Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 30 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 April 2019, Burnley 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         36   92  +68       7.78    86.49     4.93    96.97     1.40    71.87    79.53   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        36   91  +64      11.80    94.53    12.61    95.53     1.59    66.85    20.47   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   70  +29       0.18    50.22    -3.67    74.10     1.75    31.08     0.00     0.00    83.80    96.53   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          36   68  +21       3.34    64.88    -2.62    71.76     1.78    22.56     0.00     0.00    13.35    65.34   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   66  +20       2.99    63.20    -2.04    70.12     1.72    22.20     0.00     0.00     2.64    29.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   65  +13       1.56    56.62    -8.72    69.74     1.51    16.19     0.00     0.00     0.22     8.22   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   54   +2       7.62    80.62     7.70    56.45     1.52     1.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   51   +4      -0.34    48.53     2.19    52.48     1.51     1.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   50   +6      -1.59    42.88     3.78    52.56     1.67     5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   50   -1       5.25    73.04     8.45    52.27     1.70    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   46   -9       2.44    61.94     2.70    48.77     1.84    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   43   -5      -1.95    41.46     3.28    46.30     1.86    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        36   42   -9      -2.15    40.58    -0.52    44.21     1.69    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   42  -13      -0.87    46.81     1.11    43.85     1.71   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   40  -19      -1.20    45.06    -4.50    41.85     1.70   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   38  -17      -3.30    35.35    -2.39    41.23     1.74   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   35  -22      -2.54    38.62    -2.90    35.93     1.30   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.85R    0.00  
Cardiff          36   31  -36      -0.22    50.31    -4.40    32.53     1.52   -38.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.15R    0.00  
Fulham           36   26  -42      -4.60    28.88    -5.40    27.94     1.70   -43.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     36   14  -54      -9.89     6.68    -9.57    15.16     1.40   -56.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 April 2019, Millwall 1 2 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         45   91  +35      15.26    93.42    13.13    92.09     1.28    34.52    81.69   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       45   88  +37      11.23    86.79    14.47    89.43     1.29    37.09    18.31   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   83  +24      12.35    88.60    10.69    84.72     1.30    24.50     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.15P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       45   80  +27       1.11    54.02     0.34    81.27     1.30    26.84     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.06P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     45   76  +22       0.68    52.55     1.25    77.68     1.33    22.48     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   70  +13      -0.03    50.07    -1.40    72.70     1.85    12.94     0.00     0.00    72.64    16.92P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   70   +7       0.49    52.20    -4.56    71.70     1.29     7.46     0.00     0.00    21.79     5.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    45   69   +6       4.74    68.04     2.40    70.18     1.29     5.69     0.00     0.00     5.57     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   64   -1       1.96    57.99    -1.30    65.84     1.29    -0.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   63   +6       2.67    60.55     8.23    65.15     1.18     7.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         44   63   +3      -3.05    38.56    -5.36    65.83     1.87     3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   61   +3      -3.75    35.96    -1.27    62.04     1.25     2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            45   61   -2      -0.71    47.55    -1.04    62.58     1.33    -1.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   60   +6       2.64    60.94    12.77    61.26     1.29     5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   59   -5      -0.61    48.29    -1.11    60.44     1.32    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   58  +10      -8.27    21.09     1.28    61.60     1.84    11.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           45   54   -7      -7.88    22.22    -7.83    55.28     1.27    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           45   49  -14      -8.53    20.33    -7.87    50.64     1.30   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   48  -19      -3.96    35.19    -3.21    48.92     1.20   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   46  -17      -5.16    30.57    -0.49    47.47     1.31   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        45   44  -15     -11.28    12.49    -5.57    45.08     1.24   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   40  -30      -4.22    34.15    -0.10    41.03     1.22   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          44   32  -47      -3.50    35.40    -8.44    33.51     1.57   -48.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         45   28  -42     -15.99     3.77   -15.01    29.02     1.22   -42.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 April 2019, Fleetwood_Town 2 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                45   91  +46       8.93    80.48    14.98    93.00     1.25    46.97    74.53   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             45   91  +42       5.94    71.87     7.10    92.78     1.28    42.59    25.47   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   87  +32      12.56    88.56    12.99    89.01     1.24    32.98     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           45   85  +34       2.88    60.38     3.06    86.82     1.30    34.66     0.00     0.00   100.00    33.40P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             45   85  +29       9.59    82.86     9.04    87.08     1.22    30.07     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.99P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            45   70  +16       2.43    59.38     7.50    71.68     1.30    16.44     0.00     0.00    78.45    12.96P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         45   69   +7       2.43    59.16     0.11    70.48     1.32     7.15     0.00     0.00    21.55     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             45   65   +2       6.03    72.30     5.50    66.06     1.24     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   63  +11      -4.60    33.23     2.44    64.27     1.30    10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            45   62   +1       0.76    53.56     1.19    63.66     1.30     1.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       45   61   +7      -3.11    38.52     3.43    62.53     1.31     7.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   60   -4      -0.28    49.17    -1.66    60.78     1.14    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   54  -16       2.89    61.85    -0.01    54.77     1.13   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   54  -29       3.65    64.86   -10.29    54.71     1.09   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           45   52  -14      -2.71    39.94    -2.59    53.08     1.25   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   51   -4      -7.38    23.35     0.48    51.95     1.19    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   51   -8      -8.94    19.01    -5.75    52.69     1.30    -7.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   50  -13      -1.17    46.22     3.42    51.21     1.28   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   49  -21      -0.80    47.79    -4.27    50.20     1.27   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.90R    0.00  
