Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 26 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 26 April 2019, Liverpool 5 0 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        36   91  +64      11.75    94.55    12.43    95.54     1.58    66.85    31.10   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         35   89  +67       7.00    84.06     4.79    96.38     1.77    72.63    68.90   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   70  +30       1.70    57.64    -2.71    76.50     2.07    33.82     0.00     0.00    91.19    98.07   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   67  +21       3.60    66.28    -2.74    71.94     2.21    22.28     0.00     0.00     4.06    42.71   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   66  +23       3.43    65.57    -0.83    71.79     2.18    25.66     0.00     0.00     4.41    44.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   64  +13       2.05    59.24    -8.64    70.32     2.02    16.51     0.00     0.00     0.34    14.35   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   51   +1       6.49    77.64     7.43    54.62     1.99    -0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   50   +0       6.37    77.80     9.06    53.87     2.17    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   49   +6      -1.39    43.65     3.62    52.87     2.13     5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   48   +1      -1.03    45.55     0.81    50.60     2.00    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   43  -10       0.65    53.63     1.58    46.20     2.08   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   42   -5      -1.56    43.24     3.43    46.72     2.30    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   41   -9      -1.97    41.34    -0.68    44.61     2.12    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -13      -0.55    48.04     0.99    43.99     2.15   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   40  -18      -0.68    47.54    -4.78    42.27     1.94   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   37  -17      -2.66    38.25    -2.12    41.83     2.20   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         35   34  -22      -2.26    39.75    -2.94    36.20     1.79   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.43R    0.00  
Cardiff          35   31  -35       0.56    54.24    -4.04    33.70     2.00   -37.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.55R    0.00  
Fulham           35   23  -43      -5.76    22.92    -5.23    26.51     2.16   -43.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     36   14  -54      -9.98     6.42    -9.44    15.17     1.41   -56.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Aston_Villa 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         44   88  +34      14.24    92.02    13.07    91.10     1.81    34.55    74.75    99.89   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   85  +35      10.62    85.35    14.03    88.66     1.73    36.42    25.22    94.98   100.00    96.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   82  +24      12.99    90.05    11.03    85.25     1.86    24.73     0.03     5.13   100.00    27.12P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       44   77  +26       0.11    49.94     0.42    80.68     1.70    27.68     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.60P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     44   75  +22       1.12    54.30     1.32    77.89     1.87    22.22     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.38P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   67  +11      -1.17    45.27    -2.68    70.91     2.25    10.70     0.00     0.00    47.43    10.69P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   67   +6      -0.32    48.75    -4.41    70.63     1.79     7.24     0.00     0.00    24.36     5.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   66   +7       4.00    65.98     2.66    69.98     2.26     6.81     0.00     0.00    25.78     4.56P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   63   -1       2.41    59.83    -1.29    65.93     1.80    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         43   62   +3      -2.22    41.17    -4.77    66.62     2.29     3.75     0.00     0.00     2.41     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   60   +5       1.08    54.70     7.39    63.46     1.76     6.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   60   +3      -3.10    38.20    -0.92    62.71     1.81     2.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            44   60   -2      -0.85    47.03    -1.92    62.56     1.82    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      44   59   +6       3.04    62.44    12.88    61.86     1.84     6.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   59   -4       0.21    51.39    -1.07    61.25     1.77    -4.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   58  +10      -8.09    21.25     1.52    61.59     1.84    11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           44   53   -7      -7.60    22.48    -7.81    55.56     1.80    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           44   48  -14      -8.39    20.26    -8.10    50.77     1.81   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   48  -18      -2.85    39.28    -2.45    50.34     1.78   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   46  -16      -4.44    32.94    -0.42    48.26     1.71   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Millwall        43   43  -14      -9.98    15.09    -5.12    46.95     2.22   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   40  -29      -3.40    37.03    -0.18    41.50     1.55   -31.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.95R    0.00  
Bolton          44   32  -47      -3.42    35.55    -8.27    33.52     1.57   -48.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    5.08  
Ipswich         44   28  -40     -15.84     3.84   -14.91    29.58     1.58   -41.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   94.92  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 April 2019, Doncaster 1 2 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                44   91  +47       9.76    83.05    15.16    94.62     1.82    48.31    84.86    96.92   100.00    97.95P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             44   88  +41       5.01    68.75     7.15    91.73     1.80    42.40     7.38    58.63   100.00    74.02P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           43   86  +33      14.06    91.83    13.63    90.83     2.22    34.05     6.21    30.62   100.00    47.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           43   84  +35       4.39    66.47     3.70    89.17     2.29    36.55     1.55    13.82   100.00    42.97P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             44   82  +27       9.08    81.40     8.79    85.76     1.79    28.52     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.93P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            44   69  +16       2.88    61.46     7.66    72.09     1.86    16.50     0.00     0.00    78.31    11.44P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         43   66   +9       1.32    55.24     0.77    70.20     2.27     9.10     0.00     0.00    20.25     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             44   64   +2       6.37    73.61     5.51    66.49     1.79     1.67     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            44   62   +2       1.50    56.47     1.30    64.44     1.72     1.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   60  +10      -5.46    30.11     2.52    62.38     1.82     9.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   59   -4       0.12    50.77    -1.62    61.10     1.74    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   57   +6      -4.03    34.90     2.98    61.21     2.25     6.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   52  -12      -2.38    41.18    -2.18    54.16     1.77   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51  -20       3.02    62.85    -1.55    53.14     1.72   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Rochdale             44   51  -30       2.54    60.75   -10.31    53.06     1.73   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   50   -4      -7.27    23.82     0.21    52.08     1.74    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   50   -8      -8.64    19.24    -5.72    52.99     1.82    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Wycombe              44   50  -12      -0.61    48.10     3.22    52.52     1.83   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.00  
