Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 29 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 April 2019, Burnley 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         36   92  +68       7.73    86.23     4.82    96.98     1.41    71.89    79.52   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        36   91  +64      11.84    94.41    12.74    95.53     1.59    66.85    20.48   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   70  +29       0.26    50.69    -3.53    74.10     1.76    31.09     0.00     0.00    83.93    96.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          36   68  +21       3.16    63.96    -2.89    71.76     1.78    22.58     0.00     0.00    13.22    65.36   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   66  +20       2.87    62.55    -2.22    70.11     1.72    22.19     0.00     0.00     2.65    29.76   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   65  +13       1.56    56.63    -8.82    69.75     1.51    16.22     0.00     0.00     0.20     8.41   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   54   +2       7.54    80.64     7.45    56.46     1.51     1.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   51   +4      -0.22    49.20     2.39    52.48     1.51     1.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   50   +6      -1.49    43.29     3.94    52.57     1.67     5.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   50   -1       5.27    73.53     8.55    52.26     1.70    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   46   -9       2.38    61.47     2.57    48.79     1.84    -8.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   43   -5      -1.99    41.31     3.21    46.30     1.86    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        36   42   -9      -2.45    39.20    -0.98    44.22     1.68    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   42  -13      -0.83    46.65     1.27    43.85     1.72   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   40  -19      -1.33    44.50    -4.72    41.85     1.71   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   38  -17      -3.19    36.02    -2.20    41.23     1.74   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   35  -22      -2.27    39.72    -2.52    35.91     1.29   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.92R    0.00  
Cardiff          36   31  -36      -0.23    50.16    -4.47    32.53     1.52   -38.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.08R    0.00  
Fulham           36   26  -42      -4.57    28.95    -5.37    27.92     1.69   -43.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     36   14  -54      -9.78     7.12    -9.23    15.15     1.40   -56.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 April 2019, Leeds_United 1 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         45   91  +35      15.39    93.20    13.30    92.10     1.28    34.53    81.84   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       45   88  +37      11.26    86.76    14.47    89.42     1.29    37.09    18.16   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   83  +24      12.35    88.71    10.70    84.73     1.29    24.51     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.36P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       45   80  +27       1.00    53.42     0.18    81.27     1.30    26.83     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.18P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     45   76  +22       0.69    52.61     1.25    77.68     1.33    22.47     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.75P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   70  +13      -0.07    49.63    -1.43    72.70     1.85    12.94     0.00     0.00    75.42    17.23P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   70   +7       0.68    52.71    -4.27    71.69     1.29     7.46     0.00     0.00    22.69     5.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   66   +5       3.42    63.54     1.83    68.48     1.83     4.61     0.00     0.00     1.89     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   64   -1       1.77    57.15    -1.57    65.87     1.28    -0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   63   +6       2.34    59.65     7.73    65.14     1.18     7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         44   63   +3      -2.84    39.58    -5.03    65.82     1.87     3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   61   +3      -3.64    36.66    -1.08    62.04     1.25     2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            45   61   -2      -0.80    47.35    -1.21    62.59     1.33    -1.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   60   +6       2.67    60.96    12.78    61.26     1.29     5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   59   -5      -0.51    48.56    -0.93    60.45     1.32    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   58  +10      -8.42    20.57     1.07    61.60     1.84    11.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           45   54   -7      -8.06    21.56    -8.06    55.29     1.27    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           45   49  -14      -8.69    20.01    -8.09    50.64     1.30   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   48  -19      -3.79    35.66    -2.89    48.90     1.19   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   46  -17      -5.22    30.14    -0.59    47.47     1.31   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        44   44  -14     -10.14    14.77    -4.94    46.49     1.81   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   40  -30      -4.07    34.49     0.12    41.03     1.22   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          44   32  -47      -3.50    35.47    -8.46    33.52     1.57   -48.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         45   28  -42     -15.91     3.95   -14.88    29.01     1.21   -42.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 April 2019, Coventry 1 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                45   91  +46       8.52    79.27    14.37    93.01     1.25    46.99    70.21    92.25   100.00    94.84P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             45   91  +42       6.17    72.54     7.35    92.78     1.28    42.58    23.81    85.38   100.00    90.83P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   87  +33      13.77    91.11    13.77    90.77     1.81    34.57     5.98    21.53   100.00    41.61P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           44   85  +35       3.86    64.18     3.41    88.46     1.85    36.06     0.00     0.84   100.00    33.73P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             45   85  +29       9.85    83.13     9.47    87.08     1.22    30.07     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.74P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            45   70  +16       2.43    59.45     7.47    71.69     1.30    16.45     0.00     0.00    94.31    14.39P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         44   66   +6       1.25    55.01    -0.23    68.48     1.83     5.56     0.00     0.00     5.69     0.87P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             45   65   +2       6.22    72.77     5.77    66.05     1.24     1.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   63  +11      -4.62    33.30     2.33    64.29     1.31    10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            45   62   +1       0.57    52.56     0.90    63.65     1.30     1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   60   -4      -0.27    49.44    -1.62    60.77     1.14    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   58   +6      -4.40    33.43     2.94    60.60     1.82     5.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   54  -16       2.59    60.92    -0.43    54.75     1.12   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   54  -29       3.72    65.33   -10.17    54.71     1.09   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           45   52  -14      -2.81    39.50    -2.78    53.09     1.25   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   51   -4      -7.65    22.84     0.14    51.96     1.19    -4.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   51   -8      -8.67    19.85    -5.45    52.69     1.30    -7.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   50  -13      -1.21    46.06     3.43    51.24     1.29   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   49  -21      -0.70    48.03    -4.05    50.20     1.27   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.80R    0.00  
