Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 27 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, Brighton 1 1 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        36   91  +64      11.83    94.26    12.63    95.53     1.59    66.84    30.69   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   89  +67       6.94    83.71     4.81    96.40     1.77    72.69    69.31   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   70  +29       0.20    50.30    -3.59    74.09     1.75    31.08     0.00     0.00    71.06    91.10   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   67  +21       3.66    66.48    -2.71    71.95     2.22    22.30     0.00     0.00    12.91    45.56   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   66  +23       3.31    65.04    -1.00    71.80     2.17    25.68     0.00     0.00    14.26    47.37   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   64  +13       1.91    58.46    -8.80    70.35     2.01    16.55     0.00     0.00     1.77    15.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    36   54   +2       7.63    80.67     7.65    56.45     1.52     1.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   50   +6      -1.59    42.76     3.82    52.56     1.68     5.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   50   -1       5.16    72.97     8.42    52.25     1.71    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   48   +1      -0.86    46.29     1.13    50.59     1.99    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   46   -9       2.40    61.46     2.60    48.79     1.85    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   43   -5      -1.81    42.20     3.61    46.28     1.85    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        36   42   -9      -2.28    39.80    -0.72    44.21     1.69    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   42  -13      -0.82    46.76     1.29    43.86     1.71   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   40  -18      -0.75    47.12    -4.95    42.27     1.95   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   38  -17      -3.20    35.62    -2.21    41.24     1.74   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton         36   35  -22      -2.42    39.35    -2.71    35.89     1.28   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.89R    0.00  
Cardiff          36   31  -36      -0.14    50.72    -4.20    32.53     1.52   -38.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.11R    0.00  
Fulham           36   26  -42      -4.69    28.70    -5.56    27.94     1.70   -43.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     36   14  -54      -9.94     6.63    -9.51    15.15     1.41   -56.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, Birmingham 1 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         45   91  +35      15.40    93.30    13.34    92.09     1.28    34.51    82.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       45   88  +37      11.29    86.78    14.55    89.40     1.28    37.07    18.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   82  +24      12.87    89.88    10.94    85.26     1.86    24.76     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.05P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       45   80  +27       0.85    52.88    -0.07    81.26     1.30    26.82     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.07P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     44   75  +22       0.97    53.60     1.08    77.89     1.86    22.23     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.40P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   70  +13      -0.36    48.63    -1.92    72.72     1.85    12.97     0.00     0.00    75.67    17.89P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   70   +7       0.36    51.50    -4.76    71.70     1.29     7.46     0.00     0.00    22.43     5.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    44   66   +5       3.40    63.44     1.82    68.46     1.83     4.59     0.00     0.00     1.90     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   64   -1       1.94    57.79    -1.32    65.86     1.28    -0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   63   +6       2.32    59.78     7.78    65.14     1.18     7.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea         44   63   +3      -2.81    39.23    -5.00    65.81     1.86     3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         45   61   +3      -3.69    36.17    -1.16    62.05     1.26     2.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            45   61   -2      -0.73    47.66    -1.11    62.59     1.33    -1.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   60   +6       2.56    60.56    12.59    61.26     1.29     5.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   59   -5      -0.70    47.74    -1.25    60.46     1.32    -4.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   58  +10      -8.20    21.17     1.37    61.60     1.84    11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           45   54   -7      -7.97    21.86    -8.01    55.30     1.27    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           45   49  -14      -8.40    20.79    -7.70    50.63     1.29   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             45   48  -19      -3.58    36.39    -2.57    48.90     1.19   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   46  -17      -5.19    30.42    -0.53    47.47     1.31   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        44   44  -14     -10.16    14.82    -4.97    46.52     1.79   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   40  -30      -3.98    34.96     0.39    41.03     1.22   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Bolton          44   32  -47      -3.48    35.50    -8.43    33.51     1.56   -48.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Ipswich         45   28  -42     -16.04     3.64   -15.07    29.02     1.22   -42.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                45   91  +46       8.38    79.01    14.16    93.03     1.24    47.01    70.47    92.25   100.00    94.93P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             45   91  +42       6.13    72.29     7.38    92.79     1.28    42.60    23.49    85.46   100.00    90.88P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   87  +33      13.75    91.15    13.71    90.78     1.82    34.56     6.04    21.46   100.00    41.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           44   85  +35       3.96    64.75     3.60    88.46     1.85    36.05     0.00     0.83   100.00    33.79P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             45   85  +29       9.75    82.84     9.31    87.07     1.23    30.06     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.48P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            45   70  +16       2.26    58.45     7.24    71.67     1.30    16.43     0.00     0.00    94.33    14.34P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         44   66   +6       1.20    54.79    -0.29    68.48     1.82     5.58     0.00     0.00     5.67     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             44   64   +2       6.35    73.70     5.45    66.50     1.80     1.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        45   63  +11      -4.32    34.30     2.82    64.28     1.30    10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            45   62   +1       0.48    52.22     0.85    63.66     1.31     1.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   60   -4      -0.21    49.45    -1.52    60.76     1.13    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       44   58   +6      -4.51    33.21     2.71    60.62     1.83     5.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   54  -16       2.65    61.07    -0.42    54.75     1.12   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             45   54  -29       3.67    64.47   -10.28    54.72     1.10   -30.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           45   52  -14      -2.60    40.44    -2.47    53.08     1.25   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       45   51   -4      -7.47    23.13     0.36    51.95     1.19    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   50   -8      -8.52    19.66    -5.66    52.97     1.83    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   50  -13      -1.24    46.27     3.41    51.23     1.29   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   49  -21      -0.68    48.20    -4.06    50.20     1.27   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.94R    0.00  
