Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 6 May 2019 at 21:13:00 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 May 2019, Man_City 1 0 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         37   95  +69       8.40    87.91     4.53    97.41     1.04    70.66    80.72   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   94  +65      12.78    95.54    12.36    96.44     1.03    66.78    19.28   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          37   71  +24       3.42    65.02    -2.09    72.59     1.32    24.31     0.00     0.00    59.21   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   70  +28      -1.14    43.94    -4.27    72.07     1.22    29.06     0.00     0.00    40.79    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          37   67  +20       2.21    59.69    -2.59    68.78     1.31    20.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   66  +13       0.77    53.04    -9.31    68.45     1.02    14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    37   57   +3       8.70    83.45     7.70    57.41     0.86     1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   53   +8      -0.89    46.43     4.35    53.71     1.09     6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   51   +3      -1.00    45.64     2.70    52.16     1.28     2.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   50   -4       5.08    72.53     7.48    51.60     1.32    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   49   -6       2.85    63.41     3.63    50.15     1.28    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   46   -4      -0.71    47.26     3.70    47.71     1.32    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   45  -12       0.67    53.68     1.77    46.06     1.26   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        37   42  -10      -2.83    37.64    -0.34    43.53     1.31    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   40  -21      -1.70    42.80    -5.21    40.99     1.24   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   38  -20      -3.63    34.22    -3.61    40.10     1.20   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         37   36  -22      -2.47    39.13    -2.18    36.42     0.87   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   31  -37      -1.04    46.16    -4.19    31.40     0.85   -38.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Fulham           37   26  -43      -5.14    26.80    -5.44    27.19     1.27   -43.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     37   15  -54      -9.76     7.31    -8.97    15.67     1.05   -55.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 May 2019, Aston_Villa 1 2 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         46   94  +36      16.57    94.48    13.67    94.00     0.00    36.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       46   89  +37      10.78    84.90    14.29    89.00     0.00    37.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   83  +23      11.29    86.14    10.21    83.00     0.00    23.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.76P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       46   80  +25       0.51    51.37    -0.50    80.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.58P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     46   76  +21      -0.52    47.87     0.59    76.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.28P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   74  +15       0.26    50.80    -0.84    74.00     0.00    15.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.38P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   73   +8       1.73    56.60    -4.04    73.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    46   70   +6       4.51    67.04     2.59    70.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   66   +7       3.41    63.20     7.85    66.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         46   65   +3      -3.57    36.96    -5.02    65.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   64  +14      -6.79    25.90     2.65    64.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   64   -2       0.66    52.77    -2.08    64.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            46   62   -2      -1.39    45.16    -1.45    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   61   +6       2.37    59.54    12.78    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         46   61   +0      -3.61    36.87    -1.89    61.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   60   -5      -1.19    45.90    -1.34    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           46   55   -7      -8.52    20.32    -8.16    55.00     0.00    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           46   52  -13      -7.38    24.05    -7.63    52.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             46   51  -18      -2.50    41.01    -2.46    51.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   47  -17      -5.55    29.17    -0.60    47.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   44  -16     -12.02    11.42    -5.77    44.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   40  -31      -5.07    31.21    -0.25    40.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          46   32  -49      -4.75    30.50    -8.58    32.00     0.00   -49.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         46   31  -41     -14.46     5.71   -14.04    31.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Blackpool 0 3 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                46   94  +48       9.15    80.80    14.71    94.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             46   91  +41       4.82    67.21     6.46    91.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             46   88  +33       9.52    82.27    10.62    88.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.18P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   88  +32      11.99    87.30    12.71    88.00     0.00    32.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           46   85  +33       1.92    56.57     2.64    85.00     0.00    33.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.95P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            46   73  +18       3.28    62.28     8.32    73.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.49P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         46   72   +9       3.06    61.72     0.63    72.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry             46   65   +0       5.78    71.28     5.13    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        46   63   +9      -4.88    32.77     2.03    63.00     0.00     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            46   62   -2       0.63    52.74    -0.03    62.