Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 28 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 April 2019, Burnley 0 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         36   92  +68       7.73    85.96     4.79    96.98     1.41    71.90    79.70   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        36   91  +64      11.91    94.58    12.78    95.52     1.60    66.82    20.30   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   70  +29       0.15    49.84    -3.68    74.10     1.75    31.08     0.00     0.00    83.80    96.37   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          36   68  +21       3.27    64.70    -2.70    71.76     1.78    22.58     0.00     0.00    13.31    65.37   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   66  +20       2.89    62.67    -2.26    70.12     1.72    22.19     0.00     0.00     2.66    29.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   65  +13       1.51    56.81    -8.79    69.74     1.51    16.20     0.00     0.00     0.23     8.39   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   54   +2       7.68    80.88     7.78    56.46     1.51     1.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   51   +4      -0.21    49.29     2.47    52.48     1.51     1.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   50   +6      -1.63    42.72     3.70    52.56     1.68     5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   50   -1       5.41    73.72     8.72    52.26     1.70    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   46   -9       2.33    61.19     2.52    48.78     1.84    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   43   -5      -1.94    41.38     3.20    46.31     1.86    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        36   42   -9      -2.30    39.98    -0.72    44.23     1.70    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   42  -13      -0.88    46.73     1.14    43.85     1.71   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   40  -19      -1.32    44.50    -4.67    41.84     1.70   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   38  -17      -3.23    35.61    -2.25    41.23     1.74   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   35  -22      -2.46    38.99    -2.77    35.91     1.28   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.82R    0.00  
Cardiff          36   31  -36      -0.23    50.08    -4.42    32.53     1.52   -38.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.18R    0.00  
Fulham           36   26  -42      -4.61    28.67    -5.45    27.92     1.69   -43.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     36   14  -54      -9.86     6.72    -9.38    15.16     1.40   -56.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 April 2019, Leeds_United 1 1 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         45   91  +35      15.47    93.46    13.48    92.07     1.28    34.49    81.51   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       45   88  +37      11.27    86.61    14.50    89.42     1.29    37.08    18.49   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   83  +24      12.59    88.82    11.10    84.73     1.29    24.50     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.13P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       45   80  +27       1.02    53.50     0.18    81.26     1.30    26.82     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.98P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     45   76  +22       0.40    51.40     0.79    77.70     1.33    22.51     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.84P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   70  +13      -0.27    49.18    -1.74    72.71     1.86    12.95     0.00     0.00    74.90    17.30P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   70   +7       0.54    51.93    -4.45    71.70     1.29     7.46     0.00     0.00    23.13     5.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   66   +5       3.26    62.73     1.65    68.49     1.83     4.62     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   64   -1       1.92    57.84    -1.37    65.86     1.28    -0.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   63   +6       2.40    59.56     7.87    65.14     1.18     7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         44   63   +3      -2.83    39.09    -5.05    65.82     1.86     3.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   61   +3      -3.46    36.82    -0.85    62.04     1.25     2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            45   61   -2      -0.90    46.91    -1.37    62.58     1.33    -1.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   60   +6       2.71    61.17    12.82    61.25     1.29     5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   59   -5      -0.65    47.92    -1.18    60.45     1.32    -4.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   58  +10      -8.07    21.69     1.57    61.58     1.84    11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           45   54   -7      -8.00    21.76    -8.01    55.30     1.28    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           45   49  -14      -8.62    20.29    -8.03    50.64     1.30   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   48  -19      -3.92    35.04    -3.06    48.90     1.19   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   46  -17      -5.12    30.73    -0.44    47.48     1.31   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        44   44  -14     -10.19    14.89    -5.02    46.49     1.79   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   40  -30      -4.15    34.42     0.03    41.03     1.22   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          44   32  -47      -3.43    35.65    -8.42    33.54     1.58   -48.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         45   28  -42     -15.96     3.65   -15.00    29.01     1.22   -42.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 April 2019, Coventry 1 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                45   91  +46       8.41    79.26    14.17    93.00     1.25    46.98    69.78    92.05   100.00    94.86P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             45   91  +42       6.24    72.77     7.56    92.79     1.28    42.59    24.09    85.49   100.00    90.82P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   87  +33      13.61    90.93    13.58    90.79     1.81    34.58     6.12    21.64   100.00    41.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           44   85  +35       3.84    64.18     3.38    88.45     1.85    36.05     0.01     0.82   100.00    34.23P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             45   85  +29       9.67    82.84     9.23    87.08     1.22    30.07     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.46P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            45   70  +16       2.40    59.08     7.45    71.67     1.31    16.43     0.00     0.00    94.34    14.06P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         44   66   +6       1.37    55.38    -0.07    68.47     1.83     5.54     0.00     0.00     5.66     0.87P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             45   65   +2       6.11    72.30     5.57    66.07     1.24     1.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   63  +11      -4.40    33.93     2.68    64.29     1.31    10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            45   62   +1       0.70    52.90     1.13    63.65     1.30     1.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   60   -4      -0.30    49.19    -1.66    60.78     1.14    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   58   +6      -4.26    33.87     3.11    60.62     1.83     5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   54  -16       2.63    60.54    -0.38    54.75     1.12   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   54  -29       3.76    65.10   -10.09    54.71     1.10   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           45   52  -14      -2.84    39.38    -2.85    53.09     1.24   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   51   -4      -7.47    23.23     0.33    51.95     1.19    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   51   -8      -8.85    19.25    -5.65    52.68     1.30    -7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   50  -13      -1.06    46.67     3.64    51.22     1.28   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   49  -21      -0.81    47.39    -4.26    50.21     1.27   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.90R    0.00  