Southend             45   47  -14      -9.42    17.64    -5.75    47.95     1.21   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.10R    0.00  
Plymouth             45   47  -25      -3.76    36.02    -7.42    48.44     1.33   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.26R    0.00  
Walsall              45   46  -22      -5.12    30.80    -5.73    47.04     1.23   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.30R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           45   46  -29      -8.46    20.56   -17.10    47.32     1.32   -29.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.54R    0.00  
Bradford             45   40  -28     -10.65    14.09   -10.64    41.52     1.30   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, Cambridge_Utd 1 2 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     45   85  +33       8.48    79.52    11.32    86.77     1.28    33.57   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   77  +26       1.76    56.51     3.20    80.44     1.80    27.01     0.00    97.39   100.00    98.20P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   76  +29      -0.30    48.57     7.72    77.18     1.27    28.74     0.00    54.14   100.00    70.23P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   76  +21      -0.27    48.82    -0.61    77.55     1.31    21.26     0.00    42.70   100.00    62.98P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   73  +21       7.76    77.44    15.95    74.47     1.31    21.15     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.37P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +15       8.02    78.28     9.52    74.81     1.85    15.11     0.00     5.77    99.67    26.38P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           45   69  +11      -0.53    48.13    -0.48    70.26     1.29    10.85     0.00     0.00    50.00    11.81P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   67   +9      -0.21    49.39     0.93    67.97     1.20     8.43     0.00     0.00     7.87     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         45   67   +5       1.13    54.53    -0.92    68.57     1.32     5.28     0.00     0.00     9.42     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        45   67   +2       4.92    68.79     1.51    68.72     1.31     2.52     0.00     0.00     5.92     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   44   67   -2       9.30    82.40     1.90    69.63     1.84    -2.15     0.00     0.00    27.13     4.24P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            45   65   +3       3.54    63.65     3.72    66.38     1.30     3.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   62  +12      -8.21    21.29    -2.56    65.22     1.86    12.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   61   +1      -3.70    36.27    -3.37    62.90     1.28     1.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      45   58   -2      -5.85    29.06    -4.95    58.99     1.23    -2.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       45   57   -9       0.35    51.94    -0.84    58.03     1.24    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   53  -13       1.24    55.59     0.57    54.35     1.29   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        45   53  -16       1.47    56.41    -0.67    54.39     1.30   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     45   50  -19      -1.84    43.48    -4.05    51.26     1.29   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   48  -16      -5.97    27.73    -6.03    48.74     1.10   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    45   46  -26      -5.50    29.25   -11.63    47.33     1.28   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   43  -26      -0.57    48.91     1.83    44.38     1.29   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.45R    0.00  
Notts_County     45   41  -34      -9.92    15.95   -16.76    41.87     1.18   -34.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.55R   24.04  
Yeovil           45   39  -25      -9.38    16.70    -5.30    40.17     1.28   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   75.96  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      46   89  +38       8.27    79.06    12.21    89.00     0.00    38.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   86  +30      14.83    92.33    17.80    86.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00    20.51P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       46   85  +32       9.98    82.11    14.10    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    26.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   84  +19      13.20    90.33     7.36    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    22.86P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   81  +31       2.56    59.48     8.02    81.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00    30.46P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     46   74  +21       4.51    65.73    11.34    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   74   -1      12.83    89.05     1.93    74.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   67  +14      -2.30    41.40     4.47    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   66   +4       0.84    53.38     0.22    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   65   -5       3.21    62.64    -3.63    65.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   64   +1       2.83    61.34     2.89    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   60   -1      -4.37    33.95    -2.71    60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             46   60   -5      -7.31    24.49   -11.87    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   60   -6      -4.56    33.11    -8.50    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       46   59   +2     -10.83    15.43    -8.26    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   59   +1       0.82    53.77     6.10    59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   59   -6      -1.39    45.28    -2.43    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   56   -6      -7.41    23.84    -6.93    56.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   54  -25       2.99    62.58    -7.13    54.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   52  -12      -7.52    23.43    -7.60    52.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   44  -29      -9.81    16.61   -16.69    44.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   41  -30      -3.49    37.43    -1.18    41.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    46   40  -22      -8.67    19.99     2.03    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   34  -45      -7.13    22.78   -11.53    34.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00