Southend             44   47  -13      -8.51    19.95    -5.40    49.35     1.80   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.56R    0.00  
Plymouth             44   47  -21      -3.91    35.40    -5.99    49.78     1.87   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   46  -22      -1.97    42.57    -4.60    48.64     1.82   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.80R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           44   46  -28      -7.39    23.20   -16.73    48.90     1.87   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.59R    0.00  
Walsall              44   43  -25      -5.64    28.61    -7.00    45.14     1.76   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.04R    2.65  
Bradford             44   37  -29     -12.10    10.48   -11.51    39.66     1.83   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.35  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Bury 3 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     44   85  +34       9.75    83.45    12.11    88.36     1.84    34.89   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   77  +26       1.66    56.10     3.08    80.41     1.80    27.00     0.00    86.73   100.00    91.12P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   76  +30       0.71    52.65     8.25    79.04     1.79    30.45     0.00    62.62   100.00    75.79P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   76  +23      -0.17    49.13    -0.45    78.97     1.86    23.34     0.00    45.39   100.00    64.83P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     44   73  +22       8.66    80.45    16.13    75.77     1.85    22.05     0.00     3.91   100.00    24.73P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +15       7.89    77.83     9.37    74.81     1.86    15.10     0.00     1.34    99.93    22.32P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           44   66  +10      -1.44    44.13    -0.36    68.73     1.84    10.00     0.00     0.00    42.54     9.44P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   64   +7      -1.08    45.92    -0.01    66.27     1.78     6.33     0.00     0.00     5.60     1.27P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   64   +3       0.84    53.44    -0.96    67.38     1.84     3.96     0.00     0.00    12.42     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        44   64   +1       3.33    63.49     0.51    66.60     1.75     0.79     0.00     0.00     4.36     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   43   64   -3       7.79    78.55     1.12    67.77     2.24    -3.47     0.00     0.00    18.76     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   62  +13      -7.35    23.59    -2.34    66.46     2.28    13.53     0.00     0.00    15.82     4.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            44   62   +2       2.65    60.69     3.65    64.81     1.84     2.12     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   61   +2      -2.65    40.03    -2.88    64.30     1.84     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   57   -2      -5.19    31.32    -4.58    59.90     1.77    -1.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       44   54  -10      -0.89    47.13    -1.23    56.39     1.81   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   53  -12       2.15    59.61     0.84    55.58     1.82   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        44   50  -17       0.11    51.14    -1.30    52.56     1.82   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     44   50  -17      -1.24    45.91    -3.48    52.19     1.75   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        44   48  -15      -4.56    32.38    -4.86    50.52     1.70   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    44   46  -25      -4.21    33.71   -10.86    48.92     1.85   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     44   40  -27      -2.27    41.68     1.05    42.32     1.76   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.42R    7.73  
Yeovil           44   38  -25      -9.32    16.44    -5.89    40.06     1.74   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.67R   41.37  
Notts_County     44   38  -35     -11.00    12.92   -16.91    40.37     1.75   -35.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.91R   50.90  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Aldershot 2 0 Havant_&_Wville; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      45   88  +38       9.01    81.61    12.69    90.30     1.12    39.48    99.40   100.00    99.57P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       45   85  +33      11.34    85.91    15.06    86.56     1.31    33.27     0.60   100.00    25.92P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     45   85  +30      14.97    92.76    17.52    86.38     1.30    30.03     0.01   100.00    20.90P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          45   81  +33       3.45    63.15     9.23    82.92     1.25    33.76     0.00   100.00    31.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   81  +18      12.25    88.94     7.28    82.56     1.30    18.27     0.00   100.00    22.21P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     45   74  +22       5.40    69.29    11.62    75.17     1.26    21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          45   73   -1      13.24    89.91     1.90    74.24     1.28    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   45   67  +18      -2.37    41.21     6.40    68.41     1.31    18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   66   +6       1.13    54.69     0.76    67.61     1.29     6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      45   65   -2       3.45    63.40    -2.23    66.22     1.28    -2.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   61   -1       1.76    57.39     1.73    62.10     1.23    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       45   59   +4     -10.52    15.62    -7.76    60.70     1.30     4.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            45   57   -5      -4.32    34.23    -4.20    58.33     1.31    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             45   57   -7      -7.92    22.20   -12.48    58.60     1.32    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     45   57   -9      -5.06    31.37    -9.84    58.52     1.31    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            45   56   -1       0.01    50.71     5.27    56.82     1.12    -1.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         45   56   -7      -2.67    40.10    -3.01    57.18     1.28    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          45   55   -6      -7.20    24.20    -7.26    56.34     1.29    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       45   51  -12      -7.14    24.02    -7.68    52.49     1.31   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         45   51  -27       2.21    59.71    -7.71    52.04     1.24   -27.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   41  -31     -10.53    13.90   -17.37    42.46     1.30   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    45   40  -20      -8.54    20.79     2.12    41.14     1.27   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   40  -30      -3.21    38.23    -0.99    40.52     0.96   -31.48     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   45   34  -43      -6.67    24.25   -11.02    35.26     1.27   -43.13     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00