Southend             45   47  -14      -9.38    17.85    -5.61    47.94     1.21   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.28R    0.00  
Plymouth             45   47  -25      -3.65    36.36    -7.22    48.44     1.33   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.98R    0.00  
Walsall              45   46  -22      -5.11    30.78    -5.70    47.05     1.23   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.03R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           45   46  -29      -8.58    20.04   -17.27    47.32     1.32   -29.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.80R    0.00  
Bradford             45   40  -28     -10.89    13.39   -11.06    41.52     1.30   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, Cambridge_Utd 1 2 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     45   85  +33       8.73    80.37    11.70    86.77     1.29    33.57   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   77  +26       1.79    56.55     3.26    80.43     1.81    27.01     0.00    97.28   100.00    98.16P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   76  +29      -0.57    47.66     7.38    77.18     1.27    28.75     0.00    53.99   100.00    70.55P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   76  +21      -0.34    48.53    -0.67    77.55     1.31    21.25     0.00    42.68   100.00    62.77P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   73  +21       7.65    77.23    15.73    74.49     1.31    21.17     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.34P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +15       7.86    77.84     9.25    74.84     1.87    15.13     0.00     6.05    99.67    26.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           45   69  +11      -0.24    48.99    -0.10    70.24     1.29    10.83     0.00     0.00    49.51    11.31P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   67   +9      -0.37    48.83     0.65    67.97     1.20     8.43     0.00     0.00     8.14     1.73P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         45   67   +5       1.18    54.84    -0.86    68.56     1.32     5.27     0.00     0.00     9.31     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        45   67   +2       4.69    67.74     1.17    68.71     1.31     2.50     0.00     0.00     6.26     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   44   67   -2       9.34    82.68     1.93    69.63     1.84    -2.14     0.00     0.00    27.11     4.30P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            45   65   +3       3.68    64.32     3.90    66.38     1.30     3.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   62  +12      -8.01    22.22    -2.26    65.20     1.85    12.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   61   +1      -3.66    36.42    -3.29    62.90     1.28     1.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      45   58   -2      -5.61    29.77    -4.58    58.99     1.23    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       45   57   -9       0.22    51.42    -1.01    58.05     1.25    -9.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   53  -13       1.20    55.74     0.50    54.35     1.29   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        45   53  -16       1.41    56.25    -0.85    54.41     1.30   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     45   50  -19      -1.70    43.93    -3.82    51.24     1.28   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   48  -16      -5.84    27.65    -5.78    48.74     1.10   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    45   46  -26      -5.26    29.98   -11.28    47.33     1.29   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   43  -26      -0.88    47.53     1.40    44.39     1.29   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.45R    0.00  
Notts_County     45   41  -34     -10.01    15.83   -16.88    41.87     1.18   -34.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.55R   24.28  
Yeovil           45   39  -25      -9.47    16.52    -5.51    40.19     1.28   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   75.72  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      46   89  +38       8.50    79.62    12.51    89.00     0.00    38.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   86  +30      14.57    91.97    17.44    86.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00    20.88P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       46   85  +32      10.06    82.41    14.17    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    25.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   84  +19      13.00    90.06     7.11    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    23.10P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   81  +31       2.54    59.35     8.01    81.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00    30.32P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     46   74  +21       4.58    66.22    11.45    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   74   -1      12.84    89.01     1.90    74.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   67  +14      -2.27    41.65     4.57    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   66   +4       0.60    52.68    -0.09    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   65   -5       3.35    62.98    -3.39    65.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   64   +1       2.52    59.94     2.48    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   60   -1      -4.36    34.01    -2.72    60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             46   60   -5      -7.24    24.38   -11.79    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   60   -6      -4.83    32.47    -8.94    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       46   59   +2     -11.08    14.68    -8.59    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   59   +1       1.08    55.01     6.50    59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   59   -6      -1.28    45.69    -2.32    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   56   -6      -7.40    23.62    -7.01    56.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   54  -25       3.50    64.30    -6.41    54.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   52  -12      -7.59    22.97    -7.69    52.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   44  -29      -9.78    16.38   -16.63    44.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   41  -30      -3.22    38.61    -0.78    41.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    46   40  -22      -8.78    19.95     1.87    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   34  -45      -7.20    22.23   -11.65    34.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00