   +1       2.80    61.18     2.89    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   60   -1      -4.50    33.84    -2.89    60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             46   60   -5      -7.45    23.68   -12.07    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   60   -6      -4.55    33.48    -8.48    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       46   59   +2     -10.87    15.16    -8.35    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   59   +1       0.92    54.09     6.29    59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   59   -6      -1.30    45.41    -2.32    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   56   -6      -7.28    24.11    -6.84    56.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   54  -25       3.19    63.26    -6.86    54.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   52  -12      -7.71    22.73    -7.81    52.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   44  -29      -9.73    16.38   -16.54    44.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   41  -30      -3.19    38.49    -0.68    41.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    46   40  -22      -8.73    20.25     2.01    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   34  -45      -7.14    22.78   -11.58    34.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00