Southend             45   47  -14      -9.27    18.11    -5.44    47.95     1.21   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.16R    0.00  
Plymouth             45   47  -25      -3.61    36.90    -7.18    48.43     1.33   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.03R    0.00  
Walsall              45   46  -22      -5.39    29.86    -6.08    47.05     1.23   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.12R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           45   46  -29      -8.35    20.68   -16.95    47.32     1.31   -29.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.79R    0.00  
Bradford             45   40  -28     -10.88    13.43   -11.04    41.52     1.30   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 April 2019, Newport_County 2 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     45   85  +33       8.67    80.19    11.52    86.77     1.29    33.57   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             45   78  +26       1.37    55.13     3.21    80.04     1.23    26.99     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   76  +29      -0.60    47.50     7.37    77.17     1.26    28.74     0.00    57.27   100.00    73.07P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   76  +21      -0.36    48.63    -0.69    77.55     1.30    21.26     0.00    42.73   100.00    63.57P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   73  +21       7.72    77.26    15.85    74.49     1.31    21.17     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.41P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         45   73  +15       7.39    76.07     9.15    74.47     1.30    15.15     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.56P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   45   70   +0      10.22    84.13     2.76    71.34     1.30    -0.03     0.00     0.00    57.28     8.91P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           45   69  +11      -0.36    48.73    -0.26    70.25     1.29    10.83     0.00     0.00    30.25     6.96P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   67   +9      -0.38    48.79     0.64    67.97     1.20     8.43     0.00     0.00     4.39     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         45   67   +5       1.12    54.58    -0.84    68.56     1.31     5.27     0.00     0.00     4.82     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        45   67   +2       4.68    67.78     1.13    68.73     1.31     2.53     0.00     0.00     3.27     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            45   65   +3       3.74    64.41     3.87    66.36     1.29     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   62  +10      -8.53    20.85    -3.03    63.76     1.30    10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   61   +1      -3.70    36.16    -3.39    62.91     1.28     1.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      45   58   -2      -5.62    29.92    -4.61    59.00     1.23    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       45   57   -9       0.26    51.78    -0.85    58.03     1.24    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   53  -13       1.17    55.22     0.41    54.36     1.29   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        45   53  -16       1.47    56.39    -0.75    54.39     1.30   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     45   50  -19      -1.56    44.43    -3.58    51.25     1.28   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   48  -16      -5.74    28.38    -5.70    48.73     1.10   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    45   46  -26      -5.51    29.19   -11.66    47.33     1.29   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   43  -26      -0.59    48.80     1.83    44.39     1.29   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.42R    0.00  
Notts_County     45   41  -34     -10.10    15.54   -17.06    41.86     1.18   -34.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.58R   24.48  
Yeovil           45   39  -25      -9.41    16.56    -5.31    40.19     1.28   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   75.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      46   89  +38       8.34    79.11    12.23    89.00     0.00    38.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   86  +30      14.71    92.13    17.66    86.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00    20.44P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       46   85  +32       9.95    82.42    14.00    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   84  +19      13.17    90.17     7.36    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    23.27P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   81  +31       2.46    58.87     7.90    81.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00    30.59P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     46   74  +21       4.67    66.42    11.59    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   74   -1      12.83    89.01     1.82    74.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   67  +14      -2.39    41.11     4.37    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   66   +4       0.53    52.47    -0.14    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   65   -5       3.38    63.09    -3.28    65.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   64   +1       2.81    61.27     2.82    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   60   -1      -4.39    33.96    -2.69    60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             46   60   -5      -7.07    25.04   -11.56    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   60   -6      -4.56    33.19    -8.47    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       46   59   +2     -10.89    15.06    -8.37    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   59   +1       0.98    54.52     6.36    59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   59   -6      -1.47    44.86    -2.52    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   56   -6      -7.33    24.21    -6.88    56.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   54  -25       3.24    63.63    -6.75    54.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   52  -12      -7.69    22.77    -7.81    52.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   44  -29      -9.53    17.03   -16.34    44.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   41  -30      -3.38    37.93    -0.93    41.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    46   40  -22      -8.97    19.84     1.61    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   34  -45      -7.35    21.94   -12.00    34.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00