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       46   61   +6      -4.33    34.19     2.64    61.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   60   -6      -0.49    48.59    -1.69    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           46   55  -11      -2.42    41.16    -1.69    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   55  -16       2.65    61.07     0.20    55.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       46   54   -3      -6.01    28.16     1.08    54.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             46   54  -33       3.97    65.86   -11.34    54.00     0.00   -33.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   53  -12      -0.13    50.24     3.46    53.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   52   -8      -9.42    18.28    -6.01    52.00     0.00    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   50  -13      -8.13    21.86    -5.16    50.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   50  -21      -1.07    46.52    -4.24    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   50  -24      -2.30    41.73    -6.50    50.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Walsall              46   47  -22      -5.41    29.91    -5.76    47.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           46   46  -30      -9.37    18.41   -17.24    46.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bradford             46   41  -28     -11.17    13.24   -10.97    41.00     0.00   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 May 2019, Bury 1 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     46   85  +30       8.01    78.11     9.61    85.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             46   79  +26       0.62    52.04     2.74    79.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   79  +22       0.66    52.13    -0.54    79.00     0.00    22.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        46   76  +28      -1.41    44.34     7.19    76.00     0.00    28.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    40.10P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   74  +21       7.37    76.16    15.84    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.89P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         46   73  +13       6.99    74.83     8.58    73.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.31P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   46   71   +0       9.99    83.53     2.94    71.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.70P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   70  +12       0.45    51.79     2.46    70.00     0.00    12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           46   70  +11      -0.62    47.76    -0.10    70.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        46   70   +4       5.51    70.33     1.91    70.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         46   68   +5       0.86    53.44    -0.86    68.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   65   +1       3.21    62.30     3.21    65.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   64   +3      -3.12    38.69    -2.96    64.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   62   +7      -8.93    19.87    -4.55    62.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      46   61   +1      -5.55    30.28    -3.87    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       46   57  -11      -0.02    50.48    -1.35    57.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   56  -11       2.36    59.95     1.72    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        46   54  -16       0.95    54.64    -1.05    54.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   53  -17      -0.91    47.12    -3.08    53.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   49  -16      -5.89    28.13    -5.33    49.00     0.00   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    46   47  -26      -5.78    28.35   -11.59    47.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   44  -26      -1.00    46.86     1.74    44.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   41  -36     -10.36    15.18   -17.20    41.00     0.00   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -25      -9.69    16.24    -5.49    40.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      46   89  +38       8.20    78.79    12.10    89.00     0.00    38.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   86  +30      14.68    91.99    17.60    86.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00    20.51P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       46   85  +32      10.24    82.95    14.46    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   84  +19      13.17    89.97     7.34    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    23.11P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   81  +31       2.38    58.71     7.72    81.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00    30.52P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     46   74  +21       4.63    66.43    11.48    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   74   -1      12.86    89.01     1.94    74.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   67  +14      -2.22    41.69     4.60    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   66   +4       0.60    52.40    -0.03    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   65   -5       3.33    62.95    -3.36    65.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   64   +1       2.69    60.58     2.73    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   60   -1      -3.96    35.73    -2.13    60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             46   60   -5      -7.48    24.00   -12.10    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   60   -6      -4.58    33.19    -8.53    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       46   59   +2     -10.96    15.26    -8.44    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   59   +1       0.98    54.15     6.40    59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   59   -6      -1.37    45.20    -2.42    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   56   -6      -7.38    23.86    -6.96    56.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   54  -25       3.16    63.02    -6.88    54.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   52  -12      -7.36    23.62    -7.36    52.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   44  -29      -9.74    16.31   -16.57    44.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   41  -30      -3.30    37.93    -0.86    41.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    46   40  -22      -9.05    19.47     1.44    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   34  -45      -7.45    21.47   -12.17    34.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00