Southend             45   47  -14      -9.36    18.02    -5.62    47.93     1.21   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.54R    0.00  
Plymouth             45   47  -25      -3.51    36.73    -7.06    48.45     1.33   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.50R    0.00  
Walsall              45   46  -22      -5.04    30.99    -5.58    47.04     1.23   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.14R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           45   46  -29      -8.47    20.58   -17.09    47.31     1.31   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.88R    0.00  
Bradford             45   40  -28     -10.86    13.67   -10.95    41.52     1.30   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, Cambridge_Utd 1 2 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     45   85  +33       8.64    79.92    11.56    86.77     1.29    33.56   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   77  +26       1.78    56.50     3.30    80.43     1.82    27.01     0.00    97.40   100.00    98.24P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        45   76  +29      -0.62    47.53     7.33    77.18     1.26    28.75     0.00    54.27   100.00    70.48P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   76  +21      -0.40    48.43    -0.77    77.54     1.30    21.25     0.00    42.35   100.00    62.54P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   73  +21       7.84    77.52    16.02    74.47     1.31    21.15     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.39P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +15       7.85    77.90     9.28    74.83     1.87    15.12     0.00     5.98    99.68    26.96P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           45   69  +11      -0.38    48.61    -0.29    70.26     1.29    10.85     0.00     0.00    50.64    11.81P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       45   67   +9      -0.19    49.56     0.90    67.97     1.20     8.44     0.00     0.00     7.97     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         45   67   +5       1.33    55.45    -0.67    68.55     1.32     5.26     0.00     0.00     9.08     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        45   67   +2       4.79    68.35     1.26    68.72     1.31     2.52     0.00     0.00     6.04     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   44   67   -2       9.40    82.74     2.02    69.60     1.83    -2.19     0.00     0.00    26.60     4.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            45   65   +3       3.63    64.40     3.83    66.37     1.29     3.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   62  +12      -8.61    20.56    -3.15    65.23     1.85    12.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   61   +1      -3.66    36.25    -3.32    62.91     1.28     1.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton      45   58   -2      -5.82    29.21    -4.90    58.98     1.22    -2.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       45   57   -9       0.36    51.86    -0.77    58.04     1.24    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   53  -13       1.20    55.43     0.39    54.35     1.29   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        45   53  -16       1.36    56.31    -0.86    54.40     1.30   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     45   50  -19      -1.80    43.30    -3.95    51.26     1.29   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   48  -16      -5.62    28.91    -5.43    48.74     1.10   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    45   46  -26      -5.25    30.14   -11.25    47.34     1.29   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   43  -26      -0.65    48.42     1.87    44.38     1.29   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.33R    0.00  
Notts_County     45   41  -34      -9.89    15.88   -16.70    41.86     1.18   -34.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.67R   24.48  
Yeovil           45   39  -25      -9.60    16.23    -5.69    40.19     1.28   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   75.52  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 27 April 2019, AFC_Fylde 0 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      46   89  +38       8.41    79.71    12.37    89.00     0.00    38.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     46   86  +30      14.74    92.08    17.70    86.00     0.00    30.00     0.00   100.00    20.52P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       46   85  +32      10.05    82.30    14.18    85.00     0.00    32.00     0.00   100.00    26.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            46   84  +19      13.20    89.99     7.32    84.00     0.00    19.00     0.00   100.00    23.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          46   81  +31       2.48    59.13     7.90    81.00     0.00    31.00     0.00   100.00    30.25P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     46   74  +21       4.42    65.67    11.14    74.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          46   74   -1      12.93    89.31     1.97    74.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   46   67  +14      -2.22    41.54     4.60    67.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          46   66   +4       0.59    52.43    -0.12    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      46   65   -5       3.17    62.64    -3.61    65.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             46   64   +1       2.82    61.29     2.90    64.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            46   60   -1      -4.27    34.50    -2.59    60.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             46   60   -5      -7.55    23.61   -12.23    60.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     46   60   -6      -4.66    32.98    -8.65    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       46   59   +2     -10.90    15.20    -8.32    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            46   59   +1       1.01    54.50     6.39    59.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         46   59   -6      -1.50    44.86    -2.54    59.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          46   56   -6      -7.47    23.58    -7.08    56.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         46   54  -25       3.47    64.42    -6.46    54.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       46   52  -12      -7.70    22.94    -7.83    52.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          46   44  -29      -9.59    16.84   -16.41    44.00     0.00   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     46   41  -30      -3.29    38.11    -0.75    41.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    46   40  -22      -8.68    20.51     2.04    40.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   46   34  -45      -7.37    21.78   -11.93    34.00     0.00   -45.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00