Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 25 April 2019 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 24 April 2019, Man_Utd 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City         35   89  +67       6.93    83.79     4.80    96.40     1.76    72.64    72.08   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        35   88  +59      12.17    95.19    11.85    95.28     1.74    64.63    27.92   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        35   70  +30       1.64    57.12    -2.76    76.53     2.07    33.88     0.00     0.00    91.25    98.10   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          35   67  +21       3.48    65.69    -2.88    71.95     2.21    22.28     0.00     0.00     4.17    42.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   66  +23       3.46    65.48    -0.73    71.80     2.19    25.66     0.00     0.00     4.24    44.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          35   64  +13       2.11    59.21    -8.50    70.30     2.03    16.45     0.00     0.00     0.34    14.20   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    35   51   +1       6.22    76.56     7.05    54.64     2.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   50   +0       6.30    77.44     8.91    53.88     2.17    -0.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          35   49   +6      -1.24    44.27     3.80    52.85     2.13     5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   48   +1      -0.91    45.80     0.98    50.59     1.99    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         35   43  -10       0.78    54.47     1.72    46.18     2.07   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   42   -5      -1.57    43.24     3.40    46.71     2.30    -4.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        35   41   -9      -1.92    41.66    -0.64    44.60     2.12    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   41  -13      -0.49    48.44     1.06    43.97     2.14   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   40  -18      -0.65    47.80    -4.76    42.27     1.94   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   37  -17      -2.74    37.74    -2.28    41.84     2.22   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         35   34  -22      -2.20    40.20    -2.91    36.21     1.81   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.58R    0.00  
Cardiff          35   31  -35       0.56    54.30    -4.17    33.70     2.00   -37.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.40R    0.00  
Fulham           35   23  -43      -5.83    22.85    -5.44    26.53     2.17   -43.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield     35   14  -49     -10.20     5.94    -8.51    15.33     1.51   -54.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Aston_Villa 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Norwich         44   88  +34      14.23    92.11    12.94    91.11     1.80    34.54    74.60    99.87   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       44   85  +35      10.71    85.70    14.13    88.68     1.72    36.45    25.37    95.14   100.00    96.46P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   82  +24      12.73    89.59    10.64    85.26     1.86    24.76     0.03     4.99   100.00    27.19P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom       44   77  +26      -0.02    49.49     0.30    80.70     1.69    27.69     0.00     0.00   100.00    31.00P    0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     44   75  +22       0.80    52.97     0.82    77.89     1.86    22.21     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.04P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   67  +11      -1.05    45.86    -2.45    70.90     2.27    10.71     0.00     0.00    47.29    10.63P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   67   +6      -0.47    48.25    -4.60    70.65     1.79     7.26     0.00     0.00    24.78     5.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    43   66   +7       4.13    66.43     2.85    69.98     2.26     6.79     0.00     0.00    25.46     4.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   63   -1       2.27    59.17    -1.48    65.94     1.80    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         43   62   +3      -2.26    41.07    -4.76    66.64     2.30     3.77     0.00     0.00     2.45     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   60   +5       1.20    55.22     7.54    63.48     1.77     6.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Preston         44   60   +3      -3.21    37.89    -1.05    62.70     1.82     2.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull            44   60   -2      -0.50    48.27    -1.40    62.55     1.82    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      44   59   +6       3.21    63.22    13.08    61.85     1.84     6.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   59   -4       0.18    50.99    -1.13    61.23     1.76    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   58  +10      -8.20    21.07     1.36    61.59     1.84    11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           44   53   -7      -7.60    22.88    -7.87    55.56     1.80    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           44   48  -14      -8.45    20.15    -8.19    50.78     1.81   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
QPR             44   48  -18      -2.91    38.84    -2.54    50.33     1.78   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   46  -16      -4.32    33.28    -0.19    48.26     1.72   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        43   43  -14      -9.94    15.25    -5.04    46.93     2.22   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.00  
Rotherham       44   40  -29      -3.30    37.50    -0.02    41.48     1.53   -31.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R    0.00  
Bolton          44   32  -47      -3.40    35.95    -8.29    33.51     1.57   -48.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    4.95  
Ipswich         44   28  -40     -15.69     4.06   -14.65    29.57     1.57   -41.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   95.05  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 23 April 2019, Doncaster 1 2 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Luton                44   91  +47       9.71    83.03    15.10    94.59     1.83    48.29    84.40    96.76   100.00    97.90P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley             44   88  +41       4.96    68.38     7.02    91.74     1.79    42.41     7.68    58.59   100.00    74.04P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           43   86  +33      14.02    92.09    13.54    90.82     2.21    34.05     6.34    30.50   100.00    47.87P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland           43   84  +35       4.37    66.28     3.64    89.17     2.29    36.57     1.59    14.16   100.00    42.76P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton             44   82  +27       9.10    81.62     8.76    85.76     1.80    28.53     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.95P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster            44   69  +16       2.78    60.89     7.49    72.09     1.86    16.51     0.00     0.00    78.17    11.31P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         43   66   +9       1.42    55.76     0.86    70.22     2.29     9.10     0.00     0.00    20.44     2.96P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry             44   64   +2       6.38    73.67     5.46    66.51     1.80     1.69     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool            44   62   +2       1.32    55.56     1.06    64.44     1.73     1.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   60  +10      -5.77    28.97     2.08    62.41     1.84     9.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   59   -4       0.07    50.81    -1.71    61.10     1.74    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       43   57   +6      -4.07    34.35     2.91    61.23     2.27     6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   52  -12      -2.13    42.19    -1.77    54.16     1.77   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   51  -20       2.86    62.24    -1.81    53.14     1.72   -20.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Rochdale             44   51  -30       2.48    60.65   -10.27    53.07     1.73   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       44   50   -4      -7.24    23.52     0.30    52.05     1.73    -4.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   50   -8      -8.56    19.82    -5.70    52.97     1.82    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Wycombe              44   50  -12      -0.29    49.87     3.70    52.52     1.82   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
Southend             44   47  -13      -8.42    20.23    -5.19    49.33     1.80   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.96R    0.00  
Plymouth             44   47  -21      -3.72    35.88    -5.79    49.77     1.86   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.78R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   46  -22      -2.05    42.31    -4.61    48.63     1.82   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.68R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           44   46  -28      -7.27    23.54   -16.54    48.91     1.87   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.54R    0.00  
Walsall              44   43  -25      -5.67    28.41    -7.03    45.14     1.78   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.96R    2.87  
Bradford             44   37  -29     -12.10    10.43   -11.51    39.66     1.83   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   97.13  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Bury 3 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Lincoln_City     44   85  +34       9.70    83.22    12.03    88.39     1.84    34.92   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury             44   77  +26       1.73    56.31     3.20    80.43     1.81    27.01     0.00    86.86   100.00    91.21P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield        44   76  +30       0.48    51.61     7.99    79.07     1.79    30.48     0.00    62.95   100.00    76.02P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   76  +23      -0.13    49.28    -0.43    78.96     1.86    23.32     0.00    44.97   100.00    64.67P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     44   73  +22       8.94    81.08    16.54    75.75     1.85    22.01     0.00     3.76   100.00    24.35P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   72  +15       8.03    78.24     9.54    74.79     1.85    15.08     0.00     1.45    99.93    22.69P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           44   66  +10      -1.36    44.94    -0.31    68.76     1.85    10.03     0.00     0.00    43.08     9.57P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   64   +7      -0.90    46.84     0.25    66.26     1.77     6.31     0.00     0.00     5.36     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   64   +3       0.54    52.19    -1.44    67.41     1.83     3.99     0.00     0.00    12.52     2.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage        44   64   +1       3.27    62.90     0.43    66.58     1.76     0.78     0.00     0.00     4.30     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County   43   64   -3       8.28    80.00     1.84    67.73     2.25    -3.52     0.00     0.00    18.27     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   62  +13      -7.37    23.64    -2.34    66.49     2.27    13.57     0.00     0.00    15.99     4.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe            44   62   +2       2.47    59.81     3.37    64.83     1.85     2.15     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   61   +2      -2.79    39.52    -3.05    64.31     1.83     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      44   57   -2      -5.11    31.52    -4.47    59.88     1.77    -1.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       44   54  -10      -0.83    47.08    -1.18    56.39     1.81   -10.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   53  -12       2.37    60.30     1.16    55.55     1.82   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe        44   50  -17       0.18    51.52    -1.15    52.55     1.82   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town     44   50  -17      -1.25    45.71    -3.48    52.16     1.76   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        44   48  -15      -4.61    32.18    -4.91    50.50     1.70   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    44   46  -25      -4.50    33.01   -11.24    48.93     1.84   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     44   40  -27      -2.10    42.37     1.28    42.33     1.76   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.44R    7.73  
Yeovil           44   38  -25      -9.46    16.06    -6.08    40.06     1.74   -26.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.82R   41.82  
Notts_County     44   38  -35     -11.41    11.94   -17.56    40.39     1.76   -35.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.74R   50.45  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 22 April 2019, Aldershot 2 0 Havant_&_Wville; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient      45   88  +38       9.07    81.64    12.74    90.30     1.12    39.47    99.38   100.00    99.61P    0.00     0.00  
Salford_City       45   85  +33      11.00    85.19    14.56    86.55     1.31    33.26     0.61   100.00    26.02P    0.00     0.00  
Solihull_Moors     45   85  +30      14.98    92.66    17.55    86.38     1.30    30.02     0.01   100.00    21.19P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Fylde          45   81  +33       3.52    63.04     9.32    82.91     1.25    33.74     0.00   100.00    30.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   81  +18      12.15    88.53     7.14    82.56     1.30    18.28     0.00   100.00    22.54P    0.00     0.00  
Harrogate_Town     45   74  +22       5.14    68.17    11.20    75.16     1.25    21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh          45   73   -1      13.29    90.18     1.90    74.25     1.29    -1.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   45   67  +18      -2.43    40.75     6.37    68.42     1.31    18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   66   +6       1.01    54.05     0.56    67.62     1.29     6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sutton_United      45   65   -2       3.41    63.29    -2.29    66.21     1.28    -2.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   61   -1       1.74    57.18     1.76    62.09     1.23    -1.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield       45   59   +4     -10.17    16.52    -7.26    60.67     1.30     4.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bromley            45   57   -5      -4.38    33.86    -4.22    58.33     1.31    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnet             45   57   -7      -7.94    22.37   -12.52    58.61     1.31    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic     45   57   -9      -4.69    32.64    -9.33    58.53     1.31    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax            45   56   -1      -0.03    50.48     5.22    56.83     1.13    -1.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool         45   56   -7      -2.74    39.94    -3.12    57.19     1.27    -7.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          45   55   -6      -7.16    24.27    -7.12    56.34     1.30    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Boreham_Wood       45   51  -12      -7.15    24.25    -7.73    52.49     1.31   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Maidenhead         45   51  -27       2.26    59.77    -7.64    52.07     1.24   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot          45   41  -31     -10.39    14.50   -17.15    42.45     1.30   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Havant_&_Wville    45   40  -20      -8.56    20.57     2.15    41.14     1.27   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     45   40  -30      -3.06    38.87    -0.80    40.52     0.96   -31.47     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Maidstone_United   45   34  -43      -6.82    23.42   -11.28    35.27     1.28   -43